POLL ON EU REFERENDUM VOTING INTENTION IN SCOTLAND
|
|
- Suzan Black
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 POLL ON EU REFERENDUM VOTING INTENTION IN SCOTLAND Published nd June 0 As the leading supplier of opinion polls within Scotland for over 0 years, TNS has recently published public opinion polling on the Scottish Independence referendum and on voting s in Scotland for the 0 General Election and 0 Scottish Parliament election. TNS has also been polling voting in Scotland in relation to the referendum on the UK s membership of the EU being held on rd June. This latest poll was published on nd June 0. TNS is a member of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abides by its rules. We also operate within the Code of Conduct of the Market Research Society (MRS). In accordance with these rules the following information is provided: Sample size 00 Fieldwork dates th nd May 0 Interview method Population sampled Sampling method Data weighting Questions Further enquiries Facetoface, inhome CAPI All adults aged + in Scotland The poll was conducted through our Omnibus, Scottish Opinion Survey. For this survey, sampling points are selected to be representative of Scotland demographically and geographically. Within each sampling point, a quota sampling method is used for respondent selection. Data is weighted to the profile of all adults aged + in Scotland, based on population profile estimates from the BARB (Broadcasters Audience Research Board) Establishment Report 0, Mid year population estimates 0 and the 00 Census. Weighting is carried out in relation to working status within gender, age, social grade and electoral region. Data was also weighted to match turnout and share of vote from the 0 General Election in Scotland (as recorded at and turnout and share of constituency vote from the 0 Holyrood election ( Unweighted and weighted bases are shown at the top of each data table. The data tables show the question wording in full Alastair.graham@tnsglobal.com
2 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. There will be a referendum on the UK s membership of the EU (European Union) on rd June 0. How do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? BASE: Base: All aged + in Scotland Page Table SEX Male Female 0 0 AGE AB 0 C C 0 0 DE 0 ABC CDE 0 0 Remain a member of the European Union Leave the European Union DK % 0% % 0% % 0 0% 0% 0 0 0% 0 Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
3 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. There will be a referendum on the UK s membership of the EU (European Union) on rd June 0. How do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? BASE: Base: All aged + in Scotland Page Table H&I East Mid & Fife Lothia Centra ns l Glasgo w 0 0 East/ Remain a member of the European Union Leave the European Union DK % 0 0% % 0 0 Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
4 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. There will be a referendum on the UK s membership of the EU (European Union) on rd June 0. How do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? BASE: Base: All aged + in Scotland Page Table Conser vative 0 Holyrood constituency vote Lib Labour Dem SNP Other Didn't vote / CR EU Ref voting Remain Leave know Likelihood of voting EU Certai n / very Certai likely n (net) 0 Independence voting Yes No know Remain a member of the European Union Leave the European Union DK % 0% 0 0% % 0 Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
5 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 QA. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on the UK s membership of the EU (European Union) on rd June 0? BASE: Base: All aged + in Scotland Page Table SEX Male Female 0 0 AGE AB 0 C C 0 0 DE 0 ABC CDE 0 0 Certain/very likely (Net) Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote 0 0% 0 0 0% % % 0% 0 % % 0 0% 0 0% 0% 0 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
6 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 QA. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on the UK s membership of the EU (European Union) on rd June 0? BASE: Base: All aged + in Scotland Page Table H&I East Mid & Fife Lothia Centra ns l Glasgo w 0 0 East/ Certain/very likely (Net) Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote 0 0% 0 0 % 0 0% 0 0 % 0 0 0% 0% % 0 Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
7 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 QA. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on the UK s membership of the EU (European Union) on rd June 0? BASE: Base: All aged + in Scotland Page Table Conser vative 0 Holyrood constituency vote Lib Labour Dem SNP Other Didn't vote / CR EU Ref voting Remain Leave know Likelihood of voting EU Certai n / very Certai likely n (net) 0 Independence voting Yes No know Certain/very likely (Net) Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote 0 0% 0 0 % 0% % 0 0% 0 0% 0 0 % 0 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
8 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. It is possible that Scotland may vote to remain in the EU, but the UK as a whole votes to leave. In those circumstances, if there was a new referendum on Scottish Independence how would you vote in that independence referendum? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table SEX Male Female 0 0 AGE AB 0 C C 0 0 DE 0 ABC CDE 0 0 Yes (Scotland should be independent) No (Scotland should not be independent) know 0 % 0% 0% % 0% 0 0% 00 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
9 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. It is possible that Scotland may vote to remain in the EU, but the UK as a whole votes to leave. In those circumstances, if there was a new referendum on Scottish Independence how would you vote in that independence referendum? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table H&I East Mid & Fife Lothia Centra ns l Glasgo w 0 0 East/ Yes (Scotland should be independent) No (Scotland should not be independent) know 0 0% % 0 0% 0% % 0 0 % 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
