FR: MICHAEL OSCAR DT: 12/3/18 RE: 2018 Federal Election Results 2018 Federal Election Results Following the 2016 Federal Elections, the Republican
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1 FR: MICHAEL OSCAR DT: 12/3/18 RE: 2018 Federal Election Results 2018 Federal Election Results Following the 2016 Federal Elections, the Republican Party controlled the White House and the U.S. Congress for the first time since A total of 469 seats in the U.S. Congress (34 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) were up for election on November 6, 2018 and this election cycle included a record number of retirements in the U.S. House (26 Republicans and 8 Democrats), along with a record number of women on the ballot. Ultimately, the Democrats took back the House by a decisive margin, while the Republicans improved their standing in the Senate, in a midterm election that, despite its significance, exposed the limitations of both parties for In the House, 414/435 seats declared with the Democrats claiming 220 seats to Republicans 193 seats, the Democrats gained 27 seats with Republicans losing 27 seats. In the Senate, 97/100 seats declared, 46 Democrats claimed seats and the Republicans claimed 50 seats. Votes are still being tallied in several states including in Arizona, Georgia, and it appears that the Mississippi Senate race is headed into a runoff election. Early voting by young adults was up 188 percent compared to The diploma divide is widening: 61 percent of non-college-educated white voters cast their ballots for Republicans, compared to 45 percent of college-educated whites. An unprecedented number of women will enter Congress come January, over 80 of them Democrats. Republican Marsha Blackburn made history as Tennessee s first female Senator. Democratic Senators Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota, Claire McCaskill of Missouri, and Joe Donnelly of Indiana were defeated by conservative challengers, who leaned heavily on President Donald Trump s enduring popularity in their deeply red states. In Texas and Tennessee, neither the insurgent energy behind Beto O Rourke nor the middle-of-the-road appeal of former Governor Phil Bredesen could overcome the Republican lean of the electorate. Finally, now that Democrats have won the House, Republicans will no longer be able to pass legislation with GOP votes alone and to get any bills through Congress, President Trump will have to spar with Democrats. The new Democratic majority will also have subpoena power, which will help them investigate the Trump administration far more aggressively, but since Democrats did not take the Senate, they did not gain the power to block President Trump s Supreme Court, Cabinet, and other nominees for the next two years; thereby, President Trump will continue to have the upper hand in confirming judges to lifetime posts. This election outcome will not likely lead to a lot of deal-making in the new Congress next year, though both House Democrats and Senate Republicans will need to point to accomplishments when their majorities will be up for grabs in 2020.
