MCLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL OMNIBUS August 28, 2017

Transcription

1 MCLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL OMNIBUS August 28, WHEN THERE IS A GENERAL ELECTION FOR U.S. SENATE AND CONGRESS, DO YOU ALWAYS VOTE, ALMOST ALWAYS VOTE, VOTE MOST OF THE TIME, HARDLY EVER VOTE, OR NEVER VOTE? ALWAYS/ALMOST ALWAYS 86.9 Always Vote 63.0 Almost Always Vote 23.8 VOTE MOST OF THE TIME FOR THE 2018 NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION FOR CONGRESS, HOW LIKELY WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE TO VOTE? DEFINITELY VOTING 72.3 VERY LIKELY 21.0 SOMEWHAT LIKELY GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU SAY THINGS IN THE UNITED STATES ARE GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION, OR HAVE THEY GOTTEN OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? RIGHT DIRECTION 37.8 WRONG TRACK 55.8 DON'T KNOW 6.3 Net Diff GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU LIKE THE PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP, AND CONGRESS TO? 1. CONTINUE THE POLICIES OF PRESIDENT OBAMA, OR 2. CHANGE DIRECTION AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE POLICIES OF PRESIDENT OBAMA CONTINUE OBAMA POLS CHANGE DIRECTION 47.6 DON'T KNOW 8.6 Net Diff. -3.8

2 5. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE JOB DONALD TRUMP IS DOING AS PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES? APPROVE 47.9 Strongly 25.6 Somewhat 22.4 DISAPPROVE 50.4 Somewhat 13.2 Strongly 37.2 DON'T KNOW 1.7 Net Diff Mean DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF DONALD TRUMP? FAVORABLE 46.2 Very 26.5 Somewhat 19.7 UNFAVORABLE 50.6 Somewhat 14.3 Very 36.3 NO OPINION 3.2 Net Diff Mean IF THE ELECTION FOR U.S. CONGRESS IN YOUR DISTRICT WERE HELD TODAY, WOULD YOU BE MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE OR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE? REPUBLICAN 44.2 Definitely 26.5 Probably 10.8 Lean 7.0 DEMOCRATIC 44.2 Definitely 27.3 Probably 10.7 Lean 6.2 UNDECIDED 11.6 Net Diff IN THIS PAST NOVEMBER ELECTION FOR PRESIDENT, FOR WHOM DID YOU VOTE? DONALD TRUMP 45.5 HILLARY CLINTON 39.9 OTHER 9.6 Gary Johnson 3.6 Jill Stein 2.2 Evan McMullin 1.0 Other Candidate 2.8 DID NOT VOTE 2.9 Not Vote/President 1.4 Not Vote at All 1.6 DK/REFUSED 2.0

3 9. ALL OTHER THINGS BEING EQUAL, ARE YOU MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR A CANDIDATE FOR CONGRESS AND THE SENATE WHO IS? 1. A CANDIDATE WHO HAS HAD A LONG CAREER IN ELECTED OFFICE AND IS RUNNING ON A RECORD OF EXPERIENCE AND GETTING THINGS DONE IN WASHINGTON D.C. OR, 2. A CANDIDATE WHO IS A POLITICAL OUTSIDER AND WILL BRING FRESH THINKING AND A NEW APPROACH TO REFORM WASHINGTON D.C. CAREER POLITICIAN 41.5 POLITICAL OUTSIDER 45.5 UNSURE 13.0 Net Diff FROM THE FOLLOWING LIST, WHICH SHOULD BE THE TOP PRIORITY OF PRESIDENT TRUMP AND THE NEW CONGRESS? ECONOMIC 42.1 Creating Jobs 27.9 Reducing Taxes 14.2 SECURITY 37.5 Nat'l Sec./Terror 24.1 Stop/MidEast Refugees 6.5 Tear up Iran Nuke Deal 3.8 Building the Wall 3.2 REPEAL/REPLACE OBAMACARE 15.1 DK/REFUSED FROM THE FOLLOWING LIST, WHICH ISSUE WAS PERSONALLY MOST IMPORTANT TO YOU IN DECIDING YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT? ECONOMIC 36.7 Improving the Economy 13.7 Jobs/Unemployment 8.4 Wasteful Gov't Spending 6.6 Reduce Budget/Deficit 5.6 Hold Line/Taxes 2.4 SOCIAL 28.5 Protect Medicare 12.6 Reform Healthcare 10.1 Improving Education 5.8 SECURITY 18.7 Nat'l Sec./Terrorism 9.2 Defeat/Destroy ISIS 5.2 Fix Immigration 4.3 HONESTY/INTEGRITY/D.C DK/REFUSED 3.6