10 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. It is possible that Scotland may vote to remain in the EU, but the UK as a whole votes to leave. In those circumstances, if there was a new referendum on Scottish Independence how would you vote in that independence referendum? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table Conser vative 0 Holyrood constituency vote Lib Labour Dem SNP Other Didn't vote / CR EU Ref voting Remain Leave know Likelihood of voting EU Certai n / very Certai likely n (net) 0 Independence voting Yes No know Yes (Scotland should be independent) No (Scotland should not be independent) know % 0% 0 0% 0% 0% 00 % 0 0% 0 0 0% 0% 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
11 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. If Scotland votes to remain in the EU, but the UK as a whole votes to leave, do you think there should be a new referendum on Scottish Independence? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page 0 Table SEX Male Female 0 0 AGE AB 0 C C 0 0 DE 0 ABC CDE 0 0 Yes No know 0 0% 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 % 0% 0% 0 0% % 0 0 % 0% 0 % 0 % 0% 0 % 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
12 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. If Scotland votes to remain in the EU, but the UK as a whole votes to leave, do you think there should be a new referendum on Scottish Independence? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table H&I East Mid & Fife Lothia Centra ns l Glasgo w 0 0 East/ Yes No know 0 0% % 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 % Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
13 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. If Scotland votes to remain in the EU, but the UK as a whole votes to leave, do you think there should be a new referendum on Scottish Independence? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table Conser vative 0 Holyrood constituency vote Lib Labour Dem SNP Other Didn't vote / CR EU Ref voting Remain Leave know Likelihood of voting EU Certai n / very Certai likely n (net) 0 Independence voting Yes No know Yes No know 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
14 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. The last SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT election was held in May 0. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table SEX Male Female 0 0 AGE AB 0 C C 0 0 DE 0 ABC CDE 0 0 Did not vote Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Other candidate or party Can t remember 0% 0 0% % 0 0% 0% 0% 0 0% 0 0% % 0 0% 0% 0 0% 0% % 0 Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
15 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. The last SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT election was held in May 0. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table H&I East Mid & Fife Lothia Centra ns l Glasgo w 0 0 East/ Did not vote Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Other candidate or party Can t remember % % 0 0 0% % % % 0% % 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
16 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. The last SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT election was held in May 0. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table Conser vative 0 Holyrood constituency vote Lib Labour Dem SNP Other Didn't vote / CR EU Ref voting Remain Leave know Likelihood of voting EU Certai n / very Certai likely n (net) 0 Independence voting Yes No know Did not vote Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Other candidate or party Can t remember % 0 % 0 0% Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
17 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. The last General Election for the WESTMINSTER Parliament was held in on th May 0. For which party did you vote for your MP in that election? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table SEX Male Female 0 0 AGE AB 0 C C 0 0 DE 0 ABC CDE 0 0 Did not vote Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Scottish Green Party UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) Other candidate or party Can t remember 0 0 % 0 0% 0 0% % % 0 % 0 % 0% % 0 % 0 0 0% % 0 0% 0 % % 0 0 % Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
18 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. The last General Election for the WESTMINSTER Parliament was held in on th May 0. For which party did you vote for your MP in that election? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table H&I East Mid & Fife Lothia Centra ns l Glasgo w 0 0 East/ Did not vote Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Scottish Green Party UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) Other candidate or party Can t remember 0 0% 0% % 0% 0% 0 0% 0 0% % % 0% % 0 0% 0% 0 % Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
19 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Q. The last General Election for the WESTMINSTER Parliament was held in on th May 0. For which party did you vote for your MP in that election? BASE: All aged + in Scotland Page Table Conser vative 0 Holyrood constituency vote Lib Labour Dem SNP Other Didn't vote / CR EU Ref voting Remain Leave know Likelihood of voting EU Certai n / very Certai likely n (net) 0 Independence voting Yes No know Did not vote Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat S.N.P. Scottish Green Party UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) Other candidate or party Can t remember 0 % % % % 0 % % % 0% 0 % % % % % 0 0% 0 % % 0 0 % % 0% % % Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