2 The Top 2018 Senate Races ARIZONA US SENATE A Republican combat vet faces a moderate Democrat for Sen. Jeff Flake's open seat GOP Martha McSally 850,043 49% DEM Kyrsten Sinema 834,135 48% GRN Angela Green 38,597 2% 1,479 of 1,489 (99%) precincts reporting, 1,722,775 total votes FLORIDA US SENATE A three-term incumbent senator goes up against a popular Republican governor GOP Rick Scott 4,081,344 50% DEM Bill Nelson 4,051,018 50% 6,007 of 6,007 (100%) precincts reporting, 8,132,362 total votes INDIANA US SENATE One of the most conservative Democrats runs in Mike Pence's home state GOP Mike Braun 1,090,361 53% DEM Joe Donnelly 899,688 43% LIB Lucy Brenton 85,335 4% 4,605 of 5,341 (86%) precincts reporting, 2,075,384 total votes MICHIGAN US SENATE The Republican brand is tarnished in Michigan, and Democrats hope for a blue wave DEM Debbie Stabenow 2,152,656 52% GOP John James 1,884,934 46% GRN Marcia Squier 39,424 1% OTH George Huffman (US Taxpayers Party) 26,725 1% OTH John Wilhelm (Natural Law Party) 16,296 0% 4,346 of 4,971 (87%) precincts reporting, 4,120,035 total votes MINNESOTA US SENATE Tina Smith is in her first election after replacing former Sen. Al Franken DEM Tina Smith 1,370,435 53% GOP Karin Housley 1,095,827 42% OTH Sarah Wellington (Legal Marijuana Now Party) 95,643 4% OTH Jerry Trooien (Unaffiliated Party) 24,370 1% 4,113 of 4,113 (100%) precincts reporting, 2,586,275 total votes MISSISSIPPI US SENATE Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith wants to hold Thad Cochran's seat for the GOP and avoid a runoff GOP Cindy Hyde-Smith 296,468 42% DEM Mike Espy 276,913 39% GOP Chris McDaniel 122,268 17% IND Tobey Bartee 9,685 1% 1,332 of 1,799 (74%) precincts reporting, 705,334 total votes
3 MISSOURI US SENATE Sen. Claire McCaskill may be facing her toughest reelection battle yet GOP Josh Hawley 1,245,746 51% DEM Claire McCaskill 1,101,377 45% IND Craig O'Dear 34,063 1% LIB Japheth Campbell 27,413 1% GRN Jo Crain 13,165 1% 3,256 of 3,256 (100%) precincts reporting, 2,421,764 total votes MONTANA US SENATE Sen. Jon Tester quashed Trump's Veterans Affairs pick, and now Trump really wants to take him down DEM Jon Tester 202,319 49% GOP Matt Rosendale 201,478 48% LIB Rick Breckenridge 11,830 3% 668 of 669 (100%) precincts reporting, 415,627 total votes NEVADA US SENATE Democrats' best bet to pick up a GOP seat: beat Sen. Dean Heller in a state Hillary Clinton won DEM Jacky Rosen 475,125 51% GOP Dean Heller 425,599 46% IND Barry Michaels 9,380 1% LIB Tim Hagan 9,107 1% OTH Kamau A. Bakari (Independent American Party) 5,400 1% 1,552 of 1,988 (78%) precincts reporting, 924,611 total votes NEW JERSEY US SENATE A cloud of corruption puts an otherwise safe Democratic seat at risk DEM Robert Menendez 1,479,319 53% GOP Bob Hugin 1,219,259 44% LIB Murray Sabrin 18,900 1% OTH Natalie Rivera (For The People Party) 17,086 1% OTH Tricia Flanagan (New Day NJ Party) 14,213 1% GRN Madelyn Hoffman 9,633 0% OTH Kevin Kimple (Make It Simple Party) 7,976 0% OTH Hank Schroeder (Economic Growth Party) 7,862 0% 6,228 of 6,345 (98%) precincts reporting, 2,774,248 total votes NORTH DAKOTA US SENATE Sen. Heidi Heitkamp seems like the most endangered Democrat this year GOP Kevin Cramer 178,875 55% DEM Heidi Heitkamp 143,744 45% 424 of 424 (100%) precincts reporting, 322,619 total votes
