Center for American Progress National Online Post-Election Survey

Transcription

1 Center for American Progress National Online Post-Election Survey November 9-14, Total November 2016 Voters (940 Trump Voters, 960 Clinton Voters) Q.4 Are you currently registered to vote in (STATE)? Yes No Not sure (ref:screen1) Q.5 As you may know, there was an election this past Tuesday, November 8th for president, Congress, and other offices. Did you vote in this year's election or were you unable to vote for some reason? Yes, voted No, did not vote (ref:vote16) Q.6 Did you vote on Election Day or prior to Election Day during early voting, by mail, or by absentee ballot? Voted on Election Day Voted prior to Election Day (ref:earlyvote) Q.7 Thinking about your vote for president this year, when did you decide on which candidate and party to support in 2016? In the final few days of the election In the month before the election In the summer before the election Earlier Don't remember (ref:decide) 1901 L Street, NW Suite 702, Washington, DC Tel: Fax: gbastrategies.com

2 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Q.8 Thinking about the presidential election in 2016, whom did you vote for this year? Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton Republican candidate, Donald Trump Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson Green Party candidate, Jill Stein Another candidate Did not vote in the Presidential election Hillary Clinton - Donald Trump (ref:presvote) Q.9 If you HAD to choose only between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump for president in 2016, which candidate would you have voted for? Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton Republican candidate, Donald Trump Did not vote/would not have voted Hillary Clinton - Donald Trump (ref:twoway) Q.10 Thinking about the election for the U.S. House of Representatives in your congressional district, whom did you vote for this year? The Democratic candidate for Congress The Republican candidate for Congress Another candidate for Congress Did not vote in the Congressional election Democratic candidate - Republican candidate (ref:congvote)

3 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Q.11 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...? Strong Democrat Weak Democrat Independent-lean Democrat Independent Independent-lean Republican Weak Republican Strong Republican (ref:ptyid1) [1156 Voters] Q.14 (IF NOT REPUBLICAN OR LEAN REPUBLICAN IN Q.11) Did you vote in the Democratic Party primary or caucus in your state this year? Yes No (ref:demprim) [671 Voters] Q.15 (IF YES IN Q.14) Regardless of whom you voted for president in the general election, which candidate did you vote for in this year's Democratic Party primary or caucus? Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Martin O'Malley Another candidate (ref:demvote)

4 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, [990 Voters] Q.16 (IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR LEAN DEMOCRAT IN Q.11) Did you vote in the Republican Party primary or caucus in your state this year? Yes No (ref:repprim) [584 Voters] Q.17 (IF YES IN Q.16) Regardless of whom you voted for president in the general election, which candidate did you vote for in this year's Republican Party primary or caucus? Donald Trump Ted Cruz Marco Rubio John Kasich Ben Carson Jeb Bush Rand Paul Mike Huckabee Rick Santorum Chris Christie Carly Fiorina Jim Gilmore Another candidate (ref:repvote) Q.18 Thinking about the past two congressional mid-term elections in 2010 and 2014, did you vote in either or both of these elections? Voted in both 2010 and Voted only in Voted only in Did not vote in either election Don't remember (ref:midtermvote)

5 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Q.19 Which of the following best describes your political perspective? Liberal Progressive Moderate Conservative Libertarian Other (ref:selfideo) Q.20 Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Total Approve Total Disapprove Approve - Disapprove (ref:boapprove)

6 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Now, please rate your feelings toward some different people and groups, with 100 meaning a very warm, favorable feeling; 0 meaning a very cold, unfavorable feeling; and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from 0 to 100, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or group. If you are not sure or are unfamiliar with that person or group, just mark that. Mean Fav Unfav ID 21 Barack Obama Trump Voters Clinton Voters Hillary Clinton Trump Voters Clinton Voters Donald Trump Trump Voters Clinton Voters Bernie Sanders Trump Voters Clinton Voters Elizabeth Warren Trump Voters Clinton Voters Paul Ryan Trump Voters Clinton Voters Mitch McConnell Trump Voters Clinton Voters The Tea Party movement Trump Voters Clinton Voters The Black Lives Matter movement Trump Voters Clinton Voters (ref:therm)

7 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Q.30 On a scale of 0 to 100, what percent of the time do you think you can trust the federal government? Under Mean (ref:govtrustscale) Q.31 On a scale of 0 to 100, when the government tries to solve a problem, what percent of the time do you feel confident that it will actually make a difference in helping to solve the problem? Under Mean (ref:govconfidence)

8 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Q.32 How much would you say that you have personally benefited from the things that government does? A great deal A fair amount Some Very little Not at all A great deal/fair amount Very little/not at all (ref:benefit) Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following statements. Smwt Strng Total Agree Strng Smwt Dis- Dis- Total Dis- - Agree Agree agree agree Agree agree Dis 33 The wealthy and big corporations are the ones really running this country Trump Voters Clinton Voters Ordinary people's opinions are more honest and correct than those of experts in politics and the media Trump Voters Clinton Voters I am comfortable living in a more diverse America and being around people who come from a different racial, ethnic, or religious background than me Trump Voters Clinton Voters Our government is rigged in favor of the very rich and the very poor, and the middle class gets left behind Trump Voters Clinton Voters Globalization and international trade have done more to hurt than to benefit people like me Trump Voters Clinton Voters (ref:agree)

