INTERNATIONAL POLITICS OF CIVIL WARS PLSC 597D Spring 2010

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1 INTERNATIONAL POLITICS OF CIVIL WARS PLSC 597D Spring 2010 Instructor: Douglas Lemke Class: Wednesdays 205 Pond Lab 1:25 to 4:25 p.m. 236 Pond Lab We will concern ourselves in this course with the rapidly expanding literature on the causes, characteristics, consequences, and resolution of intra-state conflict. Traditionally considered an element of comparative politics research, civil war analysis is now the hottest topic of investigation for quantitatively-oriented IR scholars. The leverage to be gained from merging comparative and IR research traditions is a prominent theme we will develop during this course. The course will offer a broad survey of all of this literature, most of it from the past decade. Students are expected to attend every seminar meeting, having read and thought about the material assigned each week. Students failing to participate will find their grades suffering, as a sizeable proportion of the course grade will be based on participation and attendance. In addition to the seminars, students will write a term paper due at the end of the semester. This will be a substantial piece of original scholarship, involving an original argument or extension of an existing argument, and original empirical content. The breakdown of the overall grade will be thirty percent participation and attendance, and seventy percent for the term paper. More detail about the term paper will be distributed separately. One book is assigned. I have not ordered it at the University bookstore because I am sure you can find if far more cheaply on line. It is: Thomas Turner Congo Wars: Conflict, Myth & Reality. London: Zed Books (ISBN: ). In addition, a large number of articles and book chapters have been assigned. Almost all of them are available electronically (either through JSTOR or the university library s e-journal holdings). A few are not available electronically, although they can be dug out of the library stacks or borrowed from me for quick photocopying and return. Readings are listed chronologically, to help students recognize how the literature within a specific area has evolved. Weekly Seminars: January 13 th : Welcome and Introductions Read: this syllabus. January 20 th : Congo s Civil War? Thomas Turner Congo Wars: Conflict, Myth and Reality. London: Zed Books. 1

2 January 27 th : What is a Civil War? Harry Eckstein On the Etiology of Internal Wars. History and Theory 4(2): Melvin Small and J. David Singer Identifying Civil Wars: The Inclusion and Exclusion Problem. Chapter 12 in their Resort to Arms. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage Publications. Stathis Kalyvas New and Old Civil Wars: A Valid Distinction? World Politics 54(1): Errol A. Henderson and J. David Singer New Wars and Rumors of New Wars. International Interactions 28: Nils Petter Gleditsch, et al Armed Conflict : A New Dataset. Journal of Peace Research 39(5): Nicholas Sambanis What Is Civil War?: Conceptual and Empirical Complexities of an Operational Definition. Journal of Conflict Resolution 48(6): February 3 rd : Micro-foundations of Civil Wars Mark I. Lichbach What Makes Rational Peasants Revolutionary? World Politics 46(3): Paul Collier Rebellion as a Quasi-Criminal Activity. Journal of Conflict Resolution 44(6): Scott Gates Recruitment and Allegiance. Journal of Conflict Resolution 46(1): Jeremy Weinstein Resources and the Information Problem in Rebel Recruitment. Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(4): Stathis Kalyvas and Matthew Adam Kocher How Free Is Free Riding in Civil Wars? World Politics 59(2): Macartan Humphreys and Jeremy Weinstein Who Fights?: The Determinants of Participation in Civil War. American Journal of Political Science 52(2): February 10 th : Causes of Civil Wars Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler On Economic Causes of Civil War. Oxford Economic Papers 50(4): Havard Hegre, et al Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War. American Political Science Review 95(1): James D. Fearon and David D. Laitin Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War. American Political Science Review 97(1): Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler Greed and Grievance in Civil War. Oxford Economic Papers 56(4): Havard Hegre and Nicholas Sambanis Sensitivity Analysis of Empirical Results on Civil War Onset. Journal of Conflict Resolution 50(4): James Raymond Vreeland The Effect of Political Regime on Civil War: Unpacking Anocracy. Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(3): February 17 th : Ethnicity and Civil Wars Barry Posen The Security Dilemma and Ethnic Conflict. Survival 35(1): James Fearon and David Laitin Explaining Interethnic Cooperation. American Political Science Review 90(4): Chaim Kaufmann Possible and Impossible Solutions to Ethnic Civil Wars. International Security 20(4): Tanja Ellingsen Colorful Community or Ethnic Witches Brew?: Multiethnicity and Domestic Conflict During and After the Cold War. Journal of Conflict Resolution 44(2): Nicholas Sambanis Do Ethnic and Nonethnic Civil Wars Have the Same Causes? Journal of Conflict Resolution 45(3): Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Beyond Fractionalization: Mapping Ethnicity onto Nationalist Insurgencies. American Political Science Review 101(1):