4 12. WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING BEST DESCRIBES YOUR PERSONAL OPINION ON THE ECONOMY IN THE UNITED STATES RIGHT NOW? 1. THE ECONOMY IS NOT IN A RECESSION, AND IS GETTING BETTER 2. THE ECONOMY IS NOT IN A RECESSION, BUT IS GETTING WORSE 3. THE ECONOMY IS IN A RECESSION, BUT GETTING BETTER 4. THE ECONOMY IS IN A RECESSION, AND GETTING WORSE NOT RECESSION 60.5 Getting Better 34.0 Getting Worse 26.4 RECESSION 28.5 Getting Better 17.2 Getting Worse 11.3 DK/REFUSED 11.0 Net Diff WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING BEST DESCRIBES YOUR PERSONAL OPINION ON THE ECONOMY IN THE UNITED STATES RIGHT NOW? 1. THE ECONOMY IS NOT IN A RECESSION, AND IS GETTING BETTER 2. THE ECONOMY IS NOT IN A RECESSION, BUT IS GETTING WORSE 3. THE ECONOMY IS IN A RECESSION, BUT GETTING BETTER 4. THE ECONOMY IS IN A RECESSION, AND GETTING WORSE GETTING BETTER 51.2 GETTING WORSE 37.8 DK/REFUSED 11.0 Net Diff WOULD YOU SAY YOU MOST FAVOR A SMALLER GOVERNMENT WITH FEWER SERVICES, OR A LARGER GOVERNMENT WITH MANY SERVICES? SMALLER GOV'T 52.9 LARGER GOV'T 31.6 DON'T KNOW 15.5 Net Diff DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF REPEALING AND REPLACING THE PATIENT PROTECTION AND AFFORDABLE CARE ACT, ALSO KNOWN AS OBAMACARE? APPROVE 56.1 Strongly 38.2 Somewhat 17.9 DISAPPROVE 39.0 Somewhat 13.0 Strongly 26.0 DON'T KNOW 4.8 Net Diff Mean 2.72

5 15. IF YOU KNEW EACH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS ABOUT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS WERE TRUE, WOULD EACH MAKE YOU MORE "REFUSES TO REPEAL OBAMACARE MANDATES AND TAXES TO REDUCE THE COST OF HEALTH CARE." MORE LIKELY 35.9 Much 20.4 Somewhat 15.5 LESS LIKELY 49.6 Somewhat 13.1 Much 36.4 NO DIFFERENCE 7.6 DK/REFUSED 7.0 Net Diff Mean IF YOU KNEW EACH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS ABOUT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS WERE TRUE, WOULD EACH MAKE YOU MORE "HAS INCREASED THE DEBT CEILING TO SPEND MORE MONEY THE GOVERNMENT DOESN T HAVE, WITHOUT ANY NEW CONSTRAINTS ON FUTURE SPENDING." MORE LIKELY 22.9 Much 11.6 Somewhat 11.3 LESS LIKELY 62.0 Somewhat 17.5 Much 44.5 NO DIFFERENCE 9.2 DK/REFUSED 5.9 Net Diff Mean IF YOU KNEW EACH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS ABOUT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS WERE TRUE, WOULD EACH MAKE YOU MORE "VOTED TO CONTINUE GOVERNMENT SPENDING INCLUDING FUNDING PLANNED PARENTHOOD ABORTIONS, WITHOUT BUILDING THE BORDER WALL ON THE MEXICAN BORDER, DEFUNDING NATIONAL PUBLIC RADIO OR TRYING AGAIN TO REPEAL OBAMACARE." MORE LIKELY 38.8 Much 22.3 Somewhat 16.5 LESS LIKELY 47.4 Somewhat 13.8 Much 33.6 NO DIFFERENCE 8.8 DK/REFUSED 5.1 Net Diff Mean 1.79

