NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2016 Michigan Questionnaire

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1 Residents: n=2570, MOE +/-1.9% Registered Voters: n=2229, MOE +/-2.1% NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Michigan Questionnaire Potential Republican Electorate: n=877, MOE +/-3.3% Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=482, MOE +/-4.5% Potential Democratic Electorate: n=1030, MOE +/-3.1% Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=546, MOE +/-4.2% Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older? Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Michigan? HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY GENDER GUESS Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? REGISTERED VOTERS Approve 50 Disapprove 42 Unsure 8 RESIDENTS Approve 50 Disapprove 41 Unsure 9 If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Michigan were held today, undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee): LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Donald Trump 41 Ted Cruz 22 Marco Rubio 17 John Kasich 13 Other 2 Undecided 5 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE Donald Trump 39 Ted Cruz 21 Marco Rubio 17 John Kasich 12 Uncommitted 3 Undecided 6 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan ; Page 1

2 If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Michigan were held today, undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee with Ben Carson): LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Donald Trump 40 Ted Cruz 19 Marco Rubio 15 John Kasich 11 Ben Carson 9 Undecided 3 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE Donald Trump 38 Ted Cruz 19 Marco Rubio 15 John Kasich 11 Ben Carson 10 Undecided 5 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan ; Page 2

3 Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Michigan (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate): LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE Ted Cruz 22 Marco Rubio 22 John Kasich 18 Ben Carson 15 Donald Trump 13 Uncommitted 4 Other 0 Undecided 6 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE Marco Rubio 23 Ted Cruz 21 John Kasich 17 Ben Carson 15 Donald Trump 13 Uncommitted 4 Other 0 Undecided 7 Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day? (including those who voted absentee) LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE Strongly support 61 Somewhat support 26 Might vote differently 12 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE Strongly support 56 Somewhat support 29 Might vote differently 14 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan ; Page 3

4 If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in Michigan were held today, undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee): LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Hillary Clinton 57 Bernie Sanders 40 Uncommitted 0 Undecided 3 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE Hillary Clinton 52 Bernie Sanders 44 Uncommitted 0 Undecided 4 Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day? (including those who voted absentee) LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE Strongly support 72 Somewhat support 22 Might vote differently 5 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE Strongly support 65 Somewhat support 27 Might vote differently 7 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan ; Page 4

5 REGISTERED VOTERS Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 52 Donald Trump, the Republican 36 Undecided 13 REGISTERED VOTERS Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 48 Ted Cruz, the Republican 41 Undecided 11 REGISTERED VOTERS Bernie Sanders, the Democrat 56 Donald Trump, the Republican 34 Undecided 10 REGISTERED VOTERS Bernie Sanders, the Democrat 54 Ted Cruz, the Republican 36 Undecided 10 Are you male or female? RESIDENTS Male 48 Female 52 REGISTERED VOTERS Male 47 Female 53 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Male 52 Female 48 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Male 40 Female 60 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan ; Page 5