Democracy Corps and Roosevelt Frequency Questionnaire

Transcription

1 Democracy Corps and Roosevelt Frequency Questionnaire July 13-18, Likely Voters Q.4 First of all, are you registered to vote at this address? Yes No...- (Don't know/refused)...- (ref:screen1) Q.7 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2012 election for president between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. How about you? Were you able to vote, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Not registered in 2012/Ineligible/too young... 4 Did not vote... - (Can't remember/don't know)... - (Refused)... - (ref:vote12) Q.8 As you may know, there was an election in 2014 for Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Not registered/ineligible/too young... 2 Did not vote (Can't remember/don't know)... 3 (Refused)... - (ref:vote14)

2 2 Q.9 What are the chances of your voting in the election for President, Senate, and other offices this November: are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? Almost certain Probably Will not vote... - (Don't know)... - (Refused)... - (ref:cp16) [156 Respondents] Q.10 (IF ANOTHER MEMBER IN NAMEFILE) How often would you say you vote? Always Nearly always Part of the time...- Seldom...- (Never)...- (Other/Don't know/refused)...- (ref:oftvote) Q.11 How much do the elections this November for President, U.S. Congress and other state and local offices matter this year? Please rate how much they matter from one to ten, with one meaning they don't matter at all and ten meaning they matter tremendously. You can choose any number between one and ten (Don't know/refused)... 0 Mean (ref:matter1)

3 3 Q.12 Generally speaking, do you think that things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track (Don't know/refused)... 5 Right - Wrong (ref:direct) Q.13 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove... 9 Strongly disapprove (Don't know/refused)... 2 approve disapprove Approve - disapprove... 8 (ref:boapp) Q.14 Now, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so. Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 14 The Republican Party The Democratic Party Hillary Clinton Barack Obama Elizabeth Warren The N.R.A., or National Rifle Association Pro-life, anti-abortion groups Gay marriage

4 4 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 22 The state of the economy The Tea Party CEOs of large businesses Donald Trump (SPLIT A) NAFTA, the North American Free Trade Agreement between the United States, Canada and Mexico (SPLIT B) The Trans-Pacific Partnership, known as TPP, the proposed new trade agreement between the United States and 11 other Pacific countries (ref:therm) Q.28 Now, thinking about the election for President in November. If the election for President were held today, would you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump or Libertarian Gary Johnson? Democrat Hillary Clinton Lean Democrat Hillary Clinton... 2 Republican Donald Trump Lean Republican Donald Trump... 2 Libertarian Gary Johnson Lean Libertarian Gary Johnson... 1 (Other candidate)... 4 Lean (Other candidate)... 0 (Undecided)... 2 (Refused)... 0 (Will not vote)... 0 Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump Libertarian Gary Johnson (Other candidate)... 4 (ref:prs16vt1)

5 5 Q.30 Even though you are not supporting Hillary Clinton now, what are the chances that you might support Hillary Clinton in the election for President in November is there a fair chance, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all that you might support Hillary Clinton? Fair chance... 4 A small chance... 3 Just a very slight chance... 8 No chance at all (Don't know/refused)... 0 Clinton supporter (ref:prsvcs1) Q.31 Even though you are not supporting Donald Trump now, what are the chances that you might support Donald Trump in the election for President in November is there a fair chance, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all that you might support Donald Trump? Fair chance... 2 A small chance... 4 Just a very slight chance... 6 No chance at all (Don't know/refused)... 1 Trump supporter (ref:prsvcs2) Q.32 (IF JOHNSON OR OTHER IN PRS16VT1) Well, what if you had to choose between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump (Other candidate)... 1 (Undecided)... 3 (Will not vote)... 3 (ref:prs2way)

6 6 Q.33 Now, thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in November, would you be voting for (Democratic candidate) or (Republican candidate)? 1 Democratic candidate Lean Democratic candidate... 5 Republican candidate Lean Republican candidate... 4 (Other candidate)... 2 (Will not vote)... 1 (Don't know/refused) Democratic candidate Republican candidate (ref:cong16) Q.35 Now I am going to read you some things Donald Trump says about the economy. For each one, please tell me whether it is a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing statement about the economy. A Not Very/ Littl/ Very Smwt Littl At All DK/ Smwt Not Conv Conv Conv Conv Ref Conv Conv Conv 38 (SPLIT F)(INFRASTRUCTURE) Our infrastructure is a national embarrassment. China's airports and bridges and schools are like nothing you have ever seen. But our roads and infrastructure are like a third world country. We need to stop building other countries and rebuild here (SPLIT E)(REGULATIONS) American business are taxed and regulated and restricted to death so we don't compete globally. We need massive tax reform and we need to get rid of wasteful rules and regulations crushing American businesses so we create jobs here and stop sending them overseas For each congressional district, the names of the Democratic and Republican candidates were asked.

