Democracy Corps Battleground RAE+ Web-Panel #1 Frequency Questionnaire

Transcription

1 Democracy Corps Battleground RAE+ Web-Panel #1 Frequency Questionnaire April 4-16, Registered Voters 2611 RAE Respondents (2697 unweighted) 1255 Working Class Women (1308 unweighted) 1568 Diverse States (1562 unweighted) Diverse States (1575 unweighted) Q.7 Are you registered to vote? Yes No (ref:screen1) Q.10 Generally speaking, do you think that things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track Right - Wrong (ref:direct) Q.11 As you may know, there will be an election for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices in November. What are the chances of you voting in the election in November? Almost certain Probably Will not vote Not sure (ref:cp18)

2 2 Q.12 How interested are you in the elections in November for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices? Please rate your interest from 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you have no interest in this election and 10 meaning that you are extremely interested. You can choose any number between 1 and (Don't know/refused) Mean (ref:intrst1) Q.13 And how much do the elections this November for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices matter this year? Please rate how much they matter from 1 to 10, with 1 meaning they don't matter at all and 10 meaning they matter tremendously. You can choose any number

3 3 between 1 and (Don't know/refused) Mean (ref:matters1) Q.14 Do you approve or disapprove of the way these current leaders are handling their job? App Strng Smwt Smwt Strng Total Total - App App Disap Disap App Disap Disap 14 Donald Trump as President RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (Named Incumbent) as Governor RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [2497 Respondents] 16 (SKIP IF CO, GA) (Named Incumbent) as

4 4 U.S. Senator RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [215 Respondents] 16 (MN ONLY) Amy Klobuchar as U.S. Senator RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [215 Respondents] 16 (MN ONLY) Tina Smith as U.S. Senator RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:gopapp)

5 5 Q.18 These are some values or principles that should guide how people act. Please select the THREE that you think are most important when it comes to guiding how people act. Treating everyone equally Respecting the rights and feelings of others Obeying rules and abiding by the law Keeping your promises and fulfilling your duties Loving, supporting and defending your country Avoiding harm to others Hard work being rewarded Being self-reliant and not burdening others Being loyal to family members (ref:values) Q.19 Please rate your feelings toward some people, organizations and concepts, with 100 meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; 0 meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from 0 to 100. The higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have never heard of that person or organization, please indicate so. Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 19 The Democratic Party RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The Republican Congress RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Donald Trump RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic leader of

6 6 the House RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Governor (Named Incumbent) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader of the Senate RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States

7 7 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool [2497 Respondents] 25 (SKIP IF CO, GA, MN) Senator (Named Incumbent) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [215 Respondents] 26 (MN ONLY) Senator Amy Klobuchar RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [215 Respondents] 27 (MN ONLY) Senator Tina Smith RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [215 Respondents] 28 (MN ONLY) Republican Jim Newberger RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [215 Respondents] 29 (MN ONLY) Republican Karin Housley RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Paul Ryan, the Republican Speaker of the House RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States

8 8 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 31 Undocumented immigrants in the U.S RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The N.R.A., or National Rifle Association RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Pro-life, anti-abortion groups RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Gay marriage RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Medicaid RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The Affordable Care Act or Obamacare RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Trickle-down economics RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States

9 9 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 38 NAFTA, the North American Trade Agreement with Mexico, Canada and the United States RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Mosques RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The new Republican tax cut for corporations and individuals RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [1002 Respondents] 41(SKIP IF CO, GA, NV, MN) (Named GOP Senate Candidate) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [830 Respondents] 42 (ASK IN TN, NV, AZ) (Named Dem Senate Candidate) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States [1170 Respondents] 43(SKIP IF AZ OR WI) (Named GOP Governor Candidate) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States

10 10 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool [1048 Respondents] 44(SKIP IF PA) (Named Dem Governor Candidate) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The Democratic candidate for U.S. Congress in your district RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The Republican candidate for U.S. Congress in your district RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The students of Parkland, Florida RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Special counsel Robert Muller RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:therm2) Q.49 Thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in November, if the election for Congress

