THE AP-GfK POLL September, 2016
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- June Cain
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1 Public Affairs & Corporate Communications THE AP-GfK POLL September, 2016 Conducted by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications A survey of the American general population (ages 18+) Interview dates: September 15 September 19, 2016 Number of interviews, adults: 1,694 Margin of error for the total sample: +/- 2.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. Please refer to the exact sample number at the bottom of each table. *Beginning in October, 2013, AP-GfK polls were conducted online using GfK s nationally representative KnowledgePanel. All prior trend conducted by telephone. For more information, see 1
2 2/11-15/16 12/3-7/15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 10/15-20/14 10/15-20/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 7/24-28/14 CUR1. Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the Right direction Wrong direction Refused/Not answered * * * 1 * 1 * 1 1 * * * 1 * * 1 N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 N=1,044 2
3 2/11-15/16 12/3-7/15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 CUR2/ CUR3/ CUR3A/3AA CUR3B. Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president. [IF APPROVE ] Would you say you approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president strongly or do you approve just somewhat? [IF DISAPPROVE ] Would you say you disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president strongly or do you disapprove just somewhat? [IF NEITHER, OR REFUSED/NOT ANSWERED] If you had to choose, do you lean more toward approving or disapproving of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? [NOTE: BEGINNING IN DECEMBER, 2013, RESPONDENTS WHO DECLINE TO LEAN ARE SHOWN THIS QUESTION AGAIN INCLUDING A DO NOT LEAN EITHER WAY RESPONSE OPTION] Total approve Strongly approve Somewhat approve Lean approve Neither don t lean 1 * * * * 1 * * 1 1 Total disapprove Lean disapprove Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Refused/Not Answered * * * * * * * * 1 * * - * - - * * N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 N=1,044 N=1,354 3
4 2/11-15/16 12/3-7/15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 AA4./ AA4A/ AA4B/ AA5/ AA5A. Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job. [IF APPROVE ] Would you say you approve of the way Congress is handling its job strongly or do you approve just somewhat? [IF DISAPPROVE ] Would you say you disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job strongly or do you disapprove just somewhat? [IF NEITHER OR REFUSED/NOT ANSWERED] If you had to choose, do you lean more toward approving or disapproving of the way Congress is handling its job? [NOTE: BEGINNING IN DECEMBER, 2013, RESPONDENTS WHO DECLINE TO LEAN ARE SHOWN THIS QUESTION AGAIN INCLUDING A DO NOT LEAN EITHER WAY RESPONSE OPTION] Total approve Strongly approve * * 2 2 Somewhat approve Lean approve Neither don t lean 1 * * * * - 1 * * 1 1 Total disapprove Lean disapprove Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Refused/Not Answered * * * 1 * 1 1 * 1 * * - * * * * * N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 N=1,044 N=1,354 4
5 * 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 S1. Is [INSERT STATE] your primary residence? Primary residence is determined by where you are registered to vote or eligible to register to vote. [IF NO/REFUSED] Which state is your primary residence? Are you registered to vote in [STATE] or not?? Yes No Not sure * - - * Refused/Not answered * (Excludes those living in ND) N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,008 N=1,075 N=1,030 N=1,006 N=1,023 N=1,002 N=1,077 N=1,607 N=1,384 N=967 N=1,840 N=1,536 N=955 N=1,042 N=1,352 *July 2016 and earlier polls asked Are you registered to vote at your address, or not? S120. How often do you vote in elections? Always/nearly always Always Nearly always About half the time Seldom/Never Seldom Never 14 3 * Refused/Not answered * - - N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 5
6 S150. On November 8th, the presidential election will be held. How likely are you to vote in this presidential election? Will vote Definitely will vote Probably will vote Uncertain about whether I will vote or not Will not vote Probably will not vote Definitely will not vote Refused/Not answered * * - N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 6
7 HR_1. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote? [LIST RANDOMIZED] Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans Gary Johnson and Bill Weld, the Libertarians Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka, the Green Party candidates Another candidate Undecided Would not vote in this race Refused/Not answered 1 1 * * Base: all respondents N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=837 *Note: Vice Presidential candidates not shown in July 2016 poll 7
8 HR_2. [IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED] As of today, do you lean more toward [SAME ROTATION AS HR_1: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat; Donald Trump, the Republican], or another candidate? Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans Gary Johnson and Bill Weld, the Libertarians Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka, the Green Party candidates Another candidate Refused/Not answered Base: Undecided/refused N=275 N=240 N=169 N=172 *Note: Vice Presidential candidates not shown in July 2016 poll 8
