Florida Statewide January 2016

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1 Florida Statewide Securing Florida s Future

2 Methodology Seven hundred and eleven (711) Florida voters were interviewed by a professional polling firm January 4-7, 16 The margin of error for this survey is ±3.5%, with a 95% confidence level. The sample was drawn from frequent voters and respondents were again screened for voter registration. The sample was balanced according to all known demographic factors. Fifty one percent of the respondents were interviewed via landlines and 48 percent via cell numbers. This poll was conducted by Florida Chamber Political Institute.

3 Voters Concerns Jobs/Econ Education 9 15 Health Care Immigration Guns Bal Budget

4 Change in Voters Concerns Since September Sep Jan Jobs/Econ Education Health Care Immigration Guns Bal Budget

5 Top Three Voter Concerns Statewide JOBS HC ED Other Men Women Immigration 8% Gun Control 6% Crime 4% Immigration 6% Gun Control 6% Immigration 8% Gun Control 5% Rep 24 8 Immigration 13% Dem Others Gun Control 9% Crime 5% Immigration 9% Gun Control 6% White Black Hispanics Immigration 9% Gun Control 5% Gun Control 11% Crime % Immigration 6% Crime 4% Gun Control 4%

6 Top Three Voter Concerns Statewide JOBS HC ED OTHER Immigration 8% Gun Control 6% Crime 4% Jacksonville Gainesville Gun Control 7% Immigration 7% State Budget 7% Senior Issues 7% Tallahassee Gun Control 11% Panama City Immigration 18% Pensacola Orlando/Daytona Immigration 15% Property Taxes 7% Terrorism/ISIS 7% Immigration 6% Gun Control 6% Tampa/St. Pete Immigration 7% Ft. Myers/Naples 2 12 Immigration 14% Broward Gun Control 11% Immigration 9% Palm Beach Environment 9% Miami-Dade Immigration 6%

7 Florida Right Track/Wrong Direction Right Wrong Jan :36 47:41 33:42 22:57 41:39 43:38 15 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec- Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec- Presidential Gov & Presidential Gov & President Gov & Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet Tracking Chart of Florida Chamber Political Institute s last 70 Statewide Polls 34

8 Right vs. Wrong Direction Statewide 44:34 Jacksonville 56:25 Gainesville 60: Tallahassee 26:42 Panama City 59:24 Pensacola 67:19 Orlando/Daytona :36 Tampa/St. Pete 48:32 Ft. Myers/Naples 65:25 Broward 25:51 Palm Beach 45:31 Miami-Dade 23:47 Statewide 44:34 Men 50: Women 38:38 Republicans 55:26 Democrats 33:42 Others 46:31 White 48:33 Black 33:37 Hispanics 33:

9 Current Financial Situation Better Worse Same/No Difference 0 Thinking about you and your families current financial situation compared to a year ago, would you say it is:

10 Sep- Sep- Oct- October, Feb-11 Mar-11 Jun-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 Mar-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Jun-14 Feb-15 May-15 August 1543 Sep Governor Scott Favorability 60% 50% % % 52% 50% 51% 48% 46% 46% 47% 46% 46% 44% 41% 43% 41% 42% 43% 43% 44% 45% 47% 46% 45% 44% 45% 41% 39% 38% 39% % 38% 38% % 33% 31% 34% % 36% 39% 41% % 43% 42% 29% 43% % % % 0% Favorable Unfavorable

11 Aug-03 Jan-04 Jun-04 Nov-04 Apr-05 Sep-05 Feb-06 Jul-06 Dec-06 Jeb Bush Favorability May-07 Oct-07 Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 Apr- Sep- Feb-11 Jul-11 Dec-11 May-12 Oct-12 Mar-13 Aug-13 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep Favorable Unfavorable Undecided

12 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb- May- Aug- Nov- Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13 Nov-13 Feb-14 May-14 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 U. S. Senator Marco Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Und/DK

13 Donald Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Undecided June 15 Sep-15 Jan-16

14 Hillary Clinton Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Und/DK

15 Governor Scott Job Approval 60% 50% 52% % % % % Approve Disapprove Undecided 38% % 0%

16 Florida Legislature Job Approval Approve Disapprove Undecided 5 0 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct- Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-15 Jan 16

17 Constitutional Amendments 16 Use of Marijuana for Debilitating Medical Conditions Sponsored by: People United for Medical Marijuana, John Morgan, Chairperson Verified Signatures: 523,168 ( ) in 5 CD Signatures Needed: 683,149 in 14 CD May August September Jan-16 Support Oppose Undecided

18 Solar Electricity Limits or Prevents Barriers to Local Solar Electricity Supply Solar Electricity Signature Status Required for review: 68,314 Has Fl Supreme Court Approval Required for ballot: 683,149 Number Currently Valid: 276, May August September Jan-16 Support Oppose Undecided

19 Rights of Electricity Consumers Regarding Solar Energy Choice Sponsored by Consumers for Smart Solar Required signatures 683,149 in 14 CD Verified signatures: 592,003 ( ) in 7 CD Needs Supreme Court Approval by April 1, Support Oppose Undecided 0 August September Jan-16

20 Current Voter Registration 27% Others 3,233,177 Republicans 4,164,805 % 38% Democrats 4,515,419 11,913,

21 Net Voter Registration -- January through November 15-17, , ,261-

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