11 11 were held today, who would you vote for? The Democratic candidate Lean The Democratic candidate The Republican candidate Lean The Republican candidate (Undecided/Refused) Total The Democratic candidate Total The Republican candidate (ref:gcn18vt1) Q.51How certain are you that you would vote for that candidate are you very certain, somewhat certain or not certain at all? Strong Dem candidate Weak Dem candidate Weak Rep candidate Strong Rep candidate (Undecided) (ref:cert1) [2497 Respondents] Q.52 (SKIP IF CO, GA) Thinking about the election for U.S. Senate in November, if the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? (Democratic candidate) Lean (Democratic candidate) (Republican candidate) Lean (Republican candidate) (Undecided/Refused) Total (Democratic candidate) Total (Republican candidate) (ref:sen18vt1) [215 Respondents] Q.54 (MN ONLY) Thinking about the election for U.S. Senate in November, if the election for

12 12 U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? Democrat Amy Klobuchar Lean Democrat Amy Klobuchar Republican Jim Newberger Lean Republican Jim Newberger (Undecided/Refused) Total Democrat Amy Klobuchar Total Republican Jim Newberger (ref:sen18vt1ak) [215 Respondents] Q.56 (MN ONLY) Thinking about the election for U.S. Senate in November, if the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? Democrat Tina Smith Lean Democrat Tina Smith Republican Karin Housley Lean Republican Karin Housley (Undecided/Refused) Total Democrat Tina Smith Total Republican Karin Housley (ref:sen18vt1ts) Q.58 Thinking about the election for Governor in your state in November, who will you vote for? (Democratic candidate) Lean (Democratic candidate) (Republican candidate) Lean (Republican candidate) (Undecided/Refused) Total (Democratic candidate) Total (Republican candidate) (ref:gov18vt1) Q.60 Do you support or oppose the new tax cut for corporations and individuals passed by the

13 13 Republicans in Congress and signed by the President last year? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Total Support Total Oppose Support - Oppose (ref:taxcut) Q.61 For each, of the issues below, please indicate whether, overall, you think the Democrats or

14 14 Donald Trump and the Republicans would do a better a job. Dems Dems GOP GOP Dems Much Smwt Smwt Much Total Total - Bettr Better Bettr Better Dems GOP GOP 68 The environment RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Keeping us out of wars RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Social Security RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The cost of health care RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Gun violence RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Dems Dems GOP GOP Dems Much Smwt Smwt Much Total Total - Bettr Better Bettr Better Dems GOP GOP 61 The economy RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Immigration RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Taxes

15 15 RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:btjobdtr) Q.69 These are some positions of some candidates for the US Congress and other offices in your state. For each, please indicate whether that position would lead you to support or oppose that candidate for office, or whether that position won't make a difference to how you decide to vote. Make Supp Supp Supp Opp Opp No Total Total - Strng Smwt Smwt Strng Diff Supp Opp Opp 73 Supports universal background checks and an assault weapon ban RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Supports a woman's right to choose RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Supports a pathway to citizenship for DREAMers RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Make Supp Supp Supp Opp Opp No Total Total - Strng Smwt Smwt Strng Diff Supp Opp Opp 72 Supports the special counsel's investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 election RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Supports the new tax cuts for

16 16 individuals and corporations RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Believes Donald Trump and his policies discriminate against minorities RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Supports a work requirement for Medicaid recipients and cuts to food stamps RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Supports funding a wall on the Southern U.S. border RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Supports the attempts to cut Medicaid, raise premiums and eliminate the Obamacare protections for those with pre-existing conditions RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States

17 17 Make Supp Supp Supp Opp Opp No Total Total - Strng Smwt Smwt Strng Diff Supp Opp Opp 74 Supports cuts to Medicare and Social Security to address the budget deficit RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:issued) Q.79 Which one of the following statements comes closer to your point of view, even if neither is exactly right? 1st 1st 2nd 2nd 1st Stmt Not Not Stmt Total Total - Strng Strng Strng Strng 1st 2nd 2nd 81 Things in my state are better than they are in most of the country. OR Things in my state are worse than they are in most of the country RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States I am worried about the increase in the deficit under Donald Trump and Republicans. OR I am not really worried about the increase in the deficit under Donald Trump and Republicans RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Immigrants today strengthen our country because of their hard work and talents. OR Immigrants today are a burden on our country because they take our jobs, housing and health care RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States

