Election Night Phone Survey Frequency Questionnaire

Transcription

1 Election Night Phone Survey Frequency Questionnaire November 4-7, Registered Voters (1650 unweighted) Voter (1508 unweighted) Dem Voter (799 unweighted) Ind Voter (371 unweighted) Rep Voter (638 unweighted) Q.4 First of all, are you registered to vote at this address? Yes No (Don't know/refused) (ref:screen1) [669 Respondents] Q.10 (ASK BEFORE NOV 6) As you may know, there will be an election for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices Tuesday, November 6th. What are the chances of your voting in the elections for Congress and other offices in November: are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? Almost certain Probably Will not vote (Don't know) (Already voted) (Refused) (ref:cp18)

2 2 [332 Respondents] Q.11 (ONLY IF NAME OFF FILE) How often would you say you vote? Always Nearly always Part of the time Seldom (Never) (Other/Don't know/refused) (ref:oftvote) [581 Respondents] Q.12 (ASK ON NOV 6 AND LATER) As you may know, there is/was an election for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices today/yesterday/tuesday. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote/will not vote (Can't remember/don't know) (Refused) (Will vote later today) (ref:vote18) Q.18 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove (Don't know/refused) Total approve Total disapprove Approve - disapprove (ref:dtapp)

3 3 Q.19 Now, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organizations, and ideas, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person, organization, or idea. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person, organization, or idea, please say so. Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 19 The Republican Party Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter The Democratic Party Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter The Republican Congress Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter Democrats in Congress Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic leader of the House Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader of the Senate Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter

4 4 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 25 Paul Ryan, the Republican Speaker of the House Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (AFT) Betsy DeVos Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter The NRA, or National Rifle Association Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter Pro-life, anti-abortion groups Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (AFT) Big corporations Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter Gay marriage Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter The Tea Party Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter

5 5 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 33 (AFT) Public education Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter The Affordable Care Act or Obamacare Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (AFT) CEOs of large businesses Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (AFT) Trickle-down economics Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter Donald Trump Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (AFT) The new Republican tax cut for corporations and individuals Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (ref:therm206)

6 6 Q.42 Thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in your district, did/will/would you vote for -- the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democratic candidate Lean Democratic candidate Republican candidate Lean Republican candidate (Other candidate) (Don't know/refused) (Will not vote) Total Democratic candidate Total Republican candidate (ref:gen18) [786 Respondents] Q.51 (IF VOTED/WILL VOTE IN SENATE RACE) Thinking about the election for U.S. Senate, did/will you vote for (DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE)? (Dem Senate candidate) Lean (Dem Senate candidate) (Rep Senate candidate) Lean (Rep Senate candidate) (Other candidate) (Don't know/refused) (Will not vote) Total (Dem Senate candidate) Total (Rep Senate candidate) (ref:sen18)

7 7 [843 Respondents] Q.57 (IF VOTED/WILL VOTE IN GOVERNOR RACE) Thinking about the election for Governor in (STATE), did/will you vote for -- (DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE) OR (REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE)? (Dem Gubernatorial candidate) Lean (Dem Gubernatorial candidate) (Rep Gubernatorial candidate) Lean (Rep Gubernatorial candidate) (Other candidate) (Don't know/refused) (Will not vote) Total (Dem Gubernatorial candidate) Total (Rep Gubernatorial candidate) (ref:gov18) Q.67 (AFT) From what you know, do you support or oppose the tax cut for corporations and individuals passed by the Republicans in Congress and signed by the President at the end of last year? Support strongly Support somewhat Oppose somewhat Oppose strongly (Don't know/refused) Total Support Total Oppose Support - Oppose (ref:taxcut) Q.68 (AFT) Now let me ask you some questions about the economy. Please tell me whether

8 8 you agree or disagree with each statement. Agree Strng Smwt Smwt Strng DK/ Total Total - Agree Agree Dis Dis Ref Agree Dis Dis 72 Health care costs are out of control Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter

