GA GOP Presidential Primary 12/17/15. Fox 5 Atlanta. 538 (weighted) ±4.2% (95% confidence)
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1 Sponsor(s) Fox 5 Atlanta Target Population Sampling Method Likely presidential primary voters; Republican; Georgia; CNN debate watchers (subset) Landline: Registered Georgia voters were selected randomly and surveyed on the evening of December 16 th, 2015 on their landline telephone using an interactive voice response system. Mobile: Registered Georgia voters unable to be reached by landline were surveyed using their mobile device on December 16 th, Weighting Only respondents determined likely to vote in the 2016 Republican presidential primary were included in the survey. The poll was weighted for age, race, and gender using propensity scores, according to presidential primary turnout figures and internal projections. Total Number of Respondents 538 (weighted) Margin of Error ±4.2% (95% confidence)
2 1. If the 2016 Georgia Republican primary to determine the Republican nominee for president were held today and your choices were: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum and Donald Trump for whom would you vote? Frequency Percent Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki 3.5 Paul Rubio Trump Undecided Total
3 1. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Horse1 % % % % % % % % % % Bush 5.6% 4.9% 3.6% 9.9% 5.6% 8.7% 38.0% 4.4% 5.4% 6.5% Carson 17.1% 5.7% 5.5% 6.2% 6.3% 19.8% 6.3% 3.7% 7.7% 5.2% Christie 0.0% 1.7% 9.1% 3.8% 5.6% 12.4% 0.0% 3.7% 5.9% 5.3% Cruz 8.2% 1.7% 19.4% 19.4% 15.9% 15.0% 0.0% 19.3% 13.9% 17.6% Fiorina 3.1% 8.4% 5.4% 3.2% 5.1% 6.5% 0.0% 5.8% 4.5% 5.6% Graham 0.0%.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 3.4% 0.0% 4.4% 1.6% 1.3% Huckabee 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1.7% Kasich 0.0% 5.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 2.2% Pataki.1%.1%.8%.4%.5% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% Paul 8.8% 7.8% 0.0%.8% 2.0% 5.5% 9.8% 0.0% 3.2% 1.0% Rubio 10.1% 7.2% 15.3% 10.2% 12.0% 1.2% 9.8% 22.5% 12.5% 11.5% Santorum 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Trump 38.8% 49.8% 27.6% 35.8% 34.9% 12.7% 36.1% 32.6% 34.3% 34.9% Undecided 8.2% 7.0% 8.2% 4.5% 6.8% 11.6% 0.0% 3.7% 7.3% 6.3%
4 1. (continued) Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Horse1 % % % % % Bush 5.0% 12.2% 10.2% 6.6% 3.0% Carson 6.1% 4.7% 7.9% 6.9% 4.3% Christie 7.1% 1.9% 8.3% 7.0% 0.0% Cruz 22.8% 7.1% 12.7% 19.3% 1.2% Fiorina 3.7% 3.3% 8.4% 4.7% 6.4% Graham.9%.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.0% Huckabee 2.1% 2.3%.6% 1.8% 0.0% Kasich 1.3% 9.6% 2.6% 2.1% 3.3% Pataki 0.0% 7.5%.6%.6% 0.0% Paul.5% 0.0% 0.0%.3% 9.4% Rubio 12.8% 8.2% 15.6% 13.1% 7.3% Santorum 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Trump 33.2% 28.4% 19.3% 29.4% 56.6% Undecided 4.5% 14.3% 9.3% 6.4% 8.4%
5 2. If the 2016 Georgia Republican primary to determine the Republican nominee for president were held today and your choices were limited to the following: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? Frequency Percent Bush Carson Cruz Rubio Trump Undecided Total
6 2. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Horse2 % % % % % % % % % % Bush 5.8% 5.1% 4.7% 11.0% 6.5% 14.3% 38.0% 4.4% 7.0% 6.7% Carson 15.1% 10.6% 9.8% 7.0% 9.3% 21.6% 6.3% 3.7% 9.1% 9.5% Cruz 11.3% 7.1% 21.0% 19.7% 17.9% 17.5% 0.0% 10.1% 16.6% 18.7% Rubio 17.6% 11.2% 22.3% 18.1% 18.8% 7.8% 9.8% 37.4% 17.3% 20.3% Trump 40.8% 49.9% 35.5% 40.1% 40.1% 18.2% 36.1% 37.0% 39.9% 39.6% Undecided 9.4% 16.0% 6.7% 4.0% 7.4% 20.6% 9.8% 7.4% 10.0% 5.2% Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Horse2 % % % % % Bush 6.8% 7.9% 10.7% 7.8% 3.0% Carson 9.7% 12.6% 7.7% 9.9% 7.1% Cruz 24.1% 9.4% 14.6% 20.7% 4.8% Rubio 17.6% 17.5% 29.4% 20.2% 13.1% Trump 38.5% 45.5% 25.9% 35.8% 56.6% Undecided 3.4% 7.0% 11.7% 5.7% 15.4%
