The Oregon Political Field Guide

Transcription

1 The Oregon Political Field Guide

2 Map: From U.S. Census 2

3 The OREGON POLITICAL FIELD GUIDE Randy Stapilus RIDENBAUGH PRESS RIDENBAUGH PRESS Carlton, Oregon 3

4 Copyright 2012 Ridenbaugh Press All Rights Reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means, without prior permission of the publisher. Composition and editing by Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. Cover design by Randy Stapilus. Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data: Stapilus, Randy The Oregon Political Field Guide Includes bibliographical references ISBN (softbound) 1. Oregon. 2. Politics 3. Geography 4. Government Public Policy. I. Title. Printed in the United States of America. March

5 Contents Introduction Federal President Senators U.S. Representatives State Governor Statewide officials Legislature Judiciary Counties Cities Beyond the Majors Reading 5

6 Introduction The Oregon Blue Book is a classic. For decades it has been one of the finest state references anywhere in the county, one of the most information packed as well as slickly produced. It s on my bookshelf (actually, most of the editions from the last few decades crowd my bookshelves), and it (they) get regularly used. But no book can or should try to be all things. As a state publication (and despite its source in the Secretary of State s office), it goes a little light on election results, probably an appropriate decision. Anyone who wants the details, especially as they move toward the microscopic, has to look elsewhere. And that may mean looking in a bunch of places and reorganizing a lot of data, not to mention putting it into some context (definitely an area where a public publication ought not to go). The Oregon Historical Society did, in 1973, publish a now hard to find book (one I m fortunate to have found for my collection) called Oregon Votes: , by Burton W. Onstine (with Krista Adkins, Robbert Drake, Marvin Price and Rick Paulson, foreword by John Swarthout). It s a wonderful compendium of results to the county level for major office races (president, governor, members of Congress) through those years. I ve found no updates since, though, and apart from a short introductory section, the material is strictly statistical no context. And no sub major office context. In 1989 two close observers of Oregon politics, David Buchanan and Pam Ferrara, produced The Almanac of Oregon Politics: The history of state legislative elections (published independently at Corvallis; Elaine Cull was noted as editor). As the title indicates, the book focused tightly on legislative elections, not something any book (so far as I can tell) had done before, and providing some contextual analysis as well as statistical background. A second edition of the book came out in 1994, but none since. (Both editions, as with Oregon Votes, were closely read and highly useful in putting together this new volume, and my thanks go to all the people involved with them). My intent here is to cover some of this same territory, bringing it up to date, and rebalancing a bit the statistical and analytical sides. This book, as you can tell from quickly leafing through the pages, is heavily numbers driven. I don t lack for opinions on politics, policy and politicians, and I write about them in various other places, but not this one: This book is about wins, losses and numbers, and some very direct extrapolations from those. A few general conclusions, some affecting the structure and content of the book, are worth noting up front. Party membership is critical, and party identification has become ever more important. The numbers bear this out. This isn t a conclusion that would have been especially obvious, or maybe even reasonable, a generation ago. One other political book on my shelf is called The Ticket Splitter: A New Force in American Politics, a 1972 book by Walter De Vries and Lance Tarrance, who argued with strong reasoning 6

7 that parties were becoming less important, and voters increasingly were splitting their tickets, ever less loyal to parties. That was then. In the 70s and 80s, party adherence (by registration) in Oregon often ran afoul of how voters actually cost their ballots. In the last couple of decades, the matchup has been relatively close. That much became clear early in the research for this book, and influenced how the results are presented. One omission here of what would seem to be an obvious factor is, well, money: Campaign contributions by candidate. In a future edition of this book (if there is one), we may get into that. But not initially, at least, not because financing isn t important in political races (obviously it often is) but because it s only occasionally very enlightening without a close microscope. Incumbents tend to be well funded, even when they re lightly challenged; challengers (or candidates for open seats) who have for reasons apart from funding a strong case for why they might might win, tend to be well funded too. Other candidates, typically, not so much. Money tends to follow probability, or at least strong possibility, of winning. But we may revisit this. Beyond that here s the data and the background. We hope it s useful. Let us know what you think. Randy Stapilus Carlton, Oregon March 2012 Acknowledging Lots of people helped with putting all this together. Some of them helped with gathering the statistics, some helping with providing an understanding of what they mean, some with helping point to other useful directions. The Oregon Secretary of State s office was highly helpful, and county clerk s offices from one end of the state to the other helped a great deal in providing information and, within the limits of their professional responsibilities, helping me make sense of it. Some of the people I d most specifically like to thank: Steve Bagwell, Susan Morgan, Molly Walker, Dana Jenkins, Sal Peralta, Josh Balloch, Carla Axtman, Bobbi Childers, Jan Waitt, Barrett Rainey, Wayne Kinney, Chuck Butcher, Shelley Denny, Liz Toy, Chris Walker, Jill VanBuren, Derrin (Dag) Robinson, Linda Smith, Patty Hitt, Linda Brown, John McColgan And of course, Linda Watkins at Ridenbaugh Press. 7

8 Federal President Oregon once had a well earned reputation as the most of western states; in many of its elections, it was a holdout even against the New Deal sweep of the 30s. That has changed. It became a bipartisan state in the mid 50s, and stayed so through various shifts until the most recent decade, when Democrats showed clear signs of pulling firmly ahead. Created by a Democratic administration and Congress in 1859, Oregon cast its first electoral votes in 1860 for Abraham Lincoln, and repeated in It continued to vote for every nominee for president through The chain broke with the unusual election of 1912, when William Howard Taft and Theodore Roosevelt split the vote and Woodrow Wilson won Oregon. But Oregon returned to the column in 1916, and stayed there through the 20s. Like most of the rest of the nation, Oregon switched to Democrat Franklin Roosevelt for his four elections, but then turned to Thomas Dewey in 1948 and stayed a electoral state (with the lone exception of the 1964 Lyndon Johnson landslide) through the Reagan years. Even after Democrats had begun winning a substantial number of offices within the state, Oregon remained for the presidential. And then, somewhere in the mid 80s, Oregon commenced a gradual but definite shift toward the Democrats. The first clear evidence was the Oregon win for Democrat Michael Dukakis, but since then whether in close elections (2000) or near landslides (2008), Democrats have been prevailing. Democrat 2008 Barack Obama 1,037, John McCain 2004 John Kerry 943, George W Bush 866, Al Gore 720, George W Bush 713, Bill Clinton 649, Robert Dole 538, Bill Clinton 621, George Bush 475, Michael Dukakis 616, George Bush 560, Walter Mondale 536, Ronald Reagan 685, Jimmy Carter 456, Ronald Reagan 571, Jimmy Carter 490, Gerald Ford 492, George McGovern 392, Richard Nixon 486, Hubert Humphrey 358, Richard Nixon 408, Lyndon Johnson 501, Barry Goldwater 282, John Kennedy 367, Richard Nixon 8 738, ,

9 Counties. For all their recent wins, few Democrats in recent times have actually won a majority of Oregon s counties. About half of Oregon s counties (depending on how you count) are small population counties east of the Cascades, and all lean, most of them very strongly. Several southwest Oregon counties (most notably Douglas, Josephine and Curry) have similar patterns. When Democratic wins have occurred, they usually have involved strong bases in Multnomah and Lane counties, wins in several smaller counties and sufficiently strong votes in the large suburban counties of Washington and Clackamas to offset the large geography. In 1964, Democrat Lyndon Johnson won 34 of Oregon s 36 counties, all except for Malheur and Josephine. Multnomah County last voted for president in 1960, for Richard Nixon though only barely (Nixon won 50.5). But Kennedy was by no means wiped out in Oregon. He won 13 counties, all of them outside the Willamette Valley and some of them now strongly. They were Wallowa, Union, Baker, Morrow, Crook, Wasco, Douglas, Curry, Coos, Tillamook, Lincoln, Clatsop and Columbia. He won more counties in losing that year than any of the Democrats who have won since 1988 except for Barack Obama in 2008, who tied him. Democratic votes for president Baker Benton Clackamas Clatsop Columbia Coos Crook Curry Deshutes Douglas Gilliam Grant Harney Hood River Jackson Jefferson Josephine Klamath Lake Lane Lincoln Linn Malheur Marion Morrow Multnomah 9

10 Polk Sherman Tillamook Umatilla Union Wallowa Wasco Washington Wheeler Yamhill Oregon Senate Senior: Ron Wyden (D) Oregon has produced more charismatic politicians, but political watchers who describe Ron Wyden as the state s most popular politician as a number of reporters have can make a strong case. And a rationale behind it. Wyden is well known in his state for keeping a campaign pledge he made when he first ran for the Senate holding town halls at least once a year in every county. (By 2011 he had held more than 500 of them.) He also is well known for the bipartisan legislative proposals he has pushed, on a variety of (sometimes unlikely) subjects, from county lands payments to health care. He started all that with little political experience at all. Between the time he got his law degree from the University of Oregon in 1974, and his first election to Congress six years later, Wyden was an activist for the elderly and a founder of the Oregon Gray Panthers. Though not a candidate until 1980, his political activities led him to observe an imbalance: The philosophical gap between the conservative Democrat Robert Duncan, who represented most of the city of Portland in the 3rd congressional district, and the increasingly liberal city. Even in that conservative tide year and in Portland, maybe in part because of it Wyden caught the tenor of the city, and beat Duncan, who had held elective office in Oregon since He landslid over Darrell Conger, his Republic opponent, that fall. Wyden s seven re elections were barely noted in his lopsided House district just expected. When Senator Robert Packwood resigned amid scandal in late 1995, Wyden entered a less predictable arena. Filing in the special election to replace Packwood, he faced five primary opponents, one of them with political assets comparable to his own: 4th District Representative Peter DeFazio. Wyden won only modestly, with 50.39, about 25,000 votes ahead of DeFazio (44.43). That December 1995 result set up a tight contest with the state Senate president, Gordon Smith, who had won much more decisively in his 11 candidate field (which did include president or past two statewide officials and some others with experience). Wyden narrowly won, in his closest contest to date. 10

11 His first two Senate re elections were both landslides, though against opponents who were lightly financed and organized legislator John Lim in 1998 and Party official and rancher Al King in A more organized, energetic and visible challenge came in from law professor Jim Huffman, who held Wyden to just short of a landslide (though he had the advantage of running in a good year, even in Oregon). Counties. Although Wyden has won his general elections (aside from the first against Smith) with large margins, he has not been able to crack some of the most counties in the state, though he has won majorities even in some of those. In, Huffman won in Baker, Crook, Curry, Deschutes (very narrowly), Douglas, Grant, Harney, Jefferson, Josephine, Klamath, Lake, Linn, Malheur, Morrow, Sherman, Umatilla, Union, Wallowa and Wheeler just over half of Oregon s counties. That was a considerable improvement for s over 2004, when Wyden lost only Grant, Harney and Malheur. Or 1998, when Wyden lost only Malheur the only county he has never won in a general election. Apart from his 1980 contest with Duncan, Wyden has had only one serious primary contest, in 1995 facing (mostly) DeFazio. Wyden s overall margin was not large but he won 27 of Oregon s 36 counties; DeFazio took Benton, Coos, Curry, Deschutes, Douglas (overwhelmingly), Jackson, Josephine, Lane and Linn most of them centered around his 4th House district. Packwood had held the seat since 1968, when he beat Democrat (formerly independent, and before that ) Wayne Morse, the long time incumbent. (Morse had gotten there by defeating another, Rufus Holman, in the primary.) Before Morse, the seat had alternated between the parties, though not in even balance. s had held the seat for about 60 years, Democrats for about 27. Sen Democrat Ron Wyden 825, Jim Huffman 2004 Ron Wyden 1,128, Al King 566, , Ron Wyden 682, John Lim 377, Ron Wyden 571, Gordon Smith 553, Les Aucoin 639, Robert Packwood 717, Rick Bauman 375, Robert Packwood 656, Ted Kulongoski 501, Robert Packwood 594, Betty Roberts 338, Robert Packwood 420, Democratic wins by county for Senate seat held by Wyden/Packwood. 11

12 (w) Baker 2004 (W) 1998 (W) 1996 (W) 1992 (P) 1986 (P) Benton Clackamas Clatsop Columbia Coos Crook Curry Deshutes Douglas Gilliam Grant Harney Hood River Jackson Jefferson Josephine Klamath Lake Lane Lincoln Linn Malheur Marion Morrow Multnomah Polk Umatilla Union Wallowa Sherman Tillamook Wasco Washington Wheeler Yamhill Oregon 12

13 RON WYDEN, D-Portland Office: wyden.senate.gov Campaign: Background: Co founder, Oregon chapter, Greay Panthers. Director, Oregon Legal Services for the Elderly. University of California Santa Barbara. Stanford University. University of Oregon, School of Law. Political: Elected to U.S. House 1980, 1982, 1984, 1986, 1988, 1990, 1992, Elected to U.S. Senate in special election 1996, 1998, 2004,. Senate Junior: Jeff Merkley (D) For a while in the last decade, Oregon seemed to be continuing its pattern of letting two senators spent long stretches in the Senate. Up to the mid 90s, those senators had been Mark Hatfield ( ) and Robert Packwood ( ). (Before Hatfield, who won the seat in 1966, no one had held it so long; the closest was another, Charles McNary, who held it for about 26 years. The collection of senators in this place before Hatfield included 11 s and 10 Democrats.) They were followed, within months of one another, by Democrat Ron Wyden and Gordon Smith, and after a decade or so, with strong re elections behind them, they appeared to be settling in for a while, developing a much noted partnership in the process. Then 2008 happened, and Smith was ousted a major indicator of changing politics in Oregon. The partnership that resulted was probably as close but required less diplomacy, because Jeff Merkley was a Democrat usually not far in view from Wyden. His background was quite different from Wyden s. He was an Oregon native (born, as he often liked to point out, at Myrtle Creek, but raised mostly in the Portland area), and not an attorney but an analyst in the Department of Defense and nuclear and some other policies. Returning to Portland in 1991, he led the local Habitat for Humanity organization for a time, became involved with other organizations and ran for the Oregon House in 1998, from a southeast Portland district. He moved into House leadership in 2004, and in, after Democrats had gained control of the chamber, he was elected speaker. That lasted only one term, since he decided (after former Governor John Kitzhaber and members of the state House delegation passed) to oppose Smith in He had first to get past a highly competitive primary; Portland attorney and activist Steve Novick also filed, and their contest was high energy and intensive for months. Both had numerous backers, but Merkley had more, including more national support. In the results (which also included four other candidates) Merkley took 45.1 (246,482), and Novick had (230,889). 13

14 After that narrow win, Merkley initially seemed like an underdog against Smith, and some of the polls run through summer and early fall gave Smith substantial leads. But the year was Democratic, a time when Democrat Barack Obama was running high in Oregon for president. Smith was put on defensive on immigration and some other issues, and a strong vote out of Multnomah County give Merkley the win. (As in many recent relatively close Oregon races, the had most votes on election night, but the Democrat surpassed on the basis of still incoming Multnomah County votes.) After 2012, Merkley begins to prepare for re election in Polling has shown some popularity, though usually somewhat less than Wyden s. Like Wyden (but unlike Smith), he started holding town hall meetings in every county, each year, a practice that may be helpful when votes are cast. Sen Democrat 2008 Jeff Merkley 864, Gordon Smith 805, Bill Bradbury 501, Gordon Smith 712, Tom Bruggere 624, Gordon Smith 677, Harry Lonsdale 507, Mark Hatfield 590, Margie Hendriksen 406, Mark Hatfield 808, Vern Cook 341, Mark Hatfield 550, Wayne Morse 425, Mark Hatfield Democratic votes for Senate seat held by Merkley/Smith/Hatfield (M) Baker Benton Clackamas Clatsop Columbia Coos Crook Curry Deshutes Douglas Gilliam Grant Harney Hood River Jackson Jefferson Josephine Klamath Lake Lane Lincoln (S) 1996 (S) 1990 (H) (H)