9 9 Agree Strng Smwt Smwt Strng DK/ Total Total - Agree Agree Dis Dis Ref Agree Dis Dis 70 The economy is growing faster than before Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter My wages aren't keeping up with the rising cost of living Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter There are more good jobs available in my area Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter I am struggling to pay off student loan debt Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter My wages are rising Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter The new tax law is benefitting me personally Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (ref:econmeas) Q.75 Now let me read you some short statements about the economy. Please tell me which

10 10 statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right. 1st 1st 2nd 2nd Total Total 1st Stmt Stmt Stmt Stmt Nei- DK/ 1st 2nd - Much Smwt Smwt Much Both ther Ref Stmt Stmt 2nd 80 (AFT) The new tax law helped corporations invest in America, created more American jobs and pushed up wages to create a great economy. OR The new tax law enriched corporations and the top 1 percent, drove up the deficits that threaten Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (AFT) The economy is strong and families like mine are beginning to be more financially secure. OR The economy isn't very strong for families like mine because our salaries and incomes can't keep up with the cost of living Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter

11 11 1st 1st 2nd 2nd Total Total 1st Stmt Stmt Stmt Stmt Nei- DK/ 1st 2nd - Much Smwt Smwt Much Both ther Ref Stmt Stmt 2nd 76 (AFT) The new tax law benefits corporations and the wealthy, which will grow the economy and create higher paying jobs for working and middle class families. OR The new tax law benefits corporations and the wealthy at the expense of working and middle class families Voter Dem Voter Ind Voter Rep Voter (ref:aftpairs) Q.82 Now I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal? Liberal Moderate Conservative (Don't know/refused) (ref:ideo1) Q.7 In what year were you born? and over (No answer) (ref:age)

12 12 Q.8 What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade High School graduate Non-college post H.S Some college College graduate Post-graduate school (Don't know/refused) (ref:educ) Q.9 Are you married, single, living with a partner, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married Single Separated/Divorced Widowed Living with a partner (Don't know/refused) (ref:marital) Q.83 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2016 election for President between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. How about you? Were you able to vote in 2016, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered/ineligible/too young (Refused) (Can't remember/ don't know) (ref:vote16) [1054 Respondents] Q.84(ASK IF VOTED IN 2016) In the 2016 election for President, did you vote for Democrat

13 13 Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump (Gary Johnson) (Jill Stein) (Other) (Don't know/refused) (Did not vote in 2016) (ref:vote2016) Q.85 As you may know, there was an election in 2014 for Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote in 2014, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered/ineligible/too young (Refused) (Can't remember/don't know) (ref:vote14) Q.86 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2012 election for President between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. How about you? Were you able to vote in 2012, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered in 2012/Ineligible/too young (Can't remember/don't know) (Refused) (ref:vote12) [892 Respondents] Q.87 (ASK IF VOTED IN 2012) In the 2012 election for President, did you vote for Democrat

14 14 Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney (Gary Johnson) (Jill Stein) (Virgil Goode) (Other) (Don't know/refused) (Did not vote in 2012) (ref:vote2012) Q.88 As you may know, there was an election in 2010 for Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote in 2010, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered/ineligible/too young (Refused) (Can't remember/don't know) (ref:vote10) Q.89 Did you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not? (IF SUPPORTER) And would that be a strong or not so strong supporter? Strong supporter Not so strong supporter Not a supporter (Don't know/refused) Total Supporter (ref:teasupp)

15 15 Q.90 What racial or ethnic group best describes you? White African-American or Black Hispanic or Latino Native American Asian (Other) (Don't know/refused) (ref:racethn) Q.92 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican or what? Strong Democrat Weak Democrat Independent-lean Democrat Independent Independent-lean Republican Weak Republican Strong Republican (Don't know/refused) (ref:ptyid1) Q.95 Let me ask a question about religion. Which one of these best describes yourself? Observant Catholic Non-observant Catholic Evangelical Christian Non-evangelical Protestant Jewish Muslim No religious affiliation (Other) (Don't know/refused) (ref: RELIG4) Q.3 Respondent Gender Male Female (ref:gender)