4 OHIO US SENATE A populist Ohio Democrat looks like a good bet for reelection DEM Sherrod Brown 2,279,547 53% GOP Jim Renacci 2,008,630 47% 8,903 of 8,904 (100%) precincts reporting, 4,288,177 total votes TENNESSEE US SENATE A hugely popular Democratic ex-governor tries to take a seat in deep-red Tennessee GOP Marsha Blackburn 1,225,352 55% DEM Phil Bredesen 982,638 44% IND Trudy Austin 9,435 0% IND Dean Hill 8,699 0% IND Kris Todd 5,069 0% IND John "Jae" Carico 3,382 0% IND Breton Phillips 2,207 0% IND Kevin Lee McCants 1,916 0% 1,967 of 1,963 (100%) precincts reporting, 2,238,698 total votes TEXAS US SENATE The hottest Senate race of the year Beto O'Rourke stokes dreams of a purple Texas GOP Ted Cruz 4,199,656 51% DEM Beto O'Rourke 3,984,017 48% LIB Neal Dikeman 64,623 1% 8,160 of 8,370 (97%) precincts reporting, 8,248,296 total votes WEST VIRGINIA US SENATE Incumbent Sen. Joe Manchin is still the overwhelming favorite in Trump country DEM Joe Manchin 283,346 50% GOP Patrick Morrisey 265,030 46% LIB Rusty Hollen 23,796 4% 1,694 of 1,758 (96%) precincts reporting, 572,172 total votes WISCONSIN US SENATE Sen. Tammy Baldwin, a top Republican target, tries to put away reelection DEM Tammy Baldwin 1,423,795 55% GOP Leah Vukmir 1,168,412 45% 3,635 of 3,652 (100%) precincts reporting, 2,592,207 total votes
5 The Top 2018 House Races ARIZONA US HOUSE 2 DEM Ann Kirkpatrick 125,349 53% GOP Lea Peterson 109,759 47% 193 of 195 (99%) precincts reporting, 235,108 total votes CALIFORNIA US HOUSE 49 DEM Mike Levin 76,135 52% GOP Diane Harkey 69,031 48% 359 of 542 (66%) precincts reporting, 145,166 total votes COLORADO US HOUSE 6 DEM Jason Crow 144,422 53% GOP Mike Coffman 120,674 44% LIB Kat Martin 3,833 1% OTH Dan Chapin (Unaffiliated Party) 3,197 1% 452 of 472 (96%) precincts reporting, 272,126 total votes COLORADO US HOUSE 6 Updated Nov 7, 2018, 1:50pm EST DEM Jason Crow 144,422 53% GOP Mike Coffman 120,674 44% LIB Kat Martin 3,833 1% OTH Dan Chapin (Unaffiliated Party) 3,197 1% 452 of 472 (96%) precincts reporting, 272,126 total votes IOWA US HOUSE 1 DEM Abby Finkenauer 169,341 51% GOP Rod Blum 152,939 46% LIB Troy Hageman 10,227 3% 397 of 417 (95%) precincts reporting, 332,507 total votes ILLINOIS US HOUSE 6 DEM Sean Casten 152,363 53% GOP Peter Roskam 135,104 47% 635 of 640 (99%) precincts reporting, 287,467 total votes KANSAS US HOUSE 3 DEM Sharice Davids 164,253 53% GOP Kevin Yoder 136,104 44% LIB Chris Clemmons 7,643 2%
6 628 of 628 (100%) precincts reporting, 308,000 total votes MICHIGAN US HOUSE 11 DEM Haley Stevens 175,590 52% GOP Lena Epstein 152,435 45% LIB Leonard Schwartz 5,626 2% OTH Cooper Nye (Unaffiliated Party) 4,598 1% 235 of 291 (81%) precincts reporting, 338,249 total votes MINNESOTA US HOUSE 2 DEM Angela Craig 177,971 53% GOP Jason Lewis 159,373 47% 292 of 292 (100%) precincts reporting, 337,344 total votes MINNESOTA US HOUSE 3 DEM Dean Phillips 202,402 56% GOP Erik Paulsen 160,838 44% 248 of 248 (100%) precincts reporting, 363,240 total votes NEW JERSEY US HOUSE 11 DEM Mikie Sherrill 152,178 55% GOP Jay Webber 118,897 43% OTH Robert Crook (Honesty Integrity Compassion Party) 4,481 2% LIB Ryan Martinez 1,207 0% 569 of 576 (99%) precincts reporting, 276,763 total votes NEVADA US HOUSE 3 DEM Susie Lee 147,048 52% GOP Danny Tarkanian 121,505 43% LIB Steve Brown 3,948 1% OTH David Goossen (Unaffiliated Party) 3,612 1% OTH Harry Vickers (Independent American Party) 3,459 1% OTH Gil Eisner (Unaffiliated Party) 1,878 1% OTH Tony Gumina (Unaffiliated Party) 1,536 1% 0 of 424 (0%) precincts reporting, 282,986 total votes NEVADA US HOUSE 4 DEM Steven Horsford 120,888 52% GOP Cresent Hardy 101,748 44% OTH Warren Markowitz (Independent American Party) 3,156 1% OTH Rodney Smith (Unaffiliated Party) 2,704 1% LIB Gregg Luckner 2,185 1%