7 7 A Not Very/ Littl/ Very Smwt Littl At All DK/ Smwt Not Conv Conv Conv Conv Ref Conv Conv Conv 35 (TRADE) NAFTA and China's cheating on trade has cost of millions of our best jobs and created an 800 billion dollar trade deficit. I will say no to TPP, crack down on countries cheating on trade, and redo our existing trade deals with tough negotiators that stand up for American workers (ANTI-ELITE/GLOBALIZATION) Globalization has made the financial elite who donate to politicians very wealthy. But it has left millions of our workers without jobs and lower wages. I will declare independence from the elites so we can start promoting development in America again, not other countries (IMMIGRATION) Illegal immigration is out of control and killing us economically. Illegal immigrants are taking our jobs and depressing our wages. We need to put American workers first. So we are going to deport everyone here illegally and build a wall (ref:rtrconp) Q.40 Now I am going to read you some things Hillary Clinton says about the economy. For each one, please tell me whether it is a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing statement about the economy. A Not Very/ Littl/ Very Smwt Littl At All DK/ Smwt Not Conv Conv Conv Conv Ref Conv Conv Conv 41 (SPLIT B)(WORKING WOMEN) It is time our policies reflect the way American families actually live and work in the 21st century so women can get and keep better paying jobs. Let's ensure equal pay for women, provide paid sick leave, and make quality affordable childcare a reality for working families

8 8 A Not Very/ Littl/ Very Smwt Littl At All DK/ Smwt Not Conv Conv Conv Conv Ref Conv Conv Conv 40 (SPLIT A)(CORPORATE GOV) Corporate profits and CEO pay is at an all-time high, but companies are outsourcing jobs, cutting wages and not investing in research and their own workers. We need to rewrite the rules so businesses and CEOs do well when they compete fairly and invest in innovation and the training of their own employees instead of prioritizing short-term gains on the market (INFRASTRUCURE) It is time to prioritize long-term growth over short-term fixes by making a massive investment in American infrastructure. We can put Americans to work repairing roads, expanding high-speech rail and providing universal broadband access, paving the way for a new century of economic growth (SPLIT A) (RACIAL AGENDA) We must address head-on the racial inequities in our society and economy. Let's start by transforming our criminal justice system and targeting investments in education, infrastructure, housing and transportation in communities of color so all Americans have an opportunity to achieve economic security (SPLIT A)(JOBS/WAGES) Working families are struggling and its time they got a raise. We can start by raising the minimum wage, ensuring workers can organize for higher wages and better benefits, and investing in educating our workers for the better paying high-skill jobs of the 21st century

9 9 A Not Very/ Littl/ Very Smwt Littl At All DK/ Smwt Not Conv Conv Conv Conv Ref Conv Conv Conv 46 (SPLIT B)(FINANCIAL REFORM) 8 years after the financial crisis, the stock market is booming while the middle class is struggling. We need to protect financial reforms so regulators can protect the public good and ensure Wall Street never threatens Main Street again. And we need to close tax holes to hedge fund managers and real estate speculators can't avoid paying taxes (SPLIT B)(TRADE) The final terms of the proposed TPP trade deal give corporations the right to sue the U.S. government for unlimited taxpayer funds in front of 3 corporate lawyers. I know President Obama has the right intentions, but major changes need to be made to protect the middle class and American workers (ref:rtrdemp)