15 Linn Malheur Marion Morrow Multnomah Polk Sherman Tillamook Umatilla Union Wallowa Wasco Washington Wheeler Yamhill Oregon JEFF MERKLEY, D-Portland Office: merkley.senate.gov Campaign: Background: Director of Housing Development at Human Solutions. Executive Director of Portland Habitat for Humanity. Former analyst, Congressional Budget Office. Former staff, Office of the Secretary of Defense. Former President of the World Affairs Council of Oregon. Stanford University, Princeton University. Political: Elected to House 1998, 2000,, 2004,. Elected House Democratic leader September 2003, Elected Speaker,. Elected to U.S. Senate,

16 U.S. House seats Oregon had five U.S. House seats in the decades of the 90s and the 00s, and it keeps five though it came close to adding one more in the 10s. The five districts have a rough similarity to the five the state had in the 00s. The last district to change party representation was the 5th, in 1996; it was also the next most recent (1994) and the next most recent before that (1990). The 2nd shifted from Democratic to in 1980, and has stayed since that time. The 1st and the 4th districts both shifted in 1974 from to Democratic control, and have stayed Democratic since. The 3rd district, long Democratic, has not elected a since

17 U.S. House 1: Suzanne Bonamici (D) AREA (New) All: Washington, Yamhill, Columbia, Clatsop. Part: Multnomah. POPULATION 766,216 Previous district: 58,501 (-8.38 from target). Increase 00s: New Minority: New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D (2nd largest), R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D (2nd largest), R Margin change in 00s: D NEW DISTRICT Presidential vote 2008: Barack Obama (D) 210, John McCain (R) 133, The 1st has been the northwest district of Oregon since 1912, when it became one of three districts, at times including places like Corvallis and Salem (north to the Columbia and west to the coast), and it has been steadily shrinking ever since. But it didn t really take on its present character until the 1971 redistricting, when a slice of western Multnomah was added to it, making the mix of interior farm counties like Washington and Yamhill and more Democratic coastal counties like Clatsop, Tillamook and Lincoln more Democratic. That may have been decisive. s held the first district seat from its creation (in 1893) until 1974, but that year redistricting plus the anti Watergate environment helped Democrat Les AuCoin to a strong (56) win. The 1st has been Democratic ever since. Meanwhile, it lost Lincoln, Polk and Tillamook counties in the 2001 reapportionment, and precincts of Multnomah in It has been a growing district. Once centered around such concerns as timber, agriculture and fishing, it now is at least as interested in high tech and specialized exports (Nike is based here, and Intel locates its largest U.S. campus here), and tourism (the northern coast, and the Spirit Mountain Casino, sometimes listed as Oregon s top single visitor attraction). Since 1974, the 1st has been consistently in Democratic hands, though not always by big margins. After AuCoin left in 1992 to run for the Senate, Democrat Elizabeth Furst took the seat, and in 1994 had the closest call of any Democrat since 1974 (defeating Bill Witt by just 299 votes despite outspending him 2 1; she defeated him again with a larger margin two years later). In 1998 she opted out, and attorney David Wu won the Democratic primary to replace her. His first race, against Molly Bordonaro, was relatively close ( ), but he won by stronger percentages every election thereafter, peaking in 2008 (at 72.6, when no filed). In his later terms Wu became more controversial, not over policy but on a personal level. In, the Oregonian and Willamette Week reported that he had shown a pattern of erratic behavior and many of his key staffers had 17

18 abruptly quit, and in 2011 he was accused of an unwanted sexual encounter. He resigned on August 3 that year. That triggered a special election, or rather two primary election on the normal early November date, and a general concluding on January 31. Most of the primary attention went to the Democrats, where three prominent officeholders filed: State Labor Commissioner (and former Washington County legislator) Brad Avakian, Senator Suzanne Bonamici and Representative Brad Witt. Bonamici was the easy winner, taking 49,721 votes (65.58 in a field of eight candidates). The (winning in a field of five) was Rob Cornilles, who had lost to Wu the year before. PARTY REGISTRATION Noted in November of each year. Dem 179, , , Rep 127, , , N/A 92,166 92,715 80, Total 421, , ,980 GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS Democrat 2012* Suzanne Bonamici 89, Rob Cornilles 64, David Wu 160, Rob Cornilles 122, David Wu 237, David Wu 169, Derrick Kitts 2004 David Wu 203, Ameri Goli David Wu *special election, January , Jim Greenfield SUZANNE BONAMICI, D-Beaverton Office: bonamici.house.gov Campaign: Background: Attorney, private practice. Attorney, Federal Trade Commission. Lane Community College. University of Oregon; UO law school. Political: Elected to Oregon House,. Appointed to Oregon Senate,. Elected to Oregon Senate, 2008,. Elected to U.S. House, January 2012 (special election). Candidate for re election, , , ,

19 U.S. House 2: Greg Walden (R) AREA All: Jackson, Deschutes, Umatilla, Klamath, Wasco, Malheur, Hood River, Union, Crook, Jefferson, Baker, Wallowa, Grant, Harney, Lake, Gilliam, Sherman, Wheeler. Part: Josephine. POPULATION 766,215. Previous district: 58,501 (-8.38 from target). Increase 00s: New Minority: New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R (largest), D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R (largest), D Margin change in 00s: D +1.7 NEW DISTRICT Presidential vote 2008: Barack Obama (D) 153, John McCain (R) 191, Oregon s 2nd district has roughly resembled the current district ever since Oregon got its second district. In its first iteration, it did include Multnomah, Columbia and Clatsop and didn t include Lake or Klamath, but since it made those adjustments in 1912 it looked much the way it does now. As ever, it is enormous. Two thirds of Oregon s acreage is in this one of its five districts. It is the largest U.S. House district in the Pacific Northwest (unless you count Alaska s or Montana s at large), and the seventh largest nationally. While other districts have changed greatly, the 2nd remains characterized by agriculture, ranching and resource industries and businesses related to them. Other growth areas, including the retirement and second home housing around Bend and Internet cloud centers like Facebook at Prineville and Google at The Dalles, are still relatively small in number and impact. The 2nd has historically been from the beginning, with but a couple of aberrations. It did send a Democrat, Walter Pierce, to Washington for a decade in the New Deal years ( ). In the mid 50s, when Oregon had its Democratic resurgence, Baker builder and carpenter Al Ullman won the seat and kept it for 24 years until he was ousted in the 1980 Reagan landslide. The district was moving again in a more direction, and the five representatives who have followed him all have been s, and almost always have won their general elections easily. There was Denny Smith, who defeated Ullman, and then was reapportioned into the new 5th district (where he was re elected). Then Robert F. Smith, a Burns rancher, served six terms before retiring. He was replaced by Wes Cooley, who in his one term turned swiftly controversial (notably over false claims about his military service). He withdrew from his bid for a second term, and was replaced by Smith, who returned for one term. In 1998, with the seat once again open, the primary went to Greg Walden, who had been a staffer for Denny Smith and then served in both the Oregon House and Senate, and had considered an independent run 19

20 against Cooley. Robert Smith endorsed him for Congress, and Walden in his first congressional race defeated Democrat Kevin Campbell with of the vote. His winning percentages have been larger than that in every election since (peaking, so far, in ). PARTY REGISTRATION based on November figures. Dem 133, , , Rep 169, , , N/A 92,166 82,999 78, Total 410, , ,697 GENERAL ELECTIONS Democrat Greg Walden 206, Joyce Segers 72, Greg Walden 236, Noah Lemas 87, Greg Walden 181, Carol Voisin 82, Greg Walden 248, John McColgan 88, Greg Walden 181, Peter Buckley 64, GREG WALDEN, R-Hood River Office: walden.house.gov Campaign: Background: Chief of Staff, Representative Denny Smith, ; Press Secretary (Smith), Owner, Columbia Gorge Broadcasters, Inc. B.S., Journalism, University of Oregon, University of Alaska, Fairbanks. Political: Elected to Oregon House, 1988, 1990, Elected majority leader, Elected state Senate, Elected U.S. House, 1998, 2000,, 2004,, 2008,. 20

21 U.S. House 3: Earl Blumenauer (D) AREA All: none. Part: Multnomah, Clackamas. POPULATION 766,215 Previous district: 58,501 (-8.38 from target). Increase 00s: New Minority: New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D (largest), R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D (largest), R Margin change in 00s: D NEW DISTRICT Presidential vote 2008: Barack Obama (D) 275, John McCain (R) 91, Since Oregon got a third congressional district in 1912, it has been centered on Multnomah County and Portland, and on its role as Oregon s business and cultural center. For more than half a century it consisted of the county, with no real variation. After the western portion of it was sliced off to feed the 1st district, the 3rd began pressing south into Clackamas County, and it has continued in that direction since. The core of the district, however, remains Portland and its eastern suburbs, such as Gresham. The 3rd now reaches far enough east into the Cascades to stretch into the Mount Hood National Park. This urban district was not always Democratic. In the days when Oregon overall was highly, that party often had a shot at it. The 3rd s first two representatives were s, followed by a Democrat, followed by two s, followed by a Democrat, by another, by a Democrat, and who in 1938 was followed by the last the district has had, Homer Angell. In 1954, Angell lost his primary to a little known upstart newsman named Tom McCall, who still had a few things to learn about Oregon politics: McCall lost the general election to Democrat Edith Green, who would hold the seat for decades. (That election happened to mark the transition of the seat from control to the Democratic control it has retained since.) She was followed for three terms by the relatively conservative Democrat (and a former representative from southwest Oregon) Robert Duncan. By the 70s, Portland was becoming steadily more liberal, and in 1980 activist Ron Wyden was able to upset Duncan in the Democratic primary. After Wyden left in 1996 to take a seat in the Senate, Earl Blumenauer, a former legislator and Multnomah County commissioner and at the time a Portland City Council member, won the seat in a special election. (He had lost a race for mayor, to Vera Katz, in 1992.) In that first race, he defeated Mark Brunelle with 69 of the vote, setting a pattern for his re elections since, winning all so far with at least 67 of the vote. He has not had a close contest since, and from 2004 to held winning percentages north of

22 PARTY REGISTRATION Total 415, , ,242 Earl Blumenauer 193, Delia Lopez 67, Earl Blumenauer 254, Delia Lopez 71, Earl Blumenauer 186, Bruce Broussard 59, Earl Blumenauer 245, Tami Mars 82, Earl Blumenauer 156, Sarah Seale 62, Dem 216, , , Rep 83,183 93,442 96, N/A 89,985 91,568 81,444 GENERAL ELECTIONS Democrat EARL BLUMENAUER, D-Portland Office: blumenauer.house.gov Campaign: Background: Attorney. Board of Directors, National Civic League. Member, National League of Cities Transportation Committee. Member,Oregon Environmental Council. J.D., Lewis and Clark College, Lewis and Clark College, Political: Commissioner, Multnomah County Commission, Unsuccessful candidate, Portland City Council, Elected to city council, Portland, 1986, 1990, Unsuccessful candidate, mayor of Portland, 1992 (lost to Vera Katz). Elected to U.S. House in special election, May 21, Re elected to U.S. House 1996, 1998, 2000,, 2004,, 2008,. 22

23 U.S. House 4: Peter DeFazio (D) AREA All: Lane, Linn, Douglas, Coos, Curry. Part: Marion, Benton, Josephine. POPULATION 766,214 Previous district: 58,501 (-8.38 from target). Increase 00s: (54th largest). New Minority: New Hispanic: 6.7. DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D 39.85, R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D 40.73, R Margin change in 00s: D NEW DISTRICT Presidential vote 2008: Barack Obama (D) 210, John McCain (R) 165, The fourth has always been Oregon s southwest district, since it was created in It has included the southern coast, the timber country inland, and a good deal of farm and ranch country; and, since its largest population anchor always has been Lane County, education and related interests long have been a big concern here too. The districts boundaries at the northeast and southeast have regularly changed, however, with some effect on the 4th s politics. When it was created, the 4th included Linn County (but none of Benton) at its north, and all of Jackson and Josephine as its south. This changed over the years, but the configuration was similar through the 70s. In 1981, however, most of Jackson (including all of Medford) and Josephine in the south were grabbed by the 2nd district, and much of Benton County was added in the north;that tended to make the district a little more Democratic. The 2011 redistricting continued that trend, including Corvallis in the district making it home to Oregon s two leading universities, University of Oregon and Oregon State. Even so the district is fairly close in party registration and votes for president. For decades, the 4th was a highly competitive district. Its first six representatives alternated party control Harris Ellsworth (), Charles Porter (Democratic), Edwin Durno (), Robert Duncan (Democratic later serving in the 3rd district), John Dellenback (), and in 1974 in the Democratic Watergate sweep Democratic James Weaver. He served for 12 years, opting out in He was replaced by one of his former aides, who afterwards was elected to the Lane County Commission: Peter DeFazio. DeFazio s toughest race may have been his very first for Congress, winning by several hundred votes a tough three way primary. (One of his opponents was Bill Bradbury, later Oregon secretary of state.) He won the general that year with 54 against Jim Long, and generally has won since with larger margins. Between 1986 and, he won each election with a landslide more than 60 of the vote. was an unusual case. He was opposed by Art Robinson, a combative scientist of sometimes controversial views (he is strongly pro nuclear and a 23

24 global warming skeptic), but in many respects even more by a PAC called the Concerned Taxpayers of America (which consisted, in essence, of two businessmen from Maryland and New York) which poured more than $300,000 into a campaign using television ads to attack DeFazio. The ads apparently had some effect; they cut DeFazio s win to 54. Robinson has filed to run again in 2012; additionally, his son has filed against DeFazio in the Democratic primary. PARTY REGISTRATION in November of election years. Dem 171, , , Rep 140, , , N/A 82,816 86,635 82, Total 420, , ,656 GENERAL ELECTIONS Democrat Peter DeFazio 162, Art Robinson 129, Peter DeFazio 275, x Peter DeFazio 180, Jim Feldkamp 109, Peter DeFazio 228, Jim Feldkamp 140, Peter DeFazio 168, Liz VanLeeuwen 90, PETER DEFAZIO, D-Springfield Office: defazio,house.gov Campaign: Background: U.S. Air Force, Aide, Congressman Jim Weaver, Assistant Director, Senior Companion Program, Lane County. Owner, Tree Farm. M.A., Public Administration and Gerontology, University of Oregon, Attended, University of Oregon, B.A., Economics and Political Science, Tufts University, Political: Chair, Lane County Commission, Elected U.S. House, 1986, 1988, 1990, 1992, 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000,, 2004,, 2008,. Unsuccessful candidate for U.S. Senate 1996 (special election, lost to Ron Wyden D in primary). 24