9 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Q.38 Thinking about your vote for president this year, would you say your vote was based... Mostly on the character of the candidates Mostly on the issue positions of the candidates and parties (ref:votebased) Q.39 (CLINTON VOTERS ONLY) Which of the following was the most important influence on your vote for Hillary Clinton for president this year? Clinton Voters I wanted to vote for the policy agenda of Hillary Clinton and the Democrats I wanted to vote against Donald Trump and everything he stands for I wanted to vote for Hillary Clinton and the chance to support the first woman president (ref:hcvotebased) Q.40 (TRUMP VOTERS ONLY) Which of the following was the most important influence on your vote for Donald Trump for president this year? Trump Voters I wanted to vote for Donald Trump and the chance to shake up the political establishment I wanted to vote for the policy agenda of Donald Trump and the Republicans I wanted to vote against Hillary Clinton and everything she stands for (ref:dtvotebased) [80 Voters] Q.41 (IF JOHNSON OR STEIN IN Q.8) Which of the following was the most important influence on your vote for president this year? Total I wanted to vote against both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton and everything they stand for I wanted to vote for that candidate and the chance to challenge two-party rule I wanted to vote for the policy agenda of that candidate and the policy agenda of the (CANDIDATE PARTY) (ref:thirdvotebased)

10 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, [1000 Voters each in Splits A and B] Below is a list of important issues that people might consider when making decisions about their vote for president. For each one, indicate on a scale of 0-10 how important that particular issue was for you in determining your vote for president this year. A 0 means that issue was of no importance to you in terms of determining your vote; a 10 means that issue was extremely important to you in determining your vote; you can use any number between 0 and 10. Mean (SPLIT A) Creating new jobs and raising wages Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Ensuring equal pay for equal work Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Investing in physical infrastructure like roads, bridges, airports, and public transportation Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Protecting women's reproductive health choices on abortion and contraception Trump Voters Clinton Voters Increasing taxation on the wealthiest Americans Trump Voters Clinton Voters Creating a national paid family and medical leave plan Trump Voters Clinton Voters Expanding support for families facing high child care costs Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Lowering health care and prescription drug prices Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Protecting Social Security and Medicare Trump Voters Clinton Voters

11 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Mean Addressing climate change Trump Voters Clinton Voters Ensuring equal rights for LGBT Americans Trump Voters Clinton Voters Addressing structural racism and reforming the criminal justice system Trump Voters Clinton Voters Making college education more affordable Trump Voters Clinton Voters Creating a path for citizenship for undocumented immigrants Trump Voters Clinton Voters Getting special interest money out of politics Trump Voters Clinton Voters Appointing good justices to the Supreme Court and other federal courts Trump Voters Clinton Voters Preventing gun crimes and reducing gun violence Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Fighting terrorism and ISIS in the Middle East Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Blocking new trade deals Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Building a wall along the Mexican border Trump Voters Clinton Voters

12 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Mean (SPLIT B) Repealing the Affordable Care Act, or Obamacare Trump Voters Clinton Voters Lowering taxes for corporations Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Reducing the overall size of government and cutting government spending Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Ensuring no infringements on the Second Amendment Trump Voters Clinton Voters (ref:issues) [1000 Voters each in Splits A and B] Below is the same list of issues. For each one, indicate on a scale of 0-10 how much of a priority that particular issue should be for the next president and Congress to address. A 0 means that issue should not be a priority for the next president and Congress; a 10 means that issue should be one of the highest priorities for the next president and Congress; you can use any number between 0 and 10. Mean (SPLIT A) Creating new jobs and raising wages Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Ensuring equal pay for equal work Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Investing in physical infrastructure like roads, bridges, airports, and public transportation Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Protecting women's reproductive health choices on abortion and contraception Trump Voters Clinton Voters Increasing taxation on the wealthiest Americans Trump Voters Clinton Voters

13 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Mean Creating a national paid family and medical leave plan Trump Voters Clinton Voters Expanding support for families facing high child care costs Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Lowering health care and prescription drug prices Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Protecting Social Security and Medicare Trump Voters Clinton Voters Addressing climate change Trump Voters Clinton Voters Ensuring equal rights for LGBT Americans Trump Voters Clinton Voters Addressing structural racism and reforming the criminal justice system Trump Voters Clinton Voters Making college education more affordable Trump Voters Clinton Voters Creating a path for citizenship for undocumented immigrants Trump Voters Clinton Voters Getting special interest money out of politics Trump Voters Clinton Voters

14 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Mean Appointing good justices to the Supreme Court and other federal courts Trump Voters Clinton Voters Preventing gun crimes and reducing gun violence Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Fighting terrorism and ISIS in the Middle East Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Blocking new trade deals Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Building a wall along the Mexican border Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Repealing the Affordable Care Act, or Obamacare Trump Voters Clinton Voters Lowering taxes for corporations Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT A) Reducing the overall size of government and cutting government spending Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT B) Ensuring no infringements on the Second Amendment Trump Voters Clinton Voters (ref:priority)