20 AGE SEX CDE ABC DE C C AB + + Female Male SEX 0 00 Male 0% 0 0 Female 0% AGE % 0 0 % 0% 0% 0 0% % AB % % C C 0% 0% % 0% DE 0% 0% ABC 0% % 0% CDE 0% 0% Page Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Table Break BASE: All respondents Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
21 East/ Glasgo Centra Lothia Mid & w l ns Fife East H&I H&I East Mid & Fife Lothians 0 Central % Glasgow % 0 % East/ Page 0 Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Table Break BASE: All respondents Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
22 Independence voting Likelihood of EU Ref voting voting EU 0 Holyrood constituency vote Certai n / very Didn't likely Certai vote / Lib Conser know No Yes (net) n know Leave Remain CR Other SNP Dem Labour vative Holyrood constituency vote 0 0 Conservative % 0 0 Labour Lib Dem 0 SNP 0% Other 00 Didn't vote / CR 0% EU Ref voting Remain 0 0 Leave % 0% 0% 0% know Likelihood of voting EU Certain 0% Certain / very likely % 0% (net) Independence voting 0 0 Yes 0% 0% 0% % 0 No 0% 0% 0 00 know 0% 0% % 0% Page Scottish Politics May 0 JN000 Table Break BASE: All respondents Fieldwork : th May nd May 0
The Guardian July 2017 poll
Choice Matters. The Guardian July 0 poll Fieldwork dates: th July 0 Interview method: Online Population effectively sampled: All GB adults aged + Online Sampling Method: A nationally representative sample
More informationICM Poll for The Guardian
Clear thinking in a complex world ICM Poll for The Guardian Fieldwork dates: th April 0 Interview Method: Telephone, and separately online. Population effectively sampled: All adults aged + Phone Sampling
More informationScotlandSeptember18.com. Independence Referendum Survey. January Phase 1 and 2 results TNS. Independence Referendum Survey
ScotlandSeptember18.com January 201 Phase 1 and 2 results January 201 1229 1 Phase 1 (Published 2 nd February 201) January 201 1229 Likelihood of voting Two thirds claim they are certain to vote in the
More informationSun On Sunday Campaign Poll 4. May-June 2017
Choice Matters. Sun On Sunday Campaign Poll MayJune 0 Fieldwork dates: st May nd June 0 Interview method: Online Population effectively sampled: All GB adults aged + Online Sampling Method: A nationally
More informationICM Guardian Poll March 2017
Choice Matters. ICM Guardian Poll March 0 Fieldwork dates: March 0 Interview method: Online Population effectively sampled: All GB adults aged + Online Sampling Method: A nationally representative sample
More informationThe Guardian. Campaign Poll 8, May 2017
Choice Matters. The Guardian Campaign Poll, May 0 Fieldwork dates: th May 0 Interview method: Online Population effectively sampled: All GB adults aged + Online Sampling Method: A nationally representative
More informationPolice Firearms Survey
Police Firearms Survey Final Report Prepared for: Scottish Police Authority Prepared by: TNS JN:127475 Police Firearms Survey TNS 09.12.2014 JN127475 Contents 1. Background and objectives 3 2. Methodology
More informationIpsos MORI June 2016 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI June 2016 Political Monitor Topline Results 16 June 2016 Fieldwork: 11 h 14 th June 2016 Technical Details Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,257 adults aged 18+ across Great
More informationSubmission to the Speaker s Digital Democracy Commission
Submission to the Speaker s Digital Democracy Commission Dr Finbarr Livesey Lecturer in Public Policy Department of Politics and International Studies (POLIS) University of Cambridge tfl20@cam.ac.uk This
More informationIpsos MORI March 2017 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI March 2017 Political Monitor Topline Results 15 March 2017 Fieldwork: 10 th 14 th March 2017 Technical Details Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,032 adults aged 18+ across
More information21/09/2014 Prepared on behalf of the Mail on Sunday. Referendum Reactions Poll
Referendum Reactions Poll /0/0 Methodology Fieldwork Dates th September 0 Data Collection Method The survey was conducted via online panel. Invitations to complete surveys were sent out to members of the
More informationSCOTTISH PUBLIC OPINION MONITOR
2017 SCOTTISH PUBLIC OPINION MONITOR General Election Voting Intention HOW DO YOU INTEND TO VOTE IN THE GENERAL ELECTION? 2 All giving a voting intention Certain to vote 5% 2% 5% 2% SNP LABOUR 25% 42%
More informationIpsos MORI November 2016 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI November 2016 Political Monitor Topline Results 15 November 2016 Fieldwork: 11 th 14 th November 2016 Technical Details Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,013 adults aged 18+
More information2015 Election. Jane Green University of Manchester. (with work by Jane Green and Chris Prosser)
2015 Election Jane Green University of Manchester (with work by Jane Green and Chris Prosser) What happened? Labour Gained 1.5% vote share overall Gained 3.6% vote share in England Net gain of 15 seats
More informationYouGovR. YouGov / Sunday Times Survey Results. Sample Size: 1118 Fieldwork: 15th - 17th August 2007 For full results click here
YouGov / Survey Results Sample Size: 1118 Fieldwork: 15th - 17th August 2007 For full results click here If there were a UK general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? (excluding Don't Knows
More informationNational Quali cations
H 2017 X758/76/11 National Quali cations Politics FRIDAY, 2 JUNE 1:00 PM 3:15 PM Total marks 60 SECTION 1 POLITICAL THEORY 20 marks Attempt Question 1 and EITHER Question 2(a) OR Question 2(b). SECTION
More informationEU - Irish Presidency Poll. January 2013
EU - Irish Presidency Poll January 2013 RED Express - Methodology 1,003 interviews were conducted by phone using a random digit dial sample to ensure all households, including ex-directory, are covered.
