Republicans only need 50 seats to control the Senate since Vice President Mike Pence would be the 51st vote in event of a tie.

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1 By Kathryn Hazeem Lehman and Jodi A. Richardson Holland & Knight's Public Policy & Regulation Group has laid out the races to watch for the Senate, House and governors sorted in order of poll closing time. Here is what you should keep an eye on: SENATE In order for the Democrats to control the Senate, they need to get to 51 seats (Independents are included in the Democratic total) which means they need to hold ALL their contested seats in states won by President Donald Trump in 2016: Indiana, Florida, Missouri, West Virginia and Montana. In addition, they will need to flip two of the four Republican seats: Arizona, Tennessee, Texas or Nevada. Republicans only need 50 seats to control the Senate since Vice President Mike Pence would be the 51st vote in event of a tie. HOUSE The vast majority of the contested seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are currently held by Republicans. As of Nov. 1, 2018, Real Clear Politics breaks the House down as follows: D seats 203 R seats 198 Toss-ups 34 Key states to watch on election night are: New Jersey (moderate Republicans retiring) Pennsylvania (redistricting favors Democrats) Virginia (Republican seats in the toss-up column that SHOULD have been put away by now) Minnesota (2 Democratic seats and 2 Republican seats in danger) California (retirements and district demographic changes) GOVERNORS Redistricting for the House of Representatives will take place in Although state legislators have a role in drawing congressional district lines, in most states the governor has to approve those lines. Currently, 33 state houses are controlled by Republicans, 16 by Democrats and one Independent.

2 2018 Senate Races Current Current Composition: 51 Republicans / 49 Democrats/Independents There are 35 Senate seats up for election (9 R / 26 D), with 6 races rated as "toss up" There are 65 seats not up for election in 2018 (42 R / 23 D). Incumbents are in bold and outgoing senators are indicated in (parentheses) Closely Contested Senate Seats Outcome: D Democratic Candidate State Republican Candidate Outcome: R 6 p.m. / 7 p.m. EST Joe Donnelly IN Mike Braun 7:30 p.m. EST Joe Manchin WV Patrick Morrissey 7 p.m. / 8 p.m. EST Bill Nelson FL Rick Scott 8 p.m. EST Claire McCaskill MO Josh Hawley Bob Menendez NJ Bob Hugin Mike Espy MS2** Cindy Hyde-Smith 8 p.m. / 9 p.m. EST Phil Bredesen TN Marsha Blackburn (Corker) Beto O'Rourke TX Ted Cruz 9 p.m. EST Kyrsten Sinema AZ Martha McSally (Flake) Tammy Baldwin WI Leah Vukmir Tina Smith MN2* Karin Housley 10 p.m. EST Jon Tester MT Matt Rosendale Jacky Rosen NV Dean Heller 10 p.m. / 11 p.m. EST Heidi Heitkamp ND Kevin Cramer * Special Election to replace former Sen. Al Franken. ** Mississippi will hold an election featuring two Democrats and two Republicans. If no candidate captures more than 50 percent of the vote, a runoff will be held Nov Safe D Seats 4 Safe R Seats CA CT DE HI MA MD ME MI MN1 NM NY OH UT WY NE MS1 PA RI VT VA WA 17 safe D + 23 D not in cycle = 40 4 safe R + 42 R not in cycle = 46 Total Won + Safe/Not in Cycle = Total D Seats Total Won + Safe/Not in Cycle = Total R Seats + 40 = + 46 =

3 2018 House Races Democrats need to win a net 23 seats to gain a majority in the House o 57 Republican seats could flip to Democratic o 5 Democratic seats could flip to Republican Incumbents are in bold and outgoing representatives are indicated in (parentheses) Outcome State-District Republican Candidate Democratic Candidate (Polling) 6 p.m. EST: Polls close in Indiana, most Kentucky RCP Rating KY-6 (R+9) Andy Barr Amy McGrath IN If Republicans lose any IN House seats, the GOP could have a long night. 7 p.m. EST: Polls close in Virginia, most Florida FL-15 (R+6) Ross Spano Kristen Carlson FL-26 (D+6) Carlos Curbelo Debbie Mucarsel-Powell FL-27 (D+5) Maria Elvira Salazar (Ros-Lehtinen) Donna Shalala VA-2 (R+3) Scott Taylor Elaine Luria Lean R VA-7 (R+6) David Brat Abigail Spanberger VA-10 (D+1) Barbara Comstock Jennifer Wexton 7:30 p.m. EST: Polls close in North Carolina, Ohio, West Virginia NC-2 (R+6) George Holding Linda Coleman Lean R NC-9 (R+7) Mark Harris (Pittenger) Dan McCready NC-13 (R+6) Ted Budd Kathy Manning Lean R OH-1 (R+5) Steve Chabot Aftab Pureval Lean R OH-12 (R+7) Troy Balderson (Tiberi) Danny O'Connor Lean R WV-3 (R+23) Carol Miller (E. Jenkins) Richard Ojeda Lean R

4 8 p.m. EST: Polls close in Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Texas IL-6 (R+2) Peter Roskam Sean Casten IL-12 (R+5) Mike Bost Brandan Kelly Lean R IL-14 (R+5) Randy Hultgren Lauren Underwood Lean R KS-2 (R+10) Steve Watkins (L. Jenkins) Paul Davis KS-3 (R+4) Kevin Yoder Sharice Davids ME-2 (R+2) Bruce Poliquin Jared Golden MI-8 (R+4) Mike Bishop Elissa Slotkin MI-11 (R+4) Lena Epstein (Trott) Haley Stevens NJ-2 (R+1) Seth Grossman (LoBiondo) Jeff Van Drew NJ-3 (R+2) Tom MacArthur Andrew Kim NJ-7 (R+3) Leonard Lance Tom Malinowski NJ-11 (R+3) Jay Webber (Frelinghuysen) Mikie Sherrill PA-1 (R+1) Brian Fitzpatrick Scott Wallace PA-5 (D+13) Pearl Kim (Meehan) Mary Gay Scanlon PA-6 (D+2) Greg McCauley (Costello) Chrissy Houlahan PA-7 (D+1) Marty Nothstein (Dent) Susan Wild PA-10 (R+8) Scott Perry George Scott Lean R PA-14 (R+14) Guy Reschenthaler Bibiana Boerio (Lamb) Likely R PA-16 (R+8) Mike Kelly Ron DiNicola PA-17 (R+3) Keith Rothfus Conor Lamb TX-7 (R+7) John Culberson Lizzie Pannill Fletcher TX-32 (R+5) Pete Sessions Colin Allred

5 9 p.m. EST: Polls close in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Texas Panhandle AZ-1 (R+2) Wendy Rogers Tom O'Halleran AZ-2 (R+1) Lea Marquez Peterson (McSally) Ann Kirkpatrick CO-6 (D+2) Mike Coffman Jason Crow MN-1 (R+5) Jim Hagedorn Dan Feehan (Walz) MN-2 (R+3) Jason Lewis Angie Craig MN-3 (D+1) Erik Paulsen Dean Phillips MN-8 (R+4) Pete Stauber Joe Radinovich (Nolan) Lean R NM-2 (R+6) Yvette Herrell (Pearce) Xochitl Torres Small NY-19 (R+2) John Faso Antonio Delgado NY-22 (R+6) Claudia Tenney Anthony Brindisi NY-24 (D+3) John Katko Dana Balter Likely R NY-27 (R+11) Chris Collins Nate McMurray Lean R TX-23 (R+1) Will Hurd Gina Ortiz Jones Lean R 10 p.m. EST: Polls close in Iowa, Nevada, Utah IA-1 (D+1) Rod Blum Abby Finkenaur IA-3 (R+1) David Young Cindy Axne UT-4 (R+13) Mia Love Ben McAdams NV-3 (R+2) Danny Tarkanian Susie Lee (Rosen) NV-4 (D+3) Cresent Hardy Steven Horsford (Kihuen)

6 11 p.m. EST: Polls close in California, Washington CA-10 (EVN) Jeff Denham Josh Harder CA-21 (D+5) David Valadao T.J. Cox Likely R CA-25 (EVN) Steve Knight Katie Hill CA-39 (EVN) Young Kim (Royce) Gil Cisneros CA-45 (R+3) Mimi Walters Katie Porter CA-48 (R+4) Dana Rohrabacher Harley Rouda CA-49 (R+1) Diane Harkey (Issa) Mike Levin CA-50 (R+11) Duncan Hunter Ammar Campa-Najjar Lean R WA-5 (R+8) Cathy McMorris Rodgers Lisa Brown Lean R WA-8 (EVN) Dino Rossi (Reichert) Kim Schrier

7 2018 Gubernatorial Races Current Composition: 33 Republicans / 16 Democrats / 1 Independent There are 36 seats up for election (26 R / 9 D / 1 I), with 9 races rated as "toss up" Incumbent members are in bold; open seats are indicated with a Gubernatorial Races to Watch State Democratic Candidate Republican Candidate RCP Rating Outcome 7 p.m. EST Georgia R Stacey Abrams Brian Kemp 7:30 p.m. EST Ohio R Richard Cordray Mike DeWine 7 p.m. / 8 p.m. EST Florida R Andrew Gillum Ron DeSantis 8 p.m. EST Oklahoma R Drew Edmondson Kevin Stitt Lean R Connecticut D Ned Lamont Bob Stefanowski Maine R Janet Mills Shawn Moody Rhode Island D Gina Raimondo Allan Fung 8 p.m. / 9 p.m. EST Kansas R Laura Kelly Kris Kobach Michigan R Gretchen Whitmer Bill Scheutte South Dakota R Billie Sutton Kristi Noem 9 p.m. EST Colorado D Jared Polis Walker Stapleton Minnesota D Tim Walz Jeff Johnson New Mexico R Michelle Lujan Grisham Steve Pearce Wisconsin R Tony Evers Scott Walker 10 p.m. EST Nevada R Steve Sisolak Adam Laxalt Iowa R Fred Hubbell Kim Reynolds 10 p.m. / 11 p.m. EST Oregon D Kate Brown Knute Buehler 12 a.m. / 1 a.m. EST Alaska I Mark Begich Mike Dunleavy Information contained in this alert is for the general education and knowledge of our readers. It is not designed to be, and should not be used as, the sole source of information when analyzing and resolving a legal problem. Moreover, the laws of each jurisdiction are different and are constantly changing. If you have specific questions regarding a particular fact situation, we urge you to consult competent legal counsel. Copyright Holland & Knight LLP All Rights Reserved.

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