National Tracking Poll

Transcription

1 National Tracking Poll Project: N Size: 2094 Adults Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report September 12-14, 2017 GBF1 Compared to ve years ago, you think the world is becoming a more or less safe place to live? Much more safe 49 7% Somewhat more safe 84 9% Somewhat less safe % Much less safe % About the same 62 8% Don t Know / No Opinion 04 5% GBF2 GBF3 GBF4 How much do you think global instability / security concerns impact companies doing business globally? A lot % Some % Not much 238 % None at all 6 3% Don t Know / No Opinion 253 2% How important is a stable global security system for companies doing business globally? Very important 25 54% Somewhat important % Not too important 97 5% Not important at all 38 2% Dont Know / No opinion 249 2% Compared to ve years ago, would you say your personal nancial situation has improved, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Improved greatly 245 2% Somewhat improved % Stayed about the same % Gotten slightly worse 355 7% Gotten much worse 256 2% Dont know 96 5% Page 1

2 GBF5 In the past ve years, has your personal annual income increased, decreased, or stayed the same? (N=955) Increased % Decreased 97 2 % Stayed the same % GBF6_4 GBF6_5 GBF6_6 GBF6_7 situation? Free trade across borders (trade without taxes or tariffs) Strong positive impact 73 8% Somewhat of a positive impact 309 5% No impact at all 84 40% Somewhat of a negative impact 203 0% Strong negative impact 08 5% Dont know / No opinion 46 22% situation? Global trade Strong positive impact 75 8% Somewhat of a positive impact 3 7 5% No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 98 9% Strong negative impact 9 4% Dont know / No opinion % situation? Luck Strong positive impact 2 5 0% Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 39 7% Strong negative impact 77 4% Dont know / No opinion 343 6% situation? My education Strong positive impact 45 22% Somewhat of a positive impact 5 24% No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 46 7% Strong negative impact 65 3% Dont know / No opinion 244 2% Page 2

3 GBF6_8 situation? My prior work experience Strong positive impact % Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 3 5% Strong negative impact 57 3% Dont know / No opinion 247 2% GBF6_9 GBF6_10 GBF6_11 GBF6_12 situation? My specialized knowledge or skills Strong positive impact % Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 84 4% Strong negative impact 4 2% Dont know / No opinion 277 3% situation? My local or state business laws and regulations Strong positive impact 69 8% Somewhat of a positive impact 372 8% No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 283 4% Strong negative impact 5 5% Dont know / No opinion 367 8% situation? National business laws and regulations Strong positive impact 79 9% Somewhat of a positive impact 292 4% No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 254 2% Strong negative impact 05 5% Dont know / No opinion % situation? Government Strong positive impact 87 9% Somewhat of a positive impact 359 7% No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact % Strong negative impact 223 % Dont know / No opinion 299 4% Page 3

4 GBF6_13 situation? Business Strong positive impact 244 2% Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all % Somewhat of a negative impact 2 7 0% Strong negative impact 73 3% Dont know / No opinion 388 9% GBF7_4 GBF7_5 GBF7_6 GBF7_7 GBF7_8 Do you generally support or oppose the following? Automation Strongly support 294 4% Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 336 6% Strongly oppose 58 8% Dont know / No opinion % Do you generally support or oppose the following? Expansion of free trade across borders Strongly support 370 8% Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 353 7% Strongly oppose 77 8% Dont know / No opinion 48 23% Do you generally support or oppose the following? Current U.S. economic policies Strongly support 229 % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose 2 2 0% Dont know / No opinion % Do you generally support or oppose the following? Globalization Strongly support 32 5% Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 288 4% Strongly oppose 222 % Dont know / No opinion % Do you generally support or oppose the following? Immigration Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 390 9% Strongly oppose 337 6% Dont know / No opinion 279 3% Page 4

