HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1
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1 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1 Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: September 20-24, respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. Study # Male 52 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults is ±3.10% The margin of error for 230 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ±6.46% The margin of error for 256 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±6.13% Unless otherwise noted by a +, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) and over... 6 Not sure/refused... 1 Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic No, not Hispanic Not sure/refused... - Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White Black Asian... 3 Other... 4 Hispanic (VOL)... 5 Not sure/refused... 2
2 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 2 Q3 Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? Registered Not registered Not sure... 1 Q4 All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track? 1 High Low 9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 9/01 10/17-20/08+ Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Mixed (VOL) Not sure /30-11/1/14+ 10/8-12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 3/14 1/ /13 10/25-28/13 10/7-9/13 9/13 7/13 6/13 4/13 2/13 1/ /12 10/12+ 9/26-30/12+ 9/12-16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/12 3/ /12 12/11 11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 1/ /10 11/10 10/28-30/10+ 10/14-18/10+ 9/10 8/26-30/10 8/5-9/10 6/10 5/6-11/10 3/ /23-25/10 1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/09 1/ The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
3 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 3 Q5 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? High Low 9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 10/30-11/1/14+ 4/09 9/14+ Approve Disapprove Not sure /8-12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 3/14 1/14 12/13 10/25-28/ /7-9/13 9/13 8/13 7/13 6/13 4/13 2/13 1/13 12/12 10/ /26-30/12+ 9/12-16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/12 3/12 1/12 12/ /11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 2/11 1/11 12/ /10 10/28-30/10+ 10/14-18/10+ 9/10 8/26-30/10 8/5-9/10 6/10 5/20-23/10 5/6-11/10 3/ /23-25/10 1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 8/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/
4 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 4 Q6 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Barack Obama July June April March January December November Oct. 30 Nov. 1, October 8-12, September August June April March January December October 25-28, October 7-9, May 30-June 2, April January December October September 26-30, August July June January August April January December November October 28-30, June May 20-23, March January 23-25, December October February January Barack Obama High February Presidential Term Low August All-time Obama Low October 28-30, The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
5 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 5 Q6 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral The Democratic Party July April January December November Oct. 30 Nov. 1, October 8-12, September June April March January December October 25-28, October 7-9, September May 30-June 2, February January December October September 26-30, August July June May April March January December November October August June May April January December November October 28-30, October 14-18, September August 26-30, August 5-9, May 20-23, May 6-11, March January 10-14, December High January Low July The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
6 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 6 Q6 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral The Republican Party July April January December November Oct. 30 Nov. 1, October 8-12, September June April March January December October 25-28, October 7-9, September May 30-June 2, February January December October September 26-30, August July May April March January December November October August May April January December November October 28-30, October 14-18, September August 26-30, August 5-9, June May 20-23, March January 23-25, January 10-14, December June April February High December Low October 25-28, The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
7 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 7 Q6 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Jeb Bush July June April March January November September April May 30-June 2, Hillary Clinton July June April March January November September June April March September May 30-June 2, April January December November May April December January 10-14, July February January December September August June April March 24-25, March 7-10, January June March December April December July March January High February Low March The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
8 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 8 Q6 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Donald Trump July February May December October July Bernie Sanders July June Ben Carson November Carly Fiorina June The Black Lives Matter Movement Joe Biden June November June July January December October September 26-30, August July May December August 26-30, January 10-14, July January December October 17-20, October 4-5, September 19-22, September 6-8, September December June Planned Parenthood July
9 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 9 SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE D/S Planned Parenthood Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Ben Carson Carly Fiorina Barack Obama The Democratic Party The Black Lives Matter Movement Hillary Clinton Jeb Bush The Republican Party Donald Trump Q7 Is there something that upsets you enough that, if you could, you would carry a protest sign for a day? 9/15 8/14 Yes No Not sure (IF Q7:1, THEN ASK) Q7a What would you want your protest sign to say?** SEE VERBATIM RESPONSES ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