15 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, [1000 Voters each in Splits C and D] Thinking about steps the next president and Congress might take to address specific issues, please tell me whether you would support or oppose the following proposals. Sup Strng Smwt Smwt Strng Total Total - Sup Sup Opp Opp Sup Opp Opp 90 (SPLIT C) Invest $1 trillion over the next five years to improve our nation's infrastructure by upgrading and building new roads, bridges, airports, and public transportation options like commuter trains, light rail, buses, and subways Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT D) Invest $1 trillion over next five years on comprehensive infrastructure needs including physical infrastructure like roads, bridges, airports and public transport; energy infrastructure to increase production and use of clean energy; and human infrastructure to help workers with good jobs that pay decent wages, affordable education, and child care support Trump Voters Clinton Voters Create a national paid family and medical leave program that would provide workers some income for up to 12 weeks of leave from their jobs if they have a new child, face a serious illness, or need to care for a seriously ill family member Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT C) Increase federal investments in childcare to ensure that no family in America pays more than 10 percent of its income on highquality child care Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT D) Increase federal investments in childcare to ensure that every family in America has access to a high-quality child care facility in their neighborhood or near their place of employment Trump Voters Clinton Voters

16 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Sup Strng Smwt Smwt Strng Total Total - Sup Sup Opp Opp Sup Opp Opp 95 Pass legislation to end racial profiling by federal, state, and local law enforcement; end mandatory minimum sentencing and the privatization of prisons; and restore full political and legal rights of those who have served their time Trump Voters Clinton Voters Pursue clean energy investments and regulations necessary to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by up to 30 percent in 2025, and put the country on a path to cut emissions more than 80 percent by Trump Voters Clinton Voters Hold Senate hearings and a confirmation vote for any vacant seat on the United States Supreme Court Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT C) Issue an executive order to help safeguard the integrity of our democratic institutions by requiring government contractors to fully disclose any political spending to the public Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT D) Pass legislation to ban congressional committee members from raising money from corporations or special interests that fall under the jurisdiction of their committee Trump Voters Clinton Voters (SPLIT C) Remove refugee families from privately run immigration detention centers and provide more humane treatment and better access to legal representation as they await determination of their legal status Trump Voters Clinton Voters

17 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Sup Strng Smwt Smwt Strng Total Total - Sup Sup Opp Opp Sup Opp Opp 101 (SPLIT D) Pass a single package of legislation that enhances border security, modernizes the legal immigration system, and creates a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants provided they register with the government, pay a fine and taxes, learn English, and pass criminal background checks Trump Voters Clinton Voters Pass legislation requiring background checks on all gun sales, including those sold online or at gun shows Trump Voters Clinton Voters Make college more affordable by ensuring that all students from families with incomes up to $125,000 per year pay no tuition at in-state fouryear public colleges and universities Trump Voters Clinton Voters Update anti-discrimination laws to ensure that no one is treated unequally in areas like education, housing, or employment based on their sex, race, ethnicity, religion, sexual orientation or gender identity Trump Voters Clinton Voters Pass legislation to stop voter suppression and modernize elections systems so voting is easier and more accessible for all eligible Americans Trump Voters Clinton Voters (ref:actions)

18 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Finally, a few questions for statistical purposes. Q.106 What is your gender? Male Female (ref:gender) Q.107 In what year were you born? Over (ref:age) Q.108 What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade High School graduate Non-college post H.S Some college College graduate Post-graduate school (ref:educ) Q.109 What racial or ethnic group best describes you? White African-American or Black Hispanic or Latino Asian Native American Other (ref:racethn)

19 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, Q.111 Are you married, single, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married Single Separated Divorced Widowed (ref:marital) Q.112 Do you have any children 18 years of age or younger living at home? Yes No (ref:kids) Q.113 What is your religion? Roman Catholic Baptist Non-denominational Christian Evangelical Lutheran Methodist Jewish Presbyterian Pentecostal Congregational/United Church of Christ Anglican/Episcopal Charismatic Christian Scientist Mormon Buddhist Islam Seventh Day Adventist Hindu Eastern Orthodox Unitarian Universalist Other No religious affiliation (ref:relig1)

20 Center for American Progress National Post-Election Survey: Nov. 9-14, [762 Voters] Q.114 (IF LUTHERAN, PRESBYTERIAN, CONGREGATIONAL, EVANGELICAL, CHARISMATIC, BAPTIST, METHODIST, SEVENTH DAY, PENTECOSTAL, OR NON-DENOMINATIONAL IN Q.113) Do you consider yourself to be a born-again Christian? Yes No (ref:relig2) [1996 Voters] Q.115 Last year, that is in 2015, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Less than $20, $20,000 to under $30, $30,000 to under $50, $50,000 to under $75, $75,000 to under $100, $100,000 or more (ref:income) [1999 Voters] Q.116 Do you, personally, identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, or transgender? Yes No (ref:lgbt)