Contents. The Pulse of America. Foreword STROBE TALBOTT. An Agenda for America 1 MICHAEL E. O HANLON PART I

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1 Foreword STROBE TALBOTT xi An Agenda for America 1 MICHAEL E. O HANLON PART I The Pulse of America 1 Are Americans Better Off than They Were a Decade or Two Ago? 9 BEN S. BERNANKE and PETER OLSON 2 Unhappiness in America 18 Desperation in White Towns, Resilience and Diversity in the Cities CAROL GRAHAM and SERGIO PINTO 3 Time for Justice 28 Tackling Race Inequalities in Health and Housing DAYNA BOWEN MATTHEW, RICHARD V. REEVES, and EDWARD RODRIGUE

2 vi 4 Health Policy Issues and the 2016 Presidential Election 47 ROBERT D. REISCHAUER and ALICE M. RIVLIN 5 A Government- Wide Reform Agenda 60 for the Next Administration ELAINE C. KAMARCK PART II Growing the Economy 6 Recommendations for Federal Budget Policy 75 DOUGLAS W. ELMENDORF 7 The Most Important Non- Issue in the 2016 Campaign 83 RON HASKINS 8 Infrastructure Issues and Options 89 for the Trump Administration WILLIAM A. GALSTON and ROBERT J. PUENTES 9 Short- and Long- Term Strategies to 99 Renew American Infrastructure ADIE TOMER and JOSEPH KANE 10 Productivity and the Trump Administration 110 DAVID WESSEL

3 vii 11 Major Tax Issues in WILLIAM G. GALE and AARON KRUPKIN 12 The Future of U.S.- China Economic Relations 129 DAVID DOLLAR 13 The Case for Trade and the Trans- Pacific Partnership 138 MIREYA SOLÍS 14 Maximizing the Local Economic Impact of Federal R&D 147 SCOTT ANDES 15 Why Cities and Metros Must Lead in Trump s America 157 BRUCE KATZ 16 Climate Change and the Next Administration 167 NATE HULTMAN 17 Energy and Climate: Moving beyond Symbolism 176 DAVID G. VICTOR 18 Creating Opportunity for the Forgotten Americans 185 ISABEL SAWHILL 19 Making U.S. Development Fit for the 21st Century 194 GEORGE INGRAM

4 viii 20 Securing the Future of Driverless Cars 201 DARRELL M. WEST PART III Security at Home and Abroad 21 America s Awesome Military 211 MICHAEL E. O HANLON and DAVID H. PETRAEUS 22 Countering Violent Extremism in America 221 ROBERT L. MCKENZIE 23 Criminal Justice Reform 232 WILLIAM A. GALSTON 24 Lawful Hacking and the Case for 241 a Strategic Approach to Going Dark SUSAN HENNESSEY 25 To Preserve an Important U.S. Intelligence Tool, 251 Trump Needs to Set a Different Tone BENJAMIN WITTES PART IV Foreign Challenges and Opportunities 26 America s Role in a Turbulent World 259 BRUCE JONES

5 ix 27 The Twilight of the Liberal World Order 267 ROBERT KAGAN 28 You ve Got a Friend in Me 275 Why U.S. Alliances Make America Safer RICHARD BUSH 29 U.S. Leadership in Global Education: The Time Is Now 284 REBECCA WINTHROP 30 U.S.- Mexican Relations 294 After the Election s Vitriol, Ways to Strengthen a Multifaceted Partnership VANDA FELBAB- BROWN 31 Dealing with a Nuclear- Armed North Korea 303 Rising Danger, Narrowing Options, Hard Choices EVANS J. R. REVERE 32 President Trump s Options for Israeli- Palestinian 313 Deal Making MARTIN INDYK 33 Iraq and a Policy Proposal for the Next Administration 323 KENNETH M. POLLACK 34 Deconstructing Syria 332 A Confederal Approach MICHAEL E. O HANLON

6 x 35 Addressing the Syrian Refugee Crisis 340 JESSICA BRANDT and ROBERT L. MCKENZIE 36 Dealing with a Simmering Ukraine- Russia Conflict 349 FIONA HILL and STEVEN PIFER 37 Nuclear Arms Control Choices and U.S.- Russia Relations 357 STEVEN PIFER 38 Forging an Enduring Partnership with Afghanistan 365 VANDA FELBAB- BROWN AND OTHERS Contributors 373 Index 377

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