National Tracking Poll

Transcription

1 National Tracking Poll Project: N Size: 1988 Registered Voters Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report April 06-09, 2017 P1 Question Response Frequency Percentage Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction % Wrong Track % Q172 P3 POL1_1 POL1_2 POL1_3 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve % Somewhat Approve % Somewhat Disapprove % Strongly Disapprove % Don t Know / No Opinion 94 5% Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues % Security Issues % Health Care Issues % Senior s Issues % Women s Issues 97 5% Education Issues 141 7% Energy Issues 100 5% Other 67 3% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 1

2 POL1_4 Question Response Frequency Percentage Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % POL1_5 POL1_6 POL1_7 POL1_8 POL2 POL3 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security Democrats in Congress % Republicans in Congress % Don t Know / No Opinion % If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate % Republican candidate % Don t Know / No Opinion % How much have you seen, read or heard recently about the suspected use of chemical weapons in northern Syria? A lot % Some % Not much % Nothing at all 77 4% Page 2

3 POL4_1 Question Response Frequency Percentage As you may know, there have been reports about the use of chemical weapons in the ongoing civil war in Syria. The most recent suspected use of chemical weapons is reported to have left dozens dead. Do you think each of the following should be doing more, less or about the same when it comes to ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? The United States Much more % Somewhat more % Somewhat less % Much less 160 8% About the same 183 9% Don t Know / No Opinion % POL4_2 POL4_3 As you may know, there have been reports about the use of chemical weapons in the ongoing civil war in Syria. The most recent suspected use of chemical weapons is reported to have left dozens dead. Do you think each of the following should be doing more, less or about the same when it comes to ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? The United Nations Much more % Somewhat more % Somewhat less 99 5% Much less 93 5% About the same 91 5% Don t Know / No Opinion % As you may know, there have been reports about the use of chemical weapons in the ongoing civil war in Syria. The most recent suspected use of chemical weapons is reported to have left dozens dead. Do you think each of the following should be doing more, less or about the same when it comes to ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Russia Much more % Somewhat more % Somewhat less 152 8% Much less % About the same 106 5% Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 3

4 POL4_4 Question Response Frequency Percentage As you may know, there have been reports about the use of chemical weapons in the ongoing civil war in Syria. The most recent suspected use of chemical weapons is reported to have left dozens dead. Do you think each of the following should be doing more, less or about the same when it comes to ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Turkey Much more % Somewhat more % Somewhat less 147 7% Much less 121 6% About the same 117 6% Don t Know / No Opinion % POL4_5 POL5_1 POL5_2 As you may know, there have been reports about the use of chemical weapons in the ongoing civil war in Syria. The most recent suspected use of chemical weapons is reported to have left dozens dead. Do you think each of the following should be doing more, less or about the same when it comes to ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Iran Much more % Somewhat more % Somewhat less 171 9% Much less % About the same 119 6% Don t Know / No Opinion % Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Continue diplomatic talks with involved countries that would allow current President Bashar al-assad to stay in power Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Accept the civil war and allow it to continue as is Strongly support 182 9% Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 4

5 POL5_3 Question Response Frequency Percentage Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Impose tighter economic sanctions on the Syrian government and government officials Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose 185 9% Strongly oppose 111 6% Don t Know / No Opinion % POL5_4 POL5_5 POL5_6 POL5_7 Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Sending arms and supplies to anti-government groups in Syria Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Conduct cyber-attacks against Syrian military targets Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Conduct airstrikes against targets in Syria Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Establish a no- y zone over parts of Syria, including airstrikes against Syrian air defense systems Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose 173 9% Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 5

6 POL5_8 Question Response Frequency Percentage Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Sending in U.S. combat ground troops to combat Islamic extremists Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % POL5_9 POL6_1 POL6_2 POL6_3 Please indicate if you would support or oppose the United States taking each of the following actions in regards to Syria. Sending in U.S. combat ground troops to remove current President Bashar al-assad from power Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % How much con dence do you have in each of the following to take the necessary steps towards ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? The United Nations A lot % Some % Not much % None at all % Don t Know / No Opinion % How much con dence do you have in each of the following to take the necessary steps towards ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? President Trump A lot % Some % Not much % None at all % Don t Know / No Opinion 179 9% How much con dence do you have in each of the following to take the necessary steps towards ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Republicans in Congress A lot % Some % Not much % None at all % Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 6

