Marquette Law School Poll September 15-18, Results for all items among Likely Voters

Transcription

1 Marquette Law School Poll September 15-18, 2016 (Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Values ending in.5 here may round up or down if they are slightly above.5 or slightly below. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.) Results for all survey items among all registered voters are presented here. Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row NA s includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the Valid and Cumulative percent columns. Results for all items among Likely Voters S2. Record Gender Male Female S3a. Do you currently live in Wisconsin? Yes S4. Do you currently live within Milwaukee city limits? Yes No NA s

2 S5. Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or ward where you now live, or aren t you? Yes, registered to vote No, not registered to vote Don t Know/Refused S6. Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? Plan to Register NA s Q1. Some people seem to follow what s going on in politics most of the time, whether there s an election going on or not. Others aren t that interested. Would you say you follow what s going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all? Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all Don t know Q2. What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2016 general election for President, Congress, and other offices are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don t you think you will vote? Absolutely certain Q3. Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don t know

3 Q4. Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Get better Get worse Stay the same Don t know Refused Q5. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Approve Disapprove Don t know Refused Q6. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin? Approve Disapprove Don t know Refused Q7. Barack Obama: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama or haven t you heard enough about him yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused

4 Q8. Ron Johnson: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Johnson or haven t you heard enough about him yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Q9. Russ Feingold: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Russ Feingold or haven t you heard enough about him yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Q10. Scott Walker: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Walker or haven t you heard enough about him yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Q11. Donald Trump: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump or haven t you heard enough about him yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused

5 Q12. Hillary Clinton: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton or haven t you heard enough about her yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Q13. Gary Johnson: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Johnson or haven t you heard enough about him yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Q14. Jill Stein: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jill Stein or haven t you heard enough about her yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Q15. Tammy Baldwin: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tammy Baldwin or haven t you heard enough about her yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know

6 Q16. Paul Ryan: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan or haven t you heard enough about him yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Q17. The Tea Party: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party or haven t you heard enough about it yet? Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Q18. If the election for U.S. Senator were being held today and the candidates were Ron Johnson the Republican and Russ Feingold the Democrat, for whom would you vote? Russ Feingold Ron Johnson Neither (VOL) Wouldn t vote (VOL) Don t know Refused

7 Q19. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson (VOL) Jill Stein (VOL) Neither (VOL) Wouldn t vote (VOL) Don t know Refused Q20. If the election for U.S. Senator were being held today and the candidates were Russ Feingold the Democrat and Ron Johnson the Republican and Phil Anderson the Libertarian, for whom would you vote? Russ Feingold Ron Johnson Phil Anderson None of these Wouldn t vote Don t know Refused Q20. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian and Jill Stein the Green Party, for whom would you vote? Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein None of these Wouldn t vote Don t know Refused

8 Q22a. Thinking about some of the candidates for president, how comfortable are you with the idea of Hillary Clinton as president? Are you very comfortable, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or very uncomfortable? Very comfortable Somewhat comfortable Somewhat uncomfortable Very uncomfortable Don t know Q22b. Thinking about some of the candidates for president, how comfortable are you with the idea of Donald Trump as president? Are you very comfortable, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or very uncomfortable? Very comfortable Somewhat comfortable Somewhat uncomfortable Very uncomfortable Don t know Refused Q23. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Russ Feingold, or not... he is someone who cares about people like me. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused Q24. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Ron Johnson, or not... he is someone who cares about people like me. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused

9 Q25. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Hillary Clinton, or not...she is someone who cares about people like me. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused Q26. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Donald Trump, or not...he is someone who cares about people like me. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused Q27. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Hillary Clinton, or not...she is someone who is honest. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused Q28. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Donald Trump, or not...he is someone who is honest. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused

10 Q29. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Hillary Clinton, or not... she has the qualifications to be president. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused Q30. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Donald Trump, or not... he has the qualifications to be president. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused Q31. Which comes closest to your view about undocumented immigrants who are currently working in the U.S.? They should be allowed to stay in their jobs and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. OR, They should be allowed to stay in their jobs only as temporary guest workers, but not to apply for U.S. citizenship. OR, They should be required to leave their jobs and leave the U.S. Stay and apply for citizenship Stay as temporary guest workers Required to leave jobs and U.S Don t know Refused Q32. What do you think Donald Trump s position is on undocumented immigrants? Does he think they should be allowed to stay in their jobs and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. OR, they should be allowed to stay in their jobs only as temporary guest workers, but not to apply for U.S. citizenship. OR, they should be required to leave their jobs and leave the U.S. Stay and apply for citizenship Stay as temporary guest workers Required to leave jobs and U.S Don t know Refused

11 Q33. What do you think Hillary Clinton s position is on undocumented immigrants. Does she think they should be allowed to stay in their jobs and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. OR, they should be allowed to stay in their jobs only as temporary guest workers, but not to apply for U.S. citizenship. OR, they should be required to leave their jobs and leave the U.S. Stay and apply for citizenship Stay as temporary guest workers Required to leave jobs and U.S Don t know Refused Q34. How effective is Ron Johnson as a US Senator? Very effective Somewhat effective Not very effective Not at all effective Don t know Refused Q35. How effective was Russ Feingold as a US Senator? Very effective Somewhat effective Not very effective Not at all effective Don t know Refused Q36. Which of the following statements is closer to your point of view? To get more things done, I would like to see a Congress and a President of the same party. OR I prefer the President and Congress to be of different parties because that way they can balance each other out. Same party Different parties Don t know Refused

