Democracy Corps/Women's Voices Women Vote Frequency Questionnaire

Transcription

1 Democracy Corps/Women's Voices Women Vote Frequency Questionnaire June 10-15, Voters 827 Likely 2014 Voter 463 Rising American Electorate 261 Unmarried Women Q.3 First of all, are you registered to vote at this address? Yes No (Refused) (ref:screen1) Q.4 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2012 election for president between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. How about you? Were you able to vote, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Not registered in 2012/Ineligible/too young Did not vote (Can't remember/don't know) (Refused) (ref:vote12) Q.5 As you may know, there was an election in 2010 for Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote (Can't remember/don't know) (Refused) Not registered/ineligible/too young (ref:vote10)

2 2 Q.6 I know it's a long way off, but what are the chances of your voting in the election for Congress in November: are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? Almost certain Probably Will not vote (Don't know) (Refused) (ref:cp14) Q.19 Generally speaking, do you think that things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track (Don't know/refused) Right - Wrong (ref:direct) Q.20 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove (Don't know/refused) Total approve Total disapprove Approve - disapprove (ref:boapp)

3 3 Q.21 Now, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so. Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 21 The Republican Party Likely RAE Unmarried Women The Democratic Party Likely RAE Unmarried Women The Republican Congress Likely RAE Unmarried Women Democrats in Congress Likely RAE Unmarried Women Barack Obama Likely RAE Unmarried Women John Boehner, the Republican Speaker of the House Likely RAE Unmarried Women

4 4 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 28 The N.R.A., or National Rifle Association Likely RAE Unmarried Women Pro-life, anti-abortion groups Likely RAE Unmarried Women Gay marriage Likely RAE Unmarried Women Undocumented immigrants in the U.S Likely RAE Unmarried Women The Tea Party Likely RAE Unmarried Women The Affordable Care Act or Obamacare Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:therm04/therm205)

5 5 Q.49 Let me ask you something different. I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the election for Congress in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for -- The Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democratic candidate Lean Democratic candidate Republican candidate Lean Republican candidate (Other candidate) Lean (Other candidate) (Undecided) (Refused) (Will not vote in 2014) Total Democratic candidate Total Republican candidate Total (Other candidate) (ref:gencong) Q.51 Even though you are not supporting the Democratic candidate now, what are the chances that you might support the Democratic candidate in the election for Congress next November -- is there a fair chance that you might support the Democratic candidate, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all that you might support the Democratic candidate? Fair chance A small chance Just a very slight chance No chance at all (Don't know/refused) Democrat supporter (ref:congvcs1)

6 6 Q.52 Even though you are not supporting the Republican candidate now, what are the chances that you might support the Republican candidate in the election for Congress next November -- is there a fair chance that you might support the Republican candidate, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all that you might support the Republican candidate? Fair chance A small chance Just a very slight chance No chance at all (Don't know/refused) Republican supporter (ref:congvcs2) Q.53 Now I am going to read you some things a Democrat is saying about the economy and what needs to be done to make things better. Please tell me whether you find it a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or a not at all convincing statement about the economy and how to make it better. A Not Very/ Lttle/ Very Smwt Lttle at DK/ Smwt Not Conv Conv Conv All Ref Conv Conv 53 People are drowning because jobs don't pay enough to live on. We need leaders who can live a day of our lives and make change for us, not for the richest who show up with the big money. We must help people here with affordable college, job training, and childcare. We must raise the minimum wage and make sure women get equal pay so working women and families can keep up with the cost of living. We need an economy here that works for working people and the middle class again, not just those with the big money Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:demmsg)

7 7 Q.54 Now I am going to read you some things a Republican is saying about the economy and what needs to be done to make things better. Please tell me whether you find it a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or a not at all convincing statement about the economy and how to make it better. A Not Very/ Lttle/ Very Smwt Lttle at DK/ Smwt Not Conv Conv Conv All Ref Conv Conv 54 President Obama has failed on the economy. The middle class is struggling with declining paychecks, high unemployment, and the rising costs of healthcare, college, and even a tank of gas. Bigger government, higher spending, and never ending deficits are not the answer. We need to repeal Obamacare, cut regulations, and lower taxes. We need to build the Keystone Pipeline and use our energy to create jobs and lower gas prices. We can bring back opportunity, balance the budget, and spark an economic recovery if we get big government out of the way Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:repmsg)