6 18. IF YOU KNEW EACH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS ABOUT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS WERE TRUE, WOULD EACH MAKE YOU MORE "IS BAILING OUT THE HEALTH INSURANCE COMPANIES WITHOUT REPEALING OBAMACARE." MORE LIKELY 28.9 Much 14.1 Somewhat 14.9 LESS LIKELY 52.8 Somewhat 14.5 Much 38.3 NO DIFFERENCE 10.5 DK/REFUSED 7.7 Net Diff Mean IF YOU KNEW EACH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS ABOUT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS WERE TRUE, WOULD EACH MAKE YOU MORE "FAILED TO INVESTIGATE PRESIDENT OBAMA AND SECRETARY CLINTON S WELL DOCUMENTED COLLUSION WITH THE RUSSIANS." MORE LIKELY 26.9 Much 16.9 Somewhat 10.0 LESS LIKELY 46.8 Somewhat 16.1 Much 30.7 NO DIFFERENCE 18.2 DK/REFUSED 8.0 Net Diff Mean IF YOU KNEW EACH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS ABOUT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS WERE TRUE, WOULD EACH MAKE YOU MORE "FAILED TO SUPPORT PRESIDENT TRUMP S MORE CAREFUL VETTING OF IMMIGRANTS IN ORDER TO PROTECT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE, ESPECIALLY AGAINST IMMIGRANTS FROM AREAS WITH A STRONG TERRORIST PRESENCE." MORE LIKELY 37.6 Much 19.9 Somewhat 17.8 LESS LIKELY 46.1 Somewhat 13.1 Much 33.0 NO DIFFERENCE 9.8 DK/REFUSED 6.5 Net Diff Mean 1.77

7 21. IF YOU KNEW EACH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS ABOUT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS WERE TRUE, WOULD EACH MAKE YOU MORE "FAILED TO STOP THE OBAMA POLICY OF NOT ONLY RECRUITING TRANSGENDER PERSONS TO THE U.S. MILITARY, BUT PAYING FOR HORMONE TREATMENTS AND FULL SEX CHANGE SURGERIES, PLUS SALARY AND BENEFITS WHILE THEY ARE IN TRANSITION AND UNABLE TO SERVE." MORE LIKELY 28.4 Much 16.3 Somewhat 12.1 LESS LIKELY 51.9 Somewhat 16.1 Much 35.8 NO DIFFERENCE 12.5 DK/REFUSED 7.3 Net Diff Mean WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD MAKE YOU LEAST LIKELY VOTE TO RE-ELECT YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS IN THE NOVEMBER 2018 ELECTION FOR U.S. CONGRESS? 1. REFUSES TO REPEAL OBAMACARE MANDATES AND TAXES TO REDUCE THE COST OF HEALTH CARE. 2. HAS INCREASED THE DEBT CEILING TO SPEND MORE MONEY THE GOVERNMENT DOESN T HAVE, WITHOUT ANY NEW CONSTRAINTS ON FUTURE SPENDING. 3. VOTED TO CONTINUE GOVERNMENT SPENDING INCLUDING FUNDING PLANNED PARENTHOOD ABORTIONS, WITHOUT BUILDING THE BORDER WALL ON THE MEXICAN BORDER, DEFUNDING NATIONAL PUBLIC RADIO OR CUTTING TAXES TO CREATE JOBS. 4. IS BAILING OUT THE HEALTH INSURANCE COMPANIES WITHOUT REPEALING OBAMACARE. 5. FAILED TO INVESTIGATE PRESIDENT OBAMA AND SECRETARY CLINTON S WELL DOCUMENTED COLLUSION WITH THE RUSSIANS. 6. FAILED TO SUPPORT PRESIDENT TRUMP S MORE CAREFUL VETTING OF IMMIGRANTS IN ORDER TO PROTECT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE, ESPECIALLY AGAINST IMMIGRANTS FROM AREAS WITH A STRONG TERRORIST PRESENCE. 7. FAILED TO STOP THE OBAMA POLICY OF NOT ONLY RECRUITING TRANSGENDER PERSON TO THE U.S. MILITARY, BUT PAYING FOR HORMONE TREATMENTS AND FULL SEX CHANGE SURGERIES, PLUS SALARY AND BENEFITS WHILE THEY ARE IN TRANSITION AND UNABLE TO SERVE. INCREASED DEBT CEILING 24.8 REFUSES/REPEAL OBAMACARE 20.4 GOV'T SPENDING/NO WALL 11.2 BAILOUT HEALTH INS. COS. 8.6 NOT SUPPORT TRUMP/VETTING 8.4 TRANSGENDER/MILITARY 5.3 OBAMA/CLINTON/RUSSIA FAIL 4.9 UNSURE IS THE REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP HELPING DRAIN THE SWAMP OR SUPPORTING THE SWAMP THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP PROMISED TO DRAIN? HELPING DRAIN THE SWAMP 21.7 SUPPORTING THE SWAMP 49.0 UNSURE 29.2 Net Diff