25 U.S. House 5: Kurt Schrader (D) AREA All: Polk, Lincoln, Tillamook. Part: Clackamas, Marion, Benton. POPULATION 766,214. Previous district: 58,501 (-8.38 from target). Increase 00s: New Minority: (59th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D 38.43, R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D 39.82, R Margin change in 00s: D NEW DISTRICT Presidential vote 2008: Barack Obama (D) 187,183 (53.00) John McCain (R) 156,240 (44.24) By far Oregon s newest district, the 5th came into existence with the 1982 election but a ready made congressman Denny Smith, who had represented the 2nd for one term. At that time, the 2nd crossed the Cascades to include Salem, where Smith lived. After reapportionment, Salem became the heart of the mid Willamette 5th, which then consisted of Clackamas County, Marion County and some territory to the south including Corvallis and Albany. Smith had made waves by upsetting a veteran Democrat, Al Ullman, in Ten years later, Smith was upset himself by a Democrat, Mike Kopetski (in a rematch after a close 1988 race). He opted out in 1994, and in that sweep year the seat went to Yamhill County legislator Jim Bunn. During his single term, Bunn fielded some bad headlines after a divorce, followed by a marriage to one of his staffers, who was named chief of staff and (news reports noted) paid more than any other Oregon congressional staffer at that time. That made him vulnerable in 1996, when Clackamas Commissioner (and former legislator) Darlene Hooley opposed and narrowly beat him (51.24 to 46.06). The series of partisan turnovers stopped there, at least to this writing: The seat has remained Democratic since But the 5th is no landslide Democratic district. Hooley never seemed especially insecure in her district, but never won as much as 60 of a general election vote (her best was in 2000), although in the 90s the more Democratic coastal counties of Lincoln and Tillamook were added to the district. When she retired in 2008, the Democratic nominee was Kurt Schrader, a veteran Clackamas legislator, popular in his home district around Canby, and a moderate in the Democratic caucus with a reputation for fiscal conservatism. But even running against a seriously weakened, Mike Erickson (because of a series of missteps, even many fellow disowned him), Schrader won with just Running in against a much stronger opponent, Scott Bruun, his percentage dropped a bit. Reapportionment in 2011 was thought likely to make the 5th very slightly more Democratic, but its contours were not changed drastically from the 00s decade. Influenced somewhat by Portland, this is a partly suburban and 25

26 partly rural district, with large areas that have either a strong tradition (especially in Marion County) or strong current bases. Originally, a tilted district, this became more Democratic tilted as the last decade wore on. But the margins are close, and incumbents of either party will have to pay close attention to both the details of the district and the environment of the election year. PARTY REGISTRATION Dem 159, , , Rep 141, , , N/A 77,694 80,353 75, Total 399, , ,122 GENERAL ELECTIONS Democrat Kurt Schrader 145, Scott Bruun 130, Kurt Schrader 181, Mike Erickson 128, Darlene Hooley 146, Mike Erickson 116, Darlene Hooley 184, Jim Zupancic 154, Darlene Hooley 137, Brian Boquist 113, KURT SCHRADER, D-Canby Office: schrader.house.gov Campaign: Background: Veterinarian (Clackamas County Veterinary Clinic). Farmer. Canby planning commission. Cornell University. University of Illinois. Political: Unsuccessful run for Oregon House, Elected to Oregon House, 1996, 1998, Elected to Oregon Senate,,. Elected to U.S. House 2008,. 26

27 State Governor: John Kitzhaber (D) Up in Oregon s first three term governor, John Kitzhaber in 1998 his second run for the office had one of the greatest electoral sweeps of any Democrat ever to run for governor of the state, taking every county but one (Malheur). When he ran next, for a third term in, the election was so close that his opponent was still ahead in the count until well into the Wednesday after election day. But then, the governor s office has been closely contested for much of Oregon history. For example, of the state s first 20 governors, 11 were s and eight were Democrats. s developed a lock on the office through the 40s and into the 50s, and only the big Democratic resurgence in 1956 finally broke the string and only to a point. That governor elected in 1956, Robert Holmes, lasted only to the 1958 election when he lost to Mark Hatfield, who was followed by Tom McCall, and both of them served two terms. McCall was in turn followed Democrat Robert Straub, but he lasted only a term before defeat in 1978 by the man he had defeated to get there, legislator Vic Atiyeh. And Atiyeh served two terms. Since Atiyeh left after the 1986 election, however, Democrats have built their own grip on the office. They elected Neil Goldschmidt in 1986 and Barbara Roberts in 1990, then Kitzhaber for two terms. In between the Kitzhaber terms, Oregonians chose Democrat Ted Kulognoski (who had lost to Atiyeh in 1982). Not all of those races were easy wins for the Democrats Goldschmidt in 1986, Kulongoski in and Kitzhaber in were all close but by 2014 they will have added up to 28 years of continuous Democratic control of the office. Despite the close call in against Chris Dudley, Kitzhaber appears positioned to extend that run. Concerns were raised in the campaign that the governor dubbed Dr. No who had called the state ungovernable might be a problematic choice. But the 2011 legislative session, though control of the chambers was split, wound up one of the most productive in years, partly (participants said) owing to Kitzhaber s close working relationship with many legislative, including many s. Politically, Democratic control of the governor s office has been a result of strong support in a relative handful of counties rather than an even spread of voting percentages around the state. Those counties have included Multnomah and Washington (the two largest), Lane, Benton, Lincoln, Clatsop, Hood River and (ordinarily) Columbia. 27

28 GENERAL ELECTIONS Democrat John Kitzhaber 715, Chris Dudley 694, Ted Kulongoski 699, Ron Saxton 589, Ted Kulongoski 618, Kevin Mannix 581, John Kitzhaber 717, Bill Sizemore 334, John Kitzhaber 622, Denny Smith 517, Barbara Roberts 508, Dave Frohnmayer 444, Neil Goldschmidt 549, Norma Paulus 506, Ted Kulongoski 374, Vic Atiyeh 639, Robert Straub 409, Vic Atiyeh 498, Robert Straub 444, Vic Atiyeh 324, Robert Straub 293, Tom McCall 369, Robert Straub 305, Tom McCall 377, Robert Thornton 310, Mark Hatfield 345, JOHN KITZHABER, D-Portland Office: Campaign: Background: Physician. Emergency room physician, Roseburg, President, Estes Park Institute. Political: Dartmouth College. University of Oregon Medical School. Elected to state House, Elected to Oregon Senate, 1980, 1984, Elected Senate president, 1985, 1987, 1989, Elected governor, 1994, 1998,. 28

29 Democratic county wins for governor. Baker Benton Clackamas Clatsop 1998 Columbia Coos Crook Curry Deshutes Douglas Gilliam Grant Harney Hood River Jackson Jefferson Josephine Klamath Lake Lane Lincoln Linn Malheur Marion Morrow Multnomah Polk Sherman Tillamook Umatilla Union Wallowa Wasco Washington Wheeler Yamhill Oregon 29

30 Secretary of State: Kate Brown (D) Up in Candidates: Kate Brown D, Paul Damian Wells D, Knute Buehler R Most recent Oregon governors have come up through the state legislature (Kitzhaber, Kulongoski, Roberts, Atiyeh, Straub, Hatfield). So have most recent secretaries of state, often in a prominent way. Kate Brown is a former Senate majority, and previously minority, leader. (A possible record of some kind: Brown led Senate Democrats as both majority and minority leader and as caucus leader during an even split in the chamber; she also was the first woman to serve as Senate majority leader.) Her predecessor, Bill Bradbury, served in both the House and Senate and was Senate president. Before him, Phil Keisling, Barbara Roberts and Norma Paulus also were former legislators. The governor and secretary offices have some connection; the secretary is the second ranking state office, and secretaries have become governor more often than holders of the other constitutional offices. Other trends have broken in more recent years. s had a very long unbroken streak in holding this office, from when Rockey Preston Earhart took office in 1878 through the secretariat of Norma Paulus (who was both Oregon s first female secretary of state and its first statewide constitutional office holder), who left office in Since then, Democrats have had unbroken control: First Roberts, then Kiesling (a Democrat but a former staffer for Governor Tom McCall) and then Bradbury, who retired from the job in (He would run for governor two years later, losing in the Democratic primary to John Kitzhaber.) Brown s major challenge in moving to secretary of state was the 2008 Democratic primary election, in which she was one of three legislators state Senators Rick Metsger and Vicki Walker were the others (and in early stages, future Labor Commissioner Brad Avakian) and one other contender (Paul Damian Wells). Brown won decisively and outright, with 277,853 votes (51.91), over Metsger (27.24) in second place and Walker (18.09) in third. The general election campaign from Rick Dancer, a television newsman, was mostly lowkey, but did hold her to just over half the vote. In 2012, she is the only statewide partisan incumbent being challenged for re election. Democrat 2008 Kate Brown 873, Rick Dancer 785, Bill Bradbury 1,002, Betsy Close 690, Bill Bradbury 725, Lynn Snodgrass 652, Phil Keisling 767, Stan Ash 451,

31 KATE BROWN, D-Portland Office: Campaign: Background: Attorney, family and juvenile law. University of Colorado Boulder. Northwestern School of Law of Lewis and Clark College. Political: Appointed state House Elected state House 1992, Elected state Senate 1996, 2000, 2004 (86.5 over 2 minor party candidates). Seat up Elected Senate Democratic floor leader 1998, 2000,, 2004,. Elected secretary of state State Treasurer: Ted Wheeler (D) Up in Candidate: Ted Wheeler. In a number of other states, long stretches in office are not unusual for state treasurers, but Oregon has seen a steady turnover. Oregon never has had a state treasurer elected more than twice. (The office has been term limited since 1992, but the possibility of longer runs existed before that.) It also had steady turnover between the parties for many years; the longest period of partisan control has been the streak of five treasurers from 1890 to The second longest streak is the current one, by Democrats. After Tony Meeker left in 1992 (to pursue an unsuccessful race for the 1st district U.S. House seat), opening the seat, it was won by state Senator (and former representative) Jim Hill, who became the first African American elected statewide in Oregon. He was re elected in 1996 but was term limited in 2000 (he would later run twice for governor), when he was replaced by another Democratic legislator, Randall Edwards. He too served two terms until term limited, in His replacement was another Democratic legislator, but otherwise one of the most distinctive Oregon political figures in recent years. Ben Westlund, a rancher and businessman from the Bend area, had served in the House and Senate as a. He became less comfortable over time with the Party, however, in 2005 re registering as an independent, and for a time ran for governor in under that label. (He eventually dropped out and endorsed Democrat Ted Kulongoski.) Westlund finished his transition in late, becoming a Democrat, and then filing for treasurer in He had no primary contest but was held to a modest win by Allen Alley, who would run for governor two years later. Westlund was already a cancer survivor by that point, but in early he had an aggressive recurrence, and died on March 7 that year. Kulongoski 31

32 appointed as his replacement Ted Wheeler, a finance industry executive who four years before had been elected chair of the Multnomah County Commission. Wheeler stood for election later that year (to fill the rest of the four year term), and defeated State Senator Chris Telfer, who represented Westlund s Bend area district. Up for a full term in 2012, Wheeler was unopposed for re election as of the candidate filing deadline. Democrat Ted Wheeler 721, Chris Telfer 571, Ben Westlund 847, Allen Alley 750, Randall Edwards 889, Jeff Caton 688, Randall Edwards 705, Jon Kvistad 593, Jim Hill 676, Bev Clarno 575, TED WHEELER, D-Portland Office: Campaign: Background: Financial officer, Bank of America, Copper Mountain Trust. Stanford University. Columbia University. Harvard University. Political: Elected chair, Multnomah County Commission,. Appointed state treasurer,. Elected state treasurer,. Attorney General: John Kroger (D) Up in Candidates: Dwight Holton D, Ellen Rosenblum D The office of attorney general in most states is both elective and as old as the state itself, but not in Oregon (one of five where that is true). Oregon had been around for more than three decades when, in 1891, the legislature decided to create a Department of Justice (not to be confused, though it often is, with the Judicial Department, which is the courts) and an attorney general to lead it. The first was George Chamberlain, appointed to the job by the governor; he lasted three years (and later became governor himself). There have been 16 Oregon attorneys general in all. The longest serving was Isaac Van Winkle, from Both parties have had turns at it, but it has been in Democratic hands since Ted Kulongoski won it in After he departed, House Speaker Hardy Myers won it in 1996, and held it for three terms. When he opted out in 2008, a strong Democratic primary contest emerged between legislator Greg Macpherson and Oregon law professor, and former New York assistant U.S. Attorney, John Kroger. After an intensive 32

33 primary contest (in which several public employee unions, irritated at retirement legislation Macpherson had backed, supported Kroger), Kroger won with of the vote. No filed for the office, and Kroger actually won that party s nomination as well. Kroger said in 2011 that he will not run for re election in By the campaign filing deadline in March 2012, two contenders had filed, both Democrats. Democrat 2008 John Kroger 1,096, x Hardy Myers 935, Paul Connolly 690, Hardy Myers 715, Kevin Mannix 662, Hardy Myers 658, Victor Hoffer 517, JOHN KROGER, D-Portland Office: Campaign: Background: Former federal prosecutor. Law professor, Lewis and Clark Law School. Yale University. Harvard Law School. Political: Elected attorney general, Labor Commissioner Brad Avakian (NP) Up in Candidates: Brad Avakian, Bruce Starr. In 1995, the Oregon Legislature decided that the office of labor commissioner the head of the Oregon bureau of Labor & Industries should be nonpartisan. It had not been up to then. When it was created in 1903, it went to O.P. Hoff, who held it as a. The first three s to hold it were followed by three Democrats. The seventh holder of the job, and the last formal partisan to hold it, was Jack Roberts, a Lane County commissioner. Elected in 1994, just before the label change, he won re election in 1998 as a non partisan office holder. The partisan identifications of his two next successors have not been hard to work out. Democratic legislator Dan Gardner was elected in and. In March 2008, he left to take a Washington, D.C. based job with the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, and Governor Ted Kulongoski appointed Democratic state Senator Brad Avakian to the post Brad Avakian 690,000 Dan Gardner 443, Pavel Goberman x ,

34 Dan Gardner 349, Don Frazier 140, Jack Roberts 305, Mike Fahey 214, BRAD AVAKIAN, np-beaverton Office: Campaign: Background: Portland State University, Oregon State University, Lewis and Clark College (law). Political: Elected to Oregon House, Elected to Oregon Senate. Appointed labor commissioner Elected labor commission, Unsuccessful race for U.S. House, Superintendent of Public Instruction Susan Castillo (NP) There have been 20 superintendents of public instruction in Oregon, since the office was created in There will not be any more. At least as far as contemplated in Oregon law: In 2011, the Oregon legislature reorganized education administration in the state and did away with the job as an elective post. (In effect, the governor will then become the state education administrator in addition to his other duties, and will appoint an administrator to oversee that area.) At that point, the incumbent superintendent, Susan Castillo, had just been re elected to a four year term. She may serve it all, because the law does not make the change until either the term is up or Castillo departs. She has not indicated when or if she will leave before the term s end. Although an elective post, it has not usually been hotly contested, though when it has been, the lines have been understandably partisan. In 1998, when the office came open (two term Superintendent Norma Paulus did not run again), the two runoff contenders (from a large primary field) were identifiable enough: Margaret Carter, a Democratic state senator from Portland, and Stan Bunn, a in both the state House and Senate. Bunn won that race, but during his term was snagged in a series of ethics complaints. The election came while they were still underway, and he came in third in the primary that year. The runoff candidates were again identifiable partisans: Castillo, a Democratic state senator, and Rob Kremer, a activist. Castillo won decisively. Her re election in was quiet, but was a close call. legislator Ron Maurer campaigned on an argument of shaking up the superintendent s office, and he came within a few votes of forcing the election into the general. The race may in any event have added more energy to the education reorganization effort that did pass the legislature the next year. 34