10 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 10 Even though it is a long way off, I'd like to ask you some questions about the November 2016 elections. Q8 Please tell me how interested you are in next year s elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in next year s elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") 9/15+ 4/15+ 10, very interested , not at all interested Cannot rate /12+ 9/26-30/12+ 9/12-16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12+ 5/12+ 4/12+ 3/12+ 1/ /4-5/08+ 9/19-22/08+ 9/6-8/08+ 8/08+ 7/08+ 6/08+ 4/08+ 3/08+ 1/08+ 12/07+ 11/ /04+ 9/04+ 8/
11 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 11 Q9 Do you think it would be better for the country to have (ROTATE) a Democrat or a Republican as the next president? 9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 12/14+ 2/88 5/87 3/87 1/87 Democrat Republican Makes No Difference (VOL) Neither/Some other party (VOL) n/a n/a n/a n/a Not sure Q10 In thinking about the next president that we'll be electing, which of the following two statements comes closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose? Statement A: This is a time to have a president who will focus on progress and help move America forward. Statement B: This is a time to have a president who will focus on protecting what has made America great. 9/15+ 9/19-22/08+ 8/08+ 6/08+ 3/08+ 11/07+ Statement A/focus on progress/moving forward Statement B/focus on protecting what has made America great Not sure Q11 Now, here are two statements that might describe how you feel. Please listen to both and then tell me which ONE best describes how you feel. (ROTATE :1 and :2) I feel angry because our political system seems to only be working for the insiders with money and power, like those on Wall Street or in Washington, rather than it working to help everyday people get ahead. I feel anxious and uncertain because the economy still feels rocky and unpredictable so I worry about paying my bills, day to day living costs, and whether I can count on my own situation being stable. Or, if neither one is right for you, just say so. Angry Anxious and uncertain Neither Both (VOL)... 8 Not sure... -
12 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 12 Moving on Q12 Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016? 9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 3/15+ Vote in Democratic Primary Vote in Republican Primary Wait until the general election Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) Not sure Q13-Q15 ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Q13 Next, I m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Democratic nomination president in If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE LIST) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See Self Supporting No, Could Not See Self Supporting Don t Know Name Hillary Clinton ^^ June 2015^^ March 2015^^ Joe Biden ^^ June 2015^^ March 2015^^ Bernie Sanders ^^ June 2015^^ March 2015^^ Martin O Malley ^^ June 2015^^ March 2015^^ Jim Webb ^^ June 2015^^ March 2015^^ Lincoln Chafee ^^ June 2015^^ ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary Not Sure
13 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 13 Q14 And, thinking about people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^^ FIRST CHOICE (WITH JOE BIDEN) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Joe Biden Jim Webb... 1 Martin O Malley... - Lincoln Chafee... - Other (VOL)... - None (VOL)... 1 Not sure... 4 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary (IF BIDEN, THEN ASK:) And, if Joe Biden decides not to seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, which candidate would you favor? (READ :1-5) RECALCULATED FIRST CHOICE (WITHOUT JOE BIDEN) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 9/15^^ 7/15^^ 6/15^^ Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Martin O Malley Lincoln Chafee Other (VOL) None (VOL) Not sure ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary Q15 Now, if your choice in the Democratic primary came down to a candidate who will make compromises to gain consensus on legislation to get things done, or a candidate who will stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on legislation, which candidate would you be more likely to support? ^^ Will make compromises Will stick to their positions Depends (VOL)... 3 Neither (VOL)... - Not sure... 2 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary
14 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 14 Q16-Q20 ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Q16 Next, I m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination president in If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See Self Supporting No, Could Not See Self Supporting Don t Know Name Ben Carson ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Marco Rubio ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Carly Fiorina ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Jeb Bush ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Mike Huckabee ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Donald Trump ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ March 2015^ Ted Cruz ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Chris Christie ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Rand Paul ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Not Sure
15 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 15 Q16 (cont d) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See No, Could Not See Don t Know Self Supporting Self Supporting Name John Kasich ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ Rick Santorum ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ March 2015^ Bobby Jindal ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ March 2015^ Lindsey Graham ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ March 2015^ George Pataki ^ July 2015^ June 2015^ Jim Gilmore ^ July 2015^ ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Not Sure