9 HR_1/HR_2. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED] As of today, do you lean more toward [SAME ROTATION AS HR_1: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat; Donald Trump, the Republican], or another candidate? Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans Gary Johnson and Bill Weld, the Libertarians Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka, the Green Party candidates Another candidate Refused/Not answered Would not vote in this race Base: all respondents N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=837 *Note: Vice Presidential candidates not shown in July 2016 poll 9
10 HR4. Is your mind completely made up about which candidate you will support, or could you imagine supporting another candidate? Mind is completely made up Could change mind Refused/Not Answered 1 * * * Will vote Clinton, Trump, Stein, Johnson or Other in HR_1 N=1,308 N=1,187 N=1,074 N=623 HR_1b. If the 2016 presidential election were held today and these were the only candidates on the ballot, for whom would you vote? Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans Undecided Would not vote in this race Refused/Not Answered Stein, Johnson or Other in HR_1 or HR_2 N=238 N=214 N=160 10
11 HR2b. As of today, would you lean more toward [IN SAME ROTATION AS ABOVE: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Donald Trump, the Republican]? Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans Refused/Not Answered Undecided or refused in HR_1b N=73 N=69 N=51 HR_1/HR_2/HR_1b/HR_2b. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED] As of today, do you lean more toward [SAME ROTATION AS HR_1: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat; Donald Trump, the Republican], or another candidate? HR_1b. If the 2016 presidential election were held today and these were the only candidates on the ballot, for whom would you vote? HR2b. As of today, would you lean more toward [IN SAME ROTATION AS ABOVE: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Donald Trump, the Republican]? Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans Refused/Not answered Would not vote in this race Base: N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 11
12 HR5. Would you say that each of the following is a major reason, a minor reason, or not a reason at all in deciding which candidate you plan to support this year? My candidate has the best positions on the issues My candidate is the strongest leader My candidate is most qualified to be president Major reason Minor reason Not a reason at all Refused I oppose the other candidate Voting for my candidate sends a message to the political establishment Will vote or lean towards voting for Clinton, Trump, Stein, Johnson or Other in HR_1 or HR_2; N=
13 HR5. Would you say that each of the following is a major reason, a minor reason, or not a reason at all in deciding which candidate you plan to support this year? My candidate has the best positions on the issues Major reason Minor reason Not a reason Refused/Not answered Base: Will vote for Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/Other N=1,552 N=1,401 N=1,223 N=787 My candidate is the strongest leader Major reason Minor reason Not a reason Refused/Not answered Base: Will vote for Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/Other N=1,552 N=1,401 N=1,223 N=787 13
14 HR5. (Continued) Would you say that each of the following is a major reason, a minor reason, or not a reason at all in deciding which candidate you plan to support this year? My candidate is most qualified to be president Major reason Minor reason Not a reason Refused/Not answered Base: Will vote for Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/Other N=1,552 N=1,401 N=1,223 N=787 I oppose the other candidate Major reason Minor reason Not a reason Refused/Not answered Base: Will vote for Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/Other N=1,552 N=1,401 N=1,223 N=787 14
15 HR5. (Continued) Would you say that each of the following is a major reason, a minor reason, or not a reason at all in deciding which candidate you plan to support this year? Voting for my candidate sends a message to the political establishment Major reason Minor reason Not a reason Refused/Not answered Base: Will vote for Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/Other N=1,552 N=1,401 N=1,223 N=787 15
16 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 3/20-24/14 1/17-21/14 12/5-9/13 A5. Which party would you rather see win control of Congress? The Democratic Party The Republican Party Doesn t matter Refused/Not Answered * * * * * * * * Registered voters N=1,476 N=1,251 N=837 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 N=1,044 N=1,354 N=1,012 N=1,060 N=1,367 16
17 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 CURX1. How important are each of the following issues to you personally? [ITEMS RANDOMIZED] The economy Extremely/Very important Extremely important Very important Moderately important Slightly/Not at all important Slightly important Not at all important * * Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 Immigration Extremely/Very important Extremely important Very important Moderately important Slightly/Not at all important Slightly important Not at all important Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 17