35 Susan Castillo 350, Ron Maurer 347, Susan Castillo 372, Deborah Andrews 226, Susan Castillo 406, Rob Kremer 222, Margaret Carter 412, Stan Bunn 522, SUSAN CASTILLO, np-eugene Office: Campaign: Background: Journalist (KVAL TV, Eugene). Native Los Angeles (August 1951). Oregon State University. Political: Elected state Senate 1996, 2000 (Democrat). Elected superintendent,,. 35

36 Legislature - Senate 30 members. Democrats: 16, s: 14. Senate seats up for election in R Jeff Kruse 2 R Jason Atkinson 5 D Joanne Verger 9 R Fred Girod 12 R Brian Boquist 14 D Mark Hass 17 D Elizabeth Steiner Hayward 18 D Ginny Burdick 21 D Diane Rosenbaum 22 D Chip Shields 23 D Jackie Dingfelder 25 D Laurie Monnes Anderson 27 R Chris Telfer 28 R Doug Whitsett 29 R David Nelson 30 R Ted Ferrioli Legislature - House Democrats: 30, s: 30. All 60 seats are up for election in

37 Party control the last century Year Governor D R R R R D D R R I I D D R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R R R R D D R R R R House D House R Senate D Senate R

38 D D D D D D D D D D D D D Seats switching party control Changes in not listed because districts changed that year with redistricting. Major county noted. Winner in party shift noted. There were two mid term party switches since they did not constitute voter changes. Senator Ben Westlund, last elected to the Senate as a, switched to become first an independent and then a Democrat; his Deschutes County seat reverted to in the next election. Senator Avel Gordly, elected as a Democrat, switched to independent; when she opted out at the next election, the seat remained Democratic. Seven districts switched twice in one direction, then back again. None switched three times. This list notes the direction of the shift, and the winner that year. Senate 3 Senate 5 House 10 House 14 House 21 House 22 House 29 House 29 House 30 House 30 House 35 Senate 20 Jackson Lincoln Lincoln Lane Marion Marion Washington Washington Washington Washington Washington Clackamas R>D R>D R>D R>D R>D R>D R>D D>R R>D D>R R>D D>R Alan Bates Joann Verger Jean Cowan Chris Edwards Brian Clem Betty Comp Chuck Riley Katie Eyre Brewer David Edwards Shawn Lindsay Larry Galizio Alan Olsen

39 House 49 House 49 House 50 House 50 Senate 26 House 51 House 51 House 52 House 52 House 54 House 54 Multnomah Multnomah Multnomah Multnomah Multnomah Clackamas Clackamas Multnomah Multnomah Deschutes Deschutes R>D D>R D>R R>D D>R R>D D>R R>D D>R R>D D>R Nick Kahl Matthew Wand John Lim Greg Matthews Chuck Thomsen Brent Barton Patrick Sheehan Suzanne VanOrman Mark Johnson Judy Stiegler Jason Conger Close legislative general elections 10 Distance measure of vote from Democratic; a minus results means a win. Of these 20 closest legislative general election contests, s won 12, Democrats eight. Seat Year Democrat H 28 Jeff Barker 7, Keith Parker S 20 Martha Schrader 22, Alan Olsen 23, S3 Alan Bates 24, H 22 Betty Komp 5, Cliff Zauner 5, H 30 Aron Carleson 8, Derrick Kitts 8, H 59 Jim Gilbertson 10, John Dallum 10, H Jean Cowan 14, Alan Brown 15, S Joanne Verger 30, Al Pearn 29, H 24 Sal Peralta 10, Donna Nelson 11, H Judy Stiegler 16, Chuck Burley 16, H Toby Forsberg 13, Bill Kennemer 14, H 37 12, Julie Parrish 13, H 10 Will Rasmussen Marcia Thompson 11, Alan Brown 11, H Arnie Roblan 15, Susan Massey 14, S 19 Richard Devlin 22, H Larry Galizio 24, Bob Tiernan Suzanne 13, Gallagher 12, H Mike Schaufler 12, Dave Mowry 11, H 39 Martha Schrader H 10 Jean Cowan H 29 Chuck Riley 24, Dave Dotterrer 9, Wayne Scott 12, Alan Brown 6, Mary Gallegos 39 Gap 7, , , ,

40 Voter registration advantages Reflects the gap between voter registration, by legislative district, of the two major parties. The numbers were posted for February 2012, after redistricting. Incumbents reflect the seat s occupant after the general election. Senate District * 8 5* Totals * 12* Incumbent Dem D Rep R All D lead Shields-D 49,186 RosenbaumD 46,210 Dingfelder-D 43,919 Burdick-D 37,242 Monroe-D 25,797 Hayward-D 30,726 Edwards-D 31,852 Hass-D 28,524 Beyer-D 29,211 Prozanski-D 33,506 Courtney-D 19,154 Anderson-D 23,707 Devlin-D 34,737 Johnson-D 29,867 Morse-R 28,257 Verger-D 27, ,650 Starr-R 21,573 Thomsen-R 25,612 Bates-D 28,698 Olsen-R 28,024 Winters-R 24,715 Telfer-R 24,648 George-R 18,527 Boquist-R 12,809 Girod-R 21,644 Kruse-R 23,162 Nelson-R 17,312 Ferrioli-R 19,203 Atkinson-R 20,441 Whitsett-R 18, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,020, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

41 House District 43 Frederick-D 28, Bailey-D 25, Kotek-D 20, Dembrow-D 23, KenyGuyer-D 20, Nolan-D 21, Tomei-D 20,318 8 Holvey-D 21, Smith-D 13, Gelser-D 16, Garrett-D 20, Greenlick-D 16, Nathanson-D 16, Schaufler-D 12,274 5 Buckley-D 18, Harker-D 13, Read-D 15, Wand-R 11,850 10* Cowan-D 13, Doherty-D 15, Clem-D 11, Beyer-D 13, Barnhart-D 16, Barker-D 12, Witt-D 15, Hoyle-D 14, Komp-D 7, Matthews-D 11, Hunt-D 14,483 Totals 824,650 32* Boone-D 14, Brewer-R 9, Sheehan-R 11,934 9 Roblan-D 14, Lindsay-R 11, Johnson-R 13, Conger-R 12, Parrish-R 14, Berger-R 12,852 24* Weidner-R 2, Olson-R 11, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,020, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

42 19 Cameron-R 39 Kennemer-R 26 Wingard-R 59 Huffman-R 7 Hanna-R 25* Thatcher-R 23* Thompson-R 17 Sprenger-R 6 Esquivel-R 1 Krieger-R 18 Gilliam-R 53 Whisnant-R 57 Smith-R 3 Hicks-R 2 Freeman-R 55 McLane-R 58 Jenson-R 4 Richardson-R 56 Garrard-R 60 Bentz-R 11,863 13,541 11,698 11,450 12,398 6,829 10,385 11,007 10,276 12,829 10,637 11,702 7,231 10,953 10,333 10,305 10,081 9,488 8,275 7, ,353 15,257 13,295 13,412 14,618 8,299 12,669 13,987 13,183 16,842 14,081 15,825 10,248 15,633 14,550 16,193 15,858 16,339 15,820 15, ,677 38,370 33,784 33,644 36,452 19,974 30,594 34,153 32,487 39,687 33,161 38,109 25,297 37,243 33,336 36,270 35,139 35,526 31,633 31,

43 1st Senate District AREA All: Curry. Part: Douglas, Jackson, Josephine. Communities: Roseburg, Brookings, Coquille, Bandon, Gold Beach, Canyonville, Port Orford, Myrtle Point, Green, Dillard, Riddle, Selma. REPUBLICAN REPUBLICAN Margin change CANDIDATES POPULATION 127,288 Previous district: 120,277 (-5.81 from target). Increase 00s: 5.78 (25th largest). New Minority: (30th largest). New Hispanic: (Feb) R D (Nov) R 42.33, D in 00s: R (5th largest) 2012 R Jeff Kruse D Eldon Rollins District 1 takes in the far southwest corner of Oregon, though the most obvious facts of that the area bumping up against the Pacific Ocean and and against California have less effect here than the map might suggest. This district does connect with California through two highways, but not Interstate 5; the commercial and other links exist but are more modest than around Ashland and Medford. And while there are a number of coastal communities, they are mainly small in population. Most of the people here live inland, and concerns about resource industries such as timber and agriculture tend to loom larger in the area s politics. It is a rural natural resource district. REDISTRICTING Only small changes. Partisan difference should be minor. 43

44 Added In Coos County, rural area south (along the coast) and east of Coos Bay. In Douglas, remote, lightly populated rural areas west southeast of Roseburg. And the portion of Josephine in the district increased from just the NE corner of the county to the include rural areas north of Grants Pass and Merlin and west of Hwy 199, including the rural Cave Junction area. Deleted Part of the Roseburg area, ceded to SD 4. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 22,811 22,998 24, Rep 29,172 30,372 28, N/A 12,633 12,950 13, Total 68,909 68,764 68,750 ELECTIONS Senate up in Sen 1 Democrat 2008 Eldon Rollins 2004 Bruce Cronk 16,461 19,992 pct Jeff Kruse Jeff Kruse pct 38, , PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. JEFF KRUSE, R-Roseburg State: Background: Co Owner Kruse Farms. Farmer, Supervisor Oregon Turkey Growers, construction worker, farm laborer. Roseburg High School, BS in economics, Willamette University. Oregon Assn of Conservation Districts, Douglas County Planning Advisory Committee. Political: Elected to House 1996, 1998, 2000,. Elected to Senate 2004, 2008,. 44

45 1st House District AREA All: Curry. Part: Coos, Josephine, Jackson, Douglas. Communities: Brookings, Bandon, Coquille, Gold Beach, Myrtle Point, O Brien, Merlin. POPULATION 64,053 Previous district: 58,501 (-8.38 from target). Increase 00s: (54th largest). New Minority: (59th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: R (7th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Wayne Krieger, D Jim Klahr House 1 is the western part of Senate 1; most of its population hugs the Pacific Coast in communities scattered from Brookings to Bandon. On the east side, there s some population in Josephine County along th west side of highway 199 (the areas around but not including Merlin, Cave Junction, O Brien) and around Roseburg, which this district grazes. So: This is a half coastal district, with coastal communities more retirement than vacation oriented; and half inland resource dominated, with a traditional timber and farm base. REDISTRICTING Unlikely to change significantly in voting. Added, in Coos County, rural area south (along the coast) and east of Coos Bay. In Douglas, the Melrose area and rural (mostly uninhabited) tracts west of it. And the portion of Josephine in the district increased from just the NE corner of the county to the include rural areas north of Grants Pass and Merlin and west of Hwy 199, including the rural Cave Junction area. Deleted not much. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 11,973 12,218 12, Rep 14,546 14,995 14, N/A 6,535 6,622 6, Total 35,225 35,102 34,943 18,115 17,590 16,736 19,746 15, ELECTIONS H Democrat Eldon Rollins Rick Goche x Charles Hochberg Dave Tilton 6,875 11, ,088 7, Wayne Krieger Wayne Krieger Wayne Krieger Wayne Krieger Wayne Krieger

46 PRIMARIES The most recent primary, Democratic, saw Lynn Kindred defeat (2,724/66.2) Eldon Rollins. In 2004, Wayne Krieger was challenged in the primary by Tom Hall and easily won (5,644/82.16). WAYNE KRIEGER, R-Gold Beach State: Campaign: Background: Owner, Skyview Ranch and Tree Farm. Oregon State Police, Oregon Technical Institute; Oregon State Police Academy. Oregon Board of Forestry; Governor's Water Enhancement Board, 1996 to present. Political: Elected to House 2000,, 2004,,2008,. 2nd House District AREA All: none. Part: Douglas, Josephine, Jackson. Communities: Roseburg (part), Myrtle Creek, Canyonville, Riddle, Glendale, Merlin (part), Dillard. POPULATION 63,235 Previous district: 61,776 (-3.25 from target). Increase 00s: (39th largest). New Minority: (57th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (51st largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Tim Freeman Nearly all of the people in House 2 live within 15 minutes or so of Interstate 5, from the small community of Merlin in the south to Roseburg up north; Roseburg, one of Oregon s older communities (founded 1851) is the large community here (and provides close to a third of the district s people). It is older demographically too, than many Oregon communities; the substantial Veterans Administration health center at Roseburg, as well as the outdoor environment, has been a draw for some seniors. Its city seal proclaims Roseburg as the Timber Capital of the Nation, but that s less true these days; as in many parts of the west, timber production is down and the timber industry isn t as much as it was a few decades ago. REDISTRICTING Unlikely to change much in voting patterns. Added scattered rural precincts east of Roseburg and Days Creek. In Josephine, a rural area between Merlin and Grants Pass. Deleted a few remote precincts toward the southwest of the district. 46

47 PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 10,838 10,780 11, Rep 14,626 15,377 14, N/A 6,128 6,328 6, Total 33,684 33,662 33,607 ELECTIONS H Democrat Harry McDermott Harry McDermott Linda Mongkeya Bruce Cronk 6,077 9, ,167 5, Tim Freeman Tim Freeman Susan Morgan Susan Morgan Susan Morgan 15, , , , , PRIMARIES Tom Freeman had a primary against Jim Fox on his way to winning the House seat in 2008, but won decisively (4,995/57.35). In 2004, his predecessor Susan Morgan defeated (4,475/60.09) a challenge from Carol Malmay. TIM FREEMAN, R-Roseburg State: Campaign/external: Background: Owner/operator, Freeman s Garden Valley Shell station. Roseburg, Myrtle, Canyonville, Riddle chambers of commerce. Political: Roseburg City Council, Elected to House 2008,. 47

48 2nd Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Josephine, Jackson. Communities: Grants Pass, Medford (small part), Central Point, Cave Junction, White City, Eagle Point, Rogue River, Gold Hill, Redwood, O Brien. REPUBLICAN REPUBLICAN Margin change CANDIDATES POPULATION 129,070 Previous district: 126,966 (-0.58 from target). Increase 00s: (12th largest). New Minority: 13,03 (26th largest). New Hispanic: (Feb) R D (Nov) R D th in 00s: D (24 largest) 2012 R Herman Baertschiger, D Jim Diefenderfer In one of the early meetings of the 2011 redistricting committee, Senator Jason Atkinson said his district could be seen as a string of small towns connected by some of the most famous rivers on the coast, the Rogue and Illinois among them. Although District 2 touches on Medford and takes in Grants Pass (a river town), the description seems apt. A lot of small riverside towns are here, and the people here long have been focused on resource 48

49 industries. Cutbacks in recent decades in timber production have led to local financial problems (Josephine is among the federal lands counties facing serious revenue issues). Tourism has been increasing as a major component. This area was one of those represented, before the mid-80s, by conservative Democrats (in this case Debbs Potts, from ), but turned solidly in the years since. Senate President Brady Adams represented this area. Three-term Senator Jason Atkinson said he is opting out in REDISTRICTING District 2 lost substantial acreage but is unlikely to change in partisan pitch. Added in Jackson County, the small, rural Wimer area (north of Rogue River), a rural area west of Jacksonville and Eagle Point and White City precincts. Deleted a lot of land area, including about a third of rural Josephine County (though it retains Grants Pass, Cave Junction, Merlin and others), a rural area on the Jacksonville Highway in Jackson County, and precincts in the Central Point northwest Medford boundary. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 21,902 21,351 21, Rep 32,610 34,161 32, N/A 14,880 15,108 15, Total 74,398 73,086 71,805 ELECTIONS Up in Sen 2 Democrat 2008 Richard Koopmans 17, x Jason Atkinson 0.00 Jason Atkinson 39,265 45,379 PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. JASON ATKINSON, R-Central Point State: Background: Founded Allmend Tree Creative, corporate consultants. Book: What We All Wish Politicians Understood. Son of former state chair Perry Atkinson. Political: Elected to House Elected to Senate 2000, 2004, Unsuccessful run for governor