7 3. Did you watch the Republican Presidential debate hosted by CNN on December 15 th? Frequency Percent Yes No Total
8 3. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Debate1 % % % % % % % % % % Yes 74.2% 54.3% 66.6% 59.8% 62.5% 52.3% 75.6% 91.9% 61.9% 63.7% No 25.8% 45.7% 33.4% 40.2% 37.5% 47.7% 24.4% 8.1% 38.1% 36.3% Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Debate1 % % % % % Yes 61.2% 78.7% 64.7% 62.7% 63.1% No 38.8% 21.3% 35.3% 37.3% 36.9%
9 4. In your opinion, who do you believe won, or performed the best in the Republican Presidential debate on December 15 th? Frequency Percent Bush Carson Cruz Fiorina Christie Kasich 1.2 Paul Rubio Trump Undecided Total
10 4. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Debate2 % % % % % % % % % % Bush 6.7% 6.1% 1.4% 9.9% 4.5% 7.9% 50.2% 0.0% 6.5% 3.7% Carson 9.9% 3.7% 2.8% 3.9% 3.8% 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 3.1% Cruz 6.7% 16.9% 24.1% 19.4% 20.6% 34.8% 8.4% 8.8% 22.4% 18.5% Fiorina 5.5% 0.0% 7.9% 4.1% 5.3% 2.4% 0.0% 18.5% 2.4% 8.2% Christie 0.0% 6.9% 10.5% 9.8% 9.2% 7.2% 0.0% 4.8% 9.9% 8.2% Kasich 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%.7%.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%.5% 0.0% Paul 6.5% 7.4% 2.8%.2% 2.6% 10.6% 13.0% 17.0% 2.7% 3.2% Rubio 24.0% 0.0% 16.4% 12.1% 13.3% 2.4% 0.0% 24.4% 12.9% 13.5% Trump 31.0% 40.6% 22.3% 31.6% 28.8% 24.2% 15.4% 18.5% 27.8% 29.1% Undecided 9.7% 18.4% 11.8% 8.3% 11.7% 0.0% 13.0% 8.1% 10.6% 12.5%
11 4. (continued) Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Debate2 % % % % % Bush 3.1% 3.7% 11.6% 5.2% 4.7% Carson 4.3% 4.2% 2.2% 3.8% 3.6% Cruz 28.2% 15.4% 11.9% 23.3% 8.5% Fiorina 7.4%.3% 5.0% 6.2% 2.0% Christie 9.8% 12.2% 9.8% 10.0% 5.1% Kasich.4% 0.0% 0.0%.3% 0.0% Paul.4% 17.5% 0.0% 1.7% 7.9% Rubio 11.4% 10.4% 22.3% 13.9% 10.4% Trump 25.8% 13.5% 23.2% 24.2% 45.9% Undecided 9.2% 22.9% 14.0% 11.5% 12.0%
12 5. In your opinion, who do you believe lost, or performed the worst in the Republican Presidential debate on December 15 th? Frequency Percent Bush Carson Cruz Fiorina Christie Kasich Paul Rubio Trump Undecided Total
13 5. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Debate3 % % % % % % % % % % Bush 25.5% 22.1% 28.9% 25.5% 26.8% 12.5% 0.0% 45.4% 24.0% 29.1% Carson 9.7% 14.5% 21.9% 10.2% 16.4% 2.0% 20.0% 24.4% 14.7% 18.1% Cruz 4.4% 0.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 8.4% 0.0% 1.2% 1.7% Fiorina 9.2% 7.1% 3.9% 6.9% 5.6% 21.7% 0.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.9% Christie 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 1.5%.7% Kasich 5.0% 6.6% 13.8% 13.7% 12.4% 22.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.7% 8.8% Paul 9.2% 9.8% 4.9% 9.7% 7.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 8.5% Rubio 4.2% 0.0% 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 2.0% 1.3% Trump 16.9% 20.9% 14.5% 17.8% 16.1% 29.5% 58.6% 6.3% 17.2% 16.1% Undecided 16.0% 19.0% 9.5% 8.4% 11.0% 8.1% 13.0% 10.3% 13.3% 8.8%