18 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 12/4-8/14 (Continued) CURX1. How important are each of the following issues to you personally? [ITEMS RANDOMIZED] The U.S. role in world affairs Extremely/Very important Extremely important Very important Moderately important Slightly/Not at all important Slightly important Not at all important Refused/Not Answered N=862 N=755 N=620 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 The threat posed by the Islamic State group Extremely/Very important Extremely important Very important Moderately important Slightly/Not at all important Slightly important Not at all important Refused/Not Answered N=832 N=721 N=631 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 18
19 (Continued) CURX1. How important are each of the following issues to you personally? [ITEMS RANDOMIZED] The U.S. relationship with Russia Extremely/Very important Extremely important Very important Moderately important Slightly/Not at all important Slightly important Not at all important Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 19
20 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 12/4-8/14 9/25-29/14 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 CURY2/3/3a. Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling... [RESPONDENTS SHOWN EACH ITEM ON A SEPARATE SCREEN] [ITEMS RANDOMIZED] The economy Total approve Approve Lean towards approving Don t lean either way 1 1 * * 1 * * Total disapprove Lean towards disapproving Disapprove Refused/Not Answered 1 * * * * - N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 The U.S. role in world affairs Total approve Approve Lean towards approving Don t lean either way * 1 1 * 1 Total disapprove Lean towards disapproving Disapprove Refused/Not Answered * * * 1 N=862 N=755 N=620 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 20
21 2/11-15/ /15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 1/29-2/2/15 (Continued) CURY2/3/3a. Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling... [ITEMS RANDOMIZED The threat posed by the Islamic State group Total approve Approve Lean towards approving Don t lean either way 1 * * * Total disapprove Lean towards disapproving Disapprove Refused/Not Answered 1 * * * N=832 N=721 N=631 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,045 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 Immigration Total approve Approve Lean towards approving Don t lean either way 1 1 * * Total disapprove Lean towards disapproving Disapprove Refused/Not Answered 1 * * * - N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 21
22 (Continued) CURY2/3/3a. Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling... [ITEMS RANDOMIZED] The U.S. relationship with Russia Total approve Approve Lean towards approving Don t lean either way Total disapprove Lean towards disapproving Disapprove Refused/Not Answered 1 * 1 N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 22
23 FAV1. For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don t know enough about the person to have an opinion, you can say that too. (Summary table) Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Barack Obama Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Mike Pence Tim Kaine Refused 23
24 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 7/24-28/14 3/20-24/14 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 (Continued) FAV1. For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don t know enough about the person to have an opinion, you can say that too. Barack Obama Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 Hillary Clinton Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,044 N=1,012 24
25 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 (Continued) FAV1. For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don t know enough about the person to have an opinion, you can say that too. Donald Trump Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 Gary Johnson Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Refused/Not Answered N=862 N=755 N=620 N=1,009 25
26 (Continued) FAV1. For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don t know enough about the person to have an opinion, you can say that too. Jill Stein Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Refused/Not Answered N=862 N=755 N=620 N=1,009 Mike Pence Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Refused/Not Answered 1 * * N=832 N=721 N=631 26
27 (Continued) FAV1. For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don t know enough about the person to have an opinion, you can say that too. Tim Kaine Total favorable Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total unfavorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Don t know enough to say Refused/Not Answered N=832 N=721 N=631 27
28 Some questions held for future release. HR6. Regardless of which candidate you personally want to win, which candidate do you think is more likely to win the presidential race in November? Responses were rotated Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 28
29 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Hillary Clinton Civil Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 Honest Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 29