50 3rd House District AREA All: none. Part: Josephine. Communities: Grants Pass, Cave Junction, Merlin, Redwood, Selma, Williams. POPULATION 64,825 Previous district: 63,226 (-0.98 from target). Increase 00s: (29th largest). New Minority: (54th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (41st largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Wally Hicks, Jack Swift Grants Pass is the anchor for District 3; the district includes nearly all of that city, and the lightly populated lands (including Cave Junction) south of it in Josephine County, down to the California line. This is country focused on the outdoors, traditionally timber country. More recently, the local economy has taken a series of hits, and Josephine County is one of the fiscally troubled. It is very territory; this is one of the most strongly legislative districts on the west side of Oregon. REDISTRICTING Almost no partisan change. Added the area around Williams south of Grants Pass and the area around Merlin in the north of Josephine, are the main additions. Deleted a large rural and mostly uninhabited area of Josephine, generally west and northwest of Highway 199, were moved to District 1. The immediate Cave Junction, Selma and O'Brien areas were retained in District 3. Also deleted: a small rural area immediate north of Grants Pass (on the north side of I 5). PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 11,137 10,823 10, Rep 15,278 16,294 15, N/A 7,463 7,623 7, Total 36,541 36,182 35,439 16,054 16,982 14,394 18,749 14, ELECTIONS H Democrat x Julie Rubenstein Howard Owens Kevin Marr x Wally Hicks 10, Ron Maurer 8, Ron Maurer 9, Gordon Anderson Gordon Anderson 50

51 PRIMARIES One in, a three way contest in which the vote between the top two was recounted. Gordon Anderson defeated (4,206/47.22) close running Pat Fahey, and Jack Feder. WALLY HICKS, R-Grants Pass State: Campaign: Background: Deputy district attorney. Staff of state Senator David Nelson (2007). Former Marine (captain), Iraq war veteran (2nd in Oregon legislature). Political: Elected to House. 4th House District AREA All: none. Part: Jackson, Josephine. Communities: Central Point, Rogue River, Gold Hill, White City, Eagle Point. POPULATION 64,235 Previous district: 63,740 (-0.17 from target). Increase 00s: 8.36 (24th largest). New Minority: (43rd largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (45th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Dennis Richardson House 4, the northeastern part of Senate District 2, takes in the mostly valley area (much of it along the Rogue River) generally between Grants Pass on the west and Medford on the east. The largest communities wholly in the district is Central Point, which accounts for about a third of its population. There is also a smattering of small exurban towns on the Medford side. This probably is the most decisively legislative district on the west side of Oregon. s have been periodically challenged, but no Democrat has come close to winning here for a very long time. REDISTRICTING Virtually no partisan change. Added scattered precinct additions, including an area immediate north of Grants Pass (north of I 5), a rural area west of Jacksonville and the Wimer area north of Rogue River. Deleted: District 4 was contracted more than added to, in geographic area. It lost rural precincts to the northwest (several miles north of Grants Pass), the northeast (a rural area west of Shady Cove and northwest of Eagle 51

52 Point). More significant in population concerns, it lost a substantial piece of northwest Medford to District 6. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 10,765 10,528 10, Rep 17,332 17,867 17, N/A 7,417 7,485 7, Total 37,847 36,904 36,366 ELECTIONS H Democrat Rick Levine x Richard Koopmans Richard Koopmans Shayne Maxwell 7, ,214 8,937 9, Dennis Richardson Dennis Richardson Dennis Richardson Dennis Richardson Dennis Richardson 17,495 19,641 16,604 21,649 13, PRIMARIES One primary contest in the last decade, a challenge of incumbent moderate Cherryl Walker by more conservative Dennis Richardson; Richardson won (5,655/60.75). DENNIS RICHARDSON, R-Central Point State: Campaign: Background: Attorney (Dennis Richardson & Associates). Army service (Vietnam). Chair, 5th congressional district organization. Brigham Young University (law), Harbor College. Political: Elected to House, 2004,, 2008,. 52

53 3rd Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Jackson. Communities: Medford (most), Ashland, Jacksonville, Talent, Phoenix. POPULATION 126,631 Previous district: 124,839 (-2.24 from target). Increase 00s: (18th largest). New Minority: (16th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D Margin change in 00s: D (9th largest) R R Oregon s major metro area south of Eugene is based around District 3, generally taking in Medford and southern Jackson County, but also importantly Ashland, which with its university and Shakespeare Festival affects the whole area. But Medford is the big population center, an economic and service center, its anchor. The towns run, with Interstate 5 next to them, in a string through a large valley; the mountains that separate them from California rise up to the south. Most of the land area is open and lightly populated, and. REDISTRICTING Not much change, but despite the revised party registration records, seems as if it may move very slightly Democratic. Added part of northern Medford and part of Central Point. A rural area on the Jacksonville Highway (several miles southwest of Jacksonville) Deleted a rural area just west of Jacksonville, and some rural areas just east of Medford and Central Point. 53

54 PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 28,539 25,565 23, Rep 24,530 26,956 26, N/A 13,630 14,838 14, Total 71,198 69,589 67,503 ELECTIONS Up in Sen Democrat Alan Bates Alan Bates Alan Bates Virginia Lemon 0 24,550 30,552 32,563 17, Dave Dotterrer 24,275 Lynn Aiello 17,321 Jim Wright 30,101 Lenn Hannon 27, PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. ALAN BATES, D-Ashland State: Campaign: Background: Physician in private practice. Central Washington State University, Kansas City College of Osteopathic Medicine. Interned at Denver General and Rocky Mountain Hospital in Colorado. Chief of Medicine at both RVMC and Providence Medical Center. Eagle Point School Board. Political: Elected to state House 2000,. Elected to state Senate 2004,,. 54

55 5th House District AREA All: none. Part: Jackson. Communities: Ashland, Medford (part), Jacksonville, Talent, Phoenix. POPULATION 62,923 Previous district: 61,343 (-3.93 from target). Increase 00s: 7.03 (44th largest). New Minority: (40th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (14th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Peter Buckley, R Sandra Abercrombie The 5th includes the part of Jackson County generally lying south of Medford, and includes most of the county s other substantial communities, such as Jacksonville, Phoenix, Talent and especially Ashland, the largest city here and home to more than a third of the district s voters. There is still some natural resource economy here, but Ashland s university slash Shakespearean influences also help make it much the most Democratic legislative district in southwest Oregon. The Ashland based seat has been won here by Democrats with landslide margins for more than a decade. REDISTRICTING A slight move in the direction. Added a number of precincts from Medford in the south (generally south of Stewart Avenue, with some jags). Also, rural areas in western Jackson along the Jacksonville Highway, and rural area northeast of Phoenix. Deleted some precincts in southwest Medford, and a small piece of territory in far southeast Medford. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 17,717 15,710 14, Rep 10,486 11,683 11, N/A 7,392 8,376 8, Total 38,054 37,195 35,875 ELECTIONS H Democrat Peter Buckley Peter Buckley Peter Buckley Peter Buckley Alan Bates 16, Sandra Abercrombie 18, x 19, x 20, Joanna Lofaso 17, x 55 9, ,

56 PRIMARIES Peter Buckley had a primary contest in his first state House run in 2004, winning narrowly (4,140/51.69) over Judith Uherbelau. PETER BUCKLEY, D-Ashland State: Campaign: Background: Manager, non profit organizations. Political commentator, NPR, Blue Oregon. Moved to Ashland in 1997 from Humboldt County, California. University of Santa Clara. Political: Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. 6th House District AREA All: none. Part: Jackson. Communities: Medford (part, central). POPULATION 63,708 Previous district: 63,496 (-0.56 from target). Increase 00s: (28th largest). New Minority: (26th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (24th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Sal Esquivel One of the few small area legislative districts in Oregon outside the northern Willamette Valley, the 6th roughly (not perfectly) matches the lines of the city of Medford. The service, manufacturing and agribusiness city leans, though not by as much as much of the territory around it. The Medford focus of this district is indicated by its incumbent legislator s history. After Medford City Council member Sal Esquivel s appointment to fill the Senate seat held by Lenn Hannon, he learned the House seat based in Medford (then held by Rob Patridge) would be open. He ran for it instead of the Senate seat he already held. He said the reason was that he knows Medford so well after almost eight years on the City Council. REDISTRICTING Both parties seem to have lost registrants here. Added a large piece of northern and northwest Medford (including the airport area), up to the Central Point line. It also gained precincts in southwest Medford, notably west of downtown. Deleted a number of precincts on the south side of town, generally south of Stewart Avenue. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) 56

57 Dem 10,822 9,855 9, Rep 14,044 15,273 14, N/A 6,238 6,462 6, Total 33,144 32,394 31,626 12,407 14,622 11,423 16,481 13, ELECTIONS H Democrat Lynn Howe Lynn Howe Mike Moran John Doty Barbara Davidson 9,468 12,638 10,541 11,724 7, Sal Esquivel Sal Esquivel Sal Esquivel Sal Esquivel Rob Patridge PRIMARIES The cycle before he won election to the House, Sal Esquivel lost a primary contest to Rob Patridge (5,859/82.24). SAL ESQUIVEL, R-Medford State: Campaign/external: Background: Equipment and parts business, real estate. Lives in West Medford. Navy. Worked at KOGAP (wood plant). Southern Oregon College. Political: Medford City Council. Appointed, state Senate March Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. 57

58 4th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Lane, Douglas. Communities: Eugene (part), Roseburg (part), Veneta, Cottage Grove, Oakland, Yoncalla, Darin, Elkton, Glide, Lowell. POPULATION 126,850 Previous district: 122,124 (-4.37 from target). Increase 00s: (21st largest). New Minority: (29th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R th Margin change in 00s: D (16 largest) The political stretch from Roseburg to Eugene is large; the one strongly conservative, the other more liberal Democratic than just about 58

59 anywhere in Oregon outside Portland. But the weight of the population rests more to the north, in Lane County, than to the south in Douglas. The two House districts here reflect the split; one, based close to the Eugene area (and including much of southern Eugene but skirting Springfield), is clearly Democratic, and the other, including the more rural and southern reaches, is clearly. The balance is Democratic, and this area has been electing Democratic senators for some time. This district, with strong resource industry and university influences, has distinct constituencies, and redistricting could matter here. The shifts for 2012 which actually occurred, however, don t suggest much change. REDISTRICTING The district appears to have shifted slightly. Added part of Roseburg; some rural area west of Veneta and northwest of Eugene; and small rural tracts west and southeast of Creswell. Deleted a string of rural forest precincts in Douglas, including the Melrose area west of Roseburg and several mountain precincts to its southeast. Also several rural Lane precincts, some miles atop the coastal range west of Elkton and Cottage Grove. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 32,345 28,991 27, Rep 21,705 22,484 21, N/A 14,247 14,747 14, Total 72,983 69,115 66,116 ELECTIONS Up in Sen Democrat Floyd Prozanski Floyd Prozanski Floyd Prozanski Tony Corcoran 0 29,077 30,402 38,211 24, Marilyn Kittelman Bill Eddie Norm Thomas David Alsup 0 20,961 17,327 23,871 17,317 PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. FLOYD PROZANSKI, D-Eugene State: Background: Attorney; city prosecutor, assistant district attorney. Served on various boards and commissions. Texas A&M University; South Texas College of Law. Political: Elected to House 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000,. Appointed to Senate vacancy December 2003 (replaced Tony Corcoran). Elected to Senate 2004,

60 7th House District AREA All: none. Part: Douglas, Lane. Communities: Roseburg (part), Cottage Grove, Oakland, Yoncalla, Elkton, Oakridge, Drain, Lowell, Glide. POPULATION 63,893 Previous district: 59,574 (-6.70 from target). Increase 00s: (47th largest). New Minority: (60th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (49th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Bruce Hanna; D Fergus Mclean, Susan Applegate The 7th is the geographically larger part of Senate 4, including all of its Douglas County territory down to Roseburg, and most of eastern rural Lane County; Cottage Grove and Oakland area among the main communities wholly here. This is ancestral timber land and resource industry county, and leans clearly (especially the Douglas portion). This is home too to House co speaker Bruce Hanna, a soft drink bottling executive from Roseburg. The district has elected s consistently for a couple of decades. REDISTRICTING Little change in this House district. Added a small rural area between Creswell and Lowell; another small rural area east of Melrose. Deleted larger rural areas. One is a rural area west of Cottage Grove; another is west of Elkton, another west of Melrose; and several scattered tracts southeast of Roseburg. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 12,249 11,685 12, Rep 14,320 14,604 13, N/A 6,581 6,517 6, Total 35,361 34,069 33,723 ELECTIONS H Democrat Sara Byers Donald Nordin Shirley Cairns Donald Nordin 8,832 9, ,952 7, Bruce Hanna Bruce Hanna Bruce Hanna Bruce Hanna Jeff Kruse 16, , , , ,

61 PRIMARIES In his last run for the House in, Jeff Kruse was primaried by Cedric Lee Hayden, winning narrowly (3,512/51.26). There have been two Democratic primaries here since. In 2004 Shirley Cairns won the nomination (3,206/65.48) over Greg Thorne. And in 2008 Donald Nordin won (3,634/55.93) over Nick McKibbin. BRUCE HANNA, R-Roseburg State: Background: Executive, Automatic Vending Service, Coca Cola Bottling Company of Roseburg. Manager Coca Cola Bottling/Siskiyou Beverages, Dairy Queen franchise at Pleasant Hill. Umpqua Community College, Northwest Christian College (1996). Political: Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. Elected minority leader, Elected co speaker of the House. 8th House District AREA All: none. Part: Lane. Communities: Eugene (part), Veneta. POPULATION 62,957 Previous district: 62,550 (-2.04 from target). Increase 00s: (30th largest). New Minority: (49th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (17th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Paul Holvey, R Aaron Baker House 8 takes in some relatively rural areas south, west (including the city of Veneta) and northwest of Eugene, and picked up a few more in redistricting, but its heart is in the southern part of Eugene, around the University of Oregon. Democratic voter registration here runs high districtwide, Democrats have been outnumbering Republians 2 1. (The Democratic margin among registrants here is higher than the in District 7, accounting for the Senate district s overall Democratic tilt.) REDISTRICTING Moves toward, though still strongly Democratic, far from parity. Added mainly rural tracts in two areas. One is northwest and west of Veneta (including the Fern Ridge Lake area) up into the Coastal Range. The other is rural areas west of Cottage Grove and Creswell. Deleted precincts in southern Eugene. 61

62 PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 20,096 17,306 14, Rep 7,385 7,880 8, N/A 7,666 8,230 7, Total 37,622 35,046 32, , ,460 8,999 5, ELECTIONS H Democrat Paul Holvey Paul Holvey Paul Holvey Paul Holvey Floyd Prozanski 0 17, Simone Gordon 23, x 18, Andrew Hill 22, Bill Young 14, Greg McNeill PRIMARIES Paul Holvey s first election after appointment was met with two primary challengers, Marlene Colbath and Hart Williams. Holvey easily won (5,726/67.52). PAUL HOLVEY, D-Eugene State: Campaign: Background: Community Relations Representative, Northwest Carpenters (United Brotherhood of Carpenters); carpenter. Lane County Labor Council. Licensed real estate appraiser. Political: Appointed to House January Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. 62