More informationUK Snap General Election Polling Results 19 th April 2017
UK Snap General Election Polling Results 19 th April 2017 Voting intention for the upcoming General Election on 8 th June 2017 45% 26% 10% 8% 3% 3% 4% Conservatives Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP Green
More informationIpsos MORI April 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI April 2018 Political Monitor Topline Results 27 th April 2018 Fieldwork: 20 th 24 th April 2018 Technical Details Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,004 adults aged 18+ across
More informationEuropean Movement Ireland Research Poll. April 2017 Ref:
European Movement Ireland Research Poll April 2017 Ref: 161115 Methodology and Weighting RED C interviewed a random sample of 1,007 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 24 th 27 th April 2017. A random
More informationNational Quali cations 2018
N5 X849/75/11 National Quali cations 2018 Modern Studies WEDNESDAY, 9 MAY 1:00 PM 3:20 PM Total marks 80 SECTION 1 DEMOCRACY IN SCOTLAND AND THE UNITED KINGDOM 28 marks Attempt EITHER Part A AND question
More informationAfter the Scotland Act (1998) new institutions were set up to enable devolution in Scotland.
How does devolution work in Scotland? After the Scotland Act (1998) new institutions were set up to enable devolution in Scotland. The Scottish Parliament The Scottish Parliament is made up of 73 MSPs
More informationSPICe Briefing European Parliament Election 2014
The Scottish Parliament and Scottish Parliament Infor mation C entre l ogos. SPICe Briefing European Parliament Election 2014 Andrew Aiton and Iain McIver 30 May 2014 This briefing provides details of
More informationMid September 2016 CONTENTS
Mid September 2016 LucidTalk Bi-Monthly Tracker Poll (Northern Ireland) Results Issues: UK EU Referendum - Northern Ireland (NI) Post Referendum views, and a NI Border Poll? POLL QUESTIONS RESULTS - GENERAL
More informationThe European Elections. The Public Opinion Context
The European Elections The Public Opinion Context Joe Twyman Head of Political & Social Research EMEA Jane Carn Director Qualitative Research Fruitcakes, Loonies, Closest Racists & Winners? Europe, the
More informationABC1 C2DE ABC1 ABC1 ABC1 C2DE C2DE C2DE
_ EU REF GENDER AGE Voted Voted Total Voted REMAIN LEAVE Men Women 18-34 35-54 55 plus 2016 EU referendum vote For which side did you vote in the referendum? Total answering
More informationIpsos MORI November 2017 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI November 2017 Political Monitor Topline Results 30 th November 2017 Fieldwork: 24 th November 28 th November 2017 Technical Details Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,003 adults
More informationUnite Scotland Scottish Government Consultation Response: Your Scotland, Your Referendum May 2012
Unite Scotland Scottish Government Consultation Response: Your Scotland, Your Referendum May 2012 www.unitescotland.org 1 Overview Following the majority re-election of the SNP in the May 2011 Scottish
More informationCSI Brexit 2: Ending Free Movement as a Priority in the Brexit Negotiations
CSI Brexit 2: Ending Free Movement as a Priority in the Brexit Negotiations 18 th October, 2017 Summary Immigration is consistently ranked as one of the most important issues facing the country, and a
More informationParty Members in the UK: some initial findings
Party Members in the UK: some initial findings Tim Bale & Monica Poletti (QMUL) & Paul Webb (Sussex) Exeter University, 16 February 2017 The Data: Party Members Project (PMP) http://esrcpartymembersproject.org
More informationNational Quali cations SPECIMEN ONLY SQ38/H/01. Politics *SQ32H01* Date Not applicable Duration 2 hours and 15 minutes.
