The School Nutrition Association s 46 th Annual Legislative Action Conference

Transcription

1 The School Nutrition Association s 46 th Annual Legislative Action Conference Opening General Session #LAC18 Copyright 2018 School Nutrition Association Legislative Action Conference March 4-6 Washington, D.C.

2 Dessert: An SNA apple filled with white chocolate mousse sitting on a chocolate caramel ganache tart!

3 LAC POLLING

4 Live Polling Instructions To join the polling session: 1.In the To field: Once you have put in the above information, click Send like you would a normal text. 2. In the message field: LAC18 *Standard text messaging rates apply.

5 Live Polling Instructions Text in your answers! You will see a response like the one in the image. Simply enter your answer into the message box and click send. You don t need to create a new message with each poll question. Just keep replying to the same thread.

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7 SNA S PUBLIC POLICY & LEGISLATION COMMITTEE AND BOARD ADVISORS Doug Davis Chair Sara Gasiorowski Vice Chair Chris Burkhardt Mideast Stacy Koppen Midwest Artie Frego Northeast Debra Timm Northwest Ken Yant Southeast Cindy Jones Southwest Siri Perlman West Chris Kamradt Member at Large Scott Clements State Agency Michael Miller Industry Lynn Harvey SNA President Gay Anderson President-Elect Patti Montague SNA CEO

8 SNA BOARD OF DIRECTORS Debbi Beauvais Tamara Earl Sandi Kramer Gail Koutroubas Kaye Wetli Reginald Ross Monica Deines- Henderson Angela Haney Lori Adkins Stephanie Dillard Ariane Shanley Donna Myers Sandra Ford

9 SNA S GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS AND MEDIA RELATIONS TEAM Cathy Schuchart Staff Vice President Sherri Lehman Director of Federal Government Affairs Diane Pratt-Heavner Director of Media Relations Nadia Davis Manager, Federal Government Affairs Lawren Geer Coordinator Katie Millett SNA Consultant Sean McBride SNA Consultant

10 The School Nutrition Association s 46 th Annual Legislative Action Conference Opening General Session #LAC18 Copyright 2018 School Nutrition Association Legislative Action Conference March 4-6 Washington, D.C.

11 Keynote Speakers: Peter Hart and Frank Luntz Peter Hart leading pollster and public policy expert with over 40 years of experience Frank Luntz one of the most honored communications specialists in America and New York Times bestselling author

12 The School Nutrition Association s 46 th Annual Legislative Action Conference Opening General Session #LAC18 Copyright 2018 School Nutrition Association Legislative Action Conference March 4-6 Washington, D.C.

13 Mood of the Nation 2018 Peter D Hart

14 How did we get here? A rising tide of INCIVILITY The middle is hollowed out Amateur professionals everywhere 2

15 3 The Fundamentals 1. Direction of Country 29% right direction, 63% wrong track track 2. Anger with the System, Anxiety at Home 3. Greater Fear about ISIS and Terrorism 4. America s Place in the World 5. Next Generation Worse Off 3

16 RATINGS OF DONALD TRUMP 4

17 A Historical Perspective On Presidential Job Ratings At About One Year Into Presidency Average Non-Trump Approval Rating George W. Bush (January 2002) Kennedy (January 1962) Johnson (January 1965) George H.W. Bush (January 1990) Eisenhower (January 1954) Clinton (January 1994) Nixon (January 1970) Carter (January 1978) Obama (January 2010) Reagan (January 1982) Ford (July 1975) Truman (May 1946) Trump (January 2018) 39% 61% 60% 57% 53% 50% 48% 45% 45% 82% 78% 73% 70% 70% Pre-Clinton data from Gallup 5

18 Personal and Policy Approval Which ONE of these statements best describes your feelings toward Donald Trump? Like personally and approve most policies 1/18 2/17 23% 31% -8 Like personally but disapprove of many policies Don t like personally, approve most of policies 1/18 2/17 1/18 2/17 6% 7% 17% 16% Like personally 29% 38% Don t like personally 69% 59% Approve policies 40% 47% Disapprove policies 58% 50% Don t like personally, disapprove many policies 1/18 2/17 43% 52% +9 6