8 8 Q.55 Now I am going to read you some things being proposed by Democrats as part of their plan to deal with the economy. After each item, please tell me whether you would be more or less likely to support a candidate who proposed that policy. More Much Smwt Smwt Much DK/ Total Total - More More Less Less Ref More Less Less 55 (WORKING MOTHERS) Finally recognize that working mothers need help by protecting pregnant workers and new mothers from being fired or demoted, making sure they have paid sick days to care for their children and access to affordable childcare Likely RAE Unmarried Women (MINIMUM WAGE SCHOOLING) Raise the minimum wage to ten-ten an hour and expand access to scholarships and affordable college so working women and men can continue their education and train for better jobs with higher wages Likely RAE Unmarried Women (EQUAL PAY / HEALTH) Make sure women get equal pay for equal work and fix and keep the health care law so insurance companies never call the shots again, can't charge women more than men or hike your premiums for a pre-existing condition Likely RAE Unmarried Women (TAX FAIR SHARE) Raise taxes on those with the highest incomes and close corporate tax loopholes and special interest subsidies so they pay their fair share in taxes Likely RAE Unmarried Women

9 9 More Much Smwt Smwt Much DK/ Total Total - More More Less Less Ref More Less Less 59 (MEDICARE) Protect Medicare and Social Security so there is no reduction in benefits, and keep the politicians' hands off Social Security so today's and tomorrow's seniors can retire at a reasonable age with security Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:dempol) Q.60 Now I am going to read you some things being proposed by Republicans as part of their plan to deal with the economy. After each item, please tell me whether you would be more or less likely to support a candidate who proposed that policy. More Much Smwt Smwt Much DK/ Total Total - More More Less Less Ref More Less Less 60 (OBAMACARE) Repeal Obamacare to save one point four trillion dollars and cut the law's 21 new taxes on workers, businesses, and families that are damaging job creation and economic growth Likely RAE Unmarried Women (SPENDING) Reduce unnecessary government spending to start resolving the debt crisis and put America back on a responsible track Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ENERGY) Promote lower energy prices through increased domestic production of oil and building the Keystone pipeline, which would create jobs and reduce our dependence on foreign oil Likely RAE Unmarried Women

10 10 More Much Smwt Smwt Much DK/ Total Total - More More Less Less Ref More Less Less 63 (REGULATION) Small businesses are strangled by unnecessary regulation, complex and increasing taxes, and high energy prices. We need to loosen the regulation that is stifling small businesses to make it easier for them to grow and expand Likely RAE Unmarried Women (JOBS AND TAXES) Help grow the economy and create jobs by streamlining the tax code, lowering the tax rate for businesses and individuals including small business owners to twenty five percent, and modernizing our patent system to protect our nation's innovators Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:goppol)

11 11 Q.65 Now I'm going to read you some things that Republicans in Washington and in your state are trying to do. These could decide whether you vote in November. Please tell me whether it raises very serious doubts, serious doubts, minor doubts, or no real doubts in your own mind about the Republicans when you are thinking of voting in November. Very No Total Ser Ser Minor Real DK/ Total Not Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts Ref Ser Ser 65 (INSURANCE) Republicans are determined to repeal the health care law and put the insurance companies back in charge, while taking millions in contributions from the insurance industry. If that happens, insurance companies can once again deny coverage to people with pre-existing conditions and drop you if you become sick or are under 26 years of age, leaving millions on their own again Likely RAE Unmarried Women [475 Respondents] 66 (SPLIT A) (MEDICARE) The Republicans' budget plan ends Medicare as we know it, replacing Medicare's guaranteed coverage with a voucher program. If they can get their way, this would cost seniors six thousand four hundred dollars more every year and force seniors to negotiate with insurance companies Likely RAE Unmarried Women [475 Respondents] 67 (SPLIT B) (TAXES) Republicans are fighting to keep taxes low for the richest and corporations. In the states where they are in charge, they have cut or abolished the income tax for the very rich and slashed corporation taxes. Their budget plan for the country cuts taxes on those earning over five hundred thousand dollars and on investment earnings. To pay for those tax cuts for the richest, they have sharply cut education spending at the state level and propose cutting spending for education and training by 50 percent nationally Likely RAE Unmarried Women

