MCLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL SecureAmericaNow.org February 6, 2017

Transcription

1 MCLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL SecureAmericaNow.org February 6, FOR THE 2018 NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION FOR CONGRESS, HOW LIKELY WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE TO VOTE? VERY LIKELY 80.2 SOMEWHAT LIKELY GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU SAY THINGS IN THE UNITED STATES ARE GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION, OR HAVE THEY GOTTEN OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? RIGHT DIRECTION 35.2 WRONG TRACK 55.4 DON'T KNOW 9.4 Net Diff GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU LIKE THE NEXT PRESIDENT, DONALD TRUMP, AND CONGRESS TO? 1. CONTINUE THE POLICIES OF PRESIDENT OBAMA, OR 2. CHANGE DIRECTION AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE POLICIES OF PRESIDENT OBAMA CONTINUE OBAMA POLS CHANGE DIRECTION 49.3 DON'T KNOW 11.4 Net Diff DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE JOB DONALD TRUMP IS DOING AS PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES? APPROVE 47.6 Strongly 25.1 Somewhat 22.5 DISAPPROVE 47.8 Somewhat 12.8 Strongly 35.0 DON'T KNOW 4.6 Net Diff Mean 2.40

2 5. IF THE ELECTION FOR U.S. CONGRESS IN YOUR DISTRICT WERE HELD TODAY, WOULD YOU BE MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE OR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE? REPUBLICAN 44.0 Definitely 24.6 Probably 10.7 Lean 8.6 DEMOCRATIC 42.4 Definitely 27.2 Probably 9.6 Lean 5.6 UNDECIDED 13.6 Net Diff IN THIS PAST NOVEMBER ELECTION FOR PRESIDENT, FOR WHOM DID YOU VOTE? HILLARY CLINTON 39.4 DONALD TRUMP 38.2 GARY JOHNSON 3.9 JILL STEIN 2.3 EVAN MCMULLIN 0.7 OTHER CANDIDATE 3.3 NOT VOTE/PRESIDENT 2.2 NOT VOTE AT ALL 6.0 DK/REFUSED HOW IMPORTANT WERE NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES IN DECIDING YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT AND CONGRESS? IMPORTANT 87.5 Very Important 58.6 Somewhat Important 29.0 NOT IMPORTANT 8.6 Not that Important 6.5 Not Important at All 2.2 DK/REFUSE 3.8 Net Diff WHICH COUNTRY IS THE GREATEST THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES? IRAN 15.8 RUSSIA 15.5 CHINA 7.9 UNITED STATES 6.5 NORTH KOREA 6.4 IRAQ 4.3 M.E./ARAB COUNTRIES 3.5 SYRIA 2.9 SAUDI ARABIA 1.9 MEXICO 1.8 ISIS 1.7 KOREA(NON-SPECIFIC) 1.1 ISRAEL 0.6 AFGHANISTAN 0.5 PAKISTAN 0.5 SUDAN 0.2 LIBYA 0.2 SOUTH KOREA 0.1 SERBIA 0.1 TURKEY 0.1 AUSTRALIA 0.1 YEMEN 0.1 VENEZUELA 0.1 UNITED KINGDOM 0.1 SOMALIA 0.1 EGYPT 0.1 JAPAN 0.1 CANADA 0.1 EUROPEAN UNION 0.1 COLOMBIA 0.1 DK/REFUSED 27.5

