400 Likely Voters in Clark and Washoe Counties

Transcription

1 400 Likely Voters in Clark and Washoe Counties

2 The economy, health care, and Social Security/Medicare are the top issues on NV voters minds. Which ONE of the following issues is currently MOST important to you in deciding how to vote for U.S. Congress? Is it... Top Issue Priority Clark Washoe IND Generic Und Clinton Voters Health care The Economy and Jobs Social Security and Medicare Terrorism and National Security Education The Environment Limiting Size/Scope of Government Illegal Immigration Government Spending National Debt Don t Know/Refused Taxes 18% 15% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 4% 2% 21% 15% 15% 14% 29% 14% 17% 20% 20% 12% 14% 9% 8% 14% 14% 13% 8% 11% 11% 2% 10% 11% 7% 5% 17% 7% 12% 10% 13% 15% 5% 9% 10% 1% -- 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6% 6% 8% 8% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3%

3 NV voters approve of the job president Trump is doing on the economy and on national security but not on health care, education, and clean energy. Now, thinking about specific issues that have been in the news lately, please let me know if you approve or disapprove of the job President Donald Trump is doing on each specific issue. NV Trump Approval The Economy & Jobs 50% 45% +5 IND Generic Und Clinton voters National Security and Terrorism 49% 48% Health Care 32% 65% Education 35% 54% The Environment 35% 60% Clean Energy 35% % Approve Disapprove

4 NV voters overwhelmingly support the development and use of clean energy. Do you support or oppose taking action to accelerate the development and use of clean energy in the United States? Clean Energy Support Total Support Total Oppose 88% 8% Strgly Supp Supp Opp Strongly Support 68% Clark 67% 88% 9% Washoe 71% 89% 7% GOP 45% 78% 16% Somewhat Support 20% Don't Know/ Refused 3% Strongly Oppose 3% Somewhat Oppose 5% IND 65% 84% 11% Dem 87% 98% 1% Generic Undecided 63% 90% 7% Clinton Voters 87% 98% 0%

5 NV voters are more likely to vote for a candidate who believes who should reduce our dependency on foreign oil by investing in clean energy. Now I am going to read you several statements about clean energy that you might hear during the course of a political campaign in your district. After I read each one, please tell me if each statement makes you more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress, less likely to vote for a candidate for Congress or if it makes no difference in your vote one way or another. A Republican candidate for Congress who believes we should do more to invest in clean energy here in America and reduce our county s dependence on foreign oil from hostile states in the Middle East. Our ability to avoid future wars will depend on our ability to be energy dominant. Ranked by % Much More Likely 42% Clark Washoe IND UND Clinton Voters 77% 39% 47% 51% 45% 37% A Republican candidate for Congress that is willing to stand up to their own party in support of clean energy, putting the needs of their community first. A Republican candidate for Congress who supports accelerating the clean energy industry to bring more jobs into their district; stimulating the economy, boosting manufacturing, and expanding middle-class job opportunities at home. A Republican candidate for Congress who worked across the aisle with Democrats to pass clean energy legislation that will lead to more affordable energy bills and cleaner energy for the average American family. A Republican candidate for Congress who is a different kind of Republican who is willing to stand up to the special interest groups when it comes to making sure we have clean energy, clean air, and clean water. A Republican candidate for Congress who knows protecting the environment protects the health and safety of our families. Advancing clean energy will keep our air and water clean, while making or economy stronger. 40% 39% 38% 38% 35% Much More Likely 73% 36% 48% 45% 48% 42% 71% 36% 44% 40% 39% 37% 35% 43% 41% 37% 37% 74% 35% 43% 43% 39% 38% 69% 32% 41% 39% 36% 36% 68%

6 After messaging, Swing and GOP voters moved a net 12 points towards the generic Republican Candidate. Initial Generic Ballot by County 46% 50% 32% 32% 33% 38% 31% 29% NET NV Combined Clark Washoe Ind Post Generic Ballot by County % 41% 28% 30% 49% 47% 23% 12% NV Combined Clark Washoe Ind Republican Democratic

7 Profile of Ballot Movement Away from DEM and UND: Total Movers Away 28% from DEM and UND DEM > GOP DEM > UND UND > GOP 6% 13% 9%

8 How Clean Energy moves voters to GOP and away from DEM. NV Top Groups of Voters Who Moved to GOP Soft Democrat +74 Age Somewhat Liberal +57 Unemployed +57 Soft Democrat Age Women Independent Women +50 Somewhat Likely to Vote +50 Hispanic +49 Liberal +48 Total +12

9 Appendix

10 In Nevada a majority disapproves of the job President Trump is doing. And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? NV Trump Job Approval Somewhat Disapprove 8% Total Approve Total Disapprove Somewhat Approve 15% 41% 57% Strongly Approve 26% App Dis Clark 41% 56% Washoe 42% 57% GOP 92% 7% IND 43% 54% Don't Know/ Refused 2% Dem 8% 91% Generic Undecided 44% 51% Strongly Disapprove 48%

11 A majority of NV voters believe the country is on the wrong track. Would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off the wrong track? National Mood Right Direction 32% RD WT Clark 29% 64% Washoe 36% 59% GOP 74% 21% IND 32% 59% Dem 6% 92% No Opinion/ Refused 7% Wrong Track 63%

12 Before messaging, NV voters prefer a generic Democrat by a 14-point margin. Thinking ahead to the November 2018 election, if the elections for U.S. Congress were being held today, for whom would you vote the Republican candidate, or the Democratic candidate from this district? Total GOP 32% Total Dem 46% Probably Democratic 12% Probably Republican 10% Generic Ballot Definitely Republican 22% GOP DEM Und Clark 32% 50% 16% Washoe 33% 38% 29% Definitely Democratic 33% Lean/ Undecided/ Refused 22%