30 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 2/11-15/ /15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 (Continued) IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Decisive Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 Compassionate Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 30
31 (Continued) IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Racist Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 Qualified Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 31
32 (Continued) IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Corrupt Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 32
33 2/11-15/ /15 (Continued) IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Donald Trump Civil Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 Honest Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 33
34 2/11-15/ /15 2/11-15/ /15 (Continued) IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Decisive Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 Compassionate Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 34
35 (Continued) IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Racist Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 Qualified Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 35
36 (Continued) IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM] [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ] Corrupt Very/somewhat well Very well Somewhat well Slightly/not at all well Slightly well Not at all well Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 36
37 CUR_CvT. If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: [GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS, RANDOMIZE CLINTON AND TRUMP] Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both Neither Refused Handling the economy Handling immigration Protecting the country Handling health care Handling the U.S. image abroad Filling Supreme Court vacancies Handling international trade Handling the threat posed by the Islamic State group Creating jobs Working with Congress Handling gun laws Improving race relations Negotiating with Russia Uniting the country Handling the economy Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 37
38 (Continued) CUR_CvT. If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: Handling immigration Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 Protecting the country Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=874 N=764 N=642 N=1,009 N=1,076 38
39 (Continued) CUR_CvT. If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: Handling health care Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=874 N=764 N=642 N=1,009 N=1,076 Handling the U.S. Image abroad Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=820 N=712 N=609 N=1,009 N=1,076 39
40 (Continued) CUR_CvT. If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: Filling Supreme Court vacancies Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=820 N=712 N=609 N=1,009 N=1,076 Handling international trade Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=874 N=764 N=642 N=1,009 N=1,076 40
41 (Continued) CUR_CvT. If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: Handling the threat posed by the Islamic State group Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=820 N=712 N=609 N=1,009 N=1,076 Creating jobs Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 41
42 (Continued) CUR_CvT. If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: Working with Congress Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 Handling gun laws Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=874 N=764 N=642 N=1,009 42
43 (Continued) CUR_CvT. If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: Improving race relations Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=820 N=712 N=609 N=1,009 Negotiating with Russia Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 43
44 CUR_CvT. (Continued) If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of: Uniting the country Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Both equally Neither Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 IMG2. Do you think each of the following candidates respects ordinary Americans, or not? Hillary Clinton Respects ordinary Americans Does not respect ordinary Americans Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 Donald Trump Respects ordinary Americans Does not respect ordinary Americans Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 44
45 Some questions held for future release. SUPP1a. Do you think people who support Hillary Clinton for president are generally better or worse people than the average American, or are they neither better nor worse? Better people than the average American Neither better nor worse than the average American Worse people than the average American Refused N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 SUPP1b. Do you think people who support Donald Trump for president are generally better or worse people than the average American, or are they neither better nor worse? Better people than the average American Neither better nor worse than the average American Worse people than the average American Refused N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 45