18 18 1st 1st 2nd 2nd 1st Stmt Not Not Stmt Total Total - Strng Strng Strng Strng 1st 2nd 2nd 80 Now is the time for our leaders to get angry at the status quo. OR Now is the time for a calmer tone from our leaders RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States The economy is strong and families like mine are beginning to be more financially secure. OR The economy isn't very strong for families like mine because our salaries and incomes can't keep up with the cost of living RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States I think the new tax cut law is benefitting me personally. OR I don't think the new tax cut law is benefitting me personally RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:wv18pair)

19 19 Q.85 These are some things that DEMOCRATS running for US Congress and offices in your state are saying. For each, please indicate whether you are much more likely, somewhat more likely, a little more likely, or no more likely to support the DEMOCRATIC candidate who says that. Much Smwt Little No Much/ Total More More More More Smwt More Likly Likly Likly Likly Likly Likly 87 (LONG TERM PLAN) My state needs a plan for a better future, not more short-term political deals and short-sighted cuts to the things we need. We need to invest in education and infrastructure, not cut them. We need to protect Social Security and Medicare, not threaten your retirement with more tax cuts for the rich and corporations RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (WORK TOGETHER) Like you, I am done with all of the polarization dividing our families and gridlocking out government so nothing good gets done. I will be an independent voice for people here in my state and will work with anyone, Democrat or Republican, to fix our problems. That is how we will help people with the rising cost of health care, childcare, housing and student debt and protect Social Security and Medicare RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (FED UP RIGGED) I'm fed up. Our economy and politics are rigged against hard-working people here in my state. Corporate donors are spending unlimited sums supporting my opponent to get their way. I will say no to big money and trickle-down economics (SPLIT B: and make sure the rich and corporations pay their fair share of taxes / SPLIT A: does not have this language) so we can help people with the rising cost of health care, childcare, housing and student debt and protect Social

20 20 Security and Medicare RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:bgdemmsg)

21 21 Q.88 These are some things that REPUBLICANS running for US Congress and offices in your state are saying. For each, please indicate whether you are much more likely, somewhat more likely, a little more likely, or no more likely to support the REPUBLICAN candidate who says that. Much Smwt Little No Much/ Total More More More More Smwt More Likly Likly Likly Likly Likly Likly 89 (GROWTH CONT) After 8 years of stagnation, we are finally growing our economy for the middle class again. 3.5 million new U.S. jobs. The stockmarket is at record highs. We received the biggest tax cut in history. The middle class is getting higher paychecks and more take home pay. More companies are investing and bringing jobs to my state I am running to keep growing our economy, paychecks and opportunities for everyone here in my state RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (PRO TAX CUT) I supported the middle class tax cut, so now millions of Americans have more take-home pay. We nearly doubled the standard deduction and doubled the child tax credit so the typical family of 4 will see their taxes slashed in half. That is the sort of real relief the middle class here in my state deserves, and that will always be my top priority RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (NOT CLINTON) If my opponent had their way, Hillary Clinton would be President. She called people who didn't vote for her "deplorables" who want to take the country "backward." But the places she won are flooding our state with heroin, providing sanctuary to criminal illegal immigrants and have the highest crime rates. I'm running to stand with Donald Trump to move my state forward RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:bgrepmsg)