12 12 Very No Total Ser Ser Minor Real DK/ Total Not Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts Ref Ser Ser [475 Respondents] 68 (SPLIT A) (PAY EQUITY) Republican leaders in Congress say the claim that women make 77 cents compared to a man's dollar is exaggerated. And every Senate Republican voted to block a vote on equal pay. Republican leaders like Texas Governor Rick Perry call the focus on equal pay, quote, nonsense, endquote, and if they get their way, there won't be any progress on equal pay for women Likely RAE Unmarried Women [475 Respondents] 69 (SPLIT B) (WOMEN) House Republicans tried to block the Violence Against Women Act and get rid of preventive health care coverage under the health care law, including family planning and contraception. In the states where they lead, they are banning Planned Parenthood and making it virtually impossible to get a legal abortion, even in the case of rape or incest or to save the life of the mother. If Republicans have their way, women will have an even tougher time with health services Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:stdbts)

13 13 Q.70 Now I'm going to read you some things that Democrats in Washington and in your state are trying to do. These could decide whether you vote in November. Please tell me whether it raises very serious doubts, serious doubts, minor doubts, or no real doubts in your own mind about the Democrats when you are thinking of voting in November. Very No Total Ser Ser Minor Real DK/ Total Not Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts Ref Ser Ser 70 (OBAMACARE) Democrats in Congress passed Obamacare, which even the government's own budget experts say will raise taxes on workers, businesses, and families, and shrink the American workforce. And in states where they are in charge, Democrats continue to stand by their expensive failed law, forcing millions to lose their health care coverage or pay higher premiums and deductibles Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ECONOMY) Democrats in Congress are rubber stamps for Obama's job killing economic policies, which restrict job growth and keep taxes high. Democrats have raised taxes to pay for more government programs, increased spending, and ballooned our debt Likely RAE Unmarried Women (STATE GUN) Democrats in many states have passed restrictive gun laws, preventing responsible gun owners from owning a gun for self-defense or hunting. Rather than concentrating on mental health, Democrats have fought for intrusive laws that take away people's second amendment rights Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:stdbtsd)

14 14 Q.73 Now I am going to read you something Democrats are saying about this year's election. Please tell me whether it makes you feel much more positive, somewhat more, a little more, no more positive or more negative about Democrats. Much Smwt Little No Much/ Much/ More More More More More DK/ Smwt Smwt/ Pos Pos Pos Pos Neg Ref More Little [475 Respondents] 73 (SPLIT C) It's critical to vote in November. If Republicans win, big money will get its way, and even more hard working women and men will be drowning. You can change that. We have an economic plan. When women succeed, America succeeds. When the middle class succeeds, America succeeds Likely RAE Unmarried Women

15 15 Q.75 Now I am going to read you something Republicans are saying about this year's election. Please tell me whether it makes you feel much more positive, somewhat more, a little more, no more positive or more negative about Republicans. Much Smwt Little No Much/ Much/ More More More More More DK/ Smwt Smwt/ Pos Pos Pos Pos Neg Ref More Little 75 It's critical to vote in November. America needs a change in direction. Send a message Likely RAE Unmarried Women (ref:titleecr) Q.76 And thinking again about this year's election. Many people vote in Presidential elections, but not in elections like the one this year for Congress and other offices. What would you say is the likelihood of you voting in the November election for Congress and other offices on a 0-10 scale, where 0 means you are not at all likely to vote and 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote? (Don't know/refused) Mean (Don't know/refused) (ref:re2cp14)