19 Positive Accomplishments During Donald Trump s First Year as President Among these things some people say are positive accomplishments during Donald Trump s first year as President, which one or two, if any, have made you feel most POSITIVE about Trump? Strong economy/ stock market Putting America first 13% 20% Tax reform Military success over ISIS Being frank/not politically correct Shaking things up in DC Appointing conservative federal judges Cutting federal regulations 6% 5% 10% 10% 9% 9% All 7% None 37% 7

20 Results among the 39% who approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as president: What one word or VERY short phrase would describe how you feel about Donald Trump s first year as president? 8

21 Results among the 57% who disapprove of the job that Donald Trump is doing as president: What one word or VERY short phrase would describe how you feel about Donald Trump s first year as president? 9

22 Changes in Perceptions of Donald Trump (good rating minus poor rating) Changing business as usual in Washington Being effective and getting things done Jan 17 Feb 0 April June 17 Jan 18-6 Jan 17 Feb 17 April 17-2 Jan

23 Changes in Perceptions of Donald Trump (good rating minus poor rating) Caring about the average people Being steady and reliable Having the right temperament Jan 18 Jan 18 Jan 17 Feb 17 April 17 June 17 Jan

24 Changes in Perceptions of Donald Trump (good rating minus poor rating) Being honest and trustworthy Having high personal and ethical standards Jan 17 Feb 17 April 17 June 17 Jan 18 Jan 17 Jan

25 ECONOMY 13

26 Economic Satisfaction Trend Satisfied/Dissatisfied with State of Economy Over the Past 20 Years* -11% -17% +18% +73% +52% +63% +51% -5% +3% -14% -36% -72% -80% -67% -45% -43% -9% -26% +13% +39% Beginning of the Great Recession 86% 76% 81% 75% 86% 90% 83% 69% 55% 57% 58% 52% 51% 57% 68% 72% 71% 54% 63% 56% 44% 40% 40% 47% 48% 43% 32% 27% 28% 45% 37% 43% 13% 24% 18% 24% 14% 10% 16% 30% 4/95 1/96 3/97 9/98 10/99 4/00 1/01 1/02 1/04 9/06 12/07 4/08 1/09 1/10 1/13 1/14 1/15 6/15 4/17 1/18 Total Satisfied Total Dissatisfied *Trend data through 2014 shown from the first time the question was asked each year. 14

27 World s Leading Nation 54% United States Russia Japan The EU India China 56% 47% 39% 38% 39% 37% 35% 35% 26% 6% 6% 3% 10% 9% 4% 2% 5% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% March 1995 May 1997 Dec 2009 Jan 2011 Dec 2011 Jan

28 VOTING 16

29 Pre-Election Congressional Preference Republicans Gain Control of Congress Democrats Gain Control of Congress Past Three Presidential Years January Republican Advantage Democrat Advantage Democrat Advantage 17

30 High Interest in the Election October 2006 Total Year 2010 Total Year 2014 December 2017 Democrats 69% 49% 48% 59% Independents 50% 50% 40% 48% Republicans 56% 66% 59% 49% 18

31 THE GREAT UNKNOWNS MUELLER & KOREA 19

32 Feelings Toward the FBI and Robert Mueller The FBI Robert Mueller 54% 30% 14% 51% 47% 32% 25% 19% 19% Positive Neutral Negative 28% 24% 11% 28% 28% 21% 21% 15% 14% June 2017 Dec Jan June 2017 Dec Jan June 2017 Dec Jan Pos Neg Pos Neg Pos Neg DEM 63% 6% 56% 9% 64% 9% IND 52% 16% 41% 22% 58% 16% REP 51% 22% 44% 29% 41% 28% June 2017 Dec Jan Pos Neg Pos Neg Pos Neg DEM 35% 9% 39% 14% 44% 9% IND 22% 12% 37% 23% 23% 10% REP 15% 14% 13% 31% 11% 21% 20

33 Likelihood that Donald Trump s actions against North Korea Leader Kim Jong Un will lead America into military conflict with North Korea: Less likely 16% Will make no difference 26% Not sure 6% MORE LIKELY 52% 21

34 In the past 10 days: Putin speech Mueller files new charges against Manafort, Gates Kushner security clearance revoked Hope Hicks leaving Sessions stands up to Trump Xi Jinping can extend rule White House meeting on gun safety Supreme Court rejects Trump DACA appeal Trump calls for arming teachers Only 250 days to go... 22

35 Mood of the Nation 2018 Peter D Hart