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1 The Electoral College and The 2012 Presidential Election Roger C. Lowery, Ph.D. Professor & former department chair Department of Public & International Affairs University of North Carolina Wilmington 1
2 Topics Origin Changes over time Problems Proposed reforms 2
3 ABCDE Answer keys Power key Send key Clear key 3
4 The Electoral College balances power between: A. The president & Congress B. The federal & state governments C. Various types of states D. All of the above
5 The Electoral College was a compromise between -- A. Large and small population o states B. Slave and free states C. Both D. Neither
6 Each state s s total number of Electoral Votes is based on the size of that state s: A. Registered-voter population B. Vti Voting-age population C. Total population
7 To be elected president, a candidate needs a simple majority of: A. Popular votes B. Electoral votes C. Both D. Neither
8 Which presidential candidate won the popular vote but lost the electoral vote? A. Andrew Jackson (1824) B. Samuel Tilden (1876) C. Grover Cleveland (1888) D. Al Gore, Jr. (2000) E. All of the above
9 If no candidate wins a majority of the electoral votes, then who chooses the president? A. U.S. Supreme Court B. US U.S. Senate C. US U.S. House D. None of the above
10 How each state translates popular votes into electoral votes is established by: A. The Constitution B. The U.S. Congress C. The U.S. Supreme Court D. Each state t legislature l E. None of the above
11 Which states now use the winner-take-all method of awarding electoral votes? A. Mainly states with large urban populations B. Mainly rural states C. All 50 states D. All but Maine & Nebraska
12 Recent changes in U.S. elections & campaigns s: reliable public-opinion polling s: primary elections s: communications-media media narrow-casting Cable & satellite TV Internet blogs/social media s: high-tech redistricting : unlimited campaign spending 12
13 Which gives the most accurate predictions of presidential-election outcomes? A. National polls B. National economic models C. State polls
14 2012 Electoral College projections org/cr stalball/articles/categor /2012 president/ com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ map p.html princeton edu/electoral college 14
15 Proposed Reforms 1. Keep Electoral College but eliminate electors Pro Eliminates faithless electors Con Only a handful of faithless electors since
16 Proposed Reforms 2. Keep Electoral College but use Maine/Nebraska plan Pro Makes all popular votes count Con Increases turnout Greatly reduces chance of PV winner being EV loser Increases chance of 3 rd -party kingmaker Doesn t off-set rural bias of U.S. Senate 16
17 Proposed Reforms 3. Keep Electoral College but replace statewide winner-take-all with proportional division Pro Con Makes all popular votes count Increases turnout Eliminates chance of PV winner being EV loser Increases chance of 3 rd -party kingmaker Doesn t off-set rural bias of U.S. Senate 17
18 Proposed Reforms 4. Replace Electoral College with direct election Pro Con Most popular option with public Makes all popular votes count Increases turnout Eliminates chance of PV winner being EV loser Eliminates faithless electors and House /Senate runoff elections What to do if no PV majority? Encourages spoiler candidates to run in order to broker their support in runoff election Runoffs shorten transition time for eventual winner Doesn t offset rural bias in U.S. Senate 18
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