THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM SURVEY! Ci?zenship, Values, and Cultural Concerns: What Americans Want from Immigra?

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1 THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM SURVEY! Ci?zenship, Values, and Cultural Concerns: What Americans Want from Immigra?on Reform Public Religion Research Institute Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research Juhem Navarro- Rivera, Research Associate

2 Survey Methodology 2013 Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey Designed and conducted by Public Religion Research Institute in partnership with The Brookings Institution One of largest surveys ever conducted on immigration (N=4,465 Americans) MOE = +/- 1.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence interval for total sample Conducted by telephone (1,774 contacted by cell phone) between January 28 and February 24, 2013 Bilingual (English and Spanish) interviews Funded by The Ford Foundation, with additional support from The Nathan Cummings Foundation and Four Freedoms Fund/Public Interest Projects PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 2

3 THE CULTURAL CONTEXT Concerns About a Changing America PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 3

4 The Declining Dominance of White ChrisCan America: AffiliaCon by Age White Evangelical White Mainline White Catholic Mormon Black Protestant Hispanic Protestant Hispanic Catholic Other Catholic Other Ethnic Chris?ans Jewish Other World Religions Unaffiliated Other/Don't Know Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 4

5 PercepCons of Changes to American Culture Since 1950s Asian* Jewish Atheist/Agnostic Black Protestant Hispanic Catholic Black Democrat Millennials Hispanic Men All Americans Women Mormon* White White Catholic White Mainline Seniors Republican White Evangelical Tea Party *Results should be interpreted with caution due to small number of cases. Asian N=94. Mormon N=97. Since the 1950s, American culture and way of life has Changed for the better Changed for the worse PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 5

6 Hidden Concerns about Becoming a Majority- Minority NaCon Survey Experiment How Many Statements Worry or Bother You? Control Group Statements An America where Treatment Group A Gay and lesbian marriages are accepted A B There are more foreign cars than American made cars on the road B C Religious groups have a lot of influence on public policy C - - Where most people are not white (Treatment Statement) D 1.39 (Out of 3) Average number of statements selected 1.62 (Out of 4) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 6

7 Direct and Indirect Measures of Concerns about Becoming a Majority- Minority NaCon The idea of an American where most people are not white bothers me. Percent who Agree Direct Ques?on Indirect List Experiment Ques?on All Americans All Whites White Born Again Chris?an* Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465); PRRI Religion News Tracking Poll, March 2013 (N=1,028). *Note that white born again Chris?an has a small number of cases (N=92 on one form) and should be inter PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 7

8 How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life PercepCons of How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life Changing for the beker No impact Changing for the worse Young people Asians Hispanics Immigrants Tea Party Gay and lesbian people Muslims Non- religious people Atheists Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 8

9 Impact of Newcomers from Other Countries on American Culture Growing Number of Newcomers from Other Countries By Age Groups Strengthens American society Threatens tradi?onal American customs and values All Americans Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 9

10 Concerns about Economic Impact of Illegal Immigrants Immigrants coming to this country today mostly... Illegal Immigrants mostly... Help the economy by providing low cost labor 80 Take jobs Americans don't want Take jobs away from American citizens 80 Hurt the economy by driving down wages for many Americans Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)

11 IMMIGRATION REFORM: POLITICS AND POLICY Impact on Poli?cal Par?es Values as Moral Guides to Reform Support for a Path to Ci?zenship PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 11

12 Highest PrioriCes for Congress and President This Year Improving the job situa?on 65 Reducing the budget deficit 56 Changing the federal income tax system to make it more fair 37 Dealing with the moral breakdown of the country 32 Enac?ng stricter gun control laws 26 Reforming the na?on's immigra?on system 24 Enac?ng legisla?on to address climate change PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 12

13 PercepCons of Impact on Republican Party Did Republican Party PosiCon on ImmigraCon Help or Hurt in Recent ElecCons? By Party AffiliaCon Hurt No Difference Helped DK/Refused All Americans Republican Tea Party Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 13

Support for Path to CiCzenship By Party AffiliaCon How should the immigracon system deal with illegal immigrants? By Party AffiliaCon Allow them a way to become ci?

14 Support for Path to CiCzenship By Party AffiliaCon How should the immigracon system deal with illegal immigrants? By Party AffiliaCon Allow them a way to become ci?zens provided they meet certain requirements Allow them to become permanent legal residents, but not ci?zens Iden?fy and deport them None of these/dk/refused All Americans Democrat Independent Republican Tea Party PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 14

15 Support for Path to CiCzenship By Religious AffiliaCon Support for Path to Citizenship (3-Way Question) By Religious Affiliation Hispanic Catholic 74 Hispanic Protestant Black Protestant Jewish 67 Unaffiliated Mormon White Catholic White Mainline White Evangelical Source: PRRI/Brookings, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 15

16 Support for DREAM Act By Party AffiliaCon Allowing illegal immigrants brought to U.S. as children to gain legal resident status if they join the military or go to college. By Party Affilia?on Favor Oppose DK/Refused All Americans Democrat Independent Republican Tea Party Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 16

17 Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform Extremely important Very important Promo?ng na?onal security Keeping families together Protec?ng the dignity of every person Enuring fairness to taxpayers Enforcing the rule of law Following the Golden Rule, providing immigrants the same opportuni?es I would want if my family was immigra?ng to the U.S. 69 Con?nuing America's heritage as a na?on of immigrants Following the biblical example of welcoming the stranger Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 17

ons have increased in last 5-6 years All Americans Say immigrants changing community a lot Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and

18 Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship 80 Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship Among those who Believe America has changed for the beker since the 1950s Hispanic Know deporta?ons have increased in last 5-6 years All Americans Say immigrants changing community a lot Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). Iden?fy as part of Tea Party movement PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 18

The PRRI/Brookings 2013 Religion, Values, and

Institute Join the ConversaCon about the Survey

19 The PRRI/Brookings 2013 Religion, Values, and ImmigraCon Reform Survey Public Religion Research Institute Join the ConversaCon about the Survey Online (Hashtag #IMMSURVEY): Ø Ø Ø Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research

THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM SURVEY! Ci?zenship, Values, and Cultural Concerns: What Americans Want from Immigra?

THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM SURVEY! Ci?zenship, Values, and Cultural Concerns: What Americans Want from Immigra?on Reform Public Religion Research Institute Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO