House 2018 races Senate 2018 races 2018 governor races
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1 House 08 races Senate 08 races 08 governor races Cook Political Report ratings October /, 08
2 Current House and Senate divisions House of Representatives Senate 50 votes for majority 5 votes needed to pass* 60 votes for supermajority Total Republicans 5 Total Democrats 9 Vacancies 7 Total Republicans 5 Total Democrats/Independents 9 Vacancies 0 *With seven vacancies and if all sitting members vote Sources: House and Senate Clerks Daniel Stublen Slide last updated on: October, 08
3 How big of a swing? Control of the House will depend on whether Democrats can win most Toss Up races Cook Political Report ratings ALL 08 HOUSE RACES Solid to Lean R (96) Toss Ups (0) Lean to Solid D (09) 8 majority line Solid Republican Likely Republican Lean Republican Toss Up Lean Democrat Likely Democrat Solid Democrat 8 Source: Cook Political Report. Daniel Stublen Slide last updated on: October, 08
4 House Republicans are defending 98 competitive seats to only competitive Democratic seats ( Dem, 9 GOP) Cook Political Report ratings COMPETITIVE 08 HOUSE RACES Democrat-held seat Republican-held seat *Asterisks denote incumbents not seeking reelection, seeking other office, or lost their primary election (8 Dem, GOP) AZ- O Halleran CA-7 Bera CA-6 Costa FL-7 Murphy MN-7 Peterson NH- Shea-Porter* NJ-5 Gottheimer PA-8 Cartwright PA-7 Rothfus/Lamb NJ- LoBiondo* PA-5 VACANT-Meehan PA-6 Costello* ( Dem, GOP) NV- Rosen* NV- Kihuen* AZ- McSally* CA-9 Issa* CO-6 Coffman IA- Blum IL-6 Roskam FL-7 Ros-Lehtinen* KS- Yoder MI- Trott* MN- Lewis MN- Paulsen NJ- Frelinghuysen* PA-7 VACANT-Dent VA-0 Comstock MN- Walz* CA-0 Denham CA-5 Knight CA-9 Royce* CA-5 Walters CA-8 Rohrabacher FL-5 Ross* FL-6 Curbelo IA- Young IL- Hultgren KS- Jenkins* KY-6 Barr ME- Poliquin MI-8 Bishop NC-9 Pittenger* NC- Budd NJ- MacArthur NJ-7 Lance NM- Pearce* NY-9 Faso NY- Tenney OH- Chabot OH- Balderson PA- Fitzpatrick TX-7 Culberson TX- Sessions UT- Love VA- Taylor VA-7 Brat WA-8 Reichert* ( Dem, 6 GOP) MN-8 Nolan* AK-AL Young AR- Hill CA-50 Hunter FL-6 DeSantis* FL-6 Buchanan GA-6 Handel GA-7 Woodall IL- Bost IL- Davis MO- Wagner MT-AL Gianforte NC- Holding NE- Bacon NY- Donovan NY- Katko NY-7 Collins PA-0 Perry PA-6 Kelly SC- Sanford* TX- Olson TX- Hurd VA-5 Garrett* WA- Beutler WA-5 McMorris Rodgers WI- Ryan* WV- Jenkins* ( Dem, 6 GOP) PA- OPEN (Lamb) AZ-6 Schweikert AZ-8 Lesko CA- McClintock CA- Valadao CO- Tipton FL-8 Mast FL-5 Diaz-Balart IA-0 King IN- Walorski MI- Bergman MI- Amash MI-6 Upton MI-7 Walberg NC-8 Hudson NY- Zeldin NY- King NY- Stefanik NY- Reed OH-0 Turner OH- Joyce OK-05 Russell TX- Poe* TX- Smith* TX- Marchant TX- Carter WI-6 Grothman Likely Democrat Lean Democrat Toss Up Lean Republican Likely Republican Source: Cook Political Report. Slide last updated on: October, 08
5 6 Senate seats up for election in 08 are held by Democrats and Independents out of a total of 5 States with U.S. Senate seats up for election Democratic-held seat Republican held seat Independent held seat WA MT ND ME OR MN CA NV ID AZ UT WY CO NM SD NE KS OK IA MO AR WI IL MI OH IN KY TN NY PA WV VA NC SC VT MA RI CT NJ DE MS AL GA MD TX LA DC AK FL HI Sources: Charlie Cook, Will History Hold in 08 Midterms? The Cook Political Report, January 9, 07, National Journal Research, 07. Slide last updated on September, 08