5 GBF8_4 In the United States, do you feel the following will help create jobs, eliminate jobs, or have no effect on jobs? Automation Will create a large number of jobs 98 9% Will create some jobs 347 7% Will have no effect on jobs 70 8% Will eliminate some jobs % Will eliminate a large number of jobs 3 6 5% Dont know / No opinion % GBF8_5 GBF8_6 GBF8_7 GBF8_8 In the United States, do you feel the following will help create jobs, eliminate jobs, or have no effect on jobs? Expansion of free trade across borders Will create a large number of jobs 26 2% Will create some jobs % Will have no effect on jobs 223 % Will eliminate some jobs 306 5% Will eliminate a large number of jobs 54 7% Dont know / No opinion % In the United States, do you feel the following will help create jobs, eliminate jobs, or have no effect on jobs? Government economic policies Will create a large number of jobs 24 2% Will create some jobs 56 27% Will have no effect on jobs 247 2% Will eliminate some jobs 372 8% Will eliminate a large number of jobs 67 8% Dont know / No opinion % In the United States, do you feel the following will help create jobs, eliminate jobs, or have no effect on jobs? Globalization Will create a large number of jobs 238 % Will create some jobs % Will have no effect on jobs 237 % Will eliminate some jobs 293 4% Will eliminate a large number of jobs 97 9% Dont know / No opinion % In the United States, do you feel the following will help create jobs, eliminate jobs, or have no effect on jobs? Immigration Will create a large number of jobs 253 2% Will create some jobs 404 9% Will have no effect on jobs 336 6% Will eliminate some jobs 407 9% Will eliminate a large number of jobs 325 6% Dont know / No opinion 368 8% Page 5

6 GBF8_9 In the United States, do you feel the following will help create jobs, eliminate jobs, or have no effect on jobs? Businesses Will create a large number of jobs 403 9% Will create some jobs 80 38% Will have no effect on jobs 2 4 0% Will eliminate some jobs 82 9% Will eliminate a large number of jobs 70 3% Dont know / No opinion % GBF9_4 GBF9_5 GBF9_6 GBF9_7 GBF9_8 And do you feel the following will lead to more income equality, less income equality, or have no effect on income equality? Automation Will lead to more income equality 385 8% Will have no effect on income equality % Will lead to less income equality % Dont know / No opinion 63 30% And do you feel the following will lead to more income equality, less income equality, or have no effect on income equality? Expansion of free trade across borders Will lead to more income equality % Will have no effect on income equality % Will lead to less income equality % Dont know / No opinion % And do you feel the following will lead to more income equality, less income equality, or have no effect on income equality? Government economic policies Will lead to more income equality % Will have no effect on income equality % Will lead to less income equality % Dont know / No opinion % And do you feel the following will lead to more income equality, less income equality, or have no effect on income equality? Globalization Will lead to more income equality % Will have no effect on income equality % Will lead to less income equality % Dont know / No opinion % And do you feel the following will lead to more income equality, less income equality, or have no effect on income equality? Immigration Will lead to more income equality 367 8% Will have no effect on income equality % Will lead to less income equality % Dont know / No opinion % Page 6

7 GBF9_9 And do you feel the following will lead to more income equality, less income equality, or have no effect on income equality? Businesses Will lead to more income equality % Will have no effect on income equality % Will lead to less income equality 362 7% Dont know / No opinion % GBF10_4 GBF10_5 GBF10_6 GBF10_7 Do you feel the following have had a positive, negative, or no impact at all on the United States economy? Automation Very positive impact 243 2% Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all 307 5% Somewhat of a negative impact 377 8% Very negative impact 224 % Dont know / No opinion % Do you feel the following have had a positive, negative, or no impact at all on the United States economy? Expansion of free trade across borders Very positive impact 29 4% Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all 223 % Somewhat of a negative impact 309 5% Very negative impact 80 9% Dont know / No opinion % Do you feel the following have had a positive, negative, or no impact at all on the United States economy? Government economic policies Very positive impact 2 2 0% Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all 26 2% Somewhat of a negative impact % Very negative impact 240 % Dont know / No opinion % Do you feel the following have had a positive, negative, or no impact at all on the United States economy? Globalization Very positive impact 236 % Somewhat of a positive impact % No impact at all 272 3% Somewhat of a negative impact 288 4% Very negative impact 2 9 0% Dont know / No opinion % Page 7