7 POL6_4 Question Response Frequency Percentage How much con dence do you have in each of the following to take the necessary steps towards ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Democrats in Congress A lot % Some % Not much % None at all % Don t Know / No Opinion % POL6_5 POL6_6 POL6_7 POL7 POL8 How much con dence do you have in each of the following to take the necessary steps towards ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Russia A lot 172 9% Some % Not much % None at all % Don t Know / No Opinion % How much con dence do you have in each of the following to take the necessary steps towards ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Iran A lot 139 7% Some % Not much % None at all % Don t Know / No Opinion % How much con dence do you have in each of the following to take the necessary steps towards ending the ongoing civil war in Syria? Turkey A lot 158 8% Some % Not much % None at all % Don t Know / No Opinion % Who is more to blame for the current state of the ongoing civil war in Syria? The Obama Administration % The Trump Administration % Dont Know/ No Opinion % How much have you seen, read or heard recently about the U.S launching airstrikes on a Syrian airbase in response to the alleged use of chemical weapons by the country s president? A lot % Some % Nothing at all 105 5% Not much % Page 7

8 POL8a Question Response Frequency Percentage Do you support or oppose the U.S launching airstrikes on a Syrian airbase in response to deadly chemical weapons attacks against Syrian citizens, allegedly ordered by the country s President Bashar al-assad? Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % POL9 POL10 POL11 How much have you seen, read or heard recently about procedural issues in the U.S. Senate when it comes to voting on Judge Neil Gorsuch nomination to the Supreme Court? A lot % Some % Not much % Nothing at all % As you may know, a libuster is a way of blocking a vote in the Senate or slowing other operating procedures. Who do you agree with more, even if neither are exactly right? Senate Democrats who used the filibuster to try and % block the confirmation vote on Judge Neil Gorsuch Senate Republicans who used their votes to change % some Senate procedures in order to prevent a filibuster of the confirmation vote on Judge Neil Gorsuch Don t Know / No Opinion % As you may know, a libuster is a way of blocking a vote in the Senate. Some say the libuster should be eliminated from the U.S. Senate altogether because it is an outdated rule that contributes to gridlock and dysfunction. Today, Senators abuse the libuster to block bills they do not agree with from being voted on at all. Others say the libuster should not be eliminated from the U.S. Senate because it a way to ensure minority opinions are heard. Today, the libuster protects the rights of Senators to debate and amend legislation and is a longstanding procedural tool established early in this countrys founding.knowing this, should the libuster be? Eliminated entirely % Modified to make it easier to bypass % Modified to make it harder to bypass % Left as is % Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 8

9 POL12 Question Response Frequency Percentage How much have you seen, read or heard recently about allegations of wrongdoing by a former National Security Adviser under President Obama? A lot % Some % Not much % Nothing at all % POL13 POL14 POL15 POL16_1 Recent reports say Susan Rice, a former national security advisor to President Obama, made requests to the intelligence community to unmask the names of certain members of President Trumps transition team before President Obama left office. Do you think it is Appropriate for this request to have been made, as it % could have impacted an ongoing investigation Not appropriate, as the investigation could have been % motivated by reasons outside of an official investigation Don t Know / No Opinion % And do you think there should be a congressional investigation into whether Susan Rice made requests to the intelligence community to unmask the names of several members of President Trumps transition team for political purposes? Yes % No % Don t Know / No Opinion % Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: The Obama Administration went too far in monitoring intelligence information that may have included members of President Trumps transition team. Strongly agree % Somewhat agree % Somewhat disagree % Strongly disagree % Dont Know / Know Opinion % Generally, how concerned are you, if at all, with the intelligence communitys ability to Collect information on U.S. citizens Very concerned % Somewhat concerned % Not too concerned % Not at all concerned 81 4% Don t Know / No Opinion 158 8% Page 9

10 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL16_2 Generally, how concerned are you, if at all, with the intelligence communitys ability to Leak information to media outlets Very concerned % Somewhat concerned % Not too concerned % Not at all concerned 75 4% Don t Know / No Opinion 167 8% POL16_3 POL17 POL18 POL19 Generally, how concerned are you, if at all, with the intelligence communitys ability to Become too politicized Very concerned % Somewhat concerned % Not too concerned % Not at all concerned 54 3% Don t Know / No Opinion % Do you approve or disapprove of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, sometimes referred to as Obamacare? Strongly approve % Somewhat approve % Somewhat disapprove % Strongly disapprove % Don t Know / No Opinion 155 8% As you may know, Republicans in Congress recently failed to pass the American Health Care Act, a bill that would have repealed and replaced the 2010 Affordable Care Act, sometimes referred to as Obamacare. Knowing this, should Republicans continue with efforts to repeal and replace the 2010 Affordable Care Act, or move on to other issues? Continue with efforts to repeal and replace the % Affordable Care Act Move on to other issues % Don t Know / No Opinion % As you may know, Republicans in Congress recently failed to pass the American Health Care Act, a bill that would have repealed and replaced the 2010 Affordable Care Act, sometimes referred to as Obamacare. Regarding the American Health Care Act, do you think Republicans is Congress should Make changes to the American Health Care Act and try % to pass it again Start over with an entirely new health care bill % Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 10