3 9. WHICH COUNTRY IS THE SECOND GREATEST THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES? IRAN 13.6 RUSSIA 11.6 CHINA 10.2 NORTH KOREA 7.3 IRAQ 5.5 SYRIA 4.7 KOREA(NON-SPECIFIC) 1.8 UNITED STATES 1.7 SAUDI ARABIA 1.6 MEXICO 1.5 M.E./ARAB COUNTRIES 1.4 PAKISTAN 1.4 AFGHANISTAN 1.3 ISRAEL 1.1 ISIS 0.9 JAPAN 0.8 YEMEN 0.3 UNITED KINGDOM 0.2 SOUTH KOREA 0.2 TURKEY 0.2 SERBIA 0.1 CHILE 0.1 EGYPT 0.1 QATAR 0.1 SUDAN 0.1 CUBA 0.1 KUWAIT 0.1 COLOMBIA 0.1 DK/REFUSED 31.9 COMBO. WHICH COUNTRY IS THE GREATEST THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES? IRAN 28.9 RUSSIA 26.7 CHINA 18.0 NORTH KOREA 13.8 IRAQ 9.6 SYRIA 7.7 UNITED STATES 7.6 M.E./ARAB COUNTRIES 4.7 SAUDI ARABIA 3.4 MEXICO 3.2 KOREA(NON-SPECIFIC) 2.8 ISIS 2.6 AFGHANISTAN 1.9 PAKISTAN 1.9 ISRAEL 1.7 JAPAN 0.8 YEMEN 0.4 SUDAN 0.3 SOUTH KOREA 0.3 UNITED KINGDOM 0.3 TURKEY 0.3 SERBIA 0.2 EGYPT 0.2 LIBYA 0.2 COLOMBIA 0.2 AUSTRALIA 0.1 CHILE 0.1 VENEZUELA 0.1 QATAR 0.1 SOMALIA 0.1 CUBA 0.1 CANADA 0.1 KUWAIT 0.1 EUROPEAN UNION 0.1 DK/REFUSED HOW IMPORTANT AN ALLY IS ISRAEL TO KEEPING PEACE AND SECURITY IN THE MIDDLE EAST TO THE U.S. AND ITS ALLIES? IMPORTANT 81.5 Very Important 52.2 Somewhat Important 29.3 NOT IMPORTANT 7.6 Not that Important 5.1 Not Important at All 2.5 UNSURE 10.9 Net Diff DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT? "ISRAEL IS AN ASSET TO THE US IN THE FIGHT AGAINST THE THREAT OF ISLAMIC TERRORISM" (Net Diff. = AGREE-DISAGREE) AGREE 75.0 Strongly 39.7 Somewhat 35.3 DISAGREE 13.4 Somewhat 9.3 Strongly 4.1 DK/REFUSE 11.6 Net Diff. 61.6

4 12. ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "DESTROYING THE RADICAL TERRORIST STATE ISIS AND TAKING AWAY THEIR SAFE HAVENS FOR TERRORISM." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 5.7 Mean ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "ELIMINATING NORTH KOREA S NUCLEAR AND MISSILE PROGRAMS." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 6.4 Mean 8.08

5 14. ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "PROTECTING THE UNITED STATES FROM CYBER-ATTACKS ON THE INTERNET." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 4.7 Mean ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "PREVENTING TERROR ATTACKS WITHIN THE UNITED STATES." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 4.8 Mean 8.78

6 16. ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "SECURING AMERICA S BORDERS BY FIXING OUR BROKEN IMMIGRATION SYSTEM." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 5.2 Mean ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "PROVIDING OUR LOCAL POLICE WITH THE SUPPORT THEY NEED TO DO THEIR JOB TO KEEP OUR COMMUNITIES SAFE." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 5.1 Mean 8.19

7 18. ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "DEPORTING ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS WHO ARE KNOWN CRIMINALS." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 5.3 Mean ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "INCREASING SPENDING TO STRENGTHEN OUR MILITARY." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 4.7 Mean 7.17

8 20. ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "STOPPING IRAN FROM OBTAINING A NUCLEAR WEAPON." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 5.5 Mean ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "STOPPING IRAN FROM SPREADING TERRORISM AND WAR THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 5.7 Mean 8.00

9 22. ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "HELPING MIDDLE EAST CHRISTIANS WHO ARE ONGOING VICTIMS OF PERSECUTION AND ETHNIC CLEANSING BY ISLAMIC RADICALS." VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT DON'T KNOW/REFUSE 6.5 Mean 7.33 SumTable. ON A SCALE OF ZERO TO TEN, WHERE ZERO IS NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL AND TEN IS MOST IMPORTANT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING "SUMMARY MEANS" DOMESTIC TERROR 8.78 DESTROY ISIS 8.54 IRAN NUCLEAR WEAPON 8.36 CYBER-ATTACKS 8.27 LOCAL POLICE 8.19 NORTH KOREA 8.08 IRAN SPREAD TERROR 8.00 DEPORT CRIMINAL ILLEGALS 7.86 MIDDLE EAST CHRISTIANS 7.33 SECURE BORDERS 7.32 MILITARY SPENDING IF YOU KNEW THAT IRAN IS VIOLATING THE NUCLEAR DEAL BY CONTINUING TO DEVELOP INTERCONTINENTAL NUCLEAR WEAPONS, INCREASING ITS STOCKPILE OF NUCLEAR FUELS, AND SUPPORTING ITS MILITARY EXPANSION THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST WITH BILLIONS GOTTEN FROM THE NUCLEAR DEAL, WOULD YOU SUPPORT ENDING THE NUCLEAR DEAL WITH IRAN? YES 68.6 NO 8.6 UNSURE 22.8 Net Diff. 60.1