H National Quali cations SPECIMEN ONLY SQ38/H/01 Politics Date Not applicable Duration 2 hours and 15 minutes Total marks 60 SECTION 1 POLITICAL THEORY 20 marks Attempt EITHER Question 1(a) OR Question
More informationVoter ID Pilot 2018 Public Opinion Survey Research. Prepared on behalf of: Bridget Williams, Alexandra Bogdan GfK Social and Strategic Research
Voter ID Pilot 2018 Public Opinion Survey Research Prepared on behalf of: Prepared by: Issue: Bridget Williams, Alexandra Bogdan GfK Social and Strategic Research Final Date: 08 August 2018 Contents 1
More informationPublic opinion and the 2002 local elections
Public opinion and the 2002 local elections In May 2002 NOP conducted two surveys for The Electoral Commission: Survey A in English areas with local elections in May 2002, designed to gauge attitudes to
More informationReview of Ofcom list of major political parties for elections taking place on 22 May 2014 Statement
Review of Ofcom list of major political parties for elections taking place on 22 May 214 Statement Statement Publication date: 3 March 214 1 Contents Section Annex Page 1 Executive summary 3 2 Review of
More informationThe five tribes of Brexit Britain IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX
The five tribes of Brexit Britain IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com Anna.Sperati@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000 Since 2010 our concerns have become more diverse
More informationAudit of Political Engagement
UK Data Archive Study Number 7373 - Audit of Political Engagement 10, 2012 Audit of Political Engagement Hansard Society General / Core Questions (T) Q1) How would you vote if there were a General Election
More informationSend My Friend to School 2017: General Election resource
Send My Friend to School 2017: General Election resource On June 8 th 2017 the UK will have a General Election. The last election was in 2015 and the next one was not due until 2020. However, in April
More informationDevolution in Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland since 1997
Devolution in Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland since 1997 Q1 True or False? A B D E Wales has more devolved powers than Scotland Originally, devolution to Wales was unpopular in Wales In Northern Ireland,
More informationLORD ASHCROFT KCMG PC BREXIT DEAL POLL DECEMBER 2018
LORD ASHCROFT KCMG PC BREXIT DEAL POLL DECEMBER 2018 4,935 adults in Great Britain were interviewed online between 4 and 7 December 2018. Data have been weighted to be representative of all adults in Great
More informationGeneral Election The Election Results Guide
General Election 2017 The Election Results Guide Contents 1. Overview 2. What It Means 3. Electoral Map 4. Meet the New MPs Overview 320 318 261 Conservatives 270 Labour SNP 220 Liberal Democrats 170 DUP
More informationWhy Wales Said Yes The 2011 Referendum. Roger Scully Aberystwyth, 24 th June 2011
Why Wales Said Yes The 2011 Referendum Roger Scully Aberystwyth, 24 th June 2011 Outline of Seminar 1. Introduction 2. The 2011 Referendum: the Result 3. The 2011 Welsh Referendum Study 4. The Referendum
More informationThe Inquiry into the 2015 pre-election polls: preliminary findings and conclusions. Royal Statistical Society, London 19 January 2016
The Inquiry into the 2015 pre-election polls: preliminary findings and conclusions Royal Statistical Society, London 19 January 2016 Inquiry Panel Dr. Nick Baker, Group CEO, Quadrangle Research Group Ltd
More informationPublic opinion on the EU referendum question: a new approach. An experimental approach using a probability-based online and telephone panel
Public opinion on the EU referendum question: a new An experimental using a probability-based online and telephone panel Authors: Pablo Cabrera-Alvarez, Curtis Jessop and Martin Wood Date: 20 June 2016
More informationSUMMARY REPORT KEY POINTS
SUMMARY REPORT The Citizens Assembly on Brexit was held over two weekends in September 17. It brought together randomly selected citizens who reflected the diversity of the UK electorate. The Citizens
More informationOf the 73 MEPs elected on 22 May in Great Britain and Northern Ireland 30 (41 percent) are women.
Centre for Women & Democracy Women in the 2014 European Elections 1. Headline Figures Of the 73 MEPs elected on 22 May in Great Britain and Northern Ireland 30 (41 percent) are women. This represents a
More informationNewstalk Immigration Poll. February 2016 Job Number:
Newstalk Immigration Poll February 2016 Job Number: 137015 Research Objectives & Methodology / In the lead up to the 2016 General Election, Newstalk are interested in learning more about the issues of
More informationShould we stay or should we go?
