HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

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1 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1 Interviews: 800 Registered Voters, including 280 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: February 14-16, respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. Study # Male 52 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 800 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.46% The margin of error for 400 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ±4.90% The margin of error for 400 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.90% Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) and over... 7 Not sure/refused Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic No, not Hispanic Not sure/refused Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + White Black Asian... 2 Other... 3 Hispanic (VOL)... 6 Not sure/refused Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

2 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 2 Q3 Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? + Registered Not registered... - Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q4 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? High Low 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15 10/25-29/15 10/15-18/15 9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 4/09 9/14+ Approve Disapprove Not sure /15 1/15 12/14 11/14 10/30-11/1/14+ 10/8-12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/ /14 1/14 12/13 10/25-28/13 10/7-9/13 9/13 8/13 7/13 6/13 4/ /13 1/13 12/12 10/12+ 9/26-30/12+ 9/12-16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/ /12 1/12 12/11 11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 2/ /11 12/10 11/10 10/28-30/10+ 10/14-18/10+ 9/10 8/26-30/10 8/5-9/10 6/10 5/20-23/10 5/6-11/ /10 1/23-25/10 1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 8/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/

3 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 3 Q5 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Barack Obama January December October 25-29, October 15-18, September July June April March January December November Oct. 30 Nov. 1, October 8-12, September August June April March January December October 7-9, May 30-June 2, April January December October September 26-30, August July June January August April January December November October 28-30, June May 20-23, March January 23-25, December October February January High February Presidential Term Low August All-time Obama Low October 28-30, The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

4 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 4 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Hillary Clinton January December October 25-29, October 15-18, September July June April March January November September June April March September May 30-June 2, April January December November May April December January 10-14, July February January December September August June April March 24-25, March 7-10, January June March December April December July March January High February Low March The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

5 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 5 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Bernie Sanders January December October 25-29, October 15-18, September July June Jeb Bush January December October 25-29, October 15-18, September July June April March January November September April May 30-June 2, Donald Trump January December October 25-29, October 15-18, September July February May December October July Marco Rubio January December October 25-29, October 15-18, July June April November September July April February

6 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 6 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Ted Cruz January December October 25-29, October 15-18, July April November October 25-28, October 7-9, May 30-June 2, John Kasich July November Michael Bloomberg April February November January December July December Bill Clinton January March September March September December August August September January December August June March 24-25, January November March April June January June January High January Low March The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

7 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 7 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral George W. Bush January March September July April June August May October 28-30, August 26-30, June January April January December October 17-20, October 4-5, September 19-22, September 6-8, August July March 24-25, March 7-10, January June January June January July January June January July January June January June January High December Low April The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

8 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 8 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral The Democratic Party September July April January December November Oct. 30 Nov. 1, October 8-12, September June April March January December October 25-28, October 7-9, September May 30-June 2, February January December October September 26-30, August July June May April March January December November October August June May April January December November October 28-30, October 14-18, September August 26-30, August 5-9, May 20-23, May 6-11, March January 10-14, December High January Low July The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

9 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 9 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral The Republican Party September July April January December November Oct. 30 Nov. 1, October 8-12, September June April March January December October 25-28, October 7-9, September May 30-June 2, February January December October September 26-30, August July May April March January December November October August May April January December November October 28-30, October 14-18, September August 26-30, August 5-9, June May 20-23, March January 23-25, January 10-14, December June April February High December Low October 25-28, The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

10 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 10 SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE D/S Bill Clinton John Kasich Barack Obama Bernie Sanders The Democratic Party Marco Rubio George W. Bush Michael Bloomberg The Republican Party Hillary Clinton Ted Cruz Jeb Bush Donald Trump

11 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 11 I d like to ask you a question about the November 2016 presidential election Q6 Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") 2/16+ 9/15+ 4/15+ 10, very interested , not at all interested Cannot rate /12+ 9/26-30/12+ 9/12-16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12+ 5/12+ 4/12+ 3/12+ 1/ /4-5/08+ 9/19-22/08+ 9/6-8/08+ 8/08+ 7/08+ 6/08+ 4/08+ 3/08+ 1/08+ 12/07+ 11/ /04+ 9/04+ 8/

