Latino Party ID: Inherited or Learned? By Dylan Davison Dr. Patrick Donnay Political Science Class of 2013

Transcription

1 Latin Party ID: Inherited r Learned? By Dylan Davisn Dr. Patrick Dnnay Plitical Science Class f 2013

2 Why? Latin Ppulatin as f 2010 Latin Ppulatin as f 1980

3 Imprtance

4 Literature Thery 1. Knke, Greenblatt, A. (2008). Changing U.S. electrate: are demgraphic trends reshaping U.S. plitics? CQ Researcher Online Starts t detail the changes in ur racial make-up as a natin Latins becming a bigger vting blck

5 Thery Cnt. 1. D., & Hut, M. (1974). Scial and demgraphic factrs in american plitical party affiliatins, American Scilgical Review Talks abut what factrs g int party ID Race, Regin, Religin, plitical scializatin Age als affects party ID 2. Krh, M., & Selb, P. (2009). Inheritance and the dynamics f party identificatin. Plitical Behavir Establishment f inheritance versus learned party ID Traditinalists (Inherited) vs. Revisinists (Learned)

6 Thery Cnt. 1. Dutwin, D., Brdie, M., Herrmann, M., & Levin, R. (2005). Latins and plitical party affiliatin. Hispanic Jurnal Of Behaviral Sciences Fund that Latins are mre likely t identify themselves as Republican because f traditinal family values Implicatins f this are far ranging 2. Evans, D., Franc, A., Plinard, J., Wenzel, J., Wrinkle, R., Ethnic cncerns and Latin party identificatin, The Scial Science Jurnal Influence f ethnic cncerns n party ID f Latin vters Fund t affect party ID Latins are mre likely t supprt candidates and parties that shw cncern fr their interests.

7 Dataset: Methds Pew Hispanic Center 2008 Pst-Electin Survey 1,540 Respndents age 18+

8 Results. T able 1.2 Latin Party identificatin by Ethnicity Crsstabulatin Mexican Puert Rican Cuban Dminican Salvadran Central American Suth American T tal Republican Party Percent % 12.00% 39.60% 6.90% 10.00% 22.60% 16.30% 20.70% Demcratic Party Percent % 80.80% 52.1% 74.10% 80.00% 67.70% 77.90% 70.00% Independent Percent % 7.20% 8.30% 19.00% 10.00% 9.70% 5.80% 9.30% Ttal Percent % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

9 Results Republican Party Demcratic Party Latin Party Identificatin by years spent in the United States <= 0 years 1-10 years years years years 41+ years Ttal Cunt % 20.9% 14.6% 13.6% 28.8% 26.3% 19.5% Cunt % 65.5% 73.7% 78.8% 63% 67.1% 70% Independent Cunt % 13.6% 11.7% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 10.5% T tal Cunt % % % % % % %

10 Results/Tables Table 1.1 Latin Party Identificatin by Annual Husehld Incme Plitcal Party Identificatin Annual Husehld Incme Ttal <$20,000 $20,000-74,000 $75,000+ Republican Party Cunt % 18.7% 32.0% 21.4% Demcratic Party Cunt % 71.8% 58.8% 69.7% Independent Cunt % 9.4% 9.2% 8.9% Ttal Cunt % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

11 Results Table 1.4 Latin party identificatin by Citizenship crsstabulatin 7. Are yu a citizen f the United States? Yes N Ttal Republican party Cunt % 18.4% 19.5% Demcratic party Cunt % 69.2% 69.8% Independent Cunt % 12.5% 10.7% Ttal Cunt % 100.0% 100.0%

12 Cnclusin Results indicate that Party ID is learned ver time but als inherited in regards t ethnicity. Initially, Latin vters are split 50/50 in regards t being Republican r Demcrat Becme mre partisan and less independent ver time. Incme relatinship is incnclusive Citizenship relatinship is incnclusive Implicatins: Demgraphics The Latin ppulatin is grwing and is expected t surpass 40% f the ppulatin by The party that can take advantage f this and secure Latin lyalty will win electins dwn the rad as the white vte, percentage-wise, cntinues t shrink.

13 Bibligraphy Alvarez, R. M., & Bedlla, L. G. (2003). The fundatins f Latin vter partisanship: evidence frm the 2000 electin. The Jurnal f Plitics, 65(1), Benit, W. L. (2004). Plitical Party Affiliatin and Presidential Campaign Discurse. Cmmunicatin Quarterly, 52(2), Bishin, B. G., Kaufmann, K. M., & Stevens, D. (2011). Turf wars: lcal cntext and latin plitical develpment. Urban Affairs Review, 48(1), Dutwin, D., Brdie, M., Herrmann, M., & Levin, R. (2005). Latins and Plitical Party Affiliatin. Hispanic Jurnal Of Behaviral Sciences, 27(2), di: / Evans, D., Franc, A., Plinard, J., Wenzel, J., Wrinkle, R. (2012). Ethnic cncerns and Latin party identificatin, The Scial Science Jurnal Evans, G., & Pickup, M. (2010). Reversing the Causal Arrw: The Plitical Cnditining f Ecnmic Perceptins in the U.S. Presidential Electin Cycle. Jurnal Of Plitics, 72(4), di: /s Greenblatt, A. (2008). Changing U.S. electrate: Are demgraphic trends reshaping U.S. plitics?. CQ Researcher Online, Retrieved frm Hatemi, P. K., Alfrd, J. R., Hibbing, J. R., Martin, N. G., & Eaves, L. J. (2009). Is there a "party" in yur genes?. Plitical Research Quarterly, 62(3), Katel, P. (2008, July 18). Race and plitics. CQ Researcher, 18, Retrieved frm Knke, D., & Hut, M. (1974). SOCIAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS IN AMERICAN POLITICAL PARTY AFFILIATIONS, American Scilgical Review, 39(5), Krh, M., & Selb, P. (2009). Inheritance and the Dynamics f Party Identificatin. Plitical Behavir, 31(4), di: /s Wng, J. S. (2000). The Effects f Age and Plitical Expsure n the Develpment f Party Identificatin Amng Asian American and Latin Zeller, Shawn. "A Party Fractured, GOP Cnservatives Regrup." CQ Weekly (February 9, 2009):