Should we stay or should we go? What students think about the forthcoming referendum on the UK s membership of the EU: Wave One of the HEPI / YouthSight Monitor Nick Hillman HEPI Report 80 Should we stay
More informationThe option not on the table. Attitudes to more devolution
The option not on the table Attitudes to more devolution Authors: Rachel Ormston & John Curtice Date: 06/06/2013 1 Summary The Scottish referendum in 2014 will ask people one question whether they think
More informationSCOTTISH ELECTIONS RESEARCH MAY-JUNE 2003 PREPARED FOR: THE ELECTORAL COMMISSION
SCOTTISH ELECTIONS RESEARCH MAY-JUNE 2003 PREPARED FOR: THE ELECTORAL COMMISSION REPORT PREPARED BY: Martin Boon Head of ICM government research John Curtice Professor of politics University of Strathclyde
More informationINDEPENDENTS/ OTHERS. General Election 2011 Exit Poll
INDEPENDENTS/ OTHERS General Election 2011 Exit Poll 41110562 1 Table of Contents Research Design 1 8 Charts 9 37 Conclusions 38 42 Appendices: Sampling Points The Questionnaire 2 Detailed Design Interviewing
More informationThe sure bet by Theresa May ends up in a hung Parliament
The sure bet by Theresa May ends up in a hung Parliament Vincenzo Emanuele and Bruno Marino June 9, 2017 The decision by the British Prime Minister, Theresa May, to call a snap election to reinforce her
More informationYouGov / Daily Telegraph Survey Results
YouGov / Daily Telegraph Survey Results YouGov questioned 1907 adults aged 18+ throughout Britain online between 26th and 28th January 2005. The results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.
More informationLocal Government Elections 2017
SPICe Briefing Pàipear-ullachaidh SPICe Local Government Elections 2017 Andrew Aiton and Anouk Berthier This briefing looks at the 2017 local government elections including turnout, results, the gender
More informationUK EU Referendum. The Polls + LucidTalk NI Tracker Polls. Roadshow Event Riddell Hall, Belfast June 2nd 2016
UK EU Referendum The Polls + LucidTalk NI Tracker Polls Roadshow Event Riddell Hall, Belfast June 2nd 2016 UK EU Referendum NI POLLING RESULTS NI EU REFERENDUM LT May Tracker Poll UK EUROPEAN UNION REFERENDUM:
More informationPaper C: Influencing and Changing Decisions in Society and Government
Scheme (Results) Summer 207 Pearson Edexcel GCSE in Citizenship Studies Unit 3 (5CS03) Paper C: Influencing and Changing Decisions in Society and Government Edexcel and BTEC Qualifications Edexcel and
More informationNational Quali cations
H 2018 X749/76/11 National Quali cations Modern Studies WEDNESDAY, 9 MAY 9:00 AM 11:15 AM Total marks 60 SECTION 1 DEMOCRACY IN SCOTLAND AND THE UNITED KINGDOM 20 marks Attempt EITHER question 1(a) 1(b)
More informationAttitudes towards Refugees and Asylum Seekers
Attitudes towards Refugees and Asylum Seekers A Survey of Public Opinion Research Study conducted for Refugee Week May 2002 Contents Introduction 1 Summary of Findings 3 Reasons for Seeking Asylum 3 If
More informationEquality Awareness in Northern Ireland: General Public
Equality Awareness in Northern Ireland: General Public Equality Awareness Survey General Public 2016 Table of Contents 1. Introduction... 1 2. Social Attitudes and Perceptions of Equality... 11 3. Perception
More informationPresident Election Poll
President Election Poll 23 rd Oct 2011 Prepared for: Job No: 30311 (1) Methodology and Weighting 1006 interviews were conducted between the 18 th to 20 th Oct 2011 among all adults, with 941 among Irish
More informationNational Quali cations
H 2017 X749/76/11 National Quali cations Modern Studies FRIDAY, 19 MAY 9:00 AM 11:15 AM Total marks 60 SECTION 1 DEMOCRACY IN SCOTLAND AND THE UNITED KINGDOM 20 marks Attempt EITHER Question 1(a) 1(b)
More informationScottish Parliamentary election
5 MAY Scottish Parliamentary election and Referendum on the voting system used to elect MPs to the House of Commons aboutmyvote.co.uk About this booklet On Thursday 5 May 2011, there will be: an election
More informationHansard Society Audit of Political Engagement Audit 9 FINAL QUESTIONNAIRE
UK Data Archive Study Number 7098 - Audit of Political Engagement 9, 2011 ENGAGEMENT INDICATORS Q1) How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? SHOW SCREEN IF NECESSARY. Conservative
More informationPolitical Statistics, Devolution and Electoral Systems
Political Statistics, Devolution and Electoral Systems John Martyn My interest is in obtaining a better understanding of Scottish devolution and how this might impact on the political integrity of the
More informationVoting for Brexit and the Radical Right Examining new data in the United Kingdom
