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1 Energy Capital Conference John Kneiss Director, Macroeconomics, Geopolitical and Policy Austin, Texas March 28, 2016 UPSTREAM MIDSTREAM DOWNSTREAM FUEL & TRANSPORT
2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements regarding the value and effectiveness of Stratas Advisors services, that involve risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors which, if they do not materialize or prove correct, could cause Stratas Advisors results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements, including statements containing the works predicts, plan, expects, anticipates, believes, goal, target, estimate, potential, may, will, might, could, and similar words. Stratas Advisors intends all such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions from forward-looking statements contained in Section 21E of the Exchange Act and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of Actual results may differ materially from those projected in such statements due to various factors, including but not limited to: risks and uncertainties inherent in our business; our ability to attract new customers and retrain existing customers; our ability to effectively sell, service and support our products; our ability to manage our international operations; our ability to compete effectively; our ability to develop and introduce new products and services or enhancements to existing products; our ability to continue to promote and maintain our brand in a cost-effective manner; our ability to manage growth; our ability to attract and retain key personnel; the scope and validity of intellectual property rights applicable to our products; adverse economic conditions in general and adverse economic conditions specifically affecting the markets in which we operate. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The forward-looking statements included in this presentation represent Stratas Advisors views as of the date of the presentation. Stratas Advisors anticipates that subsequent events and developments will cause its views to change. Stratas Advisors undertakes no intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. These forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as representing Stratas Advisors views as of any date subsequent to the date of the presentation Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. Stratas Advisors is a trademark or registered trademark of Hart Energy Publications, LLP in the U.S. and other countries. Other company names, product names and company logos mentioned herein are the trademarks, or registered trademarks of their owners. This material may not be published, broadcast or distributed in whole or in part without the express written permission of Stratas Advisors Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. 2
3 Oil, Gas and U.S. Elections Current State of Play Getting to 270 Trend in the States Legislation, Regulation and Litigation Outlook (My Wild Guess) 2016 Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. 3
4 Current State of Play
5 Current State of Play Primary Season The Race to 1,237 or 2,383 Delegate Counts Republican National Convention July in Cleveland Democratic National Convention July in Philadelphia GOP Delegate Count Democratic Delegate Count Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Ted Cruz Bernie Sanders John Kasich Other Pledged Delegates Super Delegates Delegates Needed Pledged Delegates Delegates Needed Delegates needed for nomination 1,237 Delegates remaining Delegates needed for nomination 2,383 Delegates remaining 2, Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. 5
6 Getting to 270
7 Getting to 270 Electoral Vote Outcomes 2000 to 2012 GOP Challenge to Win 270 Electoral College Votes Red Voted Republican in Past 4 Elections (180) Blue Voted Democratic in Past 4 Elections (242) 29 Grey Swing States (116) 2016 Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. 7
8 Trend in the States
9 Trend in States Political Picture 2000 vs Residual Southern Democrats Changing to Republican Party Supporters Red Governor & Legislature GOP Blue Governor & Legislature Democrat Red Stripe Mixed Control Favoring GOP Blue Stripe Mixed Control Favoring Democrats 2016 Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. 9
10 Legislation, Regulation and Litigation
11 Legislation, Regulation and Litigation (and Election) What major issues impact the oil and gas sectors? 114 th Congress Obama Regulations Litigation November 8, 2016 Supreme Court Nomination Trade Agreements Iran Sanctions FY 2017 Budget Clean Power Plan not all of the above Methane emissions Federal lands & offshore drilling restrictions BOEE blowout preventer Ozone NAAQS BLM hydraulic fracturing Clean Power Plan Cross State Air Pollution RFS Standard House GOP majority at risk? Senate majority flip? White House another President Clinton? State GOP gains? 2016 Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. 11
12 Outlook (My Wild Guess)
13 Outlook (My Wild Guess) - National Elections Changing Landscape or More of the Same? Divisive campaigns keep voters anger high New President Clinton in White House Trump campaign hurts down-ballot GOP Congressional election outcomes Democrats retake majority in Senate GOP holds House majority (but loses seats) Split-government and gridlock (more of the same) Budget battles remain Supreme Court nomination(s) Executive order/regulation as main strategy 2016 Stratas Advisors. All rights reserved. 13
14 Q & A Contact Information John Kneiss, Director Macroeconomics, Geopolitical and Policy jkneiss@stratasadvisors.com
15 We can help you develop a deeper understanding of the developments that are shaping the future of oil & gas. Our support includes customized consulting that is focused on a client s specific strategic objectives, competitive challenges and asset base. Additionally, we offer support through subscription services and comprehensive market studies. UPSTREAM MIDSTREAM DOWNSTREAM FUEL & TRANSPORT 1616 South Voss Road Suite 675 Houston, TX United States TEL stratasadvisors.com Bogotá Brussels Denver Houston London Melbourne Mexico City New Delhi New York San Diego São Paulo Singapore W ashington, D.C.
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