POWER AND THE PEOPLE A POLITICO POLL SERIES, SPONSORED BY QUALCOMM NOVEMBER 16, 2010
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1 POWER AND THE PEOPLE A POLITICO POLL SERIES, SPONSORED BY QUALCOMM NOVEMBER 6, 200 METHODOLOGY On November 8-, Penn Schoen Berland surveyed,000 people in the U.S. with a representative distribution of Americans and 225 Washington D.C.. Margin of error is.% and 6.5% respectively.
2 POLITICO Baseline In general, do you believe that things in the country are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male Right direction Wrong track Don't know In general, do you believe that the economy nationwide is headed in the right direction or is it off on the wrong track? November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male Right direction Wrong track Don't know How much do you feel the current economic downturn has affected you? November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male More than most Americans Less than most Americans About the same as others Don t know Do you think the political system in Washington D.C. is broken? November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male Yes, it is broken No, it is not broken Don t know Which is closest to your views? November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male The Tea Party Movement is a fad - it will go away soon enough I don t know what the Tea Party Movement is well enough to say The Tea Party Movement will become a viable third party in American politics Don t Know
3 Overall, how favorable are you towards the following people? Barack Obama November fav October Unfav / September Unfav / November October Sept. Dem Rep Ind 24 45/47/ /47/ /48/4 28 5/46/ /47/5 2 64/6/0 5 6/7/ 5 64/5/ 2 66//0 6 66/4/0 5 82/4/ 4 0/8/7 4 40/47/ Hillary Clinton 22 5/40/8 2 52/9/9 20 5/42/6 2 5/4/ /45/6 68//0 4 68/0/ 72/28/ 2 68/2/0 4 74/25/ 4 86// 5 22/72/6 5 47/8/4 George W. Bush 4 8/54/8 4 9/52/9 5 44/50/6 4 7/57/6 4 8/54/7 8 26/72/2 2 0/67/2 8 24/72/4 6 /68/0 7 24/74/ /79/7 5 74/2/5 6 /57/2 Sarah Palin 4 6/5/2 4 6/5/ 5 4/50/9 4 5/57/8 4 9/5/8 2 4/85/2 4 22/75/ 5/82/2 4 8/80/ 6/82/2 5 4/78/ /24/8 8 28/55/8 Joe Biden 2 8/46/7 0 7/46/6 9/46/5 0 9/45/6 0 7/49/ 9 6/7/ 8 56/42/ /9/ /9/4 2 58/40/2 27 6/24/ 8/70/ 4 7 /45/2 John McCain 4/46/0 2 44/46/ 47/44/0 4/50/0 4/48/0 7 40/59/ 9/58/ 8 4/57/ 6 42/57/ 6 9/60/ 7 25/68/8 9 70/2/7 6 6/48/6 Mike Huckabee //4 5/29/6 4 7/28/6 //6 6/29/4 29/66/5 6 0/56/4 5 2/59/0 6 /54/ 26/6/ 5/45/ /7/2 7 26//42 5/6/5 Rand Paul 7 20/26/55 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4 2/65/2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9/5/ /25/57 Nancy Pelosi 6 24/52/ /52/ /48/ /50/25 5 2/52/25 42/56/ 2 40/56/ 2 42/5/5 2 44/52/4 2 45/52/ 45/2/2 2 7/77/5 8/5/2 20/49/ 6/2/5 John Boehner 6 8/25/56 5 7/22/6 5 6/20/64 4 2/2/67 4 6/2/6 4 26/60/ 4 22/58/2 5 20/58/22 4 7/55/28 8/5/ /26/6 /56/ 4/49/ 49/2/ Mitt Romney 5 26/6/7 8 /5/5 2 4/2/4 7 29//7 9 0/5/4 5 4/60/6 5/56/0 6 4/57/ /60/ /9/42 8/7/4 2/2/6 Haley Barbour 4 2/8/70 4 2/7/7 4 /7/7 2 0/8/7 /9/ /45/2 8 2/40/7 4 2/42/6 4 20/5/45 8/20/ /9/7 4/47/2 Harry Reid 4 7/7/46 /5/5 4 4/2/54 4/5/52 5/4/5 4 40/48/2 /56/ 6 9/47/ 6 5 8/5/0 0 0/9/5 0 6/59/5 /5/52 Mitch McConnell /26/60 4/26/60 5 6/2/6 2/25/6 2 /2/ /58/22 4 2/50/27 2 9/58/2 4 Tim Pawlenty 4/20/67 4 2/7/7 5 6/5/70 /7/72 2/8/ //42 4 2/6/4 4 2/9/9 6 2/50/2 8 26/26/ /5/27 2 8/2/ /4/50 8/2/68 6 2/9/5 7 25/4/6 0/26/65 2 9/2/70 28/57/ U.S. Congress 2 2/6/6 4 2/65/ 5 25/6/4 4 24/66/9 5 25/64/ 0 25/74/ 0 22/75/2 28/70/2 2 /68/0 29/69/ /70/9 0 /64/22 5 6/64/2 9/2/5 Michael Steele 2 /26/62 /25/6 4/2/64 2 /25/64 /29/ /69/ 2 9/66/5 2 2/7/5 0 /74/5 2 7/2/6 7/27/ /27/ Tim Kaine 8/2/7 /6/7 /7/7 2 0/5/75 2 0/6/7 5/25/ /4/ /27/ /0/8 9/22/69 0 9/2/70 0 7/9/74 2
4 If Barack Obama runs for reelection in 202, in general, are you more likely to vote for President Obama or for the Republican Party s candidate for president? November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male The Republican Candidate Barack Obama Other Don t know If the 202 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male Barack Obama Sarah Palin Don t know If the 202 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more November October September November October September Barack Obama Mitt Romney Don t know Dem Rep Ind Male If the 202 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Barack Obama Tim Pawlenty Don t know Male If the 202 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more November October September October November September Dem Rep Ind Male Barack Obama Mike Huckabee Don t know