46 2/11-15/16 12/3-7/15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 Some questions held for future release. PID1. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these? Democrat Independent Republican None of these Refused/Not Answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 46
47 2/11-15/16 12/3-7/15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 PID1/i. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these? [IF INDEPENDENT OR NONE, OR REFUSAL, ASK:] Do you lean more toward the Democrats or the Republicans? Total Democrat Democrat Independent lean Democratic None lean Democratic Total Republican Republican Independent lean Republican None lean Republican Independent don t lean None don t lean Refused/Not answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 47
48 2/11-15/16 12/3-7/15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 5/16-19/14 3/20-24/14 1/17-21/14 2/11-15/16 12/3-7/15 10/15-19/15 7/9-13/15 4/23-27/15 1/29-2/2/15 12/4-8/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 9/25-29/14 G11b. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a? Liberal Conservative Moderate Refused/Not answered N=1,694 N=1,476 N=1,251 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,224 N=1,016 N=643 DM5. Which one of the following best describes where you live? Urban area 26 Suburban area 49 Rural area 23 Refused/Not Answered 2 N=1,694 INS1. The next questions are about your personal health insurance. Please include health insurance obtained through employment or purchased directly as well as government programs like Medicare and Medicaid that provide medical care or help pay medical bills. Are you currently covered by any kind of health insurance or some other kind of health care plan or not? Yes No Refused/Not answered N=1,694 N=1,009 N=1,076 N=1,033 N=1,007 N=1,027 N=1,004 N=1,077 N=1,045 N=1,010 N=1,608 N=1,354 N=1,012 N=1,060 48
49 DM12. Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not? Yes, born-again/evangelical 29 No 68 Refused/Not Answered 3 N=1,694 DM13. What is your religious preference? Protestant 25 Catholic 22 Mormon 2 Jewish 2 Muslim * Other religion 15 Don t belong to religious denomination 32 Refused/Not Answered 2 N=1,694 DM14. [IF OTHER RELIGION IN DM13] Do you consider yourself a Christian, or not? Yes, a Christian 88 No, not a Christian 12 Refused/Not Answered 1 N=229 DMCELL. How many different landline telephone numbers, if any, are there in your home? This includes listed or unlisted numbers. Please don t count cell phones or landlines used ONLY for faxes or modems * 5 or more * Refused/Not Answered 3 N=1,694 49
50 PPEDUCAT. (4 category) PPETHM Less than high school 11 High school 31 Some college 28 Bachelor s degree or higher 30 N=1,694 White, Non-Hispanic 66 Black, Non-Hispanic 11 Other, Non-Hispanic 4 Hispanic Races, Non-Hispanic 3 N=1,694 PPGENDER Male 48 Female 52 N=1,694 50
51 PPWORK Working as a paid employee 55 Working self-employed 6 Not working on temporary layoff from a job 1 Not working looking for work 7 Not working retired 18 Not working disabled 6 Not working - other 9 N=1,694 PPAGE Age group: N=1,694 DM20. And in which group does your total household [IF SINGLE: PERSONAL ] income fall? Under $10,000 4 $10,000 to under $20,000 6 $20,000 to under $30,000 9 $30,000 to under $40, $40,000 to under $50,000 8 $50,000 to under $75, $75,000 to under $100, $100,000 to under $150, $150,000 or more 9 N=1,694 CENSUS REGION: Northeast 18 Midwest 22 South 37 West 23 N=1,694 51
52 AP-GfK Poll Methodology The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted September 15 to 19, 2016 by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications a division of GfK Custom Research North America. This poll is based on a nationally-representative probability sample of 1,694 general population adults age 18 or older. The survey was conducted using the web-enabled KnowledgePanel, a probability-based panel designed to be representative of the U.S. population. At inception participants were chosen scientifically by a random selection of telephone numbers and since 2009 through Address-based sampling using the post office s delivery sequence file. Persons in these households are then invited to join and participate in the web-enabled KnowledgePanel. For those who agree to participate, but do not already have Internet access, GfK provides at no cost a laptop and ISP connection. People who already have computers and Internet services are permitted to participate using their own equipment. Panelists then receive unique log-in information for accessing surveys online, and then are sent s throughout each month inviting them to participate in research. The data were weighted to account for probabilities of selection, as well as age within sex, education, race, and phone type. The phone type targets came from the fall, 2012 MRI Consumer Survey. The other targets came from the March, 2012 Supplement of the Current Population Survey. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total significantly more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent. The cooperation rate for this poll was 53%. Trend data are displayed for selected questions from previous AP-GfK Polls that were conducted using telephone interviews with nationally-representative probability samples of adults age 18 or older. Details about all AP-GfK Polls are available at 52
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