YouGov's Record. Public Polling Results compared to other pollsters and actual outcomes. European Parliament elections, May 2014 (UK)
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1 's Record Public Polling s compared to other pollsters and actual outcomes European Parliament elections, May 2014 (UK) ComRes ICM Opinium Survation TNS UKIP Lab Con Green Lib Dem Average error German Parliamentary Elections 2013 INSA/ FG Wahlen Infratest dimap GMS Forsa Emnid Allensbach Trend Research Ifm Leipzig CDU/ CSU SPD Grüne FDP Linke Other Average error
2 US Presidential Elections 2012 Obama % Romney % Predicted Obama two-party vote Difference between Predicted Obama Two- Party Vote & Final Pew ABC / Washington Post Angus-Reid Democracy Corps Ipsos / Reuters (web) Public Policy Polling Purple Strategies NBC / Wall Street Journal CBS / New York Times UPI / CVOTER IBD / TIPP United Technologies / National Journal Politico / GWU / Battleground Gravis Markting JZ Analytics ARG CNN / ORC Monmouth JZ Analytics / Washington Times FOX Rasmussen Gallup NPR Associated Press / GfK
3 London mayoral elections st preference After 2nd count ComRes Populus Survation Johnson Livingstone Jones Paddick Benita Webb Cortiglia Average error Johnson Livingstone Average error London Assembly elections 2012 Survation Lab Con Green Lib Dem Others Average error
4 French Presidential Election First Round Yougov Harris Interactive OpinionWay LH2 IFOP TNS SOFRES IPSOS BVA CSA s Hollande Sarkozy Le Pen Mélenchon Bayrou Joly Dupont-Aignan Arthaud Poutou Cheminade Abstention Average error French Presidential Election Second Round Harris Interactive OpinionWay LH2 IFOP TNS SOFRES IPSOS BVA CSA s Hollande Sarkozy Abstention Average error
5 Danish general election 2011, Exit Poll 14:00 Megafon 18:00 Epinion 17:00 Socialdemokraterne De Radikale Konservative SF Liberal Alliance Kristendemokraterne Dansk Folkeparti Venstre Enhedslisten Average error Scottish Parliament 2011 Constituency vote TNS- BMRB Progressive SNP Labour Conservative Liberal Democrat Average error Regional vote SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Average error
6 Welsh Assembly 2011 Constituency vote Labour Conservative Plaid Cymru Liberal Democrat Average error 2 Regional vote Labour Conservative Plaid Cymru Liberal Democrat 9 8 Average error 3 English local elections 2011 Labour 37 Conservative 35 Liberal Democrat 15 Average error 0 BBC Projected National Share AV Referendum 2011 ICM ComRes Angus Reid Yes No Average error
7 Welshassembly law-making powers referendum 2011 rmg: clarity ICM Yes No Average error Swedish general election 2010, Exit Poll SIFO Novus V S MP C FP KD M SD Öv Average error Labour leadership election, September st preferences David Miliband Ed Miliband Ed Balls Andy Burnham 12 9 Diane Abbott 9 7 Final count Ed Miliband David Miliband Average error 1.4
8 UK General election 2010 ICM Populus Ipsos TNS ComRes Harris Opinium Angus MORI BMRB Reid Con Lab Lib Dem Other Average error NRW (North Rhine Westfala) election 2010 Forschungsgruppe Infratest Emnid Forsa (7-May) Wahlen (30-Apr) (29-Apr) (6-May) (6-May) CDU SPD B'90/Die Grünen FDP Die Linke Other Average error
9 European Parliament elections 2009 ComRes ICM Populus Con UKIP Lab Lib Dem Green BNP Other Average error Hessen Landtagswahl election 2009 Forsa /FR Infratest Dimap / ARD, HR GMS / SAT 1 Emnid / Cicero Forsa / Stem, FR Forschungsgru ppe Wahlen / ZDF, FAZ CDU SPD Bündis 90/ Die Grünen FDP Die Linke Other Average error
10 London Mayoral election st preference MORI MRUK Johnson Livingstone Paddick Others Average error After 2nd count Johnson Livingstone Average error Scottish Parliament 2007 Constituency vote ICM Populus % SNP Labour Conservative Liberal Democrat Average error Regional vote SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Average error
11 Conservative leadership (December 2005) Cameron Davis Average error 1 0 No other polls General election 2005 / Populus ICM / MORI/ E NOP / Telegraph / Times Guardian Standard Indepen Con Lab Lib Dem Other Average error European Parliament elections 2004 / Telegraph All Certain to vote Populus / Times Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Average error
12 London Assembly elections 2004 Con Lab Lib Dem Average error 1 2 London mayoral elections st preference Populus All Certain to vote Livingstone Norris Hughes Average error After 2nd count Livingstone Norris Average error 0 4 3
13 Scottish Parliament 2003 Constituency vote Populus System 3 MORI Scottish Opinion Labour SNP Con Lib Dem Average error Regional vote Labour SNP Con Lib Dem Average error London Borough Elections (May party division) Conservative Labour Lib Dem Average error 0.7 No other polls
14 UK Conservative Leadership (Sept 2001) Pop Idol (Feb 2002) ICM Duncan Smith Clarke Average error 0 15 Will Young Gareth Gates Average error 0 No other polls UK General Election (June 2001) Gallup MORI ICM NOP Rasmussen Con Lab Lib Dem Lab lead Average error Error on lead: Average error on party support: Average error on Lab lead: Others
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