FUTURISTIC CRISIS COMMITTEE

Transcription

1 BACKGROUND GUIDELINES FUTURISTIC CRISIS COMMITTEE EXECUTIVE BOARD CHAIR: ISHAAN VASUDEVA DIRECTOR: ANIKET MOOKERJEE RAPPORTEUR:

2 ID FOR SENDING THE POSITION PAPERS: DEADLINE: 11 th MAY 2015 CONTENTS: Futuristic Crisis Committee Introduction: Pg 4 Agenda 1: Pg 5-10

3 Dear Delegates, We are pleased to be able to welcome you to the Futuristic Crisis Committee, ShriMUN, This guide, along with other documents and updates that may soon be provided, will serve as the basis of the committee. Unlike most conventional committees, the documents provided to you will serve not only as a guide for your research, but as the foundation of all committee proceedings. Given the nature of the committee it is imperative that as delegates, you aim to create solutions for any crises that may arise based on the situation as it is presented to you, not as it stands today. The chasms that have been created between countries must be bridged in a manner consistent with the fundamental principles of the United Nations, to bring about a lasting peace. More than anything else, viable solutions are what this committee requires, in order to avoid the annihilation of human civilisation as we know it. If you have any questions, on anything related to the committee or agenda, please feel to contact the Executive Board through the addresses listed below. Warm regards, The Executive Board, Futuristic Crisis Committee, Shri-MUN 2015 Ishaan Vasudeva Chair ishaanvasudeva@gmail.com Aniket Mookerjee Director aniket.mookerjee@gmail.com

4 United Nations Futuristic Crisis Committee Introduction The FCC has been designed to deal with a simulated crisis that could take place at any point in the foreseeable future. The aim of this committee, like that of any other committee, is to find a peaceful and diplomatic solution to the crisis. This FCC has been convened by the United Nations Security Council, and as such shares the same powers and responsibilities as detailed in the Charter of the United Nations. There is little that is outside the ambit of this FCC. Delegates are required to deal with the situation keeping in mind the ramifications for the international community at large, and remembering that the effects of any decision taken will have far reaching consequences. As in any crisis, the key aspects, including humanitarian issues and implications for regional security-in the long term and the short term-must be addressed. The FCC is looking for a comprehensive solution that deals with these issues effectively, and preferably tactfully. The FCC that will be simulated at Shri MUN 2015 will take place in the year Over the next few pages is a summary and timeline of the main events that have occurred in the World between May 2015 and December 2020.

5 United Nations Futuristic Crisis Committee Agenda 1 Topic: Potential Nuclear war between USA and Russia The World As It Stands Today 15 December, 2020 Much has changed since Russia's decision to annex Crimea in 2014, however, old enmities still thrive, feeding off the rancour that has existed since the Cold War began. The world has once again been split into two blocs, with the USA and the Russian Federation going head to head. With neither party showing signs of backing off, nuclear war is imminent. Russia has annexed all of Ukraine, and through several strategic treaties has obtained de facto control of the states that were originally a part of the Soviet Union, turning the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) into the Union of Eurasian States (Союз евразийских государств) with only Georgia holding out. After NATO planes bombed Russian aircraft factories in Rostov-on-Don last week, Russia has armed over 200 Sarmat Heavy Intercontinental ballistic missiles and has reportedly begun arming all of their RS-24 Yars ICBM's as well as bombing NATO bases across Poland, Romania and Bulgaria. The United States, along with it's NATO allies, has condemned Russian actions in the UN, and has justified their attacks on Russian bases across the newly formed Union as attempts to enforce the basic right to self determination of every country. Israel has annexed the Sinai Peninsula and parts of Lebanon and Syria as well as the West Bank and Gaza, and has subsequently set up military bases in the region with the capability to launch nuclear warheads. There have been allegations of United States and United Kingdom involvement in the establishment of these bases. A large number of Palestinian refugees have fled from these regions to Jordan and Egypt, or into UN Camps, established in Lebanon. India has left the BRICS nations and has broken all trade with China, after repeated Chinese incursions in what they claim is their sovereign territory and has strengthened trade relations with the EU and South American nations. China has created a 2,000,000 strong border force present from Aksai Chin to Tamang.Beijing demands that India withdraw its troops upto 200 km from the current border as it believes it to be Chinese territory.