3 James D. Fearon, Kimuli Kasara, and David Laitin Ethnic Minority Rule and Civil War Onset. American Political Science Review 101(1): (Note: the last two here are really one article, since they are both brief and the second is purely a response to the first.) February 24 th : Political Geography, Natural Resources, and Civil Wars Philippe Le Billon The Political Ecology of War: Natural Resources and Armed Conflicts. Political Geography 20(5): Indra de Soysa Paradise is a Bazaar?: Greed, Creed, and Governance in Civil War. Journal of Peace Research 39(4): Halvard Buhaug and Scott Gates The Geography of Civil War. Journal of Peace Research 39(4): Michael Ross How Do Natural Resources Influence Civil War?: Evidence from Thirteen Cases. International Organization 58(1): Macartan Humphreys Natural Resources, Conflict, and Conflict Resolution. Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(4): Halvard Buhaug and Paivi Lujala Accounting for Scale: Measuring Geography in Quantitative Studies of Civil War. Political Geography 24(4): (Note: Students particularly interested in geographic influences on civil wars should contact me for a short list of studies that investigate the influence of natural disasters and climate change on civil wars.) March 3 rd : Civil War Duration Dylan Balch-Lindsay and Andrew Enterline Killing Time: The World Politics of Civil War Duration. International Studies Quarterly 44(4): Havard Hegre The Duration and Termination of Civil War. Journal of Peace Research 41(3): Paul Collier, Anke Hoeffler,and Mans Soderbom On the Duration of Civil War. Journal of Peace Research 41(3): Karl DeRouen and David Sobek The Dynamics of Civil War Duration and Outcome. Journal of Peace Research 41(3): James D. Fearon Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer Than Others? Journal of Peace Research 41(3): David E. Cunningham Veto Players and Civil War Duration. American Journal of Political Science 50(4): March 10 th : Spring Break No class meeting. Read whatever you like. Maybe a novel about civil wars? March 17 th : Civil War Severity Stathis Kalyvas Wanton and Senseless?: The Logic of Massacres in Algeria. Rationality and Society 11(3): Macartan Humphreys and Jeremy M. Weinstein Handling and Mishandling Civilians in Civil War. American Political Science Review 100(3): Bethany Lacina Explaining the Severity of Civil Wars. Journal of Conflict Resolution 50(2): Lindsay Heger and Idean Salehyan Ruthless Rulers: Coalition Size and the Severity of Civil Conflict. International Studies Quarterly 51(2): Jason Lyall Does Indiscriminate Violence Incite Insurgent Attacks? Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(3): Francisco Herreros and Henar Criado Pre-emptive or Arbitrary: Two Forms of Lethal Violence in a Civil War. Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(3):