63 5th Senate District AREA All: Lincoln. Part: Tillamook, Yamhill, Polk, Lane, Douglas, Coos. Communities: Coos Bay, Newport, Lincoln City, North Bend, Florence, Waldport, Toledo, Yachats, Siletz, Neskowin, Depoe Bay, Pacific City, Hebo, Netarts. POPULATION 127,374 Previous district: 117,755 (7.79 from target). Increase 00s: (29th largest). New Minority: (22nd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (23rd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Arnie Roblan, R Scott Roberts The central coastal area has for decades been a Democratic leaning area, but the lean has not been overwhelming. The Democratic edge in registration is clear, but the voters are true ticket splitters, and swing both ways in general elections. This is more true in the southern part of the district, around Coos Bay, where tourism is lighter, people depend on fishing, shipping and timber, and the economy has been weak for quite a long time. Conditions are somewhat more prosperous and stable to the north, around Newport and Lincoln City. The two term senator from here, Joanne Verger, is a Democrat but only barely won the seat in 2004, though she had been a four term mayor at Coos Bay (that city s first woman to hold the position). She was unopposed in 2008, but opted out for REDISTRICTING Little change in partisan balance. Added in Tillamook County, the Netarts, Hebo, and Neskowin areas. In Yamhill County, a slice including much of the Willamina and Sheridan areas in the western part of the county. In Polk County, a slice of a rural mountain area including Falls City. In Lane and Douglas counties, a few rural mountain precincts in the Coastal Range. 63

64 Deleted a rural area in Lane County west of Veneta to the top of the Coast Range; and in Coos County, two rural areas east and south of Coos Bay/North Bend. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 28,392 27,816 27, Rep 21,142 22,912 22, N/A 13,260 14,473 13, Total 66,616 67,298 65,921 ELECTIONS Up in House Co Speaker Arnie Roblan, who has represented half of this district in the House, has announced his race for this Senate seat. Sen 5 Democrat 2008 Joanne Verger 2004 Joanne Verger 0 40, x 30, Al Pearn , PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. JOANNE VERGER, D-Coos Bay State: Background: Co Owner Verger Chrysler Plymouth Dodge. Northwestern State University, Louisiana State University. Coos Bay North Bend Water Board: 3 years; President of the League of Oregon Cities for Political: Coos Bay City Council , mayor Elected to state House 2000,. Elected to Senate 2004,

65 9th House District AREA All: none. Part: Coos, Lane, Douglas. Communities: Coos Bay, North Bend, Florence, Reedsport, Lakeside, Dunes City. POPULATION 63,228 Previous district: 58,778 (-7.95 from target). Increase 00s: (52th largest). New Minority: (51st largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: R (9th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Caddy McKeown, R Nancy Brouhard Coos County was once one of the most Democratic counties in Oregon for a short stretch, maybe the most Democratic, with its labor base in its large timber mills and shipping operations. As that economic base has diminished, so has th reliable Democratic voting edge; Coos can be unpredictable in many statewide general election races. It has for four times elected Democrat Arnie Roblan, a House co speaker, though never with as much as 58 of the vote. It is competitive territory with a Democratic edge. REDISTRICTING District 9 is a hair more competitive than pre redistricting. Added a large piece of northwestern Lane County, extending the district north from just outside Florence (where it has been) to the Lincoln County line. Also, several rural tracts in Lane and Douglas counties in the Coastal range. In all, the geographic size of District 9 nearly doubled, but nearly all of the additional area is lightly populated. Deleted in Coos County, rural area south (along the coast) and east of Coos Bay. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 13,255 13,587 14, Rep 11,091 11,957 11, N/A 5,870 6,355 6, Total 32,164 33,127 32, ,824 11,365 9,793 14, ELECTIONS H Democrat Arnie Roblan Arnie Roblan Arnie Roblan Arnie Roblan 0 12,094 15,444 13,340 15, Scott Roberts Al Pearn Al Pearn Susan Massey

66 Joanne Verger 15, Valorie Holloway 4, PRIMARIES No primaries here in the last decade. ARNIE ROBLAN, D-Coos Bay State: Campaign: Background: Retired public school teacher, principal, at Coos Bay. Coos Bay/ North Bend Water Board. University of Washington University of Oregon. Political: Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. Elected co speaker of the House. 10th House District AREA All: Lincoln. Part: Tillamook, Polk, Yamhill. Communities: Newport, Lincoln City, Sheridan (part), Newskowin, Yachats, Willamina, Waldport, Pacific City, Depoe Bay, Hebo, Beaver. POPULATION 64,146 Previous district: 58,977 (-7.63 from target). Increase 00s: (56th largest). New Minority: (36th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (32nd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D David Gomberg; R Jerome Grant, Dann Cutter The Newport to Lincoln City stretch of the central coast, probably the area best known to tourists (as drivers on Highway 101 will ruefully attest), and generally prosperous even through the recent downturns, has long had a Democratic lean, but not by much. This area was represented for some terms by Alan Brown, and his 2004 match against Democrat Jean Cowan was the closest legislative race in Oregon that year. That year Brown won; Cowan beat him two years later. Since, the Democratic registration edge has increased, and redistricting seems likely to pad it, by a little. So may the new federal oceanic operations recently moved from Seattle to Newport. REDISTRICTING Registration suggests little change, but the new district boundaries indicate this district may be a little more Democratic. Added southern Tillamook County (including Neskowin, Pacific City and Netarts, stopping short of Tillamook). Added much of western Polk 66

67 County from Falls City west; and the Sheridan Willamina area in Yamhill County. Deleted none. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 15,137 14,229 13, Rep 10,051 10,955 10, N/A 7,380 8,118 7, Total 34,452 34,171 33,371 ELECTIONS H Democrat Jean Cowan Jean Cowan Jean Cowan Jean Cowan Marcia Thompson 0 14, Becky Lemler 19, x 12, Alan Brown 14, Alan Brown 11, Alan Brown 0 10, ,112 15,364 11, PRIMARIES s had a relatively noncompetitive primary in, in which Becky Lemler (2,814/69.43) defeated Edward Johnston and George Goldstein. JEAN COWAN, D-Newport State: Background: Retired, former county commissioner. Former emergency medical technician, bus driver. Marylhurst University. Political: Elgin city council, mayor. Lincoln County Commission. Unsuccessful race for House 2004 (lost to incumbent Alan Brown). Elected to House, 2008,. 67

68 6th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Lane, Linn. Communities: Springfield, Eugene (part), Lebanon (part), Harrisburg, Coburg, Creswell, Brownsville, Crawfordsville, Halsey, Sodaville. POPULATION 126,222 Previous district: 122,979 (-3.70 from target). Increase 00s: (20th largest). New Minority: (21st largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (19th largest) Much of what isn t Eugene in the southeastern Willamette Valley, on the east side and up into the Cascades, is in District 6. As with a number of southwestern districts, it splits politically into two distinct pieces (its House districts). About half of the population is in the Democratic leaning city of Springfield, a resource and manufacturing city holding itself very much in distinction from the university and culturally liberal influences of Eugene. The rest of the district takes in large swaths of rural area and lots of small communities Creswell, Brownsville, Harrisburg and many more all of which are. As in District 4, the weight of registration in the Senate district is Democratic, and this has been a Democratic seat for many cycles. 68

69 REDISTRICTING Little change. Added substantial acreage; other than a few south Eugene precincts, the major gain was in western Linn County, including the Harrisburg, Halsey, Peoria and Shedd areas. And, a thinly populated sector south of Sweet Home. Deleted some lightly populated rural territory southeast and northwest of Creswell. A few precincts in southeastern and northeastern Eugene. On the north side in Linn County, a rural west of Lebanon to just east of Tangent. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 30,683 27,709 26, Rep 21,250 22,005 20, N/A 14,119 14,353 13, Total 70,094 66,384 62,923 19,626 14, ELECTIONS Up in Sen 6 Democrat Lee Beyer Bill Morrisette Bill Morrisette 23, Michael Spasaro 30, Renee Lindsey 27, x PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. LEE BEYER, D-Springfield State: Background: Oregon Public Utility Commission, Vocational education program manager. Assisted in establishing the forerunner of today s non profit Community Services Consortium, Inc. 1983, Lee joined the Eugene Business Assistance Team. Executive Director, Metro Partnership, Inc. Springfield Planning Commission. McKenzie Willamette Hospital Board of Directors (Chair ). Board, Springfield Education Foundation. Political: Springfield City Council, Elected to House 1990, 1992, 1994, Elected to Senate 1998,. 69

70 11th House District AREA All: none. Part: Lane, Linn. Communities: Eugene (part), Springfield (part), Lebanon (part), Harrisburg, Coburg, Creswell, Brownsville, Halsey, Sodaville, Walterville. POPULATION 62,885 Previous district: 60,899 (-4.62 from target). Increase 00s: (43rd largest). New Minority: (52nd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (38th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Phil Barnhart; R Kelly Lovelace, Jacob Daniels The area big rural House district in Senate 6 runs up into the mountains east of Eugene and south of it as well, but most of the people here live in the valley, many engaged in farming, food production or related businesses. (There are other interesting periodic economic bases too, like the long running RV production center at Coberg.) This is mostly conservative and territory, though the registration margins are not enormous. But, in contrast to many districts, the margin here did grow during the last decade. REDISTRICTING Little change, but possibly a little more Democratic. Added the large agricultural Harrisburg Halsey Peoria area (west of I 5) the other northwest of the existing district was added. Deleted a rural strip running east west from west of Lebanon, south of Tangent to the Willamette River; also, a rural area south of Sweet Home. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 17,502 15,796 15, Rep 12,687 12,948 12, N/A 7,335 7,644 7, Total 39,618 37,637 35,614 ELECTIONS H Democrat Phil Barnhart Phil Barnhart Phil Barnhart Phil Barnhart Phil Barnhart 0 15, Kelly Lovelace 22, x 16, Jim Oakley 19, Michael Sparaso 13, Robert Bolanos , ,009 14,295 8,

71 PRIMARIES Phil Barnhart was primaried in by Al King, but easily prevailed (5,168/65.64). PHIL BARNHART, D-Eugene State: Campaign: Background: Psychologist, attorney. Adjunct faculty University of Oregon. Past president Oregon Mental Health Associates. Former deputy district attorney. University of Oregon (BA, JD). Former chair, Lane Democratic Party. Political: Eugene 4J School Board. Elected to House 2000,, 2004,, th House District AREA All: none. Part: Lane. Communities: Springfield (part). POPULATION 63,337 Previous district: 62,080 (-2.77 from target). Increase 00s: (42nd largest). New Minority: (29th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (35th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D John Lively, Sandra Mann; R Jody Scott, Joe Pishioneri From the 1940s to the 1990s, Springfield was a lumber production city to some extent, a Weyerhaeuser city but as in so many other places, that didn t last. (The largest employer now is its hospital.) Its economy has been diversifying, however, and with that the traditional Democrat edge here has maintained as it hasn t in some other timber communities. This is not the culturally liberal area however, you find in central Portland, or even Eugene. REDISTRICTING A slice off the Democratic margin, but not by a lot. Added: This Springfield district is little changed. It did pick up a few precincts in the northwest of town, and small tracts in the southeast section of town near Jasper Road. Deleted mainly, a few rural tracts east of city limits but in the urban growth boundary. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) 71

72 Dem 13,181 11,913 11, Rep 8,563 9,057 8, N/A 6,784 6,709 6, Total 30,476 28,747 27,309 7,727 7,554 6, , ELECTIONS H Democrat Elizabeth Beyer Elizabeth Beyer Elizabeth Beyer Elizabeth Beyer Elizabeth Beyer 10, Sean VanGordon 14, Sean VanGordon 11, Bill Lioio 17, x 8, Norm Fox PRIMARIES Elizabeth Beyer faced a substantial primary contest in her run for the House, but prevailed (2,564/56.25) over Rick Henson. ELIZABETH TERRY BEYER, D-Springfield State: Background: Springfield native. Springfield Library Board Board, Convention & Visitors Association of Lane County, Political: Springfield City Council, Appointed to House October Elected to House, 2004,, 2008,. 72

73 7th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Lane. Communities: Eugene, Junction City, Santa Clara. POPULATION 127,510 Previous district: 126,608 (-0.86 from target). Increase 00s: (13th largest). New Minority: (17th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (11th largest) A district anchored in Eugene as this one is might be considered a Democratic lock district, and the voter registration totals seem to bear that out. (Its Democratic registration did surge toward the end of the last decade.) But there are also good electoral result reasons for considering this a swing district; the intense and tough Senate battle between Democrat Vick Walker and Tim Torrey (which Walker only barely won) would be Exhibit A. The 7th doesn t include most of the university district, and many other parts of Eugene especially out toward the north and west (which are in the 7th) are more politically marginal. The 7th also runs northwest of the city to take in Junction City and more valley territory, much more oriented. REDISTRICTING A think margin change, barely, toward. Added: District 6 and 7 swapped a few Eugene area precincts, mainly in the southern part of the city (south of 11th Avenue) and in the northeast near the Willamette River. 73

74 Deleted the major deletion was what was the southwest corder of the district, north and east of Fern Ridge Lake, west of Eugene. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 32,436 28,413 26, Rep 21,054 22,464 22, N/A 14,895 15,863 13, Total 73,061 69,455 64,659 17,511 23,962 18, ELECTIONS Up in Sen 7 Democrat Chris Edwards Vicki Walker Vicki Walker 29,308 25,667 22, Karen Bodner Jim Torrey Mike Cary PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. CHRIS EDWARDS, D-Eugene State: Campaign: Background: Family forest products business. founding partner of Pangaea Trading Company (Asian trade export). Political: Elected to House, Appointed to Senate August Elected to Senate. 74

75 13th House District AREA All: none. Part: Lane. Communities: Eugene (part, north central). POPULATION 63,425 Previous district: 62,559 (-2.02 from target). Increase 00s: (32nd largest). New Minority: (38th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (18th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Nancy Nathanson, R Mark Callahan The 13th is the central Eugene legislative district, only grazing the university area but including downtown and many of the older, often working class, neighborhoods. Long basically Democratic territory, its partisan leanings became more stark in the last decade, with Democrats gaining and s losing considerable raw numbers of registrants. REDISTRICTING Adds some s, deletes some Democrats a shift, but the district remains overwhelmingly Democratic. Added an expansion on the north side of Eugene beyond the city limits and urban growth boundary to the Willamette River. The other major addition is toward the southwest center of town, a large mainly industrial tract between Highway 99 and the main northwest rail line. Also, a square of land in the downtown area south of the rail line and north of 11th Avenue. Deleted a west Eugene area, some of it west of River Road and some of it south of the beltline (west to the railroad line). PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 17,401 15,138 13, Rep 9,799 10,690 10, N/A 7,297 8,122 7, Total 36,863 35,441 33,321 15, Bill Young 22, x 17, Monica Johnson 19, Gary Pierpoint 13, Jay Bozievich 7, ,622 11,547 5, ELECTIONS H Democrat Nancy Nathanson Nancy Nathanson Nancy Nathanson Robert Ackerman Robert Ackerman PRIMARIES None in the last decade. 75