16 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 16 Q17 And, if a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE) Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-10) or would your second choice be one of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED CANDIDATE FOR FIRST OR SECOND CHOICE IN Q17, THEN ASK:) Which one of the following candidates would you favor -- (RANDOMIZE) Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, George Pataki, Bobby Jindal, or Jim Gilmore? FIRST CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^ Donald Trump NA Ben Carson Marco Rubio Carly Fiorina Jeb Bush John Kasich NA Ted Cruz Rand Paul Chris Christie Mike Huckabee Rick Santorum NA Bobby Jindal NA Lindsey Graham NA George Pataki NA Jim Gilmore NA NA Scott Walker... NA Rick Perry... NA Other (VOL) None (VOL) Not sure ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary SECOND CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^ Carly Fiorina Ben Carson Marco Rubio Jeb Bush Donald Trump NA Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Chris Christie John Kasich NA Rick Santorum NA Lindsey Graham NA George Pataki NA Bobby Jindal NA Jim Gilmore NA NA Scott Walker... NA Rick Perry... NA Other (VOL) None (VOL) Not sure ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
17 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 17 COMBINED CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^ Ben Carson Donald Trump NA Carly Fiorina Marco Rubio Jeb Bush Ted Cruz John Kasich NA Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Chris Christie Rick Santorum NA Bobby Jindal NA Lindsey Graham NA George Pataki NA Jim Gilmore NA NA Scott Walker... NA Rick Perry... NA Other (VOL) None (VOL) Not sure ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Q18 Now, if your choice in the Republican primary came down to a candidate who will make compromises to gain consensus on legislation to get things done, or a candidate who will stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on legislation, which candidate would you be more likely to support?^ Will make compromises Will stick to their positions Depends (VOL)... 1 Neither (VOL)... - Not sure... 2 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Q19 Now, thinking about Republican leaders in Congress such as (ROTATE) Speaker of the House, John Boehner and Leader Mitch McConnell in the U.S. Senate...would you say you are (ROTATE) satisfied or dissatisfied with their ability to achieve Republican legislative goals and priorities? (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK) And are you very or just somewhat (satisfied/dissatisfied)?^ Very satisfied... 2 Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Not sure... 5 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
18 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 18 Q20 And, yes or no, do you want (ROTATE) John Boehner and Mitch McConnell removed immediately from their leadership position to be replaced by other Republican members of the House and Senate or is this an issue you don t have an opinion about at this time?^ Yes, remove them No, do not remove them No opinion Boehner, not McConnell (VOL)... 1 McConnell, not Boehner (VOL)... - ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Now, thinking again about the 2016 general election for president Q21-Q28A RANDOMIZED AMONG REG VOTERS (Q3:1) Q21-Q23,Q28 And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) [GOP CANDIDATE NAME] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?+ Q21 9/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ Jeb Bush Hillary Clinton Depends (VOL) Neither/other (VOL) Not sure Q22 Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Depends (VOL)... - Neither/other (VOL) Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q23 Ben Carson Hillary Clinton Depends (VOL)... - Neither/other (VOL)... 6 Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q28 Carly Fiorina Hillary Clinton Depends (VOL)... - Neither/other (VOL)... 7 Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
19 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 19 Q24-Q27 And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) [GOP CANDIDATE NAME] were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?+ Q24 9/15+ 4/15+ Jeb Bush Joe Biden Depends (VOL) Neither/other (VOL) Not sure Q25 Donald Trump Joe Biden Depends (VOL)... - Neither/other (VOL)... 7 Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q26 Ben Carson Joe Biden Depends (VOL)... - Neither/other (VOL)... 5 Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q27 Carly Fiorina Joe Biden Depends (VOL)... - Neither/other (VOL)... 8 Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q28a And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? 1 + Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Depends (VOL)... - Neither/other (VOL)... 8 Not sure Question asked only 9/21-24/15 of 620 registered voters. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
20 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 20 Q29 Now, I would like to read you a list of trends in American society today. For each one I read, please tell me whether you consider this to be a step in the right direction, something that won t make any difference, or is it a step in the wrong direction? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE WHO SAY STEP IN RIGHT DIRECTION Step In Right Direction Not Make Any Difference Step In Wrong Direction The increasing use of technology like smart phones and social media to communicate and stay in touch with people Legislation that protects the rights of gays and lesbians More international trade agreements ** December An increase in the number of legal immigrants Relaxing laws against the use of marijuana The development of what some call the gig economy which includes companies like Uber and Airbnb * More restrictive laws on abortion December Racial and ethnic minorities increasing as a percentage of the US population The more active involvement of religious groups in politics December * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). Not Sure 1997 COMPARATIVE DATA Step In Right Direction Not Make Any Difference Step In Wrong Direction Legislation that protects gay and lesbian lifestyles December Not Sure