Voting for Brexit and the Radical Right Examining new data in the United Kingdom The Result % Leave vote Per Cent 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 % of constituencies voting Leave 87.6 77.2 78.2 72.5 69.0 63.4
More informationChow Gains on Ford FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE. MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@ FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Chow Gains on Ford Sarah competitive in a one-on-one Toronto, In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1,045 Torontonians 18 years of age and
More informationSECTION 10: POLITICS, PUBLIC POLICY AND POLLS
SECTION 10: POLITICS, PUBLIC POLICY AND POLLS 10.1 INTRODUCTION 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Principles 10.3 Mandatory Referrals 10.4 Practices Reporting UK Political Parties Political Interviews and Contributions
More informationFOR RELEASE: TUESDAY FEBRUARY 17 at 6:00 a.m. ET
Interviews with 1,027 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on February 12-15, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
More informationEuropean Elections in the UK Media Briefing
European Elections in the UK Media Briefing 7 th May 214 UKIP and the 214 European Parliament elections Dr Philip Lynch (PLL3@le.ac.uk) & Dr Richard Whitaker (rcw11@le.ac.uk) University of Leicester UKIP
More informationNational Quali cations
H 2017 X749/76/11 PRINT COPY OF BRAILLE National Quali cations Modern Studies FRIDAY, 19 MAY INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES Candidates should enter their surname, forename(s), date of birth, Scottish candidate
More informationGovernment and Politics GOVP1. General Certificate of Education Advanced Subsidiary Examination June People, Politics and Participation
A Government and Politics General Certificate of Education Advanced Subsidiary Examination June 2015 Unit 1 People, Politics and Participation GOVP1 Monday 1 June 2015 9.00 am to 10.30 am For this paper
More informationFinal Results 2016 GLA ELECTIONS ELECTION OF THE LONDON ASSEMBLY MEMBERS
ELECTION OF THE LONDON ASSEMBLY MEMBERS Declaration of Results of Poll I hereby give notice as Greater London Returning Officer at the election of the London Wide Assembly held on 5th May 2016 that the
More informationConsultation on Party Election Broadcasts Allocation Criteria
Consultation on Party Election Broadcasts Allocation Criteria Outcome of Consultation February 2016 Getting the best out of the BBC for licence fee payers Contents / Outcome of Consultation Consultation
More informationfreshwater Local election May 2017 results
freshwater May 2017 Local election results www.freshwater-uk.com @FWpublicaffairs Introduction While the results of local elections do not directly transfer to the same results in a general election, the
More informationFrom Indyref1 to Indyref2? The State of Nationalism in Scotland
From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The State of Nationalism in Scotland Scottish Social Attitudes From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The State of Nationalism in Scotland 2 From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The State of Nationalism
More informationElection Agent The Work Pay Conditions
Election Agent Election or constituency agents work for a political party. They are responsible for the proper management of a candidate's election campaign. Many agents are part time and unpaid. They
More informationEconomic Attitudes in Northern Ireland
Economic Attitudes in Northern Ireland Centre for Economic Empowerment Research Report: five Economic Attitudes in Northern Ireland Legal notice 2014 Ipsos MORI all rights reserved. The contents of this
More informationA fair three-option referendum? Denis Mollison (Heriot-Watt University)
A fair three-option referendum? Denis Mollison (Heriot-Watt University) Summary...................................... page 1 1. Which ways of putting the questions are fair?....... 2 2. Evidence from the
More informationCSI Brexit 3: National Identity and Support for Leave versus Remain
CSI Brexit 3: National Identity and Support for Leave versus Remain 29 th November, 2017 Summary Scholars have long emphasised the importance of national identity as a predictor of Eurosceptic attitudes.
More informationGeneral Election Opinion Poll
General Election Opinion Poll 23 rd February 2016 Methodology and Weighting RED C interviewed a random sample of 1,002 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 18 th 21 st February 2016. A random digit
More information2017 general election Urban-Rural differences
2017 general election Urban-Rural differences THE POLITICAL GEOGRAPHY OF THE 2017 GENERAL ELECTION 1 Table of Contents I. Urban-Rural classifications... 3 II. Vote share patterns by Rural-Urban ype...
