A PEOPLE-CENTRED PERSPECTIVE ON EMPLOYMENT BARRIERS AND POLICIES

Transcription

1 FACES OF JOBLESSNESS A PEOPLE-CENTRED PERSPECTIVE ON EMPLOYMENT BARRIERS AND POLICIES Moving from Welfare to Work NESC Seminar to Launch NESC Report No. 146 Dublin, 29 June 2018 Herwig Immervoll Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs herwig.immervoll@oecd.org

2 Faces of Joblessness Premise and rationale The circumstances of jobless people are often messy But this is not systematically reflected in how we approach policy, or the statistics that feed into policy design and delivery There is a need for good-quality information that captures the complexity of the employment difficulties that people face People-centred info on employment barriers would help to: facilitate a cross-sectoral perspective on policy challenges targeting & tailoring policy interventions integrating services in a way that works for policy clients consider priorities among competing challenges understand why different policy approaches work (or not) move from general principles of what works, to conversation on specifics and implementation Broaden out policy options that are on the table 2

3 Faces of Joblessness Objectives Provide a systematic view on complex circumstances Align statistics & indicators with real-world experience of joblessness Map of disadvantaged, vulnerable groups. Who are they? What employment barriers do they face? What policy levers to tackle those barriers? 3

4 Faces of Joblessness Linking policy debates with circumstances on the ground activation & employment support policies? 4

5 Faces of Joblessness Linking policy debates with circumstances on the ground activation & employment support policies

6 Gaps in existing information Existing high-level labour-market indicators contain little information on relevant employment barriers standard breakdowns (age, sex, ) no clear link with problems to be addressed ( being young is not a barrier ) largely individual-based, little family context Existing in-depth profiling systems designed for needs of specific process / institution (e.g., PES) generally not used for higher-level policy dialogue may not capture circumstances relevant for key policy areas, eg. care responsibilities, miss big parts of jobless, eg. only registered unemployed 6

7 Country dialogue Filling the gap: Main steps People-centred, bottom-up approach 1 Select population of interest here: jobless + low-intensity / unstable employment (household data: EU-SILC) Measure employment barriers (i) capabilities, (ii) motivation, (iii) opportunities Identify policy-relevant groups individuals with similar sets of barriers (statistical clustering method) Policy inventory & gap analysis are existing programmes accessible for those groups? are they well-aligned with their main barriers?

8 A joint effort Initially a 2-year project 2016/2017, innovative partnership: Estonia Ireland Italy Lithuania Portugal Spain Greece Hungary Poland Bulgaria Croatia Romania Unified method and broadly similar process / outputs eg Australia, Finland, France, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania Main findings employment difficulties very different across countries & groups indicates different needs for support, even in demographically similar population segments ( older workers, youth, mothers ) traditional ways of presenting LM statistics cannot capture this large majority face multiple barriers existing programmes sometimes of right type but poor access, coordination input into OECD country policy reviews, European Semester 8

9 % of working-age population Sources: Australia, Estonia, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Portugal, Spain: OECD project Faces of Joblessness. Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Poland, Romania: World Bank project Portraits of Labor Market Exclusion. Links to all studies are in final slide. Scope for labour-market integration measures Untapped sources of employment growth Inactive Persistently unemployed Weak labour market attachment

10 Individuals with potential employment difficulties Out of work 32% of working-age individuals Other inactive Weak labour-market attachment 14% of working-age individuals Unemployed Domestic tasks Restricted hours Unstable jobs Retired Near-zero earnings Unfit to work 18-64, excluding students, military service Source: EU SILC

11 What difficulties? A typology of employment barriers Work-related capabilities Education / skills Work experience Health problems Care responsibilities Motivation / Incentives Out-of-work benefits Tax burdens on inwork earnings Non-labour incomes Earnings of other family members Opportunities Cyclical labourmarket weakness Limited hiring in relevant labourmarket segment (eg, region, education) 11 Adapted from Immervoll and Scarpetta, 2012

12 Employment barriers Incidence across countries % of individuals with potential labour market difficulties capabilities opportunity Sources: OECD, Faces of Joblessness country studies. Links to studies are in final slide. 12

13 % of jobless & partially employed Most face multiple barriers 4 or more barriers 3 barriers 2 barriers single barrier No major barrier Sources: Australia, Estonia, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Portugal, Spain: OECD project Faces of Joblessness. Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Poland, Romania: World Bank project Portraits of Labor Market Exclusion. Links to all studies are in final slide. 13

14 «Messy» circumstances Unemployed educated youth no experience skills opportunities 8% Younger parttime jobbers access to other incomes 17% Sources: see previous slides Unemployed prime-age men opportunities, recent experience skills, low income 10% Unemployed fathers opportunities low income 6% Lower-income rural mothers experience, care, skills, 10% Older inactive men health, skills, experience low income 14% Poor mothers skills, care, no experience opportunity 4% Early retirees health no recent experience 5% Well-educated jobbing mothers care, access to other incomes 9% Older women no expernce, skills, health, opportunity 3% Older inactive women experience, skills, access to other incomes 14% 14