7 OTH Dean McGonigle (Unaffiliated Party) 2,011 1% 73 of 481 (15%) precincts reporting, 232,692 total votes PENNSYLVANIA US HOUSE 7 DEM Susan Wild 97,657 54% GOP Martin Nothstein 77,190 43% LIB Tim Silfies 5,574 3% 0 of 337 (0%) precincts reporting, 180,421 total votes VIRGINIA US HOUSE 10 DEM Jennifer Wexton 202,557 56% GOP Barbara Comstock 157,561 44% 212 of 211 (100%) precincts reporting, 360,118 total votes MINNESOTA US HOUSE 1 GOP Jim Hagedorn 146,203 50% DEM Dan Feehan 144,894 50% 698 of 697 (100%) precincts reporting, 291,097 total votes CALIFORNIA US HOUSE 10 GOP Jeff Denham 56,701 51% DEM Josh Harder 55,414 49% 478 of 478 (100%) precincts reporting, 112,115 total votes CALIFORNIA US HOUSE 25 DEM Katie Hill 83,662 51% GOP Steve Knight 79,545 49% 411 of 411 (100%) precincts reporting, 163,207 total votes CALIFORNIA US HOUSE 39 GOP Young Kim 76,956 51% DEM Gil Cisneros 73,077 49% 387 of 387 (100%) precincts reporting, 150,033 total votes CALIFORNIA US HOUSE 45 GOP Mimi Walters 94,998 52% DEM Katie Porter 88,765 48% 444 of 444 (100%) precincts reporting, 183,763 total votes CALIFORNIA US HOUSE 48 DEM Harley Rouda 91,750 51% GOP Dana Rohrabacher 89,068 49% 395 of 395 (100%) precincts reporting, 180,818 total votes
8 FLORIDA US HOUSE 26 DEM Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 117,139 51% GOP Carlos Curbelo 113,537 49% 254 of 254 (100%) precincts reporting, 230,676 total votes FLORIDA US HOUSE 27 DEM Donna Shalala 127,639 52% GOP Maria Elvira Salazar 113,276 46% IND Mayra Joli 6,075 2% 249 of 249 (100%) precincts reporting, 246,990 total votes IOWA US HOUSE 3 DEM Cindy Axne 169,886 52% GOP David Young 142,334 44% LIB Jack Holder 7,005 2% OTH Mark Elworth, Jr (Legal Marijuana Now Party) 1,906 1% GRN Paul Knupp 1,794 1% IND Joe Grandanette 1,271 0% 375 of 375 (100%) precincts reporting, 324,196 total votes ILLINOIS US HOUSE 12 GOP Michael Bost 126,453 51% DEM Brendan Kelly 113,307 46% GRN Randy Auxier 7,489 3% 654 of 655 (100%) precincts reporting, 247,249 total votes ILLINOIS US HOUSE 14 DEM Lauren Underwood 130,516 52% GOP Randy Hultgren 121,712 48% 459 of 462 (99%) precincts reporting, 252,228 total votes KANSAS US HOUSE 2 GOP Steve Watkins 124,895 48% DEM Paul Davis 120,421 46% LIB Kelly Standley 14,402 6% 924 of 924 (100%) precincts reporting, 259,718 total votes
