National Tracking Poll
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1 National Tracking Poll Project: N Size: 1993 Registered Voters Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report March 01-05, 2018 P1 Question Response Frequency Percentage Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction % Wrong Track 95 60% Q172 Q172NET P3 POL1_1 POL1_4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve % Somewhat Approve % Somewhat Disapprove 263 3% Strongly Disapprove % Don t Know / No Opinion 85 4% Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve % Total Dissaprove 05 53% Don t Know / No Opinion 85 4% Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues 55 28% Security Issues 359 8% Health Care Issues 350 8% Senior s Issues 326 6% Women s Issues 86 4% Education Issues 47 7% Energy Issues 75 4% Other 99 5% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress 85 43% Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 1
2 POL1_5 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % POL1_6 POL1_7 POL1_8 POL1_9 POL1_10 POL1_11 POL1_12 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion 379 9% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy Democrats in Congress 82 4 % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Sexual harassment and misconduct in the workplace Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Gun policy Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 2
3 POL2 If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate % Republican candidate % Don t Know / No Opinion 384 9% POL3_1 POL3_4 POL3_5 POL3_6 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a healthcare reform bill A top priority % An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 87 9% Should not be done 43 7% Dont know/no opinion 62 8% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Investigating some of President Trumps campaign officials for alleged connections or contacts with the Russian government during the 2016 elections A top priority % An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 370 9% Should not be done 376 9% Dont know/no opinion 75 9% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reforming entitlement programs like Medicare and Social Security A top priority % An important, but lower priority 54 27% Not too important a priority 234 2% Should not be done 259 3% Dont know/no opinion 87 9% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill A top priority % An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 240 2% Should not be done 57 3% Dont know/no opinion 229 % Page 3
4 POL3_7 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to reform regulations on banks and nancial services companies A top priority % An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 379 9% Should not be done 97 5% Dont know/no opinion 239 2% POL3_8 POL3_9 POL3_10 POL3_11 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an immigration reform bill A top priority 76 38% An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 293 5% Should not be done 29 6% Dont know/no opinion 80 9% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Constructing a wall along the U.S. / Mexico border A top priority % An important, but lower priority 36 8% Not too important a priority 285 4% Should not be done % Dont know/no opinion 48 7% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill that grants young people who were brought to the United States illegally when they were children, often with their parents, protection from deportation A top priority % An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 265 3% Should not be done 279 4% Dont know/no opinion 84 9% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reducing the federal budget de cit A top priority % An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 7 9% Should not be done 53 3% Dont know/no opinion 70 9% Page 4
5 POL3_12 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing legislation placing additional regulations on gun ownership A top priority % An important, but lower priority % Not too important a priority 232 2% Should not be done 295 5% Dont know/no opinion 46 7% POL4_1 POL4_4 POL4_5 POL4_6 POL5 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? A shooting at a high school in Parkland, Florida that claimed 17 lives A lot % Some 3 8 6% Not much 69 3% Nothing at all 80 4% How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Jared Kushners security clearance being reduced to the level of secret, down from the level of top-secret A lot % Some % Not much 343 7% Nothing at all % How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Hope Hicks leaving her job as White House communications director A lot % Some % Not much 379 9% Nothing at all % How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? President Trump announcing that the United States will impose a 25% tariff on steel imports and a 10% tariff on aluminum imports A lot % Some % Not much 366 8% Nothing at all 355 8% Based on what you know, do you support or oppose a bill of widespread changes to the tax system signed in to law by President Trump? Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 272 4% Strongly oppose 44 22% Dont Know/No Opinion 373 9% Page 5