12 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 12 Moving on Q7 Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for the outcome of the 2016 presidential election that a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican be elected president? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) And do you strongly prefer a (Democrat/Republican), or is your preference not that strong? Q8 Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016? 2008 Election Trend 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 10/25-29/15+ 8/08+ 7/08+ 6/08+ 3/7-10/08+ 11/07+ 9/07+ 6/07 4/07 Democrat Strongly Not strongly Republican Not strongly Strongly Other (VOL) Not sure /16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 10/25-29/15+ 10/15-18/15+ 9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 3/15+ Vote in Democratic Primary Vote in Republican Primary Wait until the general election Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) Not sure Q9 Next, I m going to mention two people who are seeking the Democratic nomination for president. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Democratic nomination president. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE LIST) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See Self Supporting No, Could Not See Self Supporting Don t Know Name Hillary Clinton ^^ January 2016^^ December 2015^^ October 25-29, 2015^^ October 15-18, 2015^^ September 2015^^ June 2015^^ March 2015^^ Bernie Sanders ^^ January 2016^^ December 2015^^ October 25-29, 2015^^ October 15-18, 2015^^ September 2015^^ June 2015^^ March 2015^^ ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary Not Sure

13 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 13 Q10 And, if the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 2/16^^ 1/16^^ 12/15^^ 10/25-29/15^^ 10/15-18/15^^ 9/15^^ 7/15^^ 6/15^^ Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Martin O Malley... NA Jim Webb... NA NA NA NA Lincoln Chafee... NA NA NA NA Other (VOL) None (VOL) Not sure ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary Q11 Which one of the following four candidate qualities matters most to you when it comes to your vote in the Democratic primary? Would it be a candidate who (RANDOMIZE) ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Is honest and trustworthy Has the right experience Cares about people like you Can win in November Some other quality (VOL DO NOT SPECIFY)... 1 Not sure... 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary Q12 Do you consider [READ ITEM] to be a progressive? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Is No, Is Not Progressive Progressive Don t Know Name on Q9 Yourself ^^ Bernie Sanders ^^ Hillary Clinton ^^ ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary Not Sure

14 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 14 Q13 Next, I m going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Republican nomination for president. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination president. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE LIST) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See Self Supporting No, Could Not See Self Supporting Don t Know Name Marco Rubio ^ January 2016^ December 2015^ October 25-29, 2015^ October 15-18, 2015^ September 2015^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Ted Cruz ^ January 2016^ December 2015^ October 25-29, 2015^ October 15-18, 2015^ September 2015^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Ben Carson ^ January 2016^ December 2015^ October 25-29, 2015^ October 15-18, 2015^ September 2015^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ Donald Trump ^ January 2016^ December 2015^ October 25-29, 2015^ October 15-18, 2015^ September 2015^ July 2015^ June 2015^ March 2015^ ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Not Sure

15 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 15 THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See Self Supporting No, Could Not See Self Supporting Don t Know Name John Kasich ^ January 2016^ December 2015^ October 25-29, 2015^ October 15-18, 2015^ September 2015^ July 2015^ June 2015^ Jeb Bush ^ January 2016^ December 2015^ October 25-29, 2015^ October 15-18, 2015^ September 2015^ July 2015^ June 2015^ April 2015^ March 2015^ ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Not Sure Q14 And, if the Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-6)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-6)? FIRST CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 2/16^ 1/16^ 12/15^ 10/25-29/15^ 10/15-18/15^ 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^ Ted Cruz Donald Trump NA Marco Rubio John Kasich NA Ben Carson Jeb Bush Chris Christie... NA Carly Fiorina... NA Rand Paul... NA Mike Huckabee... NA Rick Santorum... NA NA NA NA Jim Gilmore... NA NA NA NA NA Bobby Jindal... NA NA NA NA Lindsey Graham... NA NA NA NA George Pataki... NA NA NA NA Scott Walker... NA NA NA NA NA NA Rick Perry... NA NA NA NA NA NA Other (VOL) None (VOL) Not sure ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