10 10 Q.47 Now I am going to read you some reasons to worry about Hillary Clinton's approach to the economy. Please tell which one concerns you the most? She is part of the political elite who have gotten rich selling access Her plan would raise taxes by 1 trillion dollars She supported NAFTA and helped negotiate the proposed new TPP agreement as Secretary of State (None)... 4 (All)... 9 (Don't know/refused)... 3 (ref:cecondbt) Q.48 Now I am going to read you some reasons to worry about Donald Trump's approach to the economy. Please tell which one concerns you the most? He made billions by bankrupting his businesses four times, laying off his workers and defrauding small contractors Nonpartisan economic experts consider a possible Trump presidency a great threat to the global economy and say his plan would put us into recession His tax cut plan for the rich would add 30 trillion dollars to the deficit (SPLIT B) He uses people in other countries to make his clothing line and foreign workers in his building projects (None)... 9 (All) (Don't know/refused)... 4 (ref:tecondbt)

11 11 Q.49 Now I am going to read you a statement from Hillary Clinton about what needs to be done for the economy. Please tell me whether that statement makes you feel much more positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive, or no more positive about Hillary Clinton's economic plans? Much Smwt Little No Much/ Little/ More More More More DK/ Smwt More No Pos Pos Pos Pos Ref Pos Pos Pos [206 Respondents] 49 (SPLIT C)(SPLIT B)(RTR WITH TRADE) We need to make our economy work for everyone, not just the rich and well-connected. Too many are wedded to the failed theory of trickle down economics. Too many CEOs move jobs overseas and prioritize short-term stock prices over long-term investments in their workers. Too many wealthy special interests are using lobbyists so the economy works for them. I have a plan to rewrite the rules of the economy so it works for everybody, not just those at the top. We must end the stranglehold of big money on our politics. We cannot allow Wall Street to wreck Main Street again and corporations and the wealthy must pay their fair share of taxes. More employees must be able to join unions. Our trade deals must be good for working families and not encourage American companies to move jobs overseas. And let's provide affordable childcare, paid leave and equal pay for women, make college debt-free, and make large infrastructure investments to create middle class jobs. Because we're stronger together when we grow together

12 12 Much Smwt Little No Much/ Little/ More More More More DK/ Smwt More No Pos Pos Pos Pos Ref Pos Pos Pos [244 Respondents] 50 (SPLIT C)(SPLIT A)(RTR NO TRADE) We need to make our economy work for everyone, not just the rich and well-connected. Too many are wedded to the failed theory of trickle down economics. Too many CEOs move jobs overseas and prioritize short-term stock prices over long-term investments in their workers. Too many wealthy special interests are using lobbyists so the economy works for them. I have a plan to rewrite the rules of the economy so it works for everybody, not just those at the top. We must end the stranglehold of big money on our politics. We cannot allow Wall Street to wreck Main Street again and corporations and the wealthy must pay their fair share of taxes. More employees must be able to join unions. And let's provide affordable childcare, paid leave and equal pay for women, make college debt-free, and make large infrastructure investments to create middle class jobs. Because we're stronger together when we grow together

13 13 Much Smwt Little No Much/ Little/ More More More More DK/ Smwt More No Pos Pos Pos Pos Ref Pos Pos Pos 51 (SPLIT D)(BUILD) President Obama saved us from the worst economic crisis since the great depression. Thanks to his leadership and the hard work of the American people, we have created 14 million private sector jobs in past 6 and half years and the auto industry has made a strong come back. But America's economy isn't yet where we want it to be. People are working harder and longer just to keep their heads above water. The task for the next president is to build on President Obama's accomplishments to expand opportunity and break down the barriers holding too many people back. We need to give the middle class a raise and put Americans to work by investing in our infrastructure and new industries like clean energy. And let's provide affordable childcare, paid leave and equal pay for women, and make college debt-free. Because we're stronger together when we grow together (ref:hceconst)

14 14 Q.52 Now I am going to read you a statement from Donald Trump about what needs to be done for the economy. Please tell me whether that statement makes you feel much more positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive, or no more positive about Donald Trump's economic plans? America doesn't win anymore. We used to be the world's greatest economy and created the biggest middle class the world has ever known. But then our politicians and the elites decided to pursue a policy of globalization. They negotiated disastrous trade deals that moved our best jobs, our wealth and our factories to Mexico and overseas. And they stopped protecting our borders so illegal immigrants take our jobs. It's time to take our country back from elites, bring back our jobs and put America first again. I will cut taxes and regulations on businesses and I will build a wall with Mexico. I will completely redo our trade deals and crack down on countries cheating on trade like China. And I will say no to the new TPP trade deal that would decimate American manufacturing. I will do for America what I have done for my businesses and make America rich again. Much more positive Somewhat more positive A little more positive No more positive (Don't know/refused)... 2 Much/Somewhat More Positive More Positive Little/Not Positive (ref:dteconst) Q.53 Now, I am going to again read you a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would do a better job with each issue. If you do not know, just tell me and we'll move on. HRC HRC DT DT HRC Much Smwt Smwt Much Nei- DK/ - Better Better Better Better Both ther Ref HRC DT DT 53 The economy Making America strong Creating jobs Achieving economic growth that benefits everyone, not just those at the top (ref:betjobtc)