15 «Messy» circumstances Unemployed educated youth no experience skills opportunities 8% Younger parttime jobbers access to other incomes 17% Sources: see previous slides Unemployed prime-age men opportunities, recent experience skills, low income 10% Unemployed fathers opportunities low income 6% Lower-income rural mothers experience, care, skills, 10% Older inactive men health, skills, experience low income 14% Poor mothers skills, care, no experience opportunity 4% Early retirees health no recent experience 5% Are groups on the radar of employment-support policies? Should they be? Which groups are a priority for support? Well-educated jobbing mothers care, access to other incomes 9% Older women no expernce, skills, health, opportunity 3% Older inactive women experience, skills, access to other incomes 14% 15

16 Workplace adaptation, antidiscrimination Unemployed educated youth no experience skills opportunities 8% Tackle support fragmentation Younger parttime jobbers access to other incomes 17% Sources: see previous slides «Messy» circumstances and their policy implications Apply activation Unemployed prime-age men opportunities, recentexperience skills, low income 10% Incentives for 2 nd earners Income support More accessible & active Unemployed fathers opportunities low income 6% Lower-income rural mothers experience, care, skills, 10% Older inactive men health, skills, experience low income 14% Flexible maternity & parental leave On-the-job training, subsidised employment Poor mothers skills, care, no experience opportunity 4% Early retirees health no recent experience 5% Childcare affordable, accessible Well-educated jobbing mothers Care, access to other incomes 9% Older women no experience, skills, health, opportunity 3% Older inactive women experience, skills, access to other incomes 14% Facilitate part-time work On-the-job 16 training, subsidised employment Combat informal work 16

17 Workplace adaptation, antidiscrimination Unemployed educated youth no experience skills opportunities 8% Tackle support fragmentation Younger parttime jobbers access to other incomes 17% Sources: see previous slides «Messy» circumstances and their policy implications Apply activation Unemployed prime-age men opportunities, recentexperience skills, low income 10% Income support More accessible & active Unemployed fathers opportunities low income 6% Lower-income rural mothers experience, care, skills, 10% Older inactive men health, skills, experience low income 14% On-the-job training, subsidised employment Poor mothers skills, care, no experience opportunity 4% Early retirees health no recent experience 5% Well-educated jobbing mothers Care, access to other incomes 9% Client-focussed policy inventory Incentives for 2 nd earners Flexible maternity & parental leave Childcare affordable, accessible Older women no experience, skills, health, opportunity 3% Older inactive women experience, skills, access to other incomes 14% Facilitate part-time work Are policies aligned with their needs? A need for coordination across policy domains? On-the-job 17 training, subsidised employment Combat informal work 17

18 What next? Summary and outlook Patterns of LM problems both heterogeneous and evolving Need for high-level monitoring on a regular basis A people-centred perspective helps to assess potential sources of employment growth complement existing institution/sector-specific profiling identify policy gaps, access problems highlight incidence of simultaneous barriers, and need for coordination, suitable sequencing Bird s-eye or microscope? Need both: Additional insights from qualitative data What personal and family histories precede joblessness? What quantitative information do we need to collect systematically? What are subjective perceptions of support services? (Why) do they differ between service providers & clients? 18

19 Thank you Contact: Links & further information: All country studies on the project website: Connecting People with Good Jobs Skills and Work Investing in Youth Ageing and Employment Policy Displaced Workers Mental Health and Work Follow

20 Additional slides

21 Participation in education and training Economically inactive mothers with young children, % Sources: OECD, Faces of Joblessness country studies. Links to studies are in final slide. 21

22 Pre-school coverage 2014, % Less than 30 hours 30 hours or over Sources: OECD, Faces of Joblessness country studies. Links to studies are in final slide. 22

23 Participation tax rates with and without childcare costs Lone parent, 2015, % Without childcare With childcare Sources: OECD, Faces of Joblessness country studies. Links to studies are in final slide. 23

24 Participation tax rates with and without childcare costs Low-earning couple 2015, % Without childcare With childcare Sources: OECD, Faces of Joblessness country studies. Links to studies are in final slide. 24

25 Low employment rates for mothers continue throughout childhood Employment rate of mothers by age of youngest child Ireland and other EU countries, 2014 Ireland EU average Sources: OECD, Faces of Joblessness country studies. Links to studies are in final slide. 25

26 Thank you Contact: Links & further information: All country studies on the project website: Connecting People with Good Jobs Skills and Work Investing in Youth Ageing and Employment Policy Displaced Workers Mental Health and Work Follow