6 POL6 Have you noticed an increase in your paycheck amount in the past several weeks as a result of the tax law? Yes % No % Dont Know/No Opinion % POL7 POL8 POL9 POL10_1 POL10_4 And does this increase in your take-home pay make you more or less likely to support the tax bill that was recently signed in to law by President Trump? (N=544) Much more likely to support % Somewhat more likely to support 37 25% No more nor less likely to support 09 20% Somewhat less likely to support 23 4% Much less likely to support 28 5% Dont Know/No Opinion 2 4% Do you, or does anyone in your household, own a gun of any kind? Yes % No % Do you support or oppose stricter gun control laws in the United States? Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 2 6 % Strongly oppose 263 3% Dont Know/No Opinion 20 6% How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? Democrats in Congress A lot 26 3% Some % Not much 40 20% Not at all % Dont Know/No Opinion 209 0% How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? Republicans in Congress A lot % Some 378 9% Not much 273 4% Not at all % Dont Know/No Opinion 79 9% Page 6
7 POL10_5 How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? President Trump A lot % Some 3 7 6% Not much 277 4% Not at all 84 42% Dont Know/No Opinion 6 8% POL10_6 POL10_7 POL10_8 POL10_9 How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? The National Ri e Association (NRA) A lot % Some 322 6% Not much 2 3 % Not at all % Dont Know/No Opinion 45 7% How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? Illegal gun dealers A lot 27 57% Some % Not much 52 8% Not at all 32 7% Dont Know/No Opinion 8 6% How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? Legal gun dealers A lot % Some % Not much 378 9% Not at all % Dont Know/No Opinion 23 6% How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? Mental illness (N=1,017) A lot % Some % Not much 95 9% Not at all 50 5% Dont Know/No Opinion 64 6% Page 7
8 POL10_10 How much do you blame each of the following for mass shootings in the United States? Lack of access to treatment for mental illness (N=976) A lot % Some % Not much 79 8% Not at all 43 4% Dont Know/No Opinion 53 5% POL11_1 POL11_4 POL11_5 POL11_6 support or oppose each of the following? Requiring background checks on all gun sales (N=1,011) Strongly support % Somewhat support 25 2% Somewhat oppose 28 3% Strongly oppose 24 2% Dont Know/No Opinion 50 5% support or oppose each of the following? Barring gun purchases by people on the federal no- y or watch lists (N=1,041) Strongly support % Somewhat support 67 6% Somewhat oppose 52 5% Strongly oppose 29 3% Dont Know/No Opinion 94 9% support or oppose each of the following? Creating a national database with information about each gun sale (N=1,093) Strongly support % Somewhat support 2 0 9% Somewhat oppose 86 8% Strongly oppose 72 7% Dont Know/No Opinion 93 8% support or oppose each of the following? Banning assault-style weapons (N=1,078) Strongly support % Somewhat support 32 2% Somewhat oppose 06 0% Strongly oppose 50 4% Dont Know/No Opinion 82 8% Page 8
9 POL11_7 support or oppose each of the following? Banning high-capacity ammunition magazines (N=1,007) Strongly support % Somewhat support 59 6% Somewhat oppose 5 % Strongly oppose 96 0% Dont Know/No Opinion 82 8% POL11_8 POL11_9 POL11_10 support or oppose each of the following? Preventing sales of all rearms to people who have been reported as dangerous to law enforcement by a mental health provider (N=1,031) Strongly support % Somewhat support 5 % Somewhat oppose 45 4% Strongly oppose 20 2% Dont Know/No Opinion 58 6% support or oppose each of the following? Making private gun sales and sales at gun shows subject to background checks (N=1,032) Strongly support 69 67% Somewhat support 82 8% Somewhat oppose 47 5% Strongly oppose 47 5% Dont Know/No Opinion 65 6% support or oppose each of the following? Making it easier for people to buy gun silencers, also known as suppressors, which reduces the amount of noise generated by ring (N=1,047) Strongly support 27 2% Somewhat support 9 9% Somewhat oppose 59 5% Strongly oppose % Dont Know/No Opinion 7 % Page 9
10 POL11_11 support or oppose each of the following? Banning the use of bump re stocks, which is a gun accessory that allows a shooter to re hundreds of rounds per minute (N=1,036) Strongly support % Somewhat support 69 6% Somewhat oppose 69 7% Strongly oppose 69 7% Dont Know/No Opinion 78 8% POL11_12 POL11_13 POL11_14 POL11_15 support or oppose each of the following? Requiring that all gun buyers demonstrate a genuine need for a gun, such as a law enforcement job or hunting (N=1,111) Strongly support 33 30% Somewhat support 205 8% Somewhat oppose 79 6% Strongly oppose % Dont Know/No Opinion 08 0% support or oppose each of the following? Requiring a mandatory waiting period of three days after a gun is purchased before it can be taken home (N=1,032) Strongly support % Somewhat support 97 9% Somewhat oppose 83 8% Strongly oppose 58 6% Dont Know/No Opinion 9 9% support or oppose each of the following? Preventing sales of all rearms to people who have been convicted of violent misdemeanors (N=1,050) Strongly support % Somewhat support 68 6% Somewhat oppose 68 6% Strongly oppose 39 4% Dont Know/No Opinion 65 6% support or oppose each of the following? Requiring that all gun owners store their guns in a safe storage unit (N=1,055) Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 87 8% Strongly oppose 94 9% Dont Know/No Opinion 98 9% Page 10