10 24. WOULD YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE UNITED STATES SELLING BUNKER BUSTER BOMBS AND REFUELING JETS TO ISRAEL WHICH WILL BE SEEN AS A THREAT TO IRAN S UNDERGROUND NUCLEAR WEAPONS FACILITIES? APPROVE 54.0 Strongly 28.4 Somewhat 25.6 DISAPPROVE 22.3 Somewhat 11.7 Strongly 10.6 DON'T KNOW 23.7 Net Diff Mean THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD WAS IMPLICATED IN THE LARGEST TERRORIST FINANCING CASE IN U.S. HISTORY AND OUTLAWED BY FIVE COUNTRIES AS EGYPT, THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES, SAUDI ARABIA, SYRIA, AND RUSSIA HAVE ALL DESIGNATED THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD AS A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION. SHOULD THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ALSO DESIGNATE THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD AS A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION? YES 58.4 NO 8.6 UNSURE 32.9 Net Diff DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF PRESIDENT TRUMP S EXECUTIVE ORDER TO STOP IMMIGRATION FOR 90 DAYS FROM THE FOLLOWING FAILED MIDDLE EASTERN COUNTRIES: IRAN, IRAQ, LIBYA, SOMALIA, SUDAN, SYRIA AND YEMEN SO WE CAN INCREASE OUR SECURITY CHECKS OF THESE REFUGEES? APPROVE 56.5 Strongly 35.8 Somewhat 20.7 DISAPPROVE 36.6 Somewhat 13.9 Strongly 22.7 DON'T KNOW 6.9 Net Diff Mean THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS TRYING TO BAN TERRORISTS. THE TERRORISTS HAPPEN TO BE ISLAMIC RADICALS. THESE TERRORISTS HAPPEN TO GET THEIR SUPPORT AND COME FROM CERTAIN MIDDLE EAST COUNTRIES WHO ARE MAJORITY MUSLIM. WITHOUT PENALIZING ALL MUSLIMS WE NEED TO SCREEN OUT POSSIBLE TERRORISTS FROM THE REFUGEES COMING TO THE UNITED STATES. SINCE THE CURRENT FBI AND HOMELAND SECURITY DIRECTORS, CANNOT CERTIFY THAT A REFUGEE FROM THESE 7 COUNTRIES IS NOT A TERRORIST, DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE THAT WE NEED TO PAUSE AND TAKE A 90 DAY BREAK FROM ALLOWING REFUGEES FROM THESE COUNTRIES TO ENTER THE U.S., UNTIL A SYSTEM IS IN PLACE THAT ASSURES THAT EACH REFUGEE IS NOT A THREAT TO AMERICANS? AGREE 61.3 Strongly 37.9 Somewhat 23.3 DISAGREE 28.4 Somewhat 11.6 Strongly 16.8 DON'T KNOW 10.4 Net Diff Mean 2.92

11 28. BEFORE LEAVING OFFICE PRESIDENT OBAMA SENT $221 MILLION TO THE PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF PRESIDENT TRUMP FREEZING THIS MONEY UNTIL THE PALESTINIANS RECOGNIZE ISRAEL S RIGHT TO EXIST AND STOP SUPPORTING TERRORISM AGAINST ISRAEL? APPROVE 58.7 Strongly 37.8 Somewhat 20.9 DISAPPROVE 24.6 Somewhat 12.1 Strongly 12.5 DON'T KNOW 16.7 Net Diff Mean THE U.S. CURRENTLY CONTRIBUTES $3 BILLION PER YEAR TO THE UNITED NATIONS, MORE THAN A QUARTER OF THE U.N. S COMBINED GENERAL AND PEACEKEEPING BUDGETS. SHOULD THE U.S. INCREASE, DECREASE OR MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT LEVEL OF UNITED NATIONS FUNDING? INCREASE U.N. FUNDING 8.1 DECREASE U.N. FUNDING 43.8 MAINTAIN U.N. FUNDING 32.9 UNSURE 15.2 Net Diff DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF PRESIDENT TRUMP S EXECUTIVE ORDER TO END CATCH AND RELEASE AND MAKE THE DEPORTATION OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS WHO ARE CRIMINALS A TOP PRIORITY? APPROVE 68.5 Strongly 43.7 Somewhat 24.8 DISAPPROVE 20.7 Somewhat 10.4 Strongly 10.3 DON'T KNOW 10.8 Net Diff Mean DO YOU SUPPORT OR OPPOSE CUTTING OFF FEDERAL GRANTS TO CITIES THAT BREAK THE LAW BY REFUSING TO TURN IN CRIMINAL ILLEGAL ALIENS? SUPPORT 58.6 Strongly 39.7 Somewhat 18.9 OPPOSE 28.5 Somewhat 11.6 Strongly 16.9 DON'T KNOW 12.9 Net Diff Mean 2.93