15 15 Q.57 Now, thinking again about the election for President in 2016, if the election for President were held today, would you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump or Libertarian Gary Johnson? Democrat Hillary Clinton Lean Democrat Hillary Clinton... 0 Republican Donald Trump Lean Republican Donald Trump... 1 Libertarian Gary Johnson Lean Libertarian Gary Johnson... - (Other candidate)... 2 Lean (Other candidate)... 0 (Undecided)... 2 (Refused)... 0 (Will not vote)... 1 Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump Libertarian Gary Johnson (Other candidate)... 2 (ref:prs16vt2) [543 Respondents] Q.59 (IF NOT DEM IN CONG16) Now I am going to read you a list of positions taken by Republican candidates for U.S. Congress and the legislature in (STATE). The Republican candidates: Support tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations. Oppose abortion even in cases of rape and incest. Oppose restricting gun rights for people on the terror watch list and outlawing the sale of assault rifles. Oppose gay marriage and new laws barring discrimination against gays, lesbians and transgender people. After hearing that the Republican candidates take these positions, would you now vote for his or her Democratic opponent? Very certain to vote for the Democrat Somewhat certain to vote for the Democrats Will not vote for the Democrat (Don't know/refused) Certain to Vote Democrat (ref:conecon1)

16 16 [165 Respondents] Q.60 (IF CERTAIN IN CONECON1) Which one of the Republican candidates' positions bothered you the most? Opposes abortion even in cases of rape and incest Opposes gay marriage and new laws barring discrimination against gays, lesbians and transgender people Oppose restricting gun rights for people on the terror watch list and outlawing the sale of assault rifles Supports tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations (None)... 3 (All) (Don't know/refused)... 4 (ref:conecon2) Q.61 Finally, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade... 2 High School graduate Non-college post H.S Some college College graduate Post-graduate school (Don't know/refused)... 0 (ref:educ) Q.62 Are you married, single, living with a partner, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married Single Separated/Divorced... 9 Widowed... 6 Living with a partner... 5 (Don't know/refused)... 0 (ref:marital)

17 17 Q.63 In what year were you born? and over (No answer)... 1 (ref:age) Q.64 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican or what? Strong Democrat Weak Democrat Independent-lean Democrat Independent... 6 Independent-lean Republican... 9 Weak Republican Strong Republican (Don't know/refused)... 0 (ref:ptyid1) Q.67 Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal? Liberal Moderate Conservative (Don't know/refused)... 2 (ref:ideo1) Q.68 (RPP) Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not? Strong supporter... 9 Not so strong supporter Not a supporter (Don't know/refused)... 7 (ref:teasupp)

18 18 [865 Respondents] Q.69 (IF VOTED IN VOTE12) In the 2012 election for president, did you vote for Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney (Gary Johnson)... 1 (Jill Stein).... (Virgil Goode)... - (Other)... 2 (Don't know/refused)... 3 (ref:vote2012) Q.70 What racial or ethnic group best describes you? White African-American or Black Hispanic or Latino Native American... 1 Asian... 1 (Other)... 2 (Don't know/refused)... 2 (ref:racethn) Q.72 (RPP) Let me ask a question about religion. Which one of these best describes yourself? Observant Catholic Non-observant Catholic... 7 Evangelical Christian Non-evangelical Protestant Jewish... 2 Muslim... 1 No religious affiliation (Other) (Don't know/refused)... 3 Catholic Non Catholic Christian (ref:relig4)

19 19 Q.73 (RPP) How often do you attend religious services more than once a week, once a week, once or twice a month, several times a year, or hardly ever? More than once a week Once a week Once or twice a month Several times a year Hardly ever (Never)... 6 (Don't know/refused)... 3 (ref: RELIG2) Q.3 Respondent Gender: Male Female (ref:gender)