16 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 16 COMBINED CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 2/16^ 1/16^ 12/15^ 10/25-29/15^ 10/15-18/15^ 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^ Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Donald Trump NA Ben Carson John Kasich NA Jeb Bush Chris Christie... NA Carly Fiorina... NA Rand Paul... NA Mike Huckabee... NA Jim Gilmore... NA NA NA NA NA Rick Santorum... NA NA NA NA Bobby Jindal... NA NA NA NA Lindsey Graham... NA NA NA NA George Pataki... NA NA NA NA Scott Walker... NA NA NA NA NA NA Rick Perry... NA NA NA NA NA NA Other (VOL) None (VOL) Not sure ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary RECALCULATED THREE-WAY BALLOTS BASED ON SECOND VOTE PREFERENCE Scenario #1 Scenario #2 Scenario #3 Scenario #4 Cruz Cruz Cruz Cruz Trump Trump Trump Trump Rubio Bush... 9 Kasich Carson Other candidate... 7 Other candidate Other candidate 8 Other candidate... 17

17 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 17 (Q15-Q18 RANDOMIZED) Q15 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) 2/16^ 1/16^ Donald Trump Ted Cruz Neither (VOL) Not sure ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Q16 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Marco Rubio in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) 2/16^ 1/16^ Donald Trump Marco Rubio Neither (VOL) Not sure ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Q17 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Jeb Bush in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^ Donald Trump Jeb Bush Neither (VOL)... 3 Not sure... - ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Q18 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and John Kasich in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^ Donald Trump John Kasich Neither (VOL)... 2 Not sure... 2 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Q19 Which one of the following four candidate qualities matters most to you when it comes to your vote in the Republican primary? Would it be a candidate who (RANDOMIZE) ^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Shares your values Can bring needed change Tells it like it is Can win in November Some other quality (VOL DO NOT SPECIFY)... 1 Not sure... - ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

18 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 18 Thinking again about the 2016 presidential election (Q20-23 RANDOMIZED) Q20 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? 10/25-2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+ Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Depends (VOL) Neither/other (VOL) Not sure (ASKED OF CLINTON AND TRUMP VOTERS) Q20A Are you voting for that person (ROTATE) more because you want that person to be president or more because you do NOT want the other person to be president? + Reg Voters Trump Voters Clinton Voters Want that person to be president Do not want other person to be president Both (VOL Do Not Read) Not sure Neither/Not Sure (Q20) Q21 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? 10/15-2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 18/15+ Ted Cruz Hillary Clinton Depends (VOL) Neither/other (VOL) Not sure Q22 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? 10/25-2/16+ 29/15+ 9/15+ Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Depends (VOL) Neither/other (VOL) Not sure

19 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 19 Q23 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? 10/15-2/16+ 18/15+ Ted Cruz Bernie Sanders Depends (VOL) Neither/other (VOL) Not sure (ALWAYS ASKED AFTER Q20-Q23) Q24 And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were the Independent candidate for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Michael Bloomberg Depends (VOL)... 1 Neither/other (VOL)... 4 Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

20 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 20 Moving on Q25 Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if [READ ITEM, NAMES RANDOMIZED] were elected president (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) optimistic and confident that (he/she) would do a good job, satisfied and hopeful that (he/she) would do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether (he/she) would do a good job, or pessimistic and worried that (he/she) would do a bad job? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY OPTIMISTIC AND CONFIDENT OR SATISFIED AND HOPEFUL Optimistic And Confident Satisfied And Hopeful Uncertain And Wondering Pessimistic And Worried Bernie Sanders October Hillary Clinton October June August March April Marco Rubio October Ted Cruz October John Kasich Jeb Bush October June Donald Trump October Not Sure 1 In April 2006, the question read Which of the following best describes your feeling about how Hillary Clinton would do as president