14 5. (continued) Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Debate3 % % % % % Bush 27.6% 22.2% 27.3% 27.1% 24.8% Carson 17.1% 22.2% 15.9% 17.3% 13.0% Cruz 1.1% 0.0% 3.0% 1.4% 1.5% Fiorina 5.2% 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 8.4% Christie 1.3% 0.0% 2.2% 1.4% 0.0% Kasich 13.5% 3.8% 14.0% 12.8% 9.2% Paul 9.6%.3% 2.2% 7.1% 8.4% Rubio 2.2% 2.9% 0.0% 1.7% 1.5% Trump 11.4% 31.6% 23.7% 16.0% 19.0% Undecided 10.9% 12.2% 7.4% 10.2% 14.2%
15 6. What is your opinion of Donald Trump s recent proposal to temporarily ban all Muslims who are not US residents from entering the United States until our country s representatives can figure out what is going on? Frequency Percent Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Undecided or No Opinion Total
16 6. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Ban % % % % % % % % % % Strongly Approve 16.9% 43.0% 42.6% 49.1% 43.8% 29.3% 11.7% 34.5% 43.8% 42.7% Somewhat Approve 52.7% 20.7% 27.5% 25.9% 27.2% 18.5% 30.8% 48.6% 28.8% 25.9% Somewhat Disapprove 9.9% 5.3% 12.4% 6.7% 9.2% 15.6% 9.8% 0.0% 7.3% 11.1% Strongly Disapprove 20.5% 27.2% 17.4% 12.9% 17.5% 17.9% 47.8% 13.2% 18.7% 17.0% Undecided or No Opinion 0.0% 3.7%.2% 5.2% 2.3% 18.7% 0.0% 3.7% 1.4% 3.4% Ban Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile % % % % % Strongly Approve 51.8% 33.8% 30.3% 45.4% 34.2% Somewhat Approve 27.3% 18.4% 24.5% 25.9% 33.4% Somewhat Disapprove 8.7% 9.6% 12.4% 10.1% 5.6% Strongly Disapprove 9.2% 35.2% 29.9% 15.6% 26.8% Undecided or No Opinion 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0% 0.0%
17 7. Age GA GOP Presidential Primary Frequency Percent Total
18 7. (continued) Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Age % % % % % % % 2.4% 37.7% 18.3% 8.0% 4.1% % 27.4% 28.1% 0.0% 20.2% 14.0% % 53.7% 16.2% 44.9% 40.8% 49.0% % 16.5% 18.0% 36.8% 31.0% 32.9% Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Age % % % % % %.3%.0%.6% 28.1% % 2.2% 4.3% 5.2% 65.2% % 58.1% 56.1% 54.7% 5.5% % 39.4% 39.5% 39.5% 1.2%
19 8. Race Frequency Percent White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Total
20 8. (continued) Age Gender Male Female Race % % % % % % White 90.1% 96.7% 97.5% 97.8% 97.2% 96.8% African - American.4% 1.6% 1.2%.5%.7% 1.3% Hispanic / Latino 6.5% 1.7%.4%.6% 1.5%.6% Other 3.0% 0.0% 1.0% 1.1%.6% 1.4% Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Race % % % % % White 98.8% 86.6% 97.7% 97.7% 93.9% African - American.2% 12.1%.8% 1.1%.6% Hispanic / Latino.4% 0.0%.7%.4% 3.5% Other.6% 1.4%.8%.7% 2.0%
21 9. Gender Frequency Percent Male Female Total
22 9. (continued) Age White African - American Race Hispanic / Latino Other Gender % % % % % % % % Male 65.2% 58.2% 44.5% 47.5% 49.1% 34.8% 70.2% 28.8% Female 34.8% 41.8% 55.5% 52.5% 50.9% 65.2% 29.8% 71.2% Party Mode Republican Democrat Independent / Other Landline Mobile Gender % % % % % Male 45.8% 29.2% 48.9% 45.7% 62.7% Female 54.2% 70.8% 51.1% 54.3% 37.3%
23 10. Political Affiliation Frequency Percent Republican Democrat Independent / Other Total
24 10. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Party % % % % % % % % % % Republican 94.8% 78.2% 69.0% 70.2% 70.9% 10.6% 63.0% 62.3% 70.7% 69.6% Democrat 3.4% 2.7% 7.1% 6.6% 5.9% 72.7% 0.0% 12.5% 4.3% 8.6% Independent / Other 1.7% 19.1% 24.0% 23.2% 23.3% 16.7% 37.0% 25.2% 25.1% 21.8%
25 11. Collection Mode GA GOP Presidential Primary Frequency Percent Landline Mobile Total
26 11. (continued) Age Race Gender White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female Mode % % % % % % % % % % Landline 7.8% 24.7% 97.6% 99.2% 80.9% 88.9% 34.1% 59.2% 74.8% 85.6% Mobile 92.2% 75.3% 2.4%.8% 19.1% 11.1% 65.9% 40.8% 25.2% 14.4%
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