12 32. FROM THE FOLLOWING LIST, WHAT SOCIAL NETWORKS DO YOU USE? FACEBOOK 79.4 TWITTER 33.9 GOOGLE PINTEREST 30.8 INSTAGRAM 30.3 LINKED-IN 24.7 SNAPCHAT 16.9 TUMBLR 7.5 REDDIT 7.2 WHATSAPP 3.5 MEERKAT 0.5 OTHER THINKING ABOUT A POLITICAL PARTY, WOULD YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF A? REPUBLICAN 33.0 DEMOCRAT 36.0 INDEPENDENT/OTHER IF YOU WERE TO LABEL YOURSELF, WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE A LIBERAL, A MODERATE, OR A CONSERVATIVE IN YOUR POLITICAL BELIEFS? LIBERAL 26.2 Very 12.1 Somewhat 14.1 MODERATE 38.7 CONSERVATIVE 35.1 Somewhat 20.0 Very 15.1 Mean WHAT IS YOUR RELIGION? PROTESTANT 45.2 CATHOLIC 26.8 JEWISH 3.4 MUSLIM 0.9 MORMON 1.8 EASTERN/GREEK/ORTHO. 0.4 BUDDHIST 1.0 ATHEIST/AGNOSTIC 17.5 OTHER 2.9

13 36. DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF AN EVANGELICAL OR BORN-AGAIN CHRISTIAN? (ASKED ONLY TO PROTESTANTS) Total Answering 452 YES 58.8 NO WHAT IS CURRENTLY YOUR MARITAL STATUS? SINGLE 33.6 Never Married 24.8 Live w/sig. Other 8.7 MARRIED 48.0 SEPARATED 2.1 DIVORCED 11.5 WIDOWED HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE YOUR PRESENT EMPLOYMENT SITUATION A JOB IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR, A JOB WITH THE GOVERNMENT, SELF-EMPLOYED, HOMEMAKER, STUDENT, RETIRED OR NOT EMPLOYED? EMPLOYED 50.9 Private Sector 34.6 Government 7.0 Self-Employed 9.3 HOMEMAKER 10.0 STUDENT 5.4 RETIRED 22.9 NOT EMPLOYED WHAT IS YOUR ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME? UNDER $20k 16.9 $20-$40k 23.2 $40-$60k 19.5 $60-$100k 24.1 $100-$150k 11.1 $150-$200k 3.3 $200-$250k 0.9 OVER $250k 1.0 Mean 63214

14 40. ARE YOU OR IS ANY MEMBER OF YOUR IMMEDIATE FAMILY A VETERAN, A MEMBER OF THE ARMED FORCES ON ACTIVE DUTY, OR EMPLOYED IN A MILITARY-RELATED INDUSTRY? YES 39.9 Veteran 31.3 Active Duty 3.1 Military Rel. Empl. 1.8 More than One 3.8 NO/NONE FROM THE FOLLOWING LIST, WHAT IS THE LAST GRADE OF FORMAL EDUCATION YOU HAVE COMPLETED? LESS/COLLEGE GRAD 52.6 Less/H.S. Diploma 3.2 High School Grad Some College/Trade 31.5 COLLEGE GRADUATE 47.4 College Graduate 33.4 Post-Graduate Degree OF ALL THE PERSONAL TELEPHONE CALLS THAT YOU RECEIVE, THAT IS CALLS NOT RELATED TO YOUR JOB, DO YOU? CELL PHONE 67.0 Only 49.2 Mostly 17.9 BOTH EQUALLY 18.8 LANDLINE PHONE 14.2 Mostly 10.1 Only WHAT TYPE OF DEVICE DID YOU USE TO COMPLETE THIS SURVEY? DESKTOP 27.6 LAPTOP 45.8 TABLET 11.2 MOBILE DEVICE/CELL-PHONE ARE YOU OR IS A MEMBER OF YOUR IMMEDIATE FAMILY FROM A LATINO, HISPANIC OR SPANISH SPEAKING BACKGROUND? YES 11.1 NO 88.9

15 45. WHAT IS YOUR MAIN RACIAL BACKGROUND? HISPANIC 11.1 AFRICAN AMERICAN 12.1 ASIAN 4.0 WHITE 71.0 OTHER WHAT IS YOUR AGE? ARE YOU BETWEEN OVER Mean GENDER: MALE 47.0 FEMALE REGION: NEW ENGLAND 5.1 MIDDLE ATLANTIC 12.4 EAST NORTH CENTRAL 16.0 WEST NORTH CENTRAL 7.6 SOUTH ATLANTIC 21.2 EAST SOUTH CENTRAL 5.9 WEST SOUTH CENTRAL 10.1 MOUNTAIN 7.2 PACIFIC AREA: EAST 17.5 MIDWEST 23.6 SOUTH 37.2 WEST 21.7