4 March 24 th : Civil War and Genocide Barbara Harff and Ted Robert Gurr Toward Empirical Theory of Genocides and Politicides. International Studies Quarterly 32(3): Rudolph Rummel Democracy, Power, Genocide and Mass Murder. Journal of Conflict Resolution 39(1):3-26. Matthew Krain State Sponsored Mass Murder: The Onset and Severity of Genocides and Politicides. Journal of Conflict Resolution 41(3): Barbara Harff No Lessons Learned from the Holocaust? Assessing Risks of Genocide & Political Mass Murder since American Political Science Review 91(1): Benjamin Valentino, Paul Huth, and Dylan Balch-Lindsay Draining the Sea: Mass Killing and Guerrilla Warfare. International Organization 58(Spring): Michael Colaresi and Sabine Carey To Kill or to Protect: Security Forces, Domestic Institutions, and Genocide. Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(1): March 31 st : Interventions in Civil Wars Patrick Regan Conditions for Successful Third Party Interventions. Journal of Conflict Resolution 40(2): Patrick Regan Choosing to Intervene: Outside Interventions in Internal Conflicts as a Policy Choice. Journal of Politics 60(3): Patrick Regan Third-Party Interventions and the Duration of Intrastate Conflicts. Journal of Conflict Resolution 46(1): Douglas Lemke and Patrick Regan Interventions as Influence. In P. Diehl, ed. The Scourge of War. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. Patrick Regan and Aysegul Aydin Diplomacy and Other Forms of Intervention in Civil Wars. Journal of Conflict Resolution 50(5): Dylan Balch-Lindsay, Andrew Enterline, and Kyle A. Joyce Third-Party Intervention and the Civil War Process. Journal of Peace Research 45(3): April 7 th : Preventing Civil War Recurrence Roy Licklider The Consequences of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars. American Political Science Review 89(3): Barbara Walter The Critical Barrier to Civil War Settlement. International Organization 51(Summer): Michael Doyle and Nicholas Sambanis International Peacebuilding: A Theoretical and Quantitative Analysis. American Political Science Review 94(4): Caroline Hartzell and Matthew Hoddie Institutionalizing Peace: Power Sharing and Post-Civil War Conflict Management. American Journal of Political Science 47(2): Virginia Page Fortna Does Peacekeeping Keep Peace?: International Intervention and the Duration of Peace After Civil War. International Studies Quarterly 48(2): Katherine Glassmyer and Nicholas Sambanis Rebel-Military Integration and Civil War Termination. Journal of Peace Research 45(3): April 14 th : Civil War and State Failure Gary King and Langche Zeng Improving Forecasts of State Failure. World Politics 53(July): Hazem Ghobarah, Paul Huth, and Bruce Russett Civil Wars Kill and Maim People Long After the Shooting Stops. American Political Science Review 97(2): Jeffrey Herbst Let Them Fail: State Failure in Theory and Practice. In Robert Rotberg, ed. When States Fail. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Zaryab Iqbal Health and Human Security: The Public Health Impact of Violent Conflict. International 4

5 Studies Quarterly 50: Crawford Young The Heart of the African Conflict Zone: Democratization, Ethnicity, Civil Conflict, and the Great Lakes Crisis. Annual Review of Political Science 9: Ken Menkhaus. 2006/2007. Governance Without Government in Somalia: Spoilers, State Building, and the Politics of Coping. International Security 31(3): April 21 st : Secession and Autonomy as Alternatives to Civil War Pierre Englebert and Rebecca Hummel Let s Stick Together: Understanding Africa s Secessionist Deficit. African Affairs 104(416): Dawn Brancati Decentralization: Fueling the Fire or Dampening the Flames of Ethnic Conflict and Secessionism? International Organization 60(3): Halvard Buhaug Relative Capability and Rebel Objectives in Civil War. Journal of Peace Research 43(6): Barbara Walter Information, Uncertainty, and the Decision to Secede. International Organization 60(1): Barbara Walter Building Reputation: Why Governments Fight Some Separatists but Not Others. American Journal of Political Science 50(2): Erin Jenne, Stephen Saideman, and Will Lowe Separatism as a Bargaining Posture. Journal of Peace Research 44(5): April 28 th : The International Relations of Civil Wars Idean Salehyan and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch Refugees and the Spread of Civil War. International Organization 60(2): Idean Salehyan Transnational Rebels: Neighboring States as Sanctuary for Rebel Groups. World Politics 59(2): Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, Idean Salehyan, and Kenneth Schultz Fighting at Home, Fighting Abroad: How Civil Wars Lead to International Disputes. Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(4): Idean Salehyan No Shelter Here: Rebel Sanctuaries and International Conflict. Journal of Politics 70(1): David Cunningham, Kristian Gleditsch, and Idean Salehyan It Takes Two: A Dyadic Analysis of Civil War Duration and Outcome. Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4): David Cunningham and Douglas Lemke Combining Civil and Interstate Wars. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Toronto, Canada. 5