21 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 21 And, moving on Q30 Would you favor or oppose totally eliminating federal funding to Planned Parenthood for family planning and preventative health services? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, THEN ASK) And, would you strongly or somewhat (favor/oppose) this? Strongly favor Somewhat favor Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Not sure... 4 Q30a WAS ASKED ONLY OF THOSE WHO FAVOR ELIMINATING FUNDING (Q30:1-2) Q30a Would you favor or oppose shutting down the federal government to block federal funding for Planned Parenthood for family planning and preventative health services, or is this an issue you don t have an opinion about at this time? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, THEN ASK) And, would you strongly or somewhat (favor/oppose) this? Strongly favor... 6 Somewhat favor... 3 Somewhat oppose... 4 Strongly oppose... 7 Not sure Oppose/Not sure on Q Q31 Have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage about secretly-taped videos that show employees of Planned Parenthood talking about the use of fetal tissue and organs in scientific research from pregnancies which had been terminated at their facilities? (IF YES:) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this? Total Yes 65 Yes, a lot Yes, some No Not sure... 2
22 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 22 Now, switching topics Q32 As you may know, under our constitution and current laws, all children born in the United States are automatically granted citizenship. Do you think we should continue to grant citizenship to all children born in the U.S. or do you think this should be changed so children of illegal immigrants are not automatically granted citizenship? All Adults 5/20-9/15 23/10 Continue to grant automatic citizenship Change/not automatic citizenship Not sure Hispanic/Latino 5/20-9/15 23/10 Continue to grant automatic citizenship Change/not automatic citizenship Not sure And, switching topics Q33 Millions of Syrian refugees have fled their homes since the outbreak of civil war there and many are seeking to live in other countries including Europe and the United States. The Obama administration is recommending the United States take in at least ten thousand (10,000) Syrian refugees over the next year. Do you think the United States should (ROTATE) -- take in more refugees from Syria, take in fewer refugees from Syria -- this is about the right amount, or should the United States take no Syrian refugees at all?* Take more Take fewer Right amount Take none at all Not sure... 3 * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). And, changing topics again Q34 On the issue of abortion, would you say you are more likely to vote for (ROTATE) -- a right to life candidate, a pro-choice candidate -- or would it not make much difference on how you might vote? 9/15 10/12+ 3/05+ Right to life candidate Pro-choice candidate Would not make much difference Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. And thinking about you Q35 When you think about your own financial situation, looking ahead to the next year or so, do you feel confident and optimistic or worried and uncertain? 9/15 22/08+ 6/ /19- Confident and optimistic Worried and uncertain In between (VOL) Not sure Question asked only 9/21-24/15 of 748 adults.
23 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 23 Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you vote Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else?+ Voted for Barack Obama Voted for Mitt Romney Voted for someone else... 9 Not sure... 2 No, Did Not Vote Not sure... - QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager White-collar worker Blue-collar worker Farmer, rancher... - Not Currently Employed Student... 4 Stay at home mom/dad... 6 Retired Unemployed, looking for work... 4 Other... - Not sure... 1 QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school... - Some high school... 5 High school graduate Some college, no degree Vocational training/school year college degree year college/bachelor's degree Some postgraduate work, no degree years postgraduate work/master's degree Doctoral/law degree... 4 Not sure/refused... - QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat Not very strong Democrat Independent/lean Democrat Strictly Independent Independent/lean Republican Not very strong Republican... 9 Strong Republican Other (VOL)... 5 Not sure... 3
24 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 24 QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal Somewhat liberal Moderate Somewhat conservative Very conservative Not sure... 2 (READ QF5a-f ONLY IF Q12:2 - REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS) And, On a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description that is totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any number between one and ten. (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF) To what extent do you regard yourself as...(randomize) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-10 AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Refused Mean A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as being between one man and one woman ^ A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement ^ Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio ^ A supporter of the Tea Party Movement ^ A Libertarian ^ ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member Union household... 7 Non-union household Not sure... 1 QF7 If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? Less than $10, Between $10,000 and $20,
25 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 25 Between $20,000 and $30, Between $30,000 and $40, Between $40,000 and $50, Between $50,000 and $75, Between $75,000 and $100, More than $100, Not sure/refused... 8
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