8 24. IS IT TIME FOR NEW REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP IN CONGRESS WHICH WOULD MEAN REPLACING SENATE LEADER MITCH MCCONNELL AND SPEAKER PAUL RYAN? YES 62.6 NO 15.3 UNSURE 22.1 Net Diff IS FREEDOM OF SPEECH A FUNDAMENTAL RIGHT, OR SHOULD IT BE RESTRICTED IF IT OFFENDS SOME PEOPLE? FUNDAMENTAL RIGHT 84.9 RESTRICTED IF OFFENDS 9.3 UNSURE 5.8 Net Diff SINCE THE RIOT IN CHARLOTTESVILLE, WE ARE SEEING ACTIVISTS ASSERT THAT CONSERVATIVE SPEAKERS AND ORGANIZATIONS ARE LIKE WHITE SUPREMACISTS AND NEO-NAZIS HATERS AND, THEREFORE SHOULD NOT BE ALLOWED TO EXERCISE FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION. DO YOU BELIEVE THAT THE CONSTITUTION GUARANTEES THAT ALL AMERICANS ARE ENTITLED TO FREE SPEECH, OR THAT ONLY SOME OF US ARE? EVERYONE ENTITLED 85.3 ONLY SOME OF US 8.2 UNSURE 6.5 Net Diff DURING THE RECENT PROTESTS IN CHARLOTTESVILLE, THERE WERE LEFT-WING PROTESTERS FROM A GROUP CALLED ANTIFA. GIVEN THAT ANTIFA ADVOCATES VIOLENCE AS THE APPROPRIATE RESPONSE TO FREE SPEECH THEY DISAGREE WITH, DO YOU SUPPORT OR OPPOSE ANTIFA? SUPPORT 21.3 Strongly 10.2 Somewhat 11.1 OPPOSE 63.2 Somewhat 10.5 Strongly 52.7 DON'T KNOW 15.5 Net Diff Mean 1.75

9 28. THE LIBERAL, GEORGE SOROS FUNDED, SOUTHERN POVERTY LAW CENTER (SPLC) HAS CREATED A LIST OF ORGANIZATIONS IT CLAIMS USE HATE SPEECH, AND HAS PLACED MANY MAINSTREAM CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL NON-PROFIT ORGANIZATIONS ON THAT LIST, MIXING THEM IN WITH GENUINE DOMESTIC TERROR GROUPS LIKE THE KKK AND ARYAN BROTHERHOOD. RECENTLY, INTERNET COMPANIES LIKE PAYPAL, GOOGLE, FACEBOOK AND TWITTER HAVE STARTED COLLUDING WITH THE SPLC BY USING THEIR LIST AS AN EXCUSE TO SELECTIVELY CENSOR MAINSTREAM CONSERVATIVE THOUGHT. KNOWING THIS TO BE TRUE, DO YOU THINK THESE INTERNET COMPANIES SHOULD USE THIS LIST AS AN EXCUSE TO CENSOR OR SUPPRESS MAINSTREAM AND NON-VIOLENT CONSERVATIVE GROUPS BY DENYING THEM ACCESS TO THEIR SERVICES? YES 31.8 NO 42.8 UNSURE 25.4 Net Diff SHOULD PRESIDENT TRUMP EMPLOY SUBORDINATES WHO CAN BE SHOWN TO BE COLLUDING WITH GEORGE SOROS, BARACK OBAMA OR OTHERS ASSOCIATED WITH THEM TO UNDERMINE PRESIDENT TRUMP S ADMINISTRATION? YES 26.3 NO 48.5 UNSURE 25.2 Net Diff DO YOU FOLLOW DONALD TRUMP ON TWITTER, INSTAGRAM, AND/OR HAVE YOU LIKED HIS PAGE ON FACEBOOK, MEANING HIS POSTS SHOW UP ON YOUR NEWSFEED? FOLLOW/LIKE TRUMP 28.5 Follow on Twitter 17.8 Liked/Facebook Page 15.3 Follow on Instagram 8.2 NONE OF THE ABOVE FROM THE FOLLOWING LIST, WHAT SOCIAL NETWORKS DO YOU USE? FACEBOOK 81.6 TWITTER 39.1 INSTAGRAM 29.4 PINTEREST 28.2 GOOGLE LINKED-IN 21.6 SNAPCHAT 18.6 TUMBLR 8.2 REDDIT 7.9 WHATSAPP 6.9 MEERKAT 3.0 OTHER 2.3