11 POL11_16 support or oppose each of the following? Banning rearms from all workplace settings nationally (N=1,053) Strongly support % Somewhat support 78 7% Somewhat oppose 89 8% Strongly oppose 20 9% Dont Know/No Opinion 26 2% POL11_17 POL11_18 POL11_19 POL11_20 support or oppose each of the following? Banning rearms from schools and college campuses nationally (N=1,061) Strongly support 54 5 % Somewhat support 45 4% Somewhat oppose 45 4% Strongly oppose 28 2% Dont Know/No Opinion 02 0% support or oppose each of the following? Expanding screening and treatment for the mentally ill (N=1,001) Strongly support % Somewhat support 89 9% Somewhat oppose 46 5% Strongly oppose 2 2% Dont Know/No Opinion 56 6% support or oppose each of the following? Limiting the number of guns that can be purchased to one per month (N=1,095) Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 6 % Strongly oppose 38 3% Dont Know/No Opinion 33 2% support or oppose each of the following? Limiting the amount of ammunition you can purchase within a given period of time (N=1,026) Strongly support 49 48% Somewhat support 85 8% Somewhat oppose 33 3% Strongly oppose 43 4% Dont Know/No Opinion 74 7% Page 11
12 POL11_21 support or oppose each of the following? Requiring that all students receive mental health screening in schools (N=1,003) Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 59 6% Strongly oppose 4 % Dont Know/No Opinion 96 0% POL11_22 POL11_23 POL12 support or oppose each of the following? Requiring a person to be 21 in order to purchase a gun (N=1,046) Strongly support % Somewhat support 78 7% Somewhat oppose 9 9% Strongly oppose 85 8% Dont Know/No Opinion 7 7% support or oppose each of the following? Requiring a person to be 21 in order to purchase an assault-style weapon (N=1,015) Strongly support % Somewhat support 38 4% Somewhat oppose 78 8% Strongly oppose 60 6% Dont Know/No Opinion 69 7% Do you think that President Donald Trumps administration is running Very well 372 9% Somewhat well % Somewhat chaotically 3 4 6% Very chaotically % Dont Know/No Opinion 5 8% Page 12
13 POL13 As you may know, President Trumps son-in-law and senior adviser Jared Kushners security clearance was recently reduced to the level of secret, down from the level of top-secret, limiting his ability to view highly classi ed information. Kushners security clearance was downgraded alongside other White House aides whose background checks were incomplete. Based on what you know, which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? White House aides who have not completed the 70 9% background check process should be able to view highly classi ed information White House aides who have not completed the % background check process should not be able to view highly classi ed information Dont Know/No Opinion 294 5% POL14 POL15 POL16 POL17 If you knew the following, please indicate if it would make you more or less likely to support a moderate increase of the gasoline tax in order to improve the countrys transportation infrastructure, such as roads and bridges. The federal tax on gasoline is 18.4 cents per gallon. The average state tax on gasoline is 28 cents per gallon. Much more likely 95 0% Somewhat more likely % Somewhat less likely 284 4% Much less likely % No difference either way 297 5% Dont Know/No Opinion 363 8% If the election for President was held today, which of the following candidates are you more likely to vote for? Democratic candidate % Donald Trump % Dont Know/No Opinion 385 9% If the election for President was held today, which of the following candidates are you more likely to vote for? Democratic candidate % Republican candidate that is not Donald Trump % Dont Know/No Opinion 6 3 % Which of the following comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Government should pursue more free-trade agreements % to open additional markets to American-made goods and services. Government should pursue tariffs and other barriers % against competing products from other countries. Dont Know/No Opinion % Page 13
14 POL18 As you may know, President Trump recently announced that the United States will impose a 25% tariff on steel imports and a 10% tariff on aluminum imports. Based on what you know, do you support or oppose raising tariffs on aluminum and steel? Strongly support 3 9 6% Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 343 7% Strongly oppose 358 8% Dont Know/No Opinion % POL19 POL20_1 POL20_4 POL20_5 And based on what you know, do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will make those materials more expensive, less expensive, or not make much of a difference either way for U.S. businesses? More expensive 04 52% Less expensive 40 7% Not much difference either way 368 8% Dont Know/No Opinion % Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? The U.S. economy Strongly help 3 6% Somewhat help % Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 259 3% Dont Know/No Opinion % Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? Foreign economies Strongly help 60 8% Somewhat help 240 2% Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 246 2% Dont Know/No Opinion % Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? U.S. manufacturing businesses Strongly help 330 7% Somewhat help % Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 265 3% Dont Know/No Opinion 43 22% Page 14
15 POL20_6 Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? Foreign businesses Strongly help 6 8% Somewhat help 258 3% Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 267 3% Dont Know/No Opinion % POL20_7 POL20_8 POL20_9 POL20_10 Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? U.S. consumers Strongly help 237 2% Somewhat help 378 9% Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 358 8% Dont Know/No Opinion % Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? The upper class in the U.S. Strongly help % Somewhat help % Somewhat hurt 287 4% Strongly hurt 82 4% Dont Know/No Opinion % Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? The middle class in the U.S. Strongly help 22 % Somewhat help % Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 29 5% Dont Know/No Opinion % Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? The lower class in the U.S. Strongly help 2 7 % Somewhat help 320 6% Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 4 2 % Dont Know/No Opinion % Page 15