16 16 Q.77 And let me ask again: thinking about the election for Congress in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for -- The Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democratic candidate Lean Democratic candidate Republican candidate Lean Republican candidate (Other candidate) Lean (Other candidate) (Undecided) (Refused) (Will not vote in 2014) Total Democratic candidate Total Republican candidate Total (Other candidate) (ref:gencongf) Q.79 Finally, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade High School graduate Non-college post H.S Some college College graduate Post-graduate school (Don't know/refused) (ref:educ)

17 17 Q.80 Are you a member of a labor union? Is any member of your household a union member? Is it a union for a public sector job or a private sector job? Yes: Public Sector Yes: Private Sector Household member: Public Sector Household member: Private Sector No member belongs (Don't know/refused) Total Union Member Total Household Member Total Public Total Private Total Union Household (ref:union3) Q.81 Are you married, single, living with a partner, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married Single Separated/Divorced Widowed Living with a partner (Don't know/refused) Separated/Divorced/Widowed Total Unmarried (ref:marital) Q.82 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican or what? Strong Democrat Weak Democrat Independent-lean Democrat Independent Independent-lean Republican Weak Republican Strong Republican (Don't know/refused) (ref:ptyid1)

18 18 Q.85 Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal? Liberal Moderate Conservative (Don't know/refused) (ref:ideo1) Q.86 Last year, that is in 2013, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Just stop me when I get to the right category. Less than $10, $10,000 to under $20, $20,000 to under $30, $30,000 to under $50, $50,000 to under $75, $75,000 to under $100, $100,000 or more (Refused) (Don't know) (ref:income) Q.87 Every four years, there are Democratic and Republican primaries to nominate candidates for President. Very few people vote in these party primaries. What about you? Do you vote in these primaries? Democratic Republican (Other primaries) (Do not vote in primaries) (Don't know/refused) (ref:chcprim)

19 19 [330 Respondents] Q.88 (ONLY IF REPUBLICAN) I know it's a long way off, but what are the chances of your voting in the REPUBLICAN Presidential PRIMARY election in 2016: are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? Almost certain Probably Will not vote (Don't know) (Refused) (ref:cpr16) Q.89 Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not? Strong supporter Not so strong supporter Not a supporter (Don't know/refused) Total supporter Not a supporter Supporter - Not (ref:teasupp) Q.90 Thinking about your telephone use, of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get: All calls on a cell phone Almost all calls on a cell phone Some on a cell phone and some on a regular home phone Almost all calls on a regular home phone All calls on a regular home phone (Don't know/refused) (ref:phoneuse)

20 20 [921 Respondents] Q.91 (ASK IF VOTED IN 2012) In the 2012 election for president, did you vote for Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney (Gary Johnson) (Jill Stein) (Virgil Goode) (Other) (Don't Know/Refused) Democrat Barack Obama - Republican Mitt Romney (ref:vote2012) [921 Respondents] Q.92 (ASK IF VOTED IN 2012) Now let me ask you about the election for Congress last November. Did you vote for -- (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN HOUSE CANDIDATE)? 1 Dem candidate Rep candidate (Other candidate) (Did Not Vote for Congress) (Don't Know/Refused) Dem - Rep (ref:vtcg2012) Q.93 What racial or ethnic group best describes you? White African-American or Black Hispanic or Latino Native American Asian (Other) (Don't know/refused) (ref:racethn) candidate names were inserted with party identification for landline respondents

21 21 Q.95 Let me ask a question about religion. Which one of these best describes yourself? Observant Catholic Non-observant Catholic Evangelical Christian Non-evangelical Protestant Jewish Muslim No religious affiliation (Other) (Don't know/refused) Total Catholic Total Non Catholic Total Christian (ref:relig4) Q.96 How often do you attend religious services -- more than once a week, once a week, once or twice a month, several times a year, or hardly ever? More than once a week Once a week Once or twice a month Several times a year Hardly ever (Never) (Don't know/refused) Weekly or more (ref:relig2) Q.2 Respondent gender: Male Female (ref:gender)

22 22 Q.7 In what year were you born? and over (No answer) (ref:age)