9 KENTUCKY US HOUSE 6 GOP Andy Barr 154,468 51% DEM Amy McGrath 144,730 48% LIB Frank Harris 2,150 1% IND Rikka Wallin 1,011 0% IND James Cermalio 0% 628 of 628 (100%) precincts reporting, 302,359 total votes MAINE US HOUSE 2 GOP Bruce L Poliquin 121,534 46% DEM Jared Golden 121,185 46% IND Tiffany Bond 14,961 6% IND Will Hoar 6,248 2% 347 of 405 (86%) precincts reporting, 263,928 total votes NEW YORK US HOUSE 19 DEM Antonio Delgado 132,001 50% GOP John Faso 124,408 47% GRN Steve Greenfield 4,037 2% OTH Diane Neal (Friends of Diane Neal Party) 2,619 1% 619 of 619 (100%) precincts reporting, 263,065 total votes NORTH CAROLINA US HOUSE 13 GOP Ted Budd 145,962 52% DEM Kathy Manning 128,764 46% LIB Tom Bailey 5,439 2% GRN Robert Corriher 2,792 1% 220 of 220 (100%) precincts reporting, 282,957 total votes NEW JERSEY US HOUSE 3 GOP Tom MacArthur 136,408 50% DEM Andy Kim 134,093 49% OTH Lawrence Berlinski (Constitution Party) 3,632 1% 565 of 571 (99%) precincts reporting, 274,133 total votes NEW JERSEY US HOUSE 7 DEM Tom Malinowski 132,850 50% GOP Leonard Lance 129,284 49% GRN Diane Moxley 2,164 1% OTH Greg Mele (Freedom Responsibility Action Party) 1,995 1% 614 of 639 (96%) precincts reporting, 266,293 total votes
10 NEW MEXICO US HOUSE 2 GOP Yvette Herrell 94,428 51% DEM Xochitl Torres Small 92,442 49% 501 of 501 (100%) precincts reporting, 186,870 total votes NEW YORK US HOUSE 22 DEM Anthony Brindisi 117,779 50% GOP Claudia Tenney 116,357 50% 565 of 565 (100%) precincts reporting, 234,136 total votes OHIO US HOUSE 1 GOP Steve Chabot 151,107 52% DEM Aftab Pureval 135,467 46% LIB Dirk Kubala 5,126 2% 326 of 732 (45%) precincts reporting, 291,700 total votes OHIO US HOUSE 12 GOP Troy Balderson 170,880 52% DEM Danny O'Connor 155,177 47% GRN Joe Manchik 4,442 1% 0 of 1,367 (0%) precincts reporting, 330,499 total votes PENNSYLVANIA US HOUSE 1 GOP Brian Fitzpatrick 168,841 51% DEM Henry Wallace 160,098 49% 343 of 345 (99%) precincts reporting, 328,939 total votes TEXAS US HOUSE 7 DEM Lizzie Pannill Fletcher 123,596 52% GOP John Culberson 113,493 48% 113 of 152 (74%) precincts reporting, 237,089 total votes TEXAS US HOUSE 32 DEM Colin Allred 141,721 52% GOP Pete Sessions 124,469 46% LIB Melina Baker 5,387 2% 242 of 252 (96%) precincts reporting, 271,577 total votes UTAH US HOUSE 4 DEM Ben McAdams 93,886 51% GOP Mia Love 88,800 49%
11 639 of 675 (95%) precincts reporting, 182,686 total votes VIRGINIA US HOUSE 2 DEM Elaine Luria 130,103 51% GOP Scott Taylor 125,687 49% 178 of 181 (98%) precincts reporting, 255,790 total votes VIRGINIA US HOUSE 7 DEM Abigail Spanberger 169,281 50% GOP Dave Brat 164,778 49% LIB Joseph Walton 4,100 1% 226 of 228 (99%) precincts reporting, 338,159 total votes WASHINGTON US HOUSE 8 DEM Kim Schrier 104,520 53% GOP Dino Rossi 92,900 47% 751 of 751 (100%) precincts reporting, 197,420 total votes ARKANSAS US HOUSE 2 GOP French Hill 127,853 52% DEM Clarke Tucker 113,306 46% LIB Joe Swafford 5,065 2% 360 of 509 (71%) precincts reporting, 246,224 total votes CALIFORNIA US HOUSE 50 GOP Duncan Hunter 66,934 54% DEM Ammar Campa-Najjar 56,481 46% 370 of 521 (71%) precincts reporting, 123,415 total votes FLORIDA US HOUSE 15 GOP Ross Spano 151,063 53% DEM Kristen Carlson 133,686 47% 194 of 194 (100%) precincts reporting, 284,749 total votes FLORIDA US HOUSE 16 GOP Vern Buchanan 196,965 55% DEM David Shapiro 163,996 45% 186 of 186 (100%) precincts reporting, 360,961 total votes GEORGIA US HOUSE 6 DEM Lucy McBath 155,076 50% GOP Karen Handel 153,641 50% 207 of 207 (100%) precincts reporting, 308,717 total votes