6 Control of the Senate will depend on the eight Toss Up seats Cook Political Report ratings ALL 08 SENATE RACES Democrat held seat Republican held seat *Asterisks denote incumbents not seeking reelection 8 Solid Democrat Likely Democrat Lean Democrat Toss Up Lean Republican Likely Republican Solid Republican Feinstein (CA) Murphy (CT) Carper (DE) Hirono (HI) Warren (MA) Cardin (MD) King (ME)(I) Klobuchar (MN) Heinrich (NM) Gillibrand (NY) Whitehouse (RI) Kaine (VA) Sanders (VT)(I) Cantwell (WA) Source: The Cook Political Report, 08. Stabenow (MI) Brown (OH) Casey (PA) Baldwin (WI) Smith (MN) Menendez (NJ) Manchin (WV) Nelson (FL) Donnelly (IN) McCaskill (MO) Tester (MT) Flake (AZ)* Heller (NV) Corker (TN)* Cruz (TX) Heitkamp (ND) Hyde-Smith (MS) Wicker (MS) Fischer (NE) Hatch (UT)* Barrasso (WY) Slide last updated on October 9, 08
7 Breakdown of all current governors Governors, by party AS OF SEPTEMBER 8, 08 Republican Democrat Independent 6 Sources: Cook Political Report, 07. Slide last updated on: June 9, 08
8 In 08, Republicans must defend governorships without an incumbent, as opposed to only for Democrats 08 gubernatorial races by incumbent and status Dem. incumbent (5) Dem. open* () Incumbent open* () GOP incumbent () GOP open* () No election () WA CA OR NV ID UT MT WY CO ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI IL MI OH IN KY WV VT NY PA VA ME NH MA RI CT NJ AZ NM OK AR TN SC NC DE MD MS AL GA AK TX LA HI FL * Open seats are governorships where incumbent governors are term-limited, they have announced that they are not running for re-election, lost their primary (Colyer), or dropped out of the race (Walker) Sources: Cook Political Report, 08. Slide last updated on: October, 08
9 Governorships currently held by Republicans are considered Toss Ups or worse Cook Political Report 08 governor rankings 9 Solid Democrat Likely Democrat Lean Democrat Toss Up Lean Republican Likely Republican Solid Republican CA Brown* HI Ige NY Cuomo MN Dayton* PA Wolf IL Rauner CO Hickenlooper* RI Raimondo MI Snyder* NM Martinez* *Retiring or term-limited **Jeff Colyer lost the Kansas gubernatorial primary to Kris Kobach ***Bill Walker has dropped out of the Alaska gubernatorial race Source: Cook Political Report. CT Malloy* OR Brown FL Scott* GA Deal* IA Reynolds KS Colyer** ME LePage* NV Sandoval* OH Kasich* SD Daugaard* WI Walker AK Walker (I)*** OK Fallin* 5 AZ Ducey MD Hogan NH Sununu SC McMaster TN Haslam* 8 AL Ivey AR Hutchinson ID Otter* MA Baker NE Ricketts TX Abbott WY Mead* VT Scott Slide last updated on: October, 08
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Republicans only need 50 seats to control the Senate since Vice President Mike Pence would be the 51st vote in event of a tie.
By Kathryn Hazeem Lehman and Jodi A. Richardson Holland & Knight's Public Policy & Regulation Group has laid out the races to watch for the Senate, House and governors sorted in order of poll closing time.
Congressional Leadership in the 116th Congress
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RIDE Program Overview
RIDE Program Overview Region IV Annual Conference May 2017 Table of Contents 1 2 3 Program Overview and the E-Verify Process Fact and Fiction Filling a Critical Gap and a Glance at Identity Fraud? 4 RIDE