10 32. THINKING ABOUT A POLITICAL PARTY, WOULD YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF A? REPUBLICAN 33.0 DEMOCRAT 36.0 INDEPENDENT/OTHER IF YOU WERE TO LABEL YOURSELF, WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE A LIBERAL, A MODERATE, OR A CONSERVATIVE IN YOUR POLITICAL BELIEFS? LIBERAL 26.2 Very 12.1 Somewhat 14.1 MODERATE 38.7 CONSERVATIVE 35.1 Somewhat 20.0 Very 15.1 Mean WHAT IS YOUR RELIGION? PROTESTANT 45.1 CATHOLIC 26.0 JEWISH 3.6 MUSLIM 1.0 MORMON 1.2 EASTERN/GREEK/ORTHO. 0.7 BUDDHIST 1.5 ATHEIST/AGNOSTIC 18.7 OTHER DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF AN EVANGELICAL OR BORN-AGAIN CHRISTIAN? (ASKED ONLY TO PROTESTANTS) Total Answering 451 YES 59.8 NO WHAT IS CURRENTLY YOUR MARITAL STATUS? SINGLE 34.7 Never Married 27.1 Live w/sig. Other 7.7 MARRIED 46.9 SEPARATED 1.5 DIVORCED 11.3 WIDOWED 5.6

11 37. HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE YOUR PRESENT EMPLOYMENT SITUATION A JOB IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR, A JOB WITH THE GOVERNMENT, SELF-EMPLOYED, HOMEMAKER, STUDENT, RETIRED OR NOT EMPLOYED? EMPLOYED 52.2 Private Sector 33.9 Government 6.6 Self-Employed 11.7 HOMEMAKER 8.1 STUDENT 4.4 RETIRED 24.5 NOT EMPLOYED WHAT IS YOUR ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME? UNDER $20k 16.7 $20-$40k 25.0 $40-$60k 21.0 $60-$100k 20.2 $100-$150k 10.7 $150-$200k 3.0 $200-$250k 1.8 OVER $250k 1.6 Mean ARE YOU OR IS ANY MEMBER OF YOUR IMMEDIATE FAMILY A VETERAN, A MEMBER OF THE ARMED FORCES ON ACTIVE DUTY, OR EMPLOYED IN A MILITARY-RELATED INDUSTRY? YES 29.2 Veteran 23.1 Active Duty 2.7 Military Rel. Empl. 1.8 More than One 1.7 NO/NONE FROM THE FOLLOWING LIST, WHAT IS THE LAST GRADE OF FORMAL EDUCATION YOU HAVE COMPLETED? LESS/COLLEGE GRAD 54.4 Less/H.S. Diploma 1.4 High School Grad Some College/Trade 33.6 COLLEGE GRADUATE 45.6 College Graduate 33.4 Post-Graduate Degree 12.2

12 41. WOULD YOU CONSIDER WHERE YOU LIVE TO BE A URBAN, SUBURBAN OR RURAL AREA? URBAN AREA 28.0 SUBURBAN AREA 50.2 RURAL AREA WOULD YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF? WEALTHY 2.8 MIDDLE CLASS 84.2 Upper Middle Class 10.9 Middle Class 46.1 Lower Middle Class 27.3 POOR OF ALL THE PERSONAL TELEPHONE CALLS THAT YOU RECEIVE, THAT IS CALLS NOT RELATED TO YOUR JOB, DO YOU? CELL PHONE 65.0 Only 50.1 Mostly 14.9 BOTH EQUALLY 20.9 LANDLINE PHONE 14.1 Mostly 10.7 Only WHAT TYPE OF DEVICE DID YOU USE TO COMPLETE THIS SURVEY? DESKTOP 32.2 LAPTOP 39.3 TABLET 8.1 MOBILE DEVICE/CELL-PHONE ARE YOU OR IS A MEMBER OF YOUR IMMEDIATE FAMILY FROM A LATINO, HISPANIC OR SPANISH SPEAKING BACKGROUND? YES 11.1 NO 88.9

13 46. WHAT IS YOUR MAIN RACIAL BACKGROUND? HISPANIC 11.1 AFRICAN AMERICAN 12.1 ASIAN 4.0 WHITE 71.0 OTHER WHAT IS YOUR AGE? ARE YOU BETWEEN OVER Mean GENDER: MALE 47.0 FEMALE REGION: NEW ENGLAND 5.1 MIDDLE ATLANTIC 12.4 EAST NORTH CENTRAL 16.0 WEST NORTH CENTRAL 7.6 SOUTH ATLANTIC 21.2 EAST SOUTH CENTRAL 5.9 WEST SOUTH CENTRAL 10.1 MOUNTAIN 7.2 PACIFIC AREA: EAST 17.5 MIDWEST 23.6 SOUTH 37.2 WEST 21.7