76 NANCY NATHANSON, D-Eugene State: Campaign: Background: Library Manager (supervisor, UO Knight Library). Owner, Photoscapes. University of Oregon (1975). Planning Commissioner. Political: Eugene City Council Unsuccessful campaign for Eugene mayor, Elected to House, 2008,. 14th House District AREA All: none. Part: Lane. Communities: Eugene (NW part), Junction City. POPULATION 64,085 Previous district: 64,049 (+0.31 from target). Increase 00s: (22nd largest). New Minority: (33rd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (30th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Val Hoyle, R Dwight Coon In this oddly shaped district toward the northwest of Eugene, the main thread is Highway 99, which picks up this district on the west side of Eugene and runs north through Junction City. Western Eugene accounts for most of the population; it is less Democratic than the city overall, and the northern Junction City portion is strongly, so the14th entered the last decade with only a slight Democratic registration edge. It was close enough that s won this seat in and 2004, before Democrat Chris Edwards won narrowly in. In the years since, the registration gap between the parties has grown here, Democrats gaining a decisive edge. REDISTRICTING Little change; some voter loss. Added several precincts in south Eugene (south of 11th Avenue); also, a west Eugene area, some of it west of River Road and some of it south of the beltline (west to the railroad line). Deleted not much. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 15,035 13,275 12, Rep 11,255 11,774 11, N/A 7,598 7,741 6, Total 36,198 34,014 31,338

77 ELECTIONS H Democrat Val Hoyle Chris Edwards Chris Edwards Bev Ficek Araminta Hawkins 11, Dwight Coon 20, x 12, Debi Farr 13, Debi Farr 9, Pat Farr 10, ,257 15,487 10, PRIMARIES In, Pat Farr won easily (3,432/84.20) over Damon Wilson in the primary. VAL HOYLE, D-Eugene State: Campaign: Background: Outdoor sporting goods industry, wholesale and retail. Former chair, Export Council of Oregon. Former staff for Senator Floyd Prozanski. Political: Appointed to House, Elected to House,. 77

78 8th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Linn, Benton. Communities: Albany, Corvallis, Philomath, Tangent. POPULATION 126,887 Previous district: 130,092 (+1.87 from target). Increase 00s: (8th largest). New Minority: (18th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (10th largest) The district including Albany and Corvallis takes in very different pieces: Linn and (mostly) Albany, and Democratic Benton (mostly) and Corvallis. Outside their cities, both are farm counties, but their cities are a lot different, Albany focused on agribusiness, paper and transport, and Corvallis on Oregon State University, high tech and related areas. District registration overall has a Democratic lean, but it has elected Frank Morse three times running one of the Senate s more moderate s, with a lot of independent appeal. Post Morse, the district could switch parties. 78

79 REDISTRICTING Little change; some gain by independents. Added an east west strip of rural land in Linn from just west of Lebanon running south of Tangent west to the Willamette River. Also added a small piece of rural lands on northeast of the Willamette between Albany and Jefferson. And, in Benton County, a small piece of rural land south of Corvallis and Philomath. Deleted a large rural area north of Corvallis including Adair Village (sent to District 12), and smaller rural pieces southeast of Corvallis and north of Lebanon, on either side of US 20. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 29,438 25,101 22, Rep 21,964 23,134 21, N/A 14,286 15,047 13, Total 69,440 64,986 59,826 26,466 27,127 23, ELECTIONS Up in Sen 8 Democrat Dan Rayfield Mario Magana Barbara Ross 21,563 18,767 19, Frank Morse Frank Morse Frank Morse PRIMARIES No primary contests here in the last decade. FRANK MORSE, R-Albany State: Campaign: senatorfrankmorse.com Background: Morse Brothers (family business), retired Board chair, Environ Metal Inc. Oregon State University, Northwest Christian College. President of the Board of the Albany Chamber of Commerce; Board member of the Vern Catt McDowell Corporation; founding Director/board chairman, Greater Pacific Bank; Board, Western Security Bank; chair, Cascade Employers Association. Political: Elected to Senate,,. 79

80 15th House District AREA All: none. Part: Linn, Benton. Communities: Albany, North Albany, Tangent, Corvallis (small part). POPULATION 63,414 Previous district: 67,333 (+5.45 from target). Increase 00s: (8th largest). New Minority: (39th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (42nd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Andy Olson, D John-Paul Cernak The Albany centered 15th, which includes significant farm and new development north and south of Albany, has mostly precincts; the few Democratic outposts are in central Albany. The registration edge here is not large, ad smaller at the end of the last decade than at the beginning. The long running House member here, Andy Olson, has nonetheless run up a string of four landslide wins. REDISTRICTING Added a rural strip running east west from west of Lebanon, south of Tangent to the Willamette River. Deleted a large chunk of northern Benton County (north of Corvallis) including Adair Village was sent away, though House 15 still retained parts of Benton close to the Willamette River (including North Albany) northeast of Corvallis. Also: A rural tract north of Lebanon, bisected by Highway 20. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 13,232 12,030 11, Rep 13,848 14,301 12, N/A 7,035 7,285 6, Total 35,910 34,480 30,879 Andy Olson Andy Olson Andy Olson Andy Olson Betsy Close 17,033 18,808 16,317 18,480 11, ELECTIONS H Democrat Bud Laurent Dick Olsen Sam Sappington Wesley Price Joseph Novak 7,901 10,971 7,634 11,685 10, PRIMARIES Democrats held a contested primary here in, in which Joseph Novak (3,844/69.20) defeated Larry Johnson. In 2004, both 80

81 parties contested. In his first run for the House, Andy Olson faced Lee Schindler, winning overwhelmingly (4,507/ Among Democrats, Wesley Price defeated (3,018/77.19) B. Hahn. ANDY OLSON, R-Albany State: Campaign: Background: Retired, Oregon State Police; instructor at Linn Benton Community College. George Fox University. Political: Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. Elected co speaker pro tem,. 16th House District AREA All: none. Part: Benton. Communities: Corvallis, Philomath. POPULATION 63,473 Previous district: 62,759 (-1.71 from target). Increase 00s: (31st largest). New Minority: (30th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (5th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Sara Gelser, R Andrew Decker The Corvallis based district and it includes all of Corvallis, with some farmland and hills on its perimeter is geared to Oregon State University and high tech, and still a fair amount of wood production and processing; the atmosphere in central Corvallis would be somewhat familiar to people in Eugene or (even) central Portland. It is sweepingly Democratic, the more so toward the end of the last decade, as Democratic registration numbers hit the 2 1 level over s. Legislative races have reflected those numbers as well, with Democrats winning in landslide (as s often have on the other side of the Willamette). REDISTRICTING Not much change. Added a large rural tract (almost as large in size as the city of Corvallis) northwest of the Corvallis urban growth area. Also added, a rural area just south of the Corvallis Philomath urban growth boundary. Deleted part of the Lewisburg area, a small tract north of Corvallis on the east side of Highway 99. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) 81

82 Dem 16,206 13,072 11, Rep 8,116 8,833 9, N/A 7,251 7,762 7, Total 33,530 30,506 28,947 15, Rose Cook 21, , Robin Brown 17, Don Gist 14, Scott Bisson 7, ,252 9,933 6, ELECTIONS H Democrat Sara Gelser Sara Gelser Sara Gelser Kelley Wirth Kelley Wirth PRIMARIES In what would be Kelley Wirth s last successful run for the House, she was primaried (3,633/51.59) and only narrowly defeated Sara Gelser, who would replace her in the House about a year later. SARA GELSER, D-Corvallis State: Campaign: Background: Policy analyst for the Oregon Department of Human Services Earlham College, Oregon State University. Husband Peter, four children. Political: Corvallis School Board. Appointed to House Elected to House, 2008,. 82

83 9th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Linn, Marion, Clackamas. Communities: Lebanon, Silverton, Stayton, Sweet Home, Molalla, Mill City, Hubbard, Mount Angel, Detroit, Scio, Idanha. POPULATION 127,617 Previous district: 123,674 (-3.15 from target). Increase 00s: (19th largest). New Minority: (24th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: R (4th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Fred Girod, D Steve Frank 83

84 The rural east side of the central Willamette Valley has lots of small communities, some mid sized cities (Lenanon, Silverton) and lots of acreage. The eastern half, or more, of the 9th District is in the Cascades, but nearly all of the people live on its western edge, where farms and related businesses and their communities are packed closer together. Nearly all of this area is still resource industry country, one way or another, and almost all of it is. The registration edge here has remained decisive, and candidates here tend to win in landslides. REDISTRICTING Democratic vote diminished here slightly. Added only minor changes, adding small rural pieces south of Sweet Home, northwest of Lebanon, west of Stayton and in rural Clackamas County (south of Government Camp). Deleted a string of small rural and lightly populated area, near Mulino, south of Estacada, and a few others of smaller size. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 21,494 20,865 21, Rep 27,007 27,426 25, N/A 12,521 12,926 12, Total 64,726 63,241 60,325 31,201 38, ELECTIONS Up in Sen Democrat Bob McDonald x 19, Fred Girod Roger Beyer PRIMARIES 2008 saw the only primary contests in this district, and both parties provided them. On the side, two challengers, Herman Joseph Baurer and Sarah Arcune, challenged newly appointed Senator Frank Girod, but he won more than three times as many votes as the other two put together (9,320/78). He won about equally well in the Marion, Linn and Clackamas parts of the district. On the Democratic side, Bob McDonald (6,940/61.65) easily defeated Steven Frank, winning all three counties. FRED GIROD, R-Stayton State: Campaign: Background: Dentist. Real estate developer. Partner, assisted care facility. Oregon State University. Political: Stayton City Council. Elected to House 1992,. Appointed to Senate Elected to Senate

85 17th House District AREA All: none. Part: Linn, Marion. Communities: Lebanon (part), Stayton, Sweet Home, Mill City, Scio, Lyons, Detroit, Waterloo, Idanha. POPULATION 64,181 Previous district: 61,383 (-3.87 from target). Increase 00s: (40th largest). New Minority: (58th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: R (5th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Sherrie Sprenger, D Richard Harisay The 17th is the southern part of the eastside 9th district, taking in Lebanon, Sweet Home, Stayton and the large tracts between and to the east of them. This area may be a little more old line farming and agribusiness oriented than the district to the north less wine production and fewer varied businesses. The two districts are comparably Repubican, with decisive but not overwhelming registration edges. REDISTRICTING Democratic vote down a little; no major change. Added precincts around Lebanon (the whole Lebanon area now is effectively in the district), and rural areas south of Sweet Home, west of Stayton and in the very remote far northeast corner of Marion County atop the Cascades. Deleted a rural tract south of Silverton and Silver Falls Drive. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 10,712 10,657 11, Rep 13,366 13,628 12, N/A 6,276 6,467 5, Total 32,295 31,766 30,010 ELECTIONS H Democrat Richard Harisay Dan Thackaberry Dan Thackaberry x Donald Beale 5,689 10,180 8, , Sherrie Sprenger Sherrie Sprenger Fred Girod Jeff Kropf Jeff Kropf 15, , , , , PRIMARIES s have held contested primaries here in four of five of the last cycles, unusually high. All the results have been lopsided. In 85

86 incumbent Jeff Kropf (4,970/80.83) beat Doug Denson, and in 2004 defeated (4,816/91) Sarah Novy Arcune. Current representative Sherrie Strenger prevailed in a primary in her first race, a four way (others were Bruce Cuff, Marc Lucca, Cliff Wooten), in 2008 (3,167/48.09), and in her first incumbent election in (4,244/67.08) over Bruce Cuff. Margins were similar across Linn and Marion. SHERRIE SPRENGER, R-Scio State: Campaign: Background: Small business. Deputy sheriff, Benton and Grant counties. State Fair Dismissal Appeals Board (2005). Political: Lebanon School Board, Appointed to House, February Elected to House 2008,. 18th House District AREA All: none. Part: Marion, Clackamas. Communities: Silverton, Molalla, Mount Angel, Aurora, Hubbard, Scotts Mills. POPULATION 63,436 Previous district: 62,291 (-2.44 from target). Increase 00s: (34th largest). New Minority: (32nd largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (48th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Vic Gilliam In broad strokes, the 18th district is a lot like the 17th Cascades to the east, smaller communities, many farm oriented, to the west. But this district to the north, running from just northeast of Salem to the outskirts of the Portland metro area, is more influenced by both Salem and Portland, and its communities are more varied; places like Silverton and Mount Angel have highly distinctive characters. Politically, the 18th is however a close match for the 17th decisively but not overwhelmingly. REDISTRICTING Scant change. Added much of the Hayesville area in northeast Salem. A rural tract south of Silverton and Silver Falls Drive. Deleted several small rural and lightly populated area, near Mulino, south of Estacada, and a few others of smaller size. 86

87 PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 10,782 10,208 10, Rep 13,641 13,798 12, N/A 6,245 6,459 6, Total 32,431 31,475 30,315 ELECTIONS Mac Sumner was re elected here in November, but resigned in December due to illness. H Democrat Rodney Orr Jim Gilbert Jim Gilbert Jim Gilbert x 0 7,919 11,702 9,840 11, Vic Gilliam Vic Gilliam Mac Sumner Mac Sumner Tootie Smith 0 14,558 14,921 11,526 14,605 14, PRIMARIES Three in the last decade, all. Then incumbent Tootie Smith was primaried by James Buchal in but won (4,249/67.97). When she opted out in 2004, a five way primary (Buchal, Mac Sumner, Chris Blackburn, Mark Greenhalgh Johnson, Doug Morgan), won decisively by Sumner (2,763/46.55). In his re election, Sumner easily won a three way primary (4,056/78.89) over Buchal and Dale Settje. VIC GILLIAM, R-Silverton State: Campaign: Background: Property manager, investor, broadcast. Development leader (Willamette University, OSHU foundation, Mercy Corp). Legislative aide to former Senator Mark Hatfield, Education Coordinating Council. Warner Pacific College, 1975 Political: Unsuccessful runs for state House, 1986, Appointed December. Elected to House, 2008,. 87

88 10th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Marion, Polk. Communities: Salem (part), Monmouth, Independence, Turner, Aumsville. POPULATION 128,555 Previous district: 133,151 (+4.27 from target). Increase 00s: (6th largest). New Minority: (12th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (14th largest) One of two Senate districts based around Salem, this one includes the southern part of the city (and south of downtown), from Aumsville and Turner southeast of town reaching west through West Salem to take in Independence and Monmouth. Most of the people are in Salem, but a sizable portion of the constituency also is rural and small town. That, and southern Salem s historic conservatism, helps account for the ongoing narrow edge in voter registration. Senator Jackie Winters has personal popularity above that margin, which helps explain her big win. But her closer wins in and also show this district isn t far from the partisan borderline. REDISTRICTING Very slightly more. 88

89 Added several precincts on the northwest side of West Salem Deleted the downtown Salem area (including the Capitol Mall area) was given to District 11, as was the Hayesville area in northeast Salem. Several rural precincts south of Salem, Turner and Aumsville were also cut out, and precincts just north of Monmouth and Independence in Polk County. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 26,232 23,202 21, Rep 26,719 27,840 26, N/A 13,191 13,524 12, Total 69,684 66,255 62,525 ELECTIONS Up in Sen 10 Democrat Jackie Pierce Paul Evans Bryan Johnston 15,088 21,232 20, Jackie Winters Jackie Winters Jackie Winters 32, , , PRIMARIES Both parties primaried in, the only year for primaries in this district. Senator Jackie Winters was challenged by Sarah Arcune (who had run for the Senate the previous cycle in District 9), but won overwhelmingly (9,971/82.02). Democrats had a closer contest, with William Dalton taking the nomination (4,916/55.30) over Jeff Goodwin. JACKIE WINTERS, R-Salem State: Background: Oregon Health Sciences University, records, Staff of Governors Tom McCall, Vic Atiyeh.. Founded (1985) Jackie s Ribs restaurants. Political: Elected state House 1998, Elected state Senate,. Seat up. Unsuccessful run for U.S. House 2004 (lost in primary). 89

