Globalization Chances and Risks
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1 Globalization Chances and Risks Lecture by Dr. Christopher Stehr polymundo - Consultancy for Globalization Habilitation - Faculty of Mathematics and Economics University Ulm Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 1
2 Content 1. Globalization - What is that? 2. Globalization - Who makes it? 3. Globalization - Designable?! Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 2
3 9. November 1989 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 3
4 11. September 2001 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 4
5 11. December 2001 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 5
6 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 6
7 Worldwide Developments RESSOURCE RESSOURCE CONFLICTS CONFLICTS NN Environment TERRORISM TERRORISM Global Cities Global Cities KLIMATE KLIMATE FUNDAMENTALISM FUNDAMENTALISM POPULATION POPULATION MIGRATION MIGRATION WEATHER WEATHER CAPITAL ABC-Weapons S S (INNER-)CONFLICTS Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 7
8 Definition Globalization "Globalization is the continuous interlinking process of different worldwide happening occurrences in the fields of economy, technique, politics, culture and social aspects of nations with interlinked interdependenciesand consequences. Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 8
9 What is Globalization? Not a new Phenomena No fixed steady State.. But a continuous Process Increase, Consolidation, Condensation of cross-frontier Activities Increase of transnational Players Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 9
10 Was ist Globalization? First of all economical Phenomena Worldwide Opening of Markets for Goods, Currency and Work Force Interlocking and Dependency of different Markets International/Global (?) Value added Chain Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 10
11 World Production World Trade World Market Forms of Globalization Economy Technique Ecology Politics World Communication World Information World Standards Environment Environmental Consciousness Environmental Crisis World Politics World Society World Cultur Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 11
12 The new Globalization Speed Interlinkage Change of Power Placeless, Timeless Change of Hierarchy Time Space Interdependency Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 12
13 Globalization Index Konjunkturforschungsstelle ETH Zürich Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 13
14 What is measured? Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 14
15 What is measured? Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 15
16 What is measured? Schwellenländer (BRICS) Multinationale Unternehmen Supranationale Organisationen Internationale KMU und NGO s Kapitaleigentümer (>1Mrd. US$) Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 16
17 Globalization Degree - World Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 17
18 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 18
19 Globalization Degree - World Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 19
20 Globalization - Top 15 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 20
21 Globalization - Last 15 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 21
22 Globalization Degree - Germany Globalization Index total: Nr. 15 Economical Globalization: Nr. 40 Social Globalization: Nr. 16 Political Globalization: Nr. 6 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 22
23 Globalization Degree - Germany Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 23
24 Globalization Degree - Comparison USA - Germany Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 24
25 Globalization Degree - Comparison Japan - Germany Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 25
26 Summary What is Globalization? Forms of Globalization Globalization Index What is measured? Globalization Degree World Index: Top 15 - Last 15 Globalization Degree Germany, USA, Japan Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 26
27 Content 1. Globalization - What is that? 2. Globalization - Who makes it? 3. Globalization - Designable?! Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 27
28 Player of the Globalization Nations Enterprises Individuals Economy Technique Ecology Politics Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 28
29 Old Player USA Japan G7, G8, G12 Old vs. New Europe United Nations (Council) Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 29
30 New Player Emerging Countries (BRICS) Global Cities and Regions Multinational Enterprises (MNE) Supranational Organizations International SME and NGO s Capital Owner (>1Billion US$) Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 30
31 BRICS - Status Quo Brazil: Materials Resources China: Factory Workshop of the World India: Generic Products Software Russia: Crude Oil and Natural Gasoline Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 31
32 Quantitative Dimensions USA UNO LA ATTAC WTO RUS EU CHINA JAPAN ASEAN IWF NGO s SME MNE Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 32
33 + Qualitative Dimensions RUS Environment EU NN ATTAC RESSOURCE RESSOURCE CONFLICTS CONFLICTS UNO CHINA TERRORISM TERRORISM WTO USA JAPAN Global Cities Global Cities LA KLIMATE KLIMATE ASEAN IWF POPULATION POPULATION MIGRATION MIGRATION MNE FUNDAMENTALISM FUNDAMENTALISM WEATHER WEATHER CAPITAL SME NGO s ABC-Weapons S S (INNER-)CONFLICTS Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 33
34 Summary Player of the Globalization Old Player New Player Emerging Countries (BRICS) Quantitative Dimensions Qualitative Dimensions Globalization Accelerators Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 34
35 Content 1. Globalization - What is that? 2. Globalization - Who makes it? 3. Globalization - Designable?! Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 35
36 Solutions 1992 Rio World Eco Conference 1993 Wien World Human Rights 1994 Cairo World Population 1995 Copenhagen World Social 1995 Peking World Women C Kyoto World Climate 1998 to 2007 Follow Up Conf. Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 36
37 New Player - Enterprises Global Player (Transnationality Index) Small/Medium Enterprises (SME) Hidden Champions International SME Grown Global SME Born Globals (Export orientated) Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 37
38 Going Global - Strategies High Possibility of Control Setting Up Enterprise Merger & Acquisitions Joint Venture Leadership Cooperation Low Franchising Licensing Export Representation Low Level of Needs Ressources Hoch Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 38
39 Going Global - Strategies Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 39
40 Globalization Branch Luxury Internationalization Globalization Value Added Chain and (Sourcing, Production, Sales) other Areas of Operation (HR, F) Glokalisierung (Adaptation/Innovation) Global Concentration Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 40
41 Challenges I Management Employee Globalization Organization Finance Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 41
42 Challenges II Reform People Globalization Stability Innovation Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 42
43 Globalization - even more?! More Globalization Countries/Players Distribution/Deregulation Global Competition: Work, Ground, Capital Knowledge and Innovation Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 43
44 Globalization - even more?! Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 44
45 The Asiatic Century?! Achieving States Goals: Development Human Resources Welfare Important Role/World Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 45
46 Chances in the Future?! The Economies in GDP ( Basis 2003 in Billion US$) China USA Indien Quelle: Goldman Sachs, 2003 Japan Brasilien Russland UK Deutschland Frankreich Italien Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 46
47 Development GDP - BRICS BRICs G6 GDP (in Billion. US$) Quelle: Goldman Sachs, 2003 Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 47
48 The American Dream Super Power Unilateralism Liberal Empire Enemy Projection Values = Security Missionary Task World built after US-Values Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 48
49 The European Dream Global Responsibility Civil Society Peace and Freedom Sustainability Human Rights Welfare State Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 49
50 Chances and Risks Glocalisation Zweite Moderne Instability/Conflicts Ecological Questions Democracy/Welfare Income Distribution Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 50
51 Summary Global Solutions Going Global Strategies (SME) Challenges I + II The Asiatic Century Chances in the Future The American Dream The European Dream Chances and Risks Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 51
52 Summary 1. Globalization - What is that? 2. Globalization - Who makes it? 3. Globalization - Designable!? Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 52
53 Thank you very much for your attention Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 53
54 Success - in your global future! Globalization University Ulm International Summerschool Dr. Christopher Stehr 54
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