6 It has also improved relations with Pakistan, through military and financial aid. This too has increased regional tensions, with two nuclear powers at the brink of war. The Background Timeline: 2015: July 1: The Eurasian Union is formed, and as a result Russia has de facto control Belarus and Kazakhstan. Western Media nicknames the EEU "the New Soviet Union." July 2: Armenia joins the Eurasian Union. August 11: A second Minsk Protocol is signed after the first one falls apart. August 27: Russian opposition politican Boris Nemtsov is assassinated just outside the Kremlin. November 1: Kyrgyzstan joins the Eurasian Union. November 16: Former Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev meets with President Obama at the White House. Gorbachev speaks of Russian economic problems which he states were threatening the survival of the Putinist regime, and advises that if a firm stand is taken on Ukraine, then Putin will be deterred from war January 29: Iran and Egypt join the CSTO. January 30: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu makes a speech condemning Egypt for joining the CSTO. He says "The United States has always promised to protect Israel, and now Israel must promise to protect the United States." He threatens to renounce the 1979 Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty if Egypt declared war on the United States in the event that war breaks out between the United States and Russia. March 14: Transnistria, a region of Moldova, joins the Eurasian Union. Moldova retaliates by cutting off a Russian-Romanian trade route that goes through Moldovan territory. Putin considers this action an act of war. March 20: Russian troops occupy Moldova. The Moldovans cannot put up any organized resistance May 27: Vladimir Putin orders the Russian Navy to begin an expansion program with the goal of returning to its pre-1991 size by July 31: China signs pact with Pakistan, pledging support in the development of a MIRV nuclear missile to match India's Agni V. September 26: India signs multi-billion dollar trade agreements with both Chile and Argentina. December 18: Putin asks advisors to begin drawing up plans for an invasion of Ukraine. December 21:China strengthens its troops on the Eastern Sino-Indian border

7 nearing Sikkhim and Arunachal Pradesh. 2017: January 24: 39 Egyptian soldiers are killed in a border skirmish with Israel March 18: Israel once again refuses to allow the IAEA to inspect the Negev Nuclear Research Center. April 16: Estonia and Latvia join the EEU June 22: Egypt announces that it will begin a program of nuclear armament to ensure that future peace is maintained. August 17: Egypt imports 200 SS-27 Topol M warheads from Russia. September 21: Putin calls for a special session of the Duma. During his speech, he renounces all START treaties, essentially beginning nuclear rearmament. October 26: Iranian President, Hassan Rouhani, says in an interview that he does not approve of Egypt's actions. November 30: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu officially announces that Israel possesses and is developing nuclear weapons. December 16: The Arab League condemns what it terms Israeli hypocrisy in manufacturing nuclear weapons whilst pretending to want a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction. December 30:China signs a pact with Russia in which it agrees to provide military support to one another if attacked by another country s airforce or naval forces. 2018: February 14: Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Jordan simultaneously announce the start of their Nuclear Weapons program May 2: American attempts to make Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Jordan sign Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty fail. June 16: Arab League nations sign a pact with Russia which entails increasing arms purchases from Russia and receiving Russian assistance in establishing their Nuclear Weapons programs. June 30: The United States of America condemns the actions of the Arab nations and Russia and advises against the escalation of tensions in the historically volatile region. July 18: Iraq, Iran and Syria attempt to justify increased arms purchases by announcing in a joint press conference of their Chiefs of Army Staff that they will be used in the fight against ISIS. August 15: India strengthens troops on Line of Actual Control; supplies them with additional heavy armaments and creates two new divisions of troops for the region. October 27: China announces that the region from Aksai Chin to Tamang will

