DROUGHT RESPONSE HIGHLIGHTS HERAT SITUATION REPORT WEEKLY TRENDS HERAT + BADGHIS 18. JANUARY. 2019

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1 DROUGHT RESPONSE SITUATION REPORT HERAT + BADGHIS 18. JANUARY. 219 On 1 January 219, DTM began conducting Return Intention surveys among IDPs living in informal settlements, like Jar Khoshk in Qala-e-naw, Badghis. IOM 219 Through Flow Monitoring Points (FMPs) installed on major routes connecting to City, IOM s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) has been monitoring inflows of drought-affected IDPs, since 9 September 218. DTM identifies and registers only newly arriving IDPs, provides IDP Cards to registered families, and shares the information with World Food Programme and humanitarian partners to facilitate onward registration of newlyarriving IDPs into humanitarian assistance programmes. DTM also tracks the outflow of IDPs from City returning to their places of origin or into secondary displacement. WEEKLY TRENDS Inflows of newly-arrived IDPs peaked at over 1,1 families per week in the weeks of 28 September and 5 October. There was a sharp, 74% decrease from 5 to 19 October. There was a modest spike of 456 families recorded in the last 5 days of October. Due to funding limitations, DTM discontinued activities from 1 to 15 vember, after which inflows remained relatively low at an average families per week. However, after 4 January, Inflows further decreased to 1 families per week on average. Families 1,4 1,2 1, Newly Arrived IDP Families Weekly Trends 1, , Sep Oct v Dec Jan HIGHLIGHTS HERAT The results presented in this report are cumulative from 9 September 218, when DTM commenced flow monitoring in. Flow Monitoring Points (FMPs) at Armalek, Rabat Sangi, and Chaharsoy Guzara,792 (7,17 families) IDPs enumerated across all FMPs (inflow + outflow) 4.7 average family size,195 (6,575 families) arriving IDPs displaced by drought (89% of all IDPs),422 (569 families) arriving IDPs displaced by conflict (1% of all IDPs) 26,68 (5,941 families) arriving IDPs intended destination is Injil district (79%) 18,9 (4,279 families) arriving IDPs are from Badghis province (5%) 22,25 (5,91 families) arriving IDPs intend to live in tents or in the open air (65%) 2,479 (4,45 families) arriving IDPs do not intend to return home (61%) 47 (7 families) secondarily displaced or returned home (.14%) Newly Arrived IDP Families Weekly Trends by Province of Origin vs. Badghis 1, 8 Families Sep Oct v Dec Jan Badghis For more information, please contact: DTMAfghanistan@iom.int

2 2 DTM DROUGHT RESPONSE SITUATION REPORT ORIGIN DESTINATION Newly-Arrived IDPs Province of Origin Badghis 18,9 1,525 Faryab 1,74 Farah 194 Ghor 177 Daykundi 45 Kandahar 1 Kunduz 17 Baghlan 4 Ghazni 2, 4, 6, 8, 1, 12, 14, 16, 18, 2, * currently active FMP; other FMPs were closed due to security concerns Ghormach Kilometers 5 1, 2, Turkmenistan HERAT Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kushk IDP In-Flow Countries Kohsan Primary Ghoryan BADGHIS Qadis Chaghcharan Obe DoLayna Tolak Secondary District of Destination Farsi Adraskan Chisht-e-Sharif Shahrak Guzara 11-5 Jawand Armalek Chaharsoy Guzara Pashtunzarghun District Roads FARYAB Kohestan Karukh Injil Zindajan Province Trunk Qala-e-Naw Active FMP Pashtunkot Garziwan Charsadra Muqur Abkamari Rabat Sangi FMP Location Status Balamurghab Kushk-e-Kohna Gulran Qaysar 251-1, GHOR Saghar 1,1-1, Taywarah 1,1-26,7 Pasaband District of Origin Shindand Anardara FARAH 251-1, 1,1-2,5 2,51-6,5 Khak-e-Safed Districts The vast majority of registered IDPs were drought-induced, hailed from Badghis province and were, accordingly, registered at the Armalek FMP. The vast majority of IDPs (74%) had no intention of returning home, preferring a permanent move to greener pastures and putting pressure on receiving districts, particularly Injil district, which is the intended destination for 88% of registered IDPs. Districts of Origin of newly-arrived, drought-affected IDPs in City Balabuluk Gulestan Purchaman Baghran HILMAND Kajaki of Destination in of newly-arrived, drought-affected IDPs Nawzad

3 SEX AGE COMPOSITION Children and adolescents under the age of 18 represent 6% (2,26) of the newly arrived IDPs, among which 7,117 (21%) are under 5 years old. The male to female ratio is practically even, with only 499 (%) more females than males. SPECIFIC NEEDS Shelter continues to be a prevailing need of IDPs upon arrival to IDP settings. An alarming 22,25 IDPs (65%) intend to live in tents or in the open air. Among the newly-arrived IDPs, there were 1,542 (4.6%) cases with specific needs registered to date. The most numerous cases include 662 chronically ill, 241 with critical medical conditions, 2 pregnant or lactating women, and 157 physically disabled. The vast majority (29,59 or 87%) of registered IDPs claimed to have no official identification documents, such as a tazkira. Only 4,9 IDPs had a tazkira available at the time of registration with DTM, although many families present tazkiras when they register with WFP s food assistance and SCOPE card. Newly-Arrived IDPs Intended Shelter 2% 41% Newly-Arrived IDPs Age Sex 4% 1.7% 2% 1.8% 2% 19% Female Male 22% 24% 14% Infant (< 1) Child (1 4) Child (5 9) Adolescent (1 17) Adult (18 59) Elderly (6 +) 14,91 42% 849 2% 2.1% 7,94 2% 25 1% 9,79 29% 889 % Own House Rented House Relative s House n-relative s Tent Open Air Don t Know 18% All IDPs (In-Flow + Out-Flow) Specific Needs Age Group Female Male Total % of Total Infant (< 1) % Child (1 4),25,272 6,525 19% Child (5 9),7,924 7,627 2% Adolescent (1 17) 2,46,2 5,462 16% Adult (18 59) 6,985 5,49 12,94 7% Elderly (6 +) ,145 % Grand Total 17,122 16,62,745 Chronically Ill Critical Medical Condition Pregnant Physically Disabled Single Head of Household Mentally Disabled Unacompannied Minors Single Females Deceased 1.96%, %, %, 2.46%, 157.4%, %, 86.4%, 1.1%, Due to ongoing discussions with provincial authorities, DTM s flow monitoring activities have been delayed in Badghis, so DTM teams continue to register newly-arrived IDPs from Badghis in Armalek,.

