WVWVAF Battleground Frequency Questionnaire

Transcription

1 WVWVAF Battleground Frequency Questionnaire June 11-14, Registered Voters 558 RAE Respondents 261 Working Class Women 465 Diverse States 535 Belt+ States Q.4 First of all, are you registered to vote at this address? Yes No (Don't know/refused) (ref:screen1) Q.10 What are the chances of your voting in the elections for Congress and other offices in November: are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? Almost certain Probably Will not vote (Don't know) (Refused) (ref:cp18)

2 2 [265 Respondents] Q.11 How often would you say you vote? Always Nearly always Part of the time Seldom (Never) (Other/Don't know/refused) (ref:oftvote) Q.12 And generally speaking, do you think that things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track (Don't know/refused) Right - Wrong (ref:direct) Q.13 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove (Don't know/refused) Total approve Total disapprove Approve - Disapprove (ref:dtapp) Q.14 Now, I am going to read you a list of leaders. Please tell we whether you approve or

3 3 disapprove of the job they are doing. App Strng Smwt Smwt Strng DK/ Total Total - App App Dis Dis Ref App Dis Dis 14 (Named Incumbent) as Governor RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States [843 Respondents] 15 (SKIP IF CO OR GA) (Named Incumbent) as Senator RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (ref:appbat) Q.16 Now, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organizations, and ideas, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person, organization, or idea. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person, organization, or idea, please say so. Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 16 The Democratic Party RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States The Republican Congress RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (Named House Incumbent) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States

4 4 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 19 Governor (Named Incumbent) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States [502 Respondents] 20 (SPLIT A) Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader of the Senate RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States [853 Respondents] 21 (SKIP IF CO OR GA) Senator (Named Incumbent) RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States [496 Respondents] 22 (SPLIT B) Paul Ryan, the Republican

5 5 Speaker of the House RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States The N.R.A., or National Rifle Association RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States Pro-life, anti-abortion groups RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States Gay marriage RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 26 (RIP GOP) Fox News RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) The Tea Party RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Measures to prevent global

6 6 warming RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States The Affordable Care Act or Obamacare RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States Donald Trump RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States Immigrants to the US RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Mosques RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States

7 7 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 33 The new Republican tax cut for corporations and individuals RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Transgender people RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Disrespecting the American flag RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Environmentalists RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Atheists RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) College professors RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) English as the official American language RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States

8 8 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 40 (RIP GOP) Preventing discrimination against white people RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Government assistance with child care and the cost of college RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Government doing things to close the gap between rich and poor RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (RIP GOP) Government guarantee that all

9 9 have good health care RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States The students of Parkland, Florida RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States Special counsel Robert Mueller RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States Mike Pence RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (ref:therm) Q.47 As you may know, there will be an election for U.S. Congress and other state and local offices in November. How interested are you in the elections in November? Please rate your interest from 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you have no interest in this election and 10 meaning

10 10 that you are extremely interested. You can choose any number between 1 and (Don't know/refused) Mean (ref:intrst1) Q.48 Thinking about the election for Congress in your district in November 2018, will you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democratic candidate Lean Democratic candidate Republican candidate Lean Republican candidate (Other candidate) (Don't know/refused) (Will not vote) Total Democratic candidate Total Republican candidate (ref:gen18) Q.50 How certain are you that you would vote for that candidate are you very certain,

11 11 somewhat certain or not certain at all? Strong Dem candidate Weak Dem candidate Weak Rep candidate Strong Rep candidate (Other candidate) (Don't know/refused) (Will not vote) (ref:cong18cert) [843 Respondents] Q.51 (SKIP IF CO OR GA) Now, thinking about the election for U.S. Senate in your state, would you be voting for (Democratic candidate) or (Republican candidate)? (Democratic candidate) Lean (Democratic candidate) (Republican candidate) Lean (Republican candidate) (Other candidate) (Don't know/refused) (Will not vote) Total Democratic candidate Total Republican candidate (ref:sen18vt1) Q.53 Thinking about the election for Governor in your state in November, will you vote for (Democratic candidate) or (Republican candidate)? (Democratic candidate) Lean (Democratic candidate) (Republican candidate) Lean (Republican candidate) (Other candidate) (Don't know) (Will not vote) Total Democratic candidate Total Republican candidate (ref:gov18)