8 GBF10_8 Do you feel the following have had a positive, negative, or no impact at all on the United States economy? Immigration Very positive impact 283 4% Somewhat of a positive impact 372 8% No impact at all 279 3% Somewhat of a negative impact % Very negative impact 365 7% Dont know / No opinion 376 8% GBF11 GBF12 GBF13 GBF14_4 Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Free trade with other countries is good for the United % States because it opens new markets for U.S. businesses in todays global economy, Free trade with foreign countries is bad for America % because it has hurt manufacturing and other key industries and there is no proof more trade creates better jobs Don t Know / No Opinion % Thinking about the global economy, which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? When other major countries do well economically it % makes it easier for the US to do well When other major countries do well economically, it 408 9% makes it harder for the US to do well Don t Know / No Opinion 67 32% How important will China be to the future of the global economy? Very important % Somewhat important % Not too important 02 5% Not important at all 50 2% Don t Know / No Opinion 379 8% How much in uence would you say each of the following have on the WORLD ECONOMY? The United States A lot % Some % Not much 07 5% None at all 38 2% Don t Know / No Opinion 227 % Page 8

9 GBF14_5 How much in uence would you say each of the following have on the WORLD ECONOMY? China A lot 37 54% Some % Not much 09 5% None at all 59 3% Don t Know / No Opinion 270 3% GBF14_6 GBF15 GBF16_4 GBF16_5 GBF16_6 How much in uence would you say each of the following have on the WORLD ECONOMY? Businesses A lot 88 42% Some % Not much 27 6% None at all 36 2% Don t Know / No Opinion 307 5% When thinking about the WORLD ECONOMY, who would you say is most in charge of it? The United States % China % Businesses 3 3 5% Other (please specify) 44 2% Dont know / No opinion % When thinking about the following countries or regions, do you feel that they represent a threat or opportunity for the world economy? The United States Opportunity for the world economy % Threat to the world economy 98 9% Neither threat nor opportunity 283 3% Dont know / No opinion 370 8% When thinking about the following countries or regions, do you feel that they represent a threat or opportunity for the world economy? China Opportunity for the world economy % Threat to the world economy % Neither threat nor opportunity 269 3% Dont know / No opinion 43 2 % When thinking about the following countries or regions, do you feel that they represent a threat or opportunity for the world economy? The European Union Opportunity for the world economy % Threat to the world economy 309 5% Neither threat nor opportunity % Dont know / No opinion % Page 9

10 GBF16_7 When thinking about the following countries or regions, do you feel that they represent a threat or opportunity for the world economy? Russia Opportunity for the world economy 308 5% Threat to the world economy % Neither threat nor opportunity % Dont know / No opinion % GBF17 GBF18 GBF19 GBF20 GBF21 GBF22 Prior to taking this survey, were you aware of this information? Yes % No 70 33% Are tasks or jobs at your place of work in the process of being automated? (N=955) Yes 29 30% No % Dont know 83 9% Do you feel that YOUR job is at risk of being automated? (N=955) Yes 93 20% No % Dont know 78 8% Do you feel that EVERYONES jobs are at risk of being automated? Yes 78 37% No % Dont know 275 3% Approximately what percent of jobs in the UNITED STATES do you feel are at risk of being automated? All jobs 234 % Three quarters of jobs or more 287 4% Half of jobs or more % Less than half of jobs % No jobs 24 % Dont know / No opinion 272 3% Approximately what percent of jobs in the WORLD do you feel are at risk of being automated? All jobs 200 0% Three quarters of jobs or more 32 5% Half of jobs or more % Less than half of jobs % No jobs 24 % Dont know / No opinion 30 4% Page 10