12 Q37. When voting in elections do you typically vote a straight ticket that is for candidates of the same party, or do you typically split your ticket that is vote for candidates from different parties? Straight ticket Split your ticket Don t know Refused Q38. In the Wisconsin election this November, how many people who are not legally eligible to vote do you think will cast a vote illegally? Just in the state of Wisconsin do you think it will be less than ten, ten to one hundred, a hundred to a thousand, a thousand to ten thousand, ten thousand to one hundred thousand or more than one hundred thousand? Less than Ten to one hundred A hundred to a thousand A thousand to ten thousand Ten thousand to one hundred thousand More than one hundred thousand Don t know Refused Q39. In the Wisconsin election this November, how many people who are legally eligible to vote do you think will not be allowed to vote because they lack proper identification? Just in the state of Wisconsin do you think it will be less than ten, ten to one hundred, a hundred to a thousand, a thousand to ten thousand, ten thousand to one hundred thousand or more than one hundred thousand? Less than Ten to one hundred A hundred to a thousand A thousand to ten thousand Ten thousand to one hundred thousand More than one hundred thousand Don t know Refused

13 Q40. Would you favor or oppose an increase in the federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $15 an hour? Favor Oppose Don t know Q41. Should US military action against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, also called ISIS, be limited to only air strikes, should it include both air strikes and American combat troops on the ground, or should US military action not be taken at all? Air strikes only Combat troops as well as air strikes No military action at all Don t know Refused Q42. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Worth fighting Not worth fighting Don t know Refused Q43. Do you think the best way to reduce international threats to the security of the US is through diplomatic negotiations or through the use of military force? Diplomatic negotiations Use of military force Both Don t know Refused

14 Q44. Have you or any of your close relatives served in the U.S. armed forces since 2001? Yes, I have Yes, someone else Yes, both someone else and I have No Don t know Refused Q45. Thinking about your family s financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet? Living comfortably Just getting by Struggling Don t know Refused F1. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Republican Democrat Independent Other/No preference Don t know Refused F2. Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party? Republican Democratic Neither/Just Independent Don t know Refused NA s

15 Q46. Would you have liked to see the Republican party nominate someone other than Donald Trump for president? Nominate someone else Nominate Trump Don t know Refused NA s Q47. Would you have liked to see the Democratic party nominate Bernie Sanders rather than Hillary Clinton for president? Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton Someone else Don t know Refused NA s F3. What is the highest level of education you completed? Elementary school only Some high school / did not finish Completed high school Some college but didn t finish Two year college degree Four year college degree Some graduate work Completed masters or professional degree Advanced graduate work or Ph.D Don t know Refused F4. What is your age? Continued on next page

16 F4. What is your age? Continued on next page

17 F4. What is your age? F4a. [If Refused in F4] Are you...? years old years old or more Refused NA s

18 F5. Are you currently married, living with a partner but not married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Married Cohabiting Widowed Divorced Separated Never Married Don t know Refused F7. Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or some other Spanish background? Yes No Don t know Refused F8. Would you describe yourself as White, African American or Black, Asian, Native American, of more than one race or some other race? White African American or Black Asian, South Asian or Pacific Islander Native American or American Indian More than one race Hispanic or Latino Other (SPECIFY) Don t know Refused

19 F9. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services... more than once a week, once a week, once or twice a month, a few times a year, seldom, or never? More than 1/wk /week month few times a year Seldom Never Don t know Refused F10. What is your religious preference? Are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, another religion or no religion? Protestant Roman Catholic Jewish Muslim/Islam Mormon/Latter-Day Saints Other Christian Religion Other Non-Christian Religion No Religion/Atheist/Agnostic Don t know Refused F11. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not? born again not born again Don t know Refused NA s

20 F12. Last year, that is in 2015, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Less than $10, to under $20, to under $30, to under $40, to under $50, to under $75, to under $100, to under $150, $150,000 or more Over $200, Don t know Refused F13. Would you describe the place where you live as urban, suburban or rural? Urban Suburban Rural Don t know F15. In general, would you describe your political views as...? Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don t know Refused

21 F16. Are you or any member of your household a member of a local, state or national labor union? respondent another household member nobody in household Don t know Refused F17. Do you or any member of your household work for federal, state, or local government: for example, as a public school teacher, police officer, firefighter, or other government job? Yes No F19. Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get...? All or almost all on a cell phone Some on a cell phone and some on a home phone All or almost all on a regular home phone Don t know Refused F20. Is this phone a cell phone or not? Yes No Likely Voter Likely Voter

22 wave 9/15-18/ Poll Dates Sex Male Female Age 4 categories DK/NA/ Ref Age 6 categories DK/NA/Ref

23 Race 3 categories White Black Other DK/NA/Ref Hispanic Yes No DK/NA/Ref education categories Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA DK/NA/ Ref Education 5 with Post-BA Not HS hs Some Coll/AA ba Post BA DK/NA/Ref

24 Education 6 AA, BA, and MA Not HS hs Some Coll aa ba Post-BA DK/NA/Ref category Party ID including leaners Republican Democrat Independent Other/None category Party ID no leaners Republican Democrat Independent Other/None Pary ID 5 categories, leaners separate Rep Lean Rep Ind Lean Dem Dem Other/None

25 Race/Ethnicity White Black Hispanic Other DK/NA/ Ref Income Recode Under $40k $40k to $74k $75k up DK/NA/ Ref Region/Media Market MKE City Rest of MKE msn GB/A Rest of state Region2/MKE,WOW,Media Market MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state

26 Region7/MKE,WOW,Media Market MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE msn GB/A Lax/EC MSP,DS/WauRhine dma8/eight category Media Market MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE Dane Rock Rest of MSN Lax/EC GB/A Wau/MSP/DS