12 12 Q.55 How certain are you that you would vote for that candidate are you very certain, somewhat certain or not certain at all? Strong Dem candidate Weak Dem candidate Weak Rep candidate Strong Rep candidate (Other candidate) (Don't know) (Will not vote) (ref:gov18cer) Q.56 From what you know, do you support or oppose the tax cut for corporations and individuals passed by the Republicans in Congress and signed by the President at the end of last year? Support strongly Support somewhat Oppose somewhat Oppose strongly (Don't know/refused) Total Support Total Oppose Support - Oppose (ref:taxcut) Q.57 Now let me ask you some questions about the economy. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each statement. Agree Strng Smwt Smwt Strng DK/ Total Total - Agree Agree Dis Dis Ref Agree Dis Dis 58 The economy is growing faster than before RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States My wages aren't keeping up with

13 13 the cost of living RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States My wages are rising RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States The new tax cut law is benefitting me personally RAE Working Class Women Diverse States Belt+ States (ref:econmeas) Q.61 Now I am going to read you a list of issues. Thinking about the election in November, which ONE of these issues is the MOST important to your vote? The cost of health care The gun issue The tax cut and the strong economy Immigration Pre-existing conditions no longer being protected The corrupt tax cut deal for the rich (ref:issue1)

14 14 Q.62 Now I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican or what? Strong Democrat Weak Democrat Independent-lean Democrat Independent Independent-lean Republican Weak Republican Strong Republican (Don't know/refused) (ref:ptyid1) [265 Respondents] Q.65 (ASK ONLY IF NAME OFF FILE) Many people weren't able to vote in the 2016 election for President between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. How about you? Were you able to vote in 2016, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered/ineligible/too young (Refused) (Can't remember/ don't know) (ref:vote16) [265 Respondents] Q.66 (ASK ONLY IF NAME OFF FILE) As you may know, there was an election in 2014 for Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote in 2014, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered/ineligible/too young (Refused) (Can't remember/don't know) (ref:vote14) [265 Respondents] Q.67 (ASK ONLY IF NAME OFF FILE) Many people weren't able to vote in the 2012 election for President between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. How about you? Were you able to vote in

15 , or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered in 2012/Ineligible/too young (Can't remember/don't know) (Refused) (ref:vote12) [265 Respondents] Q.68 (ASK ONLY IF NAME OFF FILE) As you may know, there was an election in 2010 for Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote in 2010, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted Did not vote Not registered/ineligible/too young (Refused) (Can't remember/don't know) (ref:vote10) Q.69 Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal? Liberal Moderate Conservative (Don't know/refused) (ref:ideo1) [880 Respondents] Q.70 (IF VOTED IN 2016) In the 2016 election for President, did you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump (Gary Johnson) (Jill Stein) (Other) (Don't know/refused) (Did not vote in 2016) (ref:vote2016)

16 16 [725 Respondents] Q.71 (IF VOTED IN 2012) In the 2012 election for President, did you vote for Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney (Gary Johnson) (Jill Stein) (Virgil Goode) (Other) (Don't know/refused) (Did not vote in 2012) (ref:vote2012) Q.72 What racial or ethnic group best describes you? African-American or Black Hispanic or Latino Native American Asian (Other) (Don't know/refused) (ref:racethn) Q.74 Let me ask a question about religion. Which one of these best describes yourself? Observant Catholic Non-observant Catholic Evangelical Christian Non-evangelical Protestant Jewish Muslim No religious affiliation (Other) (Don't know/refused) (ref: RELIG4) Q.3 Respondent Gender

17 17 Male Female (ref:gender) Q.7 In what year were you born? and over (No answer) (ref:age) Q.8 What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade High School graduate Non-college post H.S Some college College graduate Post-graduate school (Don't know/refused) (ref:educ)

18 18 Q.9 Are you married, single, living with a partner, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married Single Separated/Divorced Widowed Living with a partner (Don't know/refused) (ref:marital) Q.5 In which state are you registered to vote? Arizona Colorado Florida Georgia Michigan Minnesota Nevada New Mexico Ohio Pennsylvania Tennessee Wisconsin (ref:locstate)