4 4 RETURN INTENTIONS AT TIME OF ARRIVAL IN HERAT Upon arrival in City, 61% (2,479) of newly -arriving IDPs express no intention to return to their places of origin. Data shows that IDPs who fled earlier (before vember 218) are 69% more likely not to return to their places of origin, while, conversely, more recent arrivals are 52% more likely to return. An overwhelming 79% (26,91) of IDPs are undecided about when they will return to their places of origin, with 17% (5,756) intending to return within 4 to 6 months, coincident with planting season. RETURN INTENTIONS Newly-Arrived IDPs Return Intention 1,266 9% 2,479 61% Newly-Arrived IDPs Return Intention by Month of Registration Newly-Arrived IDPs Intended Length of Stay Month of Registration Jan Dec v Oct Sep 1,22 1,54 1, ,546,79,159 4,45 7,1 7,85 1, 2,, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, Intend to return home Individuals intention to return < 1 Month 1 Months Months 5, Months 1 2 Years > Years ,91 5, 1, 15, 2, 25,, Individuals RETURN INTENTION SURVEY PRELIMINARY RESULTS On 1 January 219, DTM began conducting Return Intention surveys among IDPs living in informal settlements in City and in Qala-e-naw, Badghis. Developed with inter-cluster and partner inputs, DTM s return intention survey aims to identify the intentions, motivations, and needs of IDPs to enable partners to better deliver assisted voluntary return packages and sustainable solutions. HERAT BADGHIS What is the MAIN reason the first members of your household left your previous location / place of origin? rank all options: = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = Reasons for Displacement from Place of Origin Reasons for Displacement from Place of Origin Badghis Drought / Famine Conflict / Insecurity Lack of jobs/economic opportunities Limited or no humanitarian assistance Other Natural Disaster Political situation/illegal taxation Limited or no access to land Join family members Loss or lack of shelter, property or assets Lack of basic services Significance (average, n=27): = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = Drought / Famine Conflict / Insecurity Lack of jobs/economic opportunities Other Natural Disaster Loss or lack of shelter, property or assets Limited or no access to land Lack of basic services Political situation/illegal taxation Join family members Limited or no humanitarian assistance Significance (average, n=24): = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = Would you consider an assisted voluntary return to your place of origin?,depends what is offered Voluntary Return Willingness Voluntary Return Willingness Badghis 52 22% 65 27% % 175 7%

5 5 What kind of assistance do you need? rank all options: = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = Voluntary Return Assistance Needed Voluntary Return Assistance Needed Badghis Food Water Household items Transport to place of origin Land (for housing or agriculture) Shelter: rental assistance Clothing Electricity Shelter: rehabilitation Fuel Communications Significance (average, n=52): = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = Food Water Household items Transport to place of origin Land (for housing or agriculture) Shelter: rental assistance Clothing Shelter: rehabilitation Fuel Communications Electricity Significance (average, n=175): = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = What is your household thinking about return (or resettlement)? Select ONE Return Intention Families (n=27) Return Intention Badghis Families (n=24) %, 29 6%, 15 Remain in current location 6%, 15 Return to place of origin 2%, 47 Return to place of origin 5%, 11 Remain in current location 16%, 8 Move to another country 1%, 2 Resettle elsewhere in Afghanistan 2%, 5 Resettle elsewhere in Afghanistan Move to another country When do you think you would start to return (or resettle)? Select ONE Return/Resettle Length of Stay in Current Location Families (n=11) Return/Resettle Length of Stay in Current Location Badghis Families (n=52) Less than 1 month Less than 1 month 4%, 2 1 to months 1 to months 4 to 6 months 4 to 6 months 2%, 1 7 to 12 months 7 to 12 months 1%, 5 More than 12 months 27%, More than 12 months 8%, 4 7%, 8 77%, 4 What assistance does your household need to be able to live in the location you have chosen to return? rank all options: = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = Return/Resettle Assistance Needed Return/Resettle Assistance Needed Badghis Jobs/economic opportunities Food aid/security Transportation Mine clearance certificate recognition Peace/cease fire Shelter Access to land Access to original house/land Legal assistance for HLP Documentation: ID Significance (average, n=11): = not applicable; 1 = very unimportant, 2= unimportant, = Food aid/security Jobs/economic opportunities Peace/cease fire Mine clearance Transportation certificate recognition Access to original house/land Access to land Shelter Legal assistance for HLP Documentation: ID Significance (average, n=51): = not applicable; 1 = very unimportan unimportant, = For more information, please contact: DTMAfghanistan@iom.int