Historical Perspectives A Look Back At MRG Michigan Poll Data TrendsThrough The Years MICHIGAN POLL
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1 Historical Perspectives A Look Back At MRG Michigan Poll Data TrendsThrough The Years MICHIGAN POLL SM
2 Historical Perspectives A Look Back At MRG Michigan Poll Data TrendsThrough The Years MICHIGAN POLL SM
3 The MRG Michigan Poll Spring and Fall of Every Year Since 1985 Sample: n=6 Margin of Error: ± 4% (95% Degree of Confidence) Latest Field Dates: March 14-19, 212 Included 2% MICHIGAN of the POLL sample from cell SM phone-only households
4 212 Spring Michigan Poll Sample Details Geographically stratified by voter turnout in past presidential general elections Past Voting Behavior: Democrats=34%, Ticket Splitters=29%, Republicans=33% Self ID: Democrats=33%, MICHIGAN POLL SM Independents=4%, Republicans=25% Age: 18-34=19%, 35-54=41%, 55+=38%
5 General Perceptions and Mood of the Electorate
6 Direction Of State 1%! Direction Of The State! = Gubernatorial Elections! 9%! 8%! 7%! 71%! 6%! 5%! 52%! 46%! 4%! 3%! 37%! 43%! 2%! 21%! 1%! %! Jim Blanchard! John Engler! 9/85! 3/86! 9/86! 3/87! 9/87! 3/88! 9/88! 3/89! 9/89! 3/9! 9/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 9/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 6/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! 1/11! 3/11! 9/11! 3/12! Right Direction! Jennifer Granholm! Wrong Track! Rick Snyder!
7 Direction Of Country 9%! Direction Of The Country! =Presidential Election! 8%! 76%! 7%! 6%! 5%! 51%! 57%! 56%! 4%! 3%! 32%! 34%! 36%! 2%! 1%! %! %! Ronald Reagan! George Bush! Bill Clinton! George W. Bush! Barack Obama! 9/85! 3/86! 9/86! 3/87! 9/87! 3/88! 9/88! 3/89! 9/89! 3/9! 9/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 9/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 6/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! 3/11! 9/11! 3/12! Right Direction! Wrong Track!
8 Current State Economy 1%! 9%! Michigan Economy Compared To Last Year! 8%! 7%! 6%! 5%! 4%! 3%! 2%! 1%! 48%! 36%! %! %! 9/86! 3/87! 9/87! 3/89! 3/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 9/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 6/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! 3/11! 9/11! 3/12! Gotten Better! Gotten Worse! Stayed About the Same!
9 Future State Economy 6%! Future Economy In Michigan! 5%! 4%! 3%! 39%! 36%! 2%! 1%! 14%! %! 3/87! 9/87! 3/89! 3/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 9/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 6/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! Better! Worse! Stay About the Same!
10 Most Important Problem In Michigan 79% 44% 19% 23% 34% 3% Jobs/Economy Politicians Education 5% 14% Jobs/Economy Politicians 13% Education 212 6% Taxes 5% Cost of Living 4% Crime 1994 Taxes Cost of Living Crime
11 Past Voting Behavior 6%! Past Voting Behavior! 5%! 4%! 3%! 34%! 33%! 29%! 2%! 1%! %! 9/85! 3/86! 9/86! 3/87! 9/87! 3/88! 9/88! 3/89! 9/89! 3/9! 9/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 9/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 6/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! 1/11! 3/11! 9/11! 3/12! Behavior Democrat! Ticket Splitter! Behavior Republican!
12 Perceptions of Political Leadership
13 Governor s Job Approval 8%! Governor's Job Approval! = Gubernatorial Elections! 7%! 66%! 6%! 5%! 4%! 3%! 46%! 42%! 5%! 36%! 2%! 22%! 1%! %! Jim Blanchard! 9/85! 3/86! 9/86! 3/87! 9/87! 3/88! 9/88! 3/89! 9/89! 3/9! John Engler! 9/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 9/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 6/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! 3/11! 9/11! Jennifer Granholm! Rick Snyder! 3/12! Total Approve! Total Disapprove!
14 President s Job Approval 9%! President's Job Approval! =Presidential Election! 8%! 7%! 6%! 5%! 4%! 47%! 39%! 55%! 38%! 49%! 49%! 44%! 45%! 3%! 2%! 1%! %! Ronald Reagan! George Bush! Bill Clinton! George W. Bush! Barack Obama! 9/85! 3/86! 9/86! 3/87! 9/87! 3/88! 9/88! 3/89! 9/89! 3/9! 9/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 9/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 6/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! 1/11! 3/11! 9/11! 3/12! Total Approve! Total Disapprove!
15 Michigan Is Better Off When Are In Control 5%! Which Party Does Better Running The State?! 45%! 4%! 35%! 3%! 37%! 35%! 25%! 2%! %! 1%! 5%! %! 9/85! 3/86! 3/87! 9/87! 3/88! 9/88! 3/89! 9/89! 3/9! 9/9! 3/91! 9/91! 3/92! 9/92! 4/93! 9/93! 3/94! 9/94! 3/95! 9/95! 4/96! 9/96! 3/97! 9/97! 3/98! 9/98! 3/99! 9/99! 3/! 5/! 3/1! 9/1! 3/2! 9/2! 3/3! 9/3! 3/4! 9/4! 3/5! 9/5! 3/6! 9/6! 3/7! 9/7! 3/8! 9/8! 3/9! 9/9! 3/1! 9/1! 3/11! 9/11! 3/12! Republicans! Democrats!
16 On The Issues Perceptions of the Parties
17 Republican Strengths Improving Business Climate Controlling Spending = Net GOP Holding Down Taxes
18 Republican Strengths Attracting New Jobs Tough On Crime = Net GOP
19 Democratic Strengths Assisting Seniors = Net Dem Affordable Healthcare
20 Democratic Strengths Protecting The Environment = Net Dem 3 25 Improving Education
21 Battleground Issues Setting Budget Priorities = Net GOP = Net Dem Reducing Unemployment
22 Battleground Issues Improving Ethical Standards = Net GOP = Net Dem Abortion
23 Looking Ahead To November
24 U.S President Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided 9% 42% 49%
25 U.S Senate Debbie Stabenow Pete Hoekstra Undecided Debbie Stabenow Clark Durant Undecided 16% 21% 45% 45% 4% 34%
26 Emergency Financial Manager Law As you may know, state law allows the governor to appoint emergency financial managers to take control of local governments and school districts in severe financial difficulty. These managers have the power to void union contracts and collective bargaining agreements; dissolve or merge municipalities; and mandate millage elections in order to avoid bankruptcy and maintain vital public services. Six such managers have been appointed so far --- in Flint, Benton Harbor, Ecorse, Pontiac, and the Detroit and Highland Park school districts. Based on its application so far, do you support or oppose this emergency financial manager law? 52% 18% 35% Support 13% Undecided Somewhat Strongly 35% 9% 27% Oppose
27 Right To Work Law Right-to-work laws say that workers cannot be required to join labor unions or pay union dues in order to get or keep their jobs. Opponents of right-to-work laws claim that they do not protect workers against employers and fail to guarantee workers' rights to collective bargaining. Michigan currently does not have such a law. In general, do you support a right-towork law for Michigan? 58% % 43% Somewhat Strongly 37% 7% 3% Support 6% Undecided Oppose
28 Communications Public Relations Public Affairs Survey Research 225 South Washington Square Lansing, MI
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