More informationSCOTTISH LOCAL GOVERNMENT ELECTIONS INQUIRY Review of Options for Improving Voter Representation. James Gilmour Electoral Reform Society Scotland
SCOTTISH LOCAL GOVERNMENT ELECTIONS INQUIRY Review of Options for Improving Voter Representation James Gilmour Electoral Reform Society Scotland EPOP 2013 Scottish Local Government Elections 2012 STV-PR
More informationDevolved Immigration Policy: Will it Work in Scotland? Robert E. Wright
Devolved Immigration Policy: Will it Work in Scotland? by Robert E. Wright Department of Economics Strathclyde Business School University of Strathclyde William Duncan Building 130 Rottenrow Glasgow, G4
More informationDepartment of Politics Commencement Lecture
Department of Politics Commencement Lecture Introduction My aim: to reflect on Brexit in the light of recent British political development; Drawing on the analysis of Developments of British Politics 10
More informationTHE ANDREW MARR SHOW INTERVIEW: NICOLA STURGEON, MSP First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party APRIL 19TH 2015
NICOLA STURGEON 1 PLEASE NOTE THE ANDREW MARR SHOW MUST BE CREDITED IF ANY PART OF THIS TRANSCRIPT IS USED THE ANDREW MARR SHOW INTERVIEW: NICOLA STURGEON, MSP First Minister of Scotland and the Leader
More informationGovernment and Politics
General Certificate of Education Advanced Subsidiary Examination June 2015 Government and Politics GOVP1 Unit 1 People, Politics and Participation Monday 1 June 2015 9.00 am to 10.30 am For this paper
More informationChildren's Referendum Poll
Children's Referendum Poll 18 th Oct 2012 Prepared for the National Youth Council of Ireland Job No: 52012 (1) Methodology and Weighting 1003 interviews were conducted between the 15 th 17 th October among
More informationRECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, March 2014, Concerns about Russia Rise, But Just a Quarter Call Moscow an Adversary
NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE MARCH 25, 2014 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT: Carroll Doherty, Director of Political Research Alec Tyson, Research Associate 202.419.4372
More informationLabour can win in Stoke-on-Trent
Labour Leave Polling Analysis Labour can win in Stoke-on-Trent How Labour can win in Stoke-on-Trent by-election, so long as they select a staunch Brexit candidate Date: 24th January 2017 This paper does
More informationPolitical Opinion Poll
Political Opinion Poll January 2013 Prepared for: Job No: 00212 (1) MUST BE INCLUDED Methodology and Weighting RED C interviewed a random sample of 1002 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 7 th and
More informationDEVOLUTION AND THE 2001 UK GENERAL ELECTION DEVOLUTION LITERACY AND THE MANIFESTOS
DEVOLUTION AND THE 2001 UK GENERAL ELECTION DEVOLUTION LITERACY AND THE MANIFESTOS by Alan Trench Senior Research Fellow, The Constitution Unit School of Public Policy, University College London As this
More informationThe Local Elections. Media Briefing Pack. 18 th April, 2012
The Local Elections Media Briefing Pack 18 th April, 2012 Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, Professors of Politics, Elections Centre, University of Plymouth John Curtice, Professor of Politics, University
More information1. In general, do you think things in this country are heading in the right direction or the wrong direction? Strongly approve. Somewhat approve Net
TOPLINES Questions 1A and 1B held for future releases. 1. In general, do you think things in this country are heading in the right direction or the wrong direction? Right Direction Wrong Direction DK/NA
More informationNational Opinion Poll: April for Publication on 6 th May /PM
National Opinion Poll: il - for Publication on 6 th May 41111511/PM 1 Introduction A National Public Opinion Poll was conducted on behalf of The Sunday Independent to be published on Sunday 6 th May. The
More informationWho influences the formation of political attitudes and decisions in young people? Evidence from the referendum on Scottish independence
Who influences the formation of political attitudes and decisions in young people? Evidence from the referendum on Scottish independence 04.03.2014 d part - Think Tank for political participation Dr Jan
More informationMost opponents reject hearings no matter whom Obama nominates
NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE FEBRUARY 22, 2016 Majority of Public Wants Senate to Act on Obama s Court Nominee Most opponents reject hearings no matter whom Obama nominates FOR
More informationNational Quali cations 2016
PRINT COPY OF BRAILLE N5 X749/75/11 National Quali cations 2016 Modern Studies MONDAY, 30 MAY INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES Candidates should enter their surname, forename(s), date of birth, Scottish candidate
More informationModern Studies. Nat 5
Modern Studies Nat 5 Democracy in Scotland Questions & Answers Section 1: Democracy in Scotland. Participation. Describe, in detail, the ways in which people can participate in election campaigns. (6)
More informationPublic Opinion Monitor
The Public Opinion Monitor UK membership of the European Union This month s edition of the Public Opinion Monitor looks at two new areas: attitudes to coalition and attitudes towards the UK s membership
More informationSnap! Crackle... Pop? The UK election's meaning for sterling
Snap! Crackle... Pop? The UK election's meaning for sterling Jeremy Cook Chief Economist and Head of Currency Strategy Called by Theresa May a little after Easter as a need to heal divisions within Westminster
More informationBBC SUNDAY POLITICS UKIP COUNCILLORS
BBC SUNDAY POLITICS UKIP COUNCILLORS Methodology Note: ComRes interviewed 111 UKIP Councillors online between 27 th February and 20th March 2015. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides
More information