12 GEORGIA US HOUSE 7 GOP Rob Woodall 134,057 51% DEM Carolyn Bourdeaux 130,363 49% 124 of 124 (100%) precincts reporting, 264,420 total votes ILLINOIS US HOUSE 13 GOP Rodney Davis 136,038 51% DEM Betsy Londrigan 131,447 49% 703 of 703 (100%) precincts reporting, 267,485 total votes IOWA US HOUSE 4 GOP Steve King 148,110 50% DEM J.D. Scholten 140,792 47% LIB Charles Aldrich 5,841 2% IND Edward Peterson 1,823 1% 452 of 491 (92%) precincts reporting, 296,566 total votes MINNESOTA US HOUSE 8 GOP Pete Stauber 159,388 51% DEM Joe Radinovich 141,972 45% OTH Ray Sandman (Independence Party) 12,768 4% 806 of 806 (100%) precincts reporting, 314,128 total votes MISSOURI US HOUSE 2 GOP Ann Wagner 190,008 51% DEM Cort VanOstran 174,486 47% LIB Larry Kirk 4,184 1% GRN David Justus Arnold 1,715 0% 463 of 463 (100%) precincts reporting, 370,393 total votes MONTANA US HOUSE 1 GOP Greg Gianforte 219,046 53% DEM Kathleen Williams 185,395 45% LIB Elinor Swanson 11,407 3% 668 of 669 (100%) precincts reporting, 415,848 total votes NORTH CAROLINA US HOUSE 2 GOP George Holding 166,035 51% DEM Linda Coleman 148,572 46% LIB Japheth Matemu 9,367 3% 157 of 158 (99%) precincts reporting, 323,974 total votes
13 NEBRASKA US HOUSE 2 GOP Don Bacon 118,565 52% DEM Kara Eastman 110,540 48% 31 of 269 (12%) precincts reporting, 229,105 total votes NEW YORK US HOUSE 11 DEM Max Rose 152,617 53% GOP Dan Donovan 136,552 47% GRN Henry Bardel 1,118 0% 489 of 489 (100%) precincts reporting, 290,287 total votes NEW YORK US HOUSE 24 GOP John M Katko 129,276 53% DEM Dana Balter 114,102 47% 613 of 613 (100%) precincts reporting, 243,378 total votes NEW YORK US HOUSE 27 GOP Chris Collins 151,036 49% DEM Nathan McMurray 149,902 49% OTH Larry Piegza (Reform Party) 6,659 2% 580 of 581 (100%) precincts reporting, 307,597 total votes PENNSYLVANIA US HOUSE 10 GOP Scott Perry 148,790 51% DEM George Scott 140,956 49% 178 of 346 (51%) precincts reporting, 289,746 total votes PENNSYLVANIA US HOUSE 16 GOP George Kelly 132,088 51% DEM Ronald Dinicola 121,585 47% LIB Ebert Beeman 2,902 1% 311 of 454 (69%) precincts reporting, 256,575 total votes SOUTH CAROLINA US HOUSE 1 DEM Joe Cunningham 131,727 52% GOP Katie Arrington 123,445 48% 324 of 352 (92%) precincts reporting, 255,172 total votes TEXAS US HOUSE 23 GOP Will Hurd 102,903 49% DEM Gina Ortiz Jones 102,214 49%
14 LIB Ruben Corvalan 4,402 2% 333 of 335 (99%) precincts reporting, 209,519 total votes TEXAS US HOUSE 31 GOP John Carter 143,330 51% DEM Mary Jennings Hegar 134,675 48% LIB Jason Hope 4,936 2% 147 of 147 (100%) precincts reporting, 282,941 total votes VIRGINIA US HOUSE 5 GOP Denver Riggleman 164,979 54% DEM Leslie Cockburn 142,469 46% 329 of 328 (100%) precincts reporting, 307,448 total votes WASHINGTON US HOUSE 3 GOP Jaime Herrera Beutler 115,616 52% DEM Carolyn Long 105,654 48% 529 of 529 (100%) precincts reporting, 221,270 total votes WASHINGTON US HOUSE 5 GOP Cathy McMorris Rodgers 103,238 56% DEM Lisa Brown 81,295 44% 689 of 689 (100%) precincts reporting, 184,533 total votes WISCONSIN US HOUSE 1 GOP Bryan Steil 175,089 55% DEM Randy Bryce 136,091 42% IND Ken Yorgan 9,903 3% 352 of 355 (99%) precincts reporting, 321,083 total votes WEST VIRGINIA US HOUSE 3 GOP Carol Miller 98,048 56% DEM Richard Ojeda II 75,776 44% 611 of 612 (100%) precincts reporting, 173,824 total votes
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