21 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 21 And, thinking more about some of these candidates (Q26 ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS) Q26 What concerns you more about Hillary Clinton? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST) Her ties to Wall Street and millions in speaking fees Her honesty and judgment related to her use of a private server while she was Secretary of State... 7 Or is neither one a major concern to you? Both are major concerns to you (VOL) 5 Not sure... - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary (Q27 ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS) Q27 Which concerns you more about Bernie Sanders? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST) His lack of foreign policy experience His proposals are too far out of the mainstream so he cannot beat the Republican candidate Or is neither one a major concern to you? Both are major concerns to you (VOL) 3 Not sure... 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary (Q28 ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS) Q28 What concerns you more about Donald Trump? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST) His temperament and judgment are not fit to be president He is not a real Republican and does not stand for true conservative principles Or is neither one a major concern to you? Both are major concerns to you (VOL) 7 Not sure... 2 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary (Q29 ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS) Q29 Which concerns you more about Ted Cruz? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST) His personal style that makes him unable to work with other Republicans His proposals are too far out of the mainstream so he cannot beat the Democratic candidate Or is neither one a major concern to you? Both are major concerns to you (VOL) 2 Not sure... 3 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary (Q30 ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS) Q30 Which concerns you more about Marco Rubio? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST) He is running on scripted talking points and has accomplished little in elected office He is not strong enough on immigration having supported a pathway to citizenship for foreigners staying in the country illegally Or is neither one a major concern to you? Both are major concerns to you (VOL) 4 Not sure... 1 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

22 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 22 (READ TO ALL) Now, switching topics Q31 Would you say that immigration helps the United States more than it hurts it, OR immigration hurts the United States more than it helps it? 2/16+ 12/15 7/15 12/14 6/14 6/12 5/20-23/10 5/6-11/10 Helps more than it hurts Hurts more than it helps A little of both (VOL) NA NA Not sure /07 6/07 7/06 6/06 4/06 12/ NA NA NA NA NA NA Hispanic/Latino Oversample 2/16+ 7/15 12/14 6/14 6/12 5/20-23/10 5/6-11/10 6/07 4/06 Helps more than it hurts Hurts more than it helps A little of both (VOL) NA NA NA NA Not sure QX1 This weekend a Supreme Court Justice passed away leaving a vacancy on the court. President Obama will nominate a new person to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court. Would you prefer the U.S. Senate... vote this year on the replacement nominated by President Obama or leave the position vacant and wait to vote next year on the replacement nominated by the new president or do you not have an opinion one way or the other? + Vote this year on replacement Leave vacant and wait No opinion Not sure... -

23 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 23 Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you vote Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else? + Voted for Barack Obama Voted for Mitt Romney Voted for someone else... 7 Not sure... 2 No, Did Not Vote Not sure... 3 QF1d And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? + Yes, voted No, did not vote Not sure... 3 QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? + Currently Employed Professional, manager White-collar worker Blue-collar worker Farmer, rancher... - Not Currently Employed Student... 3 Stay at home mom/dad... 4 Retired Unemployed, looking for work... 3 Other... - Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

24 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 24 QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) + Grade school... - Some high school... 3 High school graduate Some college, no degree Vocational training/school year college degree year college/bachelor's degree Some postgraduate work, no degree years postgraduate work/master's degree Doctoral/law degree... 3 Not sure/refused... - QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") + Strong Democrat Not very strong Democrat Independent/lean Democrat Strictly Independent Independent/lean Republican Not very strong Republican... 9 Strong Republican Other (VOL)... 4 Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? + liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Not sure... 3

25 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 25 QF5a-f And, on a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description that is totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any number between one and ten. (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF) To what extent do you regard yourself as...(randomize) DATA SHOWN AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE Refused A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as being between one man and one woman A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio A supporter of the Tea Party Movement A Libertarian ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? + Labor union member Union household... 7 Non-union household Not sure... 1 QF7 How often do you attend services at a church, synagogue, mosque, or other place of worship? (READ LIST.) + Never Once a year... 8 A few times a year Once a month... 7 About twice a month... 9 Once a week or more often Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF8 If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? + Less than $10, Between $10,000 and $20, Between $20,000 and $30, Between $30,000 and $40, Between $40,000 and $50, Between $50,000 and $75, Between $75,000 and $100, More than $100, Not sure/refused... 9