11 POL20 Question Response Frequency Percentage Do you support or oppose a single payer health care system, where all Americans would get their health insurance from one government plan? Strongly support % Somewhat support % Somewhat oppose % Strongly oppose % Don t Know / No Opinion % POL21 POL22 POL23 As you may know, House Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes has stepped aside from the congressional investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election. He is currently under investigation by the House Committee on Ethics for improperly handling classi ed information. Knowing this, do you support or oppose Nunes stepping aside from the congressional investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election? Strongly Support % Somewhat Support % Somewhat Oppose % Strongly Oppose 105 5% Don t Know / No Opinion % As you may know, Congress is currently investigating allegations of Russian meddling in the 2016 election. Which of the following statements do you agree with more, even if none are exactly right? A congressional investigation is not enough. Its time % other government and law enforcement agencies begin their own investigations. A congressional investigation is enough. No other % government or law enforcement agencies should begin their own investigations. Its time Congress stop investigating Russian activities in % the 2016 election and move on to other things. Don t Know / No Opinion % As you may know, Chief White House strategist Steve Bannon was recently removed from the National Security Council. Do you support or oppose Steve Bannon being removed from the National Security Council? Strongly support % Somewhat support % Strongly oppose 80 4% Somewhat oppose 73 4% Don t Know / No Opinion % Page 11

12 Question Response Frequency Percentage ID3_2NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mitch McConnell Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % ID3_3NET ID3_7NET ID3_6NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Paul Ryan Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Charles Schumer Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % Page 12

13 Question Response Frequency Percentage indpresapp_10net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mike Pence Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_11net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Donald Trump Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of 115 6% indpresapp_12net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Republicans in Congress Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_13net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Democrats in Congress Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % Page 13

14 Question Response Frequency Percentage indpresapp_14net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Melania Trump Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_15net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Ivanka Trump Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_16net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Sean Spicer Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_17net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Jared Kushner Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % Page 14

15 Question Response Frequency Percentage indpresapp_18net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Steve Bannon Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_19net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Hope Hicks Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_20net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Reince Priebus Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_21net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Gary Cohn Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % Page 15

16 Question Response Frequency Percentage indpresapp_22net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Kellyanne Conway Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % indpresapp_23net Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Devin Nunes Total Favorable % Total Unfavorable % Never Heard Of % Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated for registered voters with demographic post-stratification weights applied. Page 16

17 National Tracking Poll #170404, April, 2017 Respondent Demographics Summary Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemall Registered Voters % xdemgender Gender: Male % Gender: Female % age5 Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) % PID: Ind (no lean) % PID: Rep (no lean) % xpidgender PID/Gender: Dem Men % PID/Gender: Dem Women % PID/Gender: Ind Men % PID/Gender: Ind Women % PID/Gender: Rep Men % PID/Gender: Rep Women % xdemtea Tea Party: Supporter % Tea Party: Not Supporter % N 1979 xdemideo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) % Ideo: Moderate (4) % Ideo: Conservative (5-7) % N 1824 xeduc3 Educ: < College % Educ: Bachelors degree % Educ: Post-grad % xdeminc3 Income: Under 50k % Income: 50k-100k % Income: 100k % Continued on next page Page 17

18 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemwhite Ethnicity: White % xdemhispbin Ethnicity: Hispanic 178 9% demblackbin Ethnicity: Afr. Am % demraceother Ethnicity: Other 113 6% xrelnet Relig: Protestant % Relig: Roman Catholic % Relig: Ath./Agn./None % Relig: Something Else % N 1779 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 41 2% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical % Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics % N 1217 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian % Relig: All Non-Christian % N 1986 xdemusr Community: Urban % Community: Suburban % Community: Rural % xdememploy Employ: Private Sector % Employ: Government 160 8% Employ: Self-Employed 177 9% Employ: Homemaker 148 7% Employ: Student 86 4% Employ: Retired % Employ: Unemployed 153 8% Employ: Other 131 7% xdemjobstatus Job Type: White-collar % Job Type: Blue-collar % Job Type: Don t Know % xdemmilhh1 Military HH: Yes % Military HH: No % Continued on next page Page 18

19 National Tracking Poll #170404, April, 2017 Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction % RD/WT: Wrong Track % Q172 Strongly Approve % Somewhat Approve % Somewhat Disapprove % Strongly Disapprove % Don t Know / No Opinion 94 5% xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy % #1 Issue: Security % #1 Issue: Health Care % #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security % #1 Issue: Women s Issues 97 5% #1 Issue: Education 141 7% #1 Issue: Energy 100 5% #1 Issue: Other 67 3% xsubvote16o 2016 Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton % 2016 Vote: Republican Donald Trump % 2016 Vote: Someone else 186 9% N 1685 xsubvote12o 2012 Vote: Barack Obama % 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney % 2012 Vote: Other 102 5% 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote % N 1985 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast % 4-Region: Midwest % 4-Region: South % 4-Region: West % deminsured Covered by health insurance % Not covered by health insurance % Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-stratification weights applied. Page 19

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