22 22 Q.91 These are some things that Democrats are saying about the Republicans running for US Congress and offices in your state. For each, please indicate whether it raises very serious doubts, somewhat serious doubts, minor doubts, and no real doubts about the Republican candidate. Very Smwt No Very/ Ser Ser Minor Real Smwt Total Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts 92 (HEALTH CARE COSTS) Republicans promised my state better, cheaper health care. Instead they supported plans to massively cut Medicaid, raise prices on older workers, and eliminate protection for pre-existing conditions. Drug and insurance companies even got a new tax cut even though they are still raising prices on us here in my state. Enough politics and broken promises on health care RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (TAX CUT TRICKLE DOWN) Trickle-down economics only works for the rich and big corporations, not middle class families of my state. But Republicans like my opponent supported the new $2.2 trillion trickle-down tax law which gives 83 percent of the cuts to the top 1 percent, including their big corporate campaign donors. That is money that should have been used to invest in public schools, infrastructure, and bringing down health care costs here in my state RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (GUNS) Sandy Hook, Orlando, Las Vegas, Texas, and now Parkland. For too long Republicans beholden to the NRA gun lobby's campaign contributions have held commonsense gun laws hostage. My opponent is taking donations from the NRA and gun manufacturers and refuses to stand with our children begging for universal background checks and a ban on assault weapons. (SPLIT A) Enough is enough! / (SPLIT B) I support

23 23 the Second Amendment but enough is enough! RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (ref:bgrepdbt) Q.94 These are some things that Republicans are saying about the Democrats running for U.S. Congress and offices in your state. For each, please indicate whether it raises very serious doubts, somewhat serious doubts, minor doubts, and no real doubts about the Democratic candidate. Very Smwt No Very/ Ser Ser Minor Real Smwt Total Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts Dbts 96 (SANCTUARY CITIES) My opponent and the Democratic Party bosses want to give amnesty to millions of illegal immigrants and protect Sanctuary Cities which put illegal immigrants who commit crimes, like MS-13, back on the street. Our cities should be Sanctuaries for Americans not for criminal aliens! RAE Working Class Women Diverse States (TAX CUT NO VOTE) Tax reform is giving much needed tax relief to middle class families, but Democrats like my opponent opposed it. They say that the average savings of $2,000 per family is crumbs. They want to raise taxes on the middle class, not preserve these new tax cuts that are growing paychecks and creating jobs RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States (TYPICAL LIBERAL) My opponent is just another typical liberal politician following the Democratic Party bosses and their extreme agenda. Higher taxes, no changes to Obamacare, amnesty for illegal immigrants, wasteful spending, job-killing regulations, and weak on crime. My state needs an independent thinker, not more liberal

24 24 partisans RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Diverse States Diverse States (ref:bgdemdbt) Q.97 Now let me ask you again. Do you think the Democrats or Donald Trump and the Republicans would do a better a job on the economy? Democrats much better Democrats somewhat better Donald Trump and Republicans somewhat better Donald Trump and Republicans much better Total Democrats Total Trump and Republicans Democrats - Trump/Republicans (ref:betjobe2) Q.98 Thinking again about the election for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices in November, what are the chances of you voting in the election in November? Almost certain Probably Will not vote Not sure (ref:cp182) Q.99 Thinking again about the election for U.S. Congress in November, if the election for

25 25 Congress were held today, who would you vote for? The Democratic candidate Lean The Democratic candidate The Republican candidate Lean The Republican candidate (Undecided/Refused) Total The Democratic candidate Total The Republican candidate (ref:gcn18vt2) Q.101 How certain are you that you would vote for that candidate are you very certain, somewhat certain or not certain at all? Strong Dem candidate Weak Dem candidate Weak Rep candidate Strong Rep candidate (Undecided) (ref:cert2) [2497 Respondents] Q.102 (SKIP IF CO, GA) Thinking again about the election for U.S. Senate in November, if the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? (Democratic candidate) Lean (Democratic candidate) (Republican candidate) Lean (Republican candidate) (Undecided/Refused) Total (Democratic candidate) Total (Republican candidate) (ref:sen18vt2) [215 Respondents] Q.104 (MN ONLY) Thinking again about the election for U.S. Senate in November, if the