11 GBF23_4 How much of a threat are each of the following to the U.S. economy? Automation Very serious threat % Somewhat serious threat % Not too much of a threat % No threat at all 3 5% Don t Know / No Opinion 347 7% GBF23_5 GBF23_6 GBF23_7 GBF23_8 GBF24 How much of a threat are each of the following to the U.S. economy? Income inequality Very serious threat 55 26% Somewhat serious threat % Not too much of a threat 404 9% No threat at all 56 7% Don t Know / No Opinion 355 7% How much of a threat are each of the following to the U.S. economy? Lack of competitive trade agreements Very serious threat % Somewhat serious threat % Not too much of a threat 282 3% No threat at all 86 4% Don t Know / No Opinion % How much of a threat are each of the following to the U.S. economy? Immigration Very serious threat % Somewhat serious threat % Not too much of a threat % No threat at all 267 3% Don t Know / No Opinion 332 6% How much of a threat are each of the following to the U.S. economy? Education of our workforce Very serious threat % Somewhat serious threat % Not too much of a threat 283 4% No threat at all 348 7% Don t Know / No Opinion 336 6% Which of the following do you consider to be the biggest threat to the U.S. economy? Automation 283 4% Income inequality 357 7% Lack of competitive trade agreements 322 5% Immigration % Education of our workforce 336 6% Don t Know / No Opinion 382 8% Page 11

12 GBF25 Which of the following industries do you feel is at the greatest risk? Energy 70 8% Manufacturing % Transportation 86 4% Healthcare 354 7% Agriculture 23 % Don t Know / No Opinion 398 9% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 12

13 National Tracking Poll #170908, September, 2017 Respondent Demographics Summary Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemall Adults % xdemgender Gender: Male % Gender: Female % age5 Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) % PID: Ind (no lean) % PID: Rep (no lean) 64 3 % xpidgender PID/Gender: Dem Men 3 8 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women 40 9% PID/Gender: Ind Men 39 9% PID/Gender: Ind Women 344 6% PID/Gender: Rep Men 299 4% PID/Gender: Rep Women 34 6% xdemtea Tea Party: Supporter % Tea Party: Not Supporter % N 2082 xdemideo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) % Ideo: Moderate (4) % Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 69 33% N 833 xeduc3 Educ: < College % Educ: Bachelors degree 396 9% Educ: Post-grad 208 0% xdeminc3 Income: Under 50k 22 58% Income: 50k-100k % Income: 100k+ 26 2% Continued on next page Page 13

14 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemwhite Ethnicity: White % xdemhispbin Ethnicity: Hispanic 3 3 5% demblackbin Ethnicity: Afr. Am % demraceother Ethnicity: Other 73 8% xrelnet Relig: Protestant % Relig: Roman Catholic % Relig: Ath./Agn./None % Relig: Something Else 288 4% N 805 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 50 2% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical % Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics % N 96 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 96 57% Relig: All Non-Christian % N 209 xdemusr Community: Urban % Community: Suburban % Community: Rural % xdememploy Employ: Private Sector % Employ: Government 30 6% Employ: Self-Employed 85 9% Employ: Homemaker 222 % Employ: Student 9 6% Employ: Retired % Employ: Unemployed 7 8% Employ: Other 205 0% xdemmilhh1 Military HH: Yes 368 8% Military HH: No % xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction % RD/WT: Wrong Track % Continued on next page Page 14

15 National Tracking Poll #170908, September, 2017 Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage Q172 Strongly Approve % Somewhat Approve % Somewhat Disapprove 28 3% Strongly Disapprove % Dont Know / No Opinion 57 8% xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy % #1 Issue: Security % #1 Issue: Health Care % #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 270 3% #1 Issue: Women s Issues 5% #1 Issue: Education 38 7% #1 Issue: Energy 94 4% #1 Issue: Other 09 5% xsubvote16o 2016 Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton % 2016 Vote: Republican Donald Trump 7 34% 2016 Vote: Someone else 96 9% N 563 xsubvote12o 2012 Vote: Barack Obama % 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney % 2012 Vote: Other 06 5% 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 63 30% N 2092 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 382 8% 4-Region: Midwest 45 22% 4-Region: South % 4-Region: West % Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 15

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