5 If the 202 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more November October September November October September Dem Rep Ind Male Barack Obama Haley Barbour Don t know CURRENT EVENTS Which of these best describes how you have been following each of these events / issues? State of the U.S. economy Terrorist threats to the United States The new U.S. Congress Expiration of Bush tax cuts The beginnings of the 202 presidential campaign season Increasing violence on Pakistan / Afghanistan border November October September Closely Closely Closely / / / November October September Closely Closely Closely / / / Dem Rep Ind Male 4 82/ / /6 N/A N/A 57 96/ / 67 97/ N/A N/A 42 86/ 45 84/ 6 75/2 5 89/9 2 76/ /26 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 46 88/ N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 26 7/ / /0 78/20 2 6/ 25 60/5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 46 95/5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 25 57/7 0 7/26 9 5/ / / / / /4 8 47/ /6 7 78/ /20 68/ 22 52/4 29 6/4 2 5/ / 8 45/ /47 4 4/54 N/A N/A N/A N/A 25 65/4 7 57/4 N/A N/A N/A N/A 20 54/ /4 8/ / / /4 6 55/40 N/A N/A N/A N/A 27 7/ /2 N/A N/A N/A N/A 9 55/ /8 48/ /6 2 47/46 Closely / Closely / 5
6 TOPIC INVESTIGATION MIDTERM ELECTIONS AND BEYOND Did the 200 midterm election results make you more hopeful or less hopeful of the direction of the government? Dem Rep Ind Male More hopeful Less hopeful No change Don t know How much did President Obama s job performance affect the way you voted on November 2nd? Dem Rep Ind Male Strong impact on my vote Some impact on my vote No impact on my vote Don t know Which of these messages do you think voters were sending on November 2nd? Dem Rep Ind Male Disapproval of Washington D.C. as a whole Disapproval of President Obama Disapproval of Congressional Democrats Embracing the Republican agenda Embracing Republican candidates Don t know
7 The recent midterm election is being called a referendum on Obama in the news and media. Which of these best describes the message you think voters were trying to send to him? Dem Rep Ind Male Focus more on job creation Repeal health care reform Concern over the expansion of government Focus more on reducing the deficit I don t think it was a referendum on Obama Don t know Do you think President Obama understands the message that was sent on Nov. 2nd? Dem Rep Ind Male Yes No Don t know What sort of changes, if any, do you think President Obama will make to his administration? Dem Rep Ind Male Major changes Minor changes No real changes Don t know
8 Which of the following actions by President Obama would do most to make your views of him more positive? Dem Rep Ind Male Hold firm on achieving his original agenda Changes to the Obama administration agenda Increased outreach and compromise with Republicans A White House staff shake-up Don t know Do you think President Obama will be re-elected in 202? Dem Rep Ind Male Yes No Don t know Which issue should the new Congress tackle first? Dem Rep Ind Male Work to reduce the deficit Repeal health care reform Pass another stimulus bill Pass energy policy legislation Don t know Now that Republicans have gained the majority in the House of Representatives, how effective will they be in implementing their agenda? Dem Rep Ind Male effective Somewhat effective very effective effective at all Don t know
9 Do you think the elected Tea Party candidates have enough influence to change Washington? Dem Rep Ind Male Yes No Don t know Do you think the elected Tea Party candidates will hurt or help Congressional Republicans? Dem Rep Ind Male Help Congressional Republicans Hurt Congressional Republicans Don t know In your view, were campaigns in the 200 election cycle more or less negative than past election cycles? Dem Rep Ind Male More negative Less negative Don t know In their Washington rallies, Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert said the media is largely to blame for the incivility in politics. Do you agree or disagree? Dem Rep Ind Male Agree Disagree Don t know Do you think Sarah Palin is a breath of fresh air or a negative influence in national politics? Dem Rep Ind Male Negative influence Breath of fresh air Don t know
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