8 2019: be connected by road by July November 19: NATO summit declares unconditional support for Ukraine if it's sovereignty is violated. Reaffirms the importance of the right of every nation to self determination. December 27: 11 Israeli civilians killed in Jerusalem by rocket fire from HAMAS. February 17: Israeli Defence Forces bomb Hamas headquarters in Gaza, killing Mahmoud al-zahar and Khaled Mashal. March 5: President Ashraf Ghani of Afghanistan is assassinated by the Taliban. There are riots and clashes between the army and the Taliban across Afghanistan.The President of the United States of America laments the loss and sends 10,000 troops to Afghanistan in attempts to counter terrorism. March 12: Iran sends in troops, as a humanitarian intervention, citing a responsibility to protect Afghani citizens, based on respect for the principles that underly international law, especially the underlying principles of law relating to sovereignty, peace and security, human rights, and armed conflict. May 14: Tajikistan and Uzbekistan join the EEU June 26: Iranian troops defeat Taliban fighters, however keep troops in Afghanistan until next elections.the United States of America evacuate troops from the region.the president of Iran calls this a selfish act on the part of the United States. July 8: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi condemns Iranian actions as being an infringement of their ally, Afghanistan's sovereignty. August 19: During a visit to India, Vladimir Putin proclaims support for Iran, encourages India to also accept that Iranian actions are for the benefit of Afghanistan. October 27: Border skirmish between Indian and Chinese forces in the disputed area of Tamang, 89 soldiers dead. December 15: China increases the number of troops on Line of Actual Control ten fold. 2020: March 3: 42 people are killed in Sevastopol, as Ukrainian forces clash with Pro-Russian separatists, violating the ceasefire. Amongst the dead are ethnic Russians. April 15: Putin begins mobilising troops on the border with Ukraine. May 12: Mossad releases reports suggesting that Egypt armed and trained HAMAS as troops for attack on Jerusalem in May 18: NATO hold emergency summit to discuss Ukraine issue May 22: NATO releases statement reminding Russia that an invasion of Ukraine would be met with a strong, possibly armed, response June 14: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu makes the findings of Mossad report public, says in a speech that the civilians must be avenged and that Arab nations would pay for each civilian life with a thousand of their troops. June 28: Following another clash of troops at the border in Nathu La, India

9 announces an embargo on any trade with China and formally leaves the BRICS association. July 5: The fallout from the embargo has had severe consequences for both nations, creating mass unemployment and a sharp fall in the value of the Indian Rupee. July 18: China announces that the road connecting Aksai Chin and Tamang has been completed. It moves over 1,000,000 troops to the region, drawing from it's reserves. July 30: Georgia refuses to join CSTO or EEU. Russia begins mobilising troops in neighbouring Armenia. August 14: Attempts at beginning bilateral talks between India and China have thus far failed, and the global economy begins to feel the impact. August 28: The CSTO convenes their summit, reaffirms their casus foederis and commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state to be an armed attack against them all. September 15: The EEU convenes. September 28: Israel begins mobilising troops in Sinai Peninsula, West Bank, Gaza and on borders with Lebanon and Jordan. October 3: The Russian invasion of Ukraine begins with the Russian Air Force attacking several targets in Eastern Ukraine. The Russian Navy attacks several targets in the Black Sea. Libya, Lebanon, Belgium and Switzerland declare neutrality. The United States orders a general mobilization of its troops. Meanwhile, Tajikistan and Azerbaijan join the Eurasian Union. October 15: Israeli troops march on Sinai peninsula, West Bank, Gaza and on the Golan Heights. October 27: USA and it's allies try to pass a resolution in the UNSC, condemning Russian actions and demanding a ceasefire. It is, however, vetoed. November 2: Arab forces have been quickly over run by the IDF. Israel has annexed the Sinai Peninsula and parts of Lebanon and Syria as well as the West Bank and Gaza. November 5: NATO and the EU issue to an ultimatum to Russia: Withdraw from Ukraine or face war. Iran declares neutrality. Switzerland orders a general mobilization of its troops. The United States reinstates the draft to include all able-bodied adult males born on or after November 5, 1978 who are not currently enrolled in an educational institution. Russia annexes Novorossiya. November 22: IDF begins rounding up ethnic Arabs in Israel, along with any known supporters of the Arabs or Hamas and expelling them from the country. No records are being maintained of the refugees. November 28: The last Ukrainian forces are expelled from Donetsk and Luhansk. November 29: NATO launches attacks on Russian naval ships in the North Sea and in the Arctic Ocean. December 7: NATO planes bomb Russian aircraft factories in Rostov-on- Don, near Ukraine.Russia responds by sanctioning the export of its oil to all NATO countries.china follows by halting trade with the United States of America. December 12: Russia begins arming nuclear warhead equipped ICBMs.

10 December 14: Russia carries out strikes on the newly established NATO bases in Poland, Romania and Bulgaria.China demands that the Indian troops on the Line of Actual Control be moved 200 km towards the Indian mainland as it is a breach of sovreignity.prime minister Narendra Modi responds by willing to participate in peace talks, however all attempts fail. December 15: FCC Convenes Problems we would like to see addressed in the committee: Use of weapons of mass destruction in on-going global wars. Invasion of several countries by the Eurasian Union (Russia) The dispute over sovereignty on the Indo-Sino border. Israeli occupation of the West Bank. Involvement of the United States in the above. Development of weapons of mass destruction in countries of the Middle East. Useful Links And Documents: Nuclear weapons programmes of all nations as they stand today. IAEA Nuclear weapons and Nuclear enrichment NATO ISAF CSTO NPT

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