16 POL20_11 Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? U.S. businesses that rely on these materials, but do not manufacture them Strongly help 2 7 % Somewhat help 333 7% Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt % Dont Know/No Opinion 45 23% POL20_12 indpresapp_4 indpresapp_5 indpresapp_6 indpresapp_7 indpresapp_8 Do you think that raising tariffs on aluminum and steel imports will help or hurt the following? U.S. job creation Strongly help 329 7% Somewhat help % Somewhat hurt % Strongly hurt 225 % Dont Know/No Opinion % Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. : Mitch McConnell Favorability for: Paul Ryan Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Favorability for: Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Favorability for: Charles Schumer Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Favorability for: Mike Pence Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 358 8% Page 16
17 indpresapp_9 Favorability for: Donald Trump Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 09 5% indpresapp_10 indpresapp_11 indpresapp_12 indpresapp_13 indpresapp_14 indpresapp_15 indpresapp_16 indpresapp_17 Favorability for: Republicans in Congress Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 254 3% Favorability for: Democrats in Congress Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 242 2% Favorability for: Melania Trump Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 372 9% Favorability for: Ivanka Trump Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 340 7% Favorability for: Jared Kushner Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 69 35% Favorability for: Steve Bannon Total Favorable 3 6 6% Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Favorability for: Hope Hicks Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Favorability for: Gary Cohn Total Favorable 280 4% Total Unfavorable 44 22% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Page 17
18 indpresapp_18 Favorability for: Kellyanne Conway Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % indpresapp_19 indpresapp_20 Favorability for: Jeff Sessions Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of % Favorability for: Robert Mueller Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 74 37% indpresapp_21 Favorability for: Oprah Winfrey Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 252 3% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 18
19 National Tracking Poll #180303, March, 2018 Respondent Demographics Summary Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemall Registered Voters % xdemgender Gender: Male % Gender: Female % age5 Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) % PID: Ind (no lean) % PID: Rep (no lean) % xpidgender PID/Gender: Dem Men 348 7% PID/Gender: Dem Women % PID/Gender: Ind Men 283 4% PID/Gender: Ind Women 322 6% PID/Gender: Rep Men 298 5% PID/Gender: Rep Women 330 7% xdemideo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) % Ideo: Moderate (4) % Ideo: Conservative (5-7) % N 822 xeduc3 Educ: < College % Educ: Bachelors degree % Educ: Post-grad 240 2% xdeminc3 Income: Under 50k % Income: 50k-100k % Income: 100k % xdemwhite Ethnicity: White % xdemhispbin Ethnicity: Hispanic 78 9% Continued on next page Page 19
20 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Demographic Group Frequency Percentage demblackbin Ethnicity: Afr. Am % demraceother Ethnicity: Other 4 6% xrelnet Relig: Protestant % Relig: Roman Catholic % Relig: Ath./Agn./None % Relig: Something Else 3 0 6% N 774 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 62 3% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical % Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics % N 56 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 56 58% Relig: All Non-Christian % N 992 xdemusr Community: Urban % Community: Suburban % Community: Rural 60 30% xdememploy Employ: Private Sector % Employ: Government 35 7% Employ: Self-Employed 69 8% Employ: Homemaker 55 8% Employ: Student 76 4% Employ: Retired 48 24% Employ: Unemployed 28 6% Employ: Other 7 9% xdemmilhh1 Military HH: Yes 365 8% Military HH: No % xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction % RD/WT: Wrong Track 95 60% Continued on next page Page 20
21 National Tracking Poll #180303, March, 2018 Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage Q172 Strongly Approve % Somewhat Approve % Somewhat Disapprove 263 3% Strongly Disapprove % Don t Know / No Opinion 85 4% xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 55 28% #1 Issue: Security 359 8% #1 Issue: Health Care 350 8% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 326 6% #1 Issue: Women s Issues 86 4% #1 Issue: Education 47 7% #1 Issue: Energy 75 4% #1 Issue: Other 99 5% xsubvote16o 2016 Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton % 2016 Vote: Republican Donald Trump % 2016 Vote: Someone else 56 8% N 649 xsubvote12o 2012 Vote: Barack Obama % 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney % 2012 Vote: Other 80 4% 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote % N 99 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 364 8% 4-Region: Midwest % 4-Region: South % 4-Region: West % Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 21
22 Morning Consult Page 22
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