26 26 election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? Democrat Amy Klobuchar Lean Democrat Amy Klobuchar Republican Jim Newberger Lean Republican Jim Newberger (Undecided/Refused) Total Democrat Amy Klobuchar Total Republican Jim Newberger (ref:sen18vt2ak) [215 Respondents] Q.106 (MN ONLY) Thinking again about the election for U.S. Senate in November, if the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? Democrat Tina Smith Lean Democrat Tina Smith Republican Karin Housley Lean Republican Karin Housley (Undecided/Refused) Total Democrat Tina Smith Total Republican Karin Housley (ref:sen18vt2ts) Q.108 Thinking again about the election for Governor in your state in November, will you vote for? (Democratic candidate) Lean (Democratic candidate) (Republican candidate) Lean (Republican candidate) (Undecided/Refused) Total (Democratic candidate) Total (Republican candidate) (ref:gov18vt2) Q.110 Now let me ask you again, how interested are you in the elections in November for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices? Please rate your interest from 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you have no interest in this election and 10 meaning that you are extremely

27 27 interested. You can choose any number between 1 and (Don't know/refused) Mean (ref:intrst2) Q.111 Which of the following statements comes closest to your point of view? I support Donald Trump but I would still like to see some Democrats in other offices I support Donald Trump and I want more Republicans who will work with him in other offices I don't support Donald Trump and I want more Democrats who will be a check on him in other offices I don't support Donald Trump but I would still like to see Republicans in other offices Total Support Trump Total Not Support Trump Support - Not Support (ref:check) Q.112 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2016 election for president between Hillary

28 28 Clinton and Donald Trump. Were you able to vote, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted I was too young to vote I was not registered to vote I can't remember if I voted Did not vote Not sure (ref:vote16web) [2783 Respondents] Q.113 (IF VOTED IN VOTE16WEB) In the 2016 election for president, did you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Evan McMullin Other Not sure (ref:vote2016) Q.114 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2012 election for president between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. Were you able to vote, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted I was too young to vote I was not registered to vote Did not vote I can't remember if I voted Not sure (ref:vote12web) [2494 Respondents] Q.115 (IF VOTED IN VOTE12WEB) In the 2012 election for president, did you vote for

29 29 Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney Gary Johnson Jill Stein Virgil Goode Other Not sure (ref:vote2012) Q.116 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? Strong Democrat Weak Democrat Independent-lean Democrat Independent Independent-lean Republican Weak Republican Strong Republican (Don't know/refused) (ref:ptyid1) Q.119 Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal? Liberal Moderate Conservative (Don't know/refused) (ref:ideo1)

30 30 Q.120 Which one of these best describes yourself? Observant Catholic observant Catholic Evangelical Christian evangelical Protestant Jewish Muslim No religious affiliation Other Prefer not to say (ref:relig4) Q.121 How often do you attend religious services? More than once a week Once a week Once or twice a month Several times a year Hardly ever Never Prefer not to say (ref:relig2) Q.122 Are you currently... Please select all that apply. Employed full-time Employed part-time Unemployed/Temporarily out of work Not in the market for work Retired Homemaker Student Other (ref:employ1)

31 31 [1533 Respondents] Q.123 (IF EMPLOYED) What is your job title? collar Retail Healthcare worker Blue collar Teacher Executive Technical Professional Government Food Service Construction/Landscaping Military Grey collar Arts/Entertainment Other (ref:employ2) Q.124 How many children 18 years of age of younger live in your home? or more (ref:kids) Q.125 Last year, that is in 2016, what was your total family income from all sources, before

32 32 taxes? Less than $10K $10K to under $20K $20K to under $30K $30K to under $50K $50K to under $75K $75K to under $100K $100K or more (Refused) (Don't know) (ref:income) Q1. What is your gender? Male Female (ref:gender) Q.2 In what year were you born? and over (No answer) (ref:age) Q.3 Are you married, single, living with a partner, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married Single Separated/Divorced Widowed Living with a partner (ref:marital)

33 33 Q.4 What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade High School graduate college post H.S Some college College graduate Post-graduate school (Don't know/refused) (ref:educ) Q.5 What is your race? African-American or Black Hispanic or Latino Native American Asian Other Prefer not to say (ref:racethn) Q.8 In which state do you live? Arizona Colorado Florida Georgia Michigan Minnesota Nevada New Mexico Ohio Pennsylvania Tennessee Wisconsin (ref:locstate)