90 19th House District AREA All: none. Part: Marion. Communities: Salem (part, southern), Turner, Aumsville. POPULATION 63,884 Previous district: 66,172 (+3.64 from target). Increase 00s: (12th largest). New Minority: (24th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (34th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Kevin Cameron, D Claudia Kyle The southeastern part of the 10th Senate district, House 19 is the more, though the margins have been slipping. Taking in most of southern Salem, Turner and Aumsville and the nearby farm country, large portions of it have a rural feel, even while substantial number of the people here live within Salem city limits. Many of Salem s older neighborhoods, along with some of its newer commercial areas, are in this territory as well. REDISTRICTING No major change. Added: Most significantly, a slice of central Salem between 25th Street, the Santiam Highway and the railroad. There's also a small adjustment in the boundary just south of the downtown area, adding a bit to 19. Also, some rural tracts just east of the current district (well east of Salem). Deleted part of the Hayesville area in northeast Salem east of Cordon Road. Also several rural precincts south of Aumsville and several miles south o the Salem urban growth area. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 12,514 11,262 10, Rep 13,789 14,208 13, N/A 6,468 6,520 5, Total 34,591 32,946 31,015 Kevin Cameron Kevin Cameron Kevin Cameron Dan Doyle Dan Doyle 14,532 15,466 12,506 15,716 13, ELECTIONS H Democrat Claudia Kyle Hanten Day Brian Grisham Brian Grisham Fred Fleischman 9,166 12,299 9,529 12,436 7, PRIMARIES No primaries here in the last decade. 90

91 KEVIN CAMERON, R-Salem State/external: Background: Founder/CEO Café Today Restaurants. Director of operations (Vip s restaurants), district manager (Denny s), training director, hospitality industry, ranch hand. Oregon State University, B.S. Business Marketing. Political: Appointed to House Elected to House, 2008,. Elected House leader,. 20th House District AREA All: none. Part: Polk, Marion. Communities: Salem (part, west and southwest), Monmouth, Independence. POPULATION 64,671 Previous district: 66,979 (+4.90 from target). Increase 00s: (9th largest). New Minority: (25th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (23rd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Vicki Berger, D Kathy Graham Despite the large area of open and farm land in the middle, the 20th is the more urban of the two House district in Senate 10. It doesn t include downtown but does include the urban area south of it and West Salem, across the Willamette from downtown. And across a farm expanse it takes in the twin cities of Monmouth and Independence, which (owing partly to the university at Montmouth) both have a touch of urbanity as well. The who has been winning strongly here (with one relative close call in 2008) is moderate Vicki Berger, whose background in Oregon politics runs deep. She notes on her web site that her father, Richard Chambers, was the original lobbyist and promoter of the Oregon bottle bill, which was later revived and pushed by Governor Tom McCall. REDISTRICTING The new lines left this the most tightly balanced legislative district in Oregon, and a rare flip in party strength, to a super thin advantage. Added additional precincts on the west side of West Salem, and a couple of small parcels off Skyline Road in southern Salem. Deleted the downtown Salem area. Also rural blocks north and south of Monmouth Independence. 91

92 PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 13,718 11,940 11, Rep 12,930 13,632 13, N/A 6,722 7,004 6, Total 35,090 33,309 31,510 Vicki Berger Vicki Berger Vicki Berger Vicki Berger Vicki Berger 0 15,143 15,826 13,382 17,595 13, ELECTIONS H Democrat Mike Powers Richard Riggs Connie Garcia Jeanne Deane Lloyd Kumley 0 8,816 13,138 9,040 11,400 7, PRIMARIES In her first run for the House, Berger won a three way primary (3,405/49.24), won a close challenge from Greg Warnock and third place Irv Blake. VICKI BERGER, R-Salem State: Campaign: Background: Business owner. Salem Downtown Development Board. Salem Chamber of Commerce. Oregon Capitol Foundation. Political: Salem/Keizer school board, Elected to House, 2004,, 2008,. 92

93 11th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Marion. Communities: Salem (part), Woodburn, Keizer (part), Hayesville, Gervais, Brooks. POPULATION 129,044 Previous district: 125,061 (-2.07 from target). Increase 00s: (14th largest). New Minority: (1st largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (13th largest) Senate 11 is one of the more oddly shaped legislative districts, but it has a certain logic; nearly from top to bottom, Interstate 5 and two sets of rail tracks form a kind of triple spine connecting most of the district s people, in the northern part of Salem (including downtown and the Capitol Mall) and a small slice of Keizer, with the fast growing city of Woodburn about 10 miles to the north. This part of Salem is a little more Democratic than the southern side (these precincts cover the areas closest to the large state offices, and the many state employees here may contribute to that), and Woodburn, with its large Latino population, also provides some Democratic base. This is also the home district of Democrat Peter Courtney, who has been president of the Oregon Senate longer than anyone else. 93

94 REDISTRICTING Little changed in partisan balance. Added: This oddly shaped district retains most of its look and boundaries. The most significant change is the addition of the downtown (and nearby) Salem area, and a few southeast Salem precincts. Deleted: A few rural farm precincts north and west of Woodburn, a little territory at Brooks and northeastern Keizer. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 18,366 16,915 17, Rep 13,112 14,536 15, N/A 9,149 9,504 9, Total 43,157 42,469 42,491 ELECTIONS Up in Sen 11 Democrat Peter Courtney Peter Courtney Peter Courtney 0 14,883 15,593 15, Michael Forest Jared Thatcher Randy Franke 0 12,280 10,814 12, PRIMARIES The lone primary here has been in, when Randy Franke won the nomination (5,615/73.21) over Sarah Arcune, who would go on to run for the other legislature in other districts. PETER COURTNEY, D-Salem State: Campaign: Background: Western Oregon University (Monmouth) instructor and administrator, and announces men s and women s basketball games. Native of Philadelphia, raised in the mid Atlantic. University of Rhode Island, Boston University (law). Political: Elected to Salem city council, Elected to state House 1984, 1986, 1988, 1990, 1992, 1994, Democratic floor leader four terms. Elected to state Senate 1998,,,. Elected Senate president (when Senate was split 15 15), 2004,, 2008,. 94

95 21st House District AREA All: none. Part: Marion. Communities: Salem (part, central, downtown, and east). POPULATION 64,647 Previous district: 61,621 (-3.49 from target). Increase 00s: (35th largest). New Minority: (4th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (25th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Brian Clem, R Dan Farrington House 21 is the most Salem centric of the House districts; nearly all of it is in center Salem, and it includes downtown, the Capital Mall area, the old neighborhoods to the east of it, and newer ones further east, out past Interstate 5 and the Lancaster Street shopping area. It has leaned Democratic for more than a decade, and the margins gradually have been growing. This seat was held for several terms, though, by Billy Dalto, until Democrat Brian Clem ousted him in. REDISTRICTING In partisan balance, little changed. Added downtown Salem, and a few other Salem parcels, one in the Four Corners area, and another in southern Hayesville. Deleted a few blocks south of the downtown/city hall region, and a rectangle of about 50 blocks north of downtown; another section of the Four Corners area. PARTY REGISTRATION The (November of each year) Dem 10,561 9,806 9, Rep 7,431 8,311 8, N/A 5,144 5,510 5, Total 24,596 24,516 24,664 9, Marvin Sannes 14, x 9, Billy Dalto 10, Billy Dalto 7, Billy Dalto 6, ,025 11,213 8, ELECTIONS H Democrat Brian Clem Brian Clem Brian Clem Claudia Howells Mike Swaim PRIMARIES Just one primary, in ; Marvin Sannes won (1,977/73.66) over John Alamarez. 95

96 BRIAN CLEM, D-Salem State: Campaign: Background: Owner, OnSite PC Help. Owner and operator, family fruit orchard. Former staff for Senator Cliff Trow and U.S. Senator Ron Wyden. Oregon Student Assistance Commission. Oregon State University (political science). Political: Elected to House, nd House District AREA All: none. Part: Marion. Communities: Salem (part, northern), Woodburn, Keizer (part, eastern), Gervais, Brooks. POPULATION 64,397 Previous district: 63,440 (-0.64 from target). Increase 00s: (21st largest). New Minority: (1st largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (29th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Betty Komp; R Tom Chereck, Kathy LeCompte The most Hispanic legislative district in Oregon and its only majority minority district got that status not because of the southern part of the district in northern Salem (to the northwest of District 21), which provides more than half the population, but because of the city at the northern end, Woodburn, the most Hispanic city in the state. Democrats have a clear edge in both parts of this district. REDISTRICTING Democratic margin drops a little, but remains strong. Added a rectangle of about 50 blocks north of downtown Salem, and a slice of Hayesville. Deleted a rural area northwest of the Woodburn Gervais area. And a small tract near Brooks. PARTY REGISTRATION The (November of each year) Dem 7,805 7,109 7, Rep 5,681 6,225 6,261 ELECTIONS N/A 4,005 3,994 3, Total 18,561 17,953 17,827

97 H Democrat Betty Komp Betty Komp Betty Komp Betty Komp Betty Komp 6,083 9,753 5,830 8,691 5, Kathy LeCompte Tom Chereck Carl Wieneke Al Shannon Cliff Zauner 5,460 4,656 5,090 6,941 5, PRIMARIES In, Democrat Betty Komp won her primary (2,198/64.78) over Anthony Veliz before losing the general. Two challengers to her had primaries first. In 2004, Al Shannon (1,594/57.48) won over Chael Sonnen in the primary, and in Kathy LeCompte (1,982/82.24) defeated Tom Cereck. BETTY KOMP, D-Woodburn State: Campaign: komp Background: Teacher, principal at Woodburn. Western Oregon University (1990). Political: Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. 97

98 12th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Yamhill, Polk, Benton, Marion, Washington. Communities: McMinnville, Dallas, Sheridan (part), Lafayette, Dundee, Dayton, Monroe, Carlton, Willamina (part), Alsea, Yamhill, Rickreall, Gaston (part). POPULATION 128,041 Previous district: 128,429 (+0.57 from target). Increase 00s: (10th largest). New Minority: (15th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (22nd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Brian Boquist, D Annette Frank The Senate 12th is the Willamette Valley s west side rural district. It runs from southern and western Benton County north through most of the area of Polk (except for Monmouth, Independence and West Salem) and most of Yamhill County (except Newberg and Dundee). Its new iteration adds a piece of Washington County, southwest of Hillsboro, an area only thinly connected to the district to the south. The district includes Dallas, Monroe and some outlying area around Hillsboro, but most of the population is in Yamhill, in McMinnville and the smaller communities (Carlton, Yamhill, Amity, Lafayette, Dayton) around it. McMinnville softly leans Democratic, but the rest of the district is, and s have had a clear registration edge. They also have provided the senators from here, who have not in recent times been closely challenged. This is also wine country, which may may affect the cultural climate over time. 98

99 REDISTRICTING Only barely changed in partisan balance. Added in Benton County, a large squarish rural area north of Corvallis including Adair Village, and a small rural area south of Corvallis. The other major addition is at the north end of the district, adding a Washington County rural area east of Gaston and west of Bull Mountain, and southwest of Hillsboro (more or less direction south of Cornelius). The district also picked up rural areas around West Salem and near Monmouth and Independence. Deleted a large portion of Polk County including Falls City west into the Coast Range summit area, and part of the Sheridan and Willamina area (though it retained a portion of it). PARTY REGISTRATION The (November of each year) Dem 24,117 21,862 21, Rep 27,847 27,994 26, N/A 13,900 13,966 12, Total 69,442 65,560 62,365 33,264 32, ELECTIONS Up in Sen Democrat Kevin Nortness Hank Franzoni 21, Brian Boquist 22, Gary George PRIMARIES No primaries in this district. BRIAN BOQUIST, R-Dallas State: Background: Executive Vice president and partner of International Charter Inc. of Oregon (transport business). Reserve Special Forces Lieutenant Colonel; extensive military experience. Western Oregon State College, Oregon State University. Political: Unsuccessful campaigns for U.S. House, 2000,. Elected to House 2004,. Elected to Senate

100 23rd House District AREA All: none. Part: Yamhill, Polk, Benton, Marion. Communities: Dallas, Monroe, Dundee (part), Adair Village, Lafayette (part), Dayton, Jefferson, Amity, Sheridan (part), Alsea, Rickreall, Willamina (part), Kings Valley, Grand Island. POPULATION 63,510 Previous district: 62,427 (-2.23 from target). Increase 00s: (36th largest). New Minority: (48th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R 41.41, D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R (7th largest), D Margin change in 00s: D (47th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Jim Thompson, D Ross Swartzendruber The southern, geographically larger, House half of this Senate district, 23 runs from the edge of Lane County to the edge of McMinnville, taking in several southern Yamhill communities. This is rural and exurban territory its boundaries run just outside the college towns of Corvallis, Monmouth and McMinnville and its voter registration runs strongly. s have won this district with some consistency since it was firm placed in this form. REDISTRICTING Not much changes in partisan balance. Added rural northeast Polk County. Much of south central Yamhill County, including Amity, Dayton and Lafayette but stopping just short of McMinnville. In Benton County, a large squarish rural area north of Corvallis including the exurban suburb Adair Village, and a small rural area south of Corvallis. Deleted much of western Polk County from Falls City west; a rural area east Philomath; and a portion of the the Sheridan Willamina area in Yamhill County (the district retains part of Willamina but lost Sheridan). PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 11,796 11,091 11, Rep 14,658 14,635 13, N/A 6,953 7,093 6, Total 35,113 33,495 32,574 16,371 15,878 13, ELECTIONS H Democrat Wesley West Jason Brown Jason Brown 7, Jim Thompson 11, Jim Thompson 8, Brian Boquist 100

101 2004 Dick Reynolds Peter Leung 9, Brian Boquist 6, Lane Shetterly 17,390 14, PRIMARIES Jim Thompson has had legislative primaries twice. First, one he lost to Brian Boquist in 2004 (3,198/51.97) but came in second in a field of five (Cheryl Lentsch, Jackie Lawson and Jim Welsh were the others). Second, four years later, when he won the office, defeating (4,137/61.57) former Polk Commissioner Craig Pope. Democrats also contested their primary in 2008, with Jason Brown (4,772/74.41) beating Wesley West. JIM THOMPSON, R-Dallas State: Campaign: jimforhouse.com Background: Medical laboratory research. Chair, Polk County Fire District #1 Board. Oregon State University, Oregon College of Education (now Western Oregon University). Political: Appointed to House, Elected to House 2008,. 24th House District AREA All: none. Part: Yamhill, Washington. Communities: McMinnville, Lafayette (part), Carlton, Dundee (part), Yamhill, Hillsboro (small part), Gaston (small part). POPULATION 63,851 Previous district: 66,002 (+3.37 from target). Increase 00s: (10th largest). New Minority: (21st largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (37th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Jim Weidner, D Kathy Campbell District 24, to the north of 23, is dominated by the city of McMinnville, which provides about half of its population. The rest of the district is rural and small town, and nearly all of it leans decisively, more than McMinnville does Democratic (and even that slight leaning is debatable). Still, the result is that this district is much closer to marginal than 23 to the south; s have been winning consistently in this seat for a while, but their margins have not been large, and the registration lead has been thinning. REDISTRICTING Not much changed in partisan balance. 101

102 Added a small rural section west of Newberg. Also a stretch in northeastern Yamhill and south central Washington, anchored by the mountainous Highway 219 from north of Newburg to just south of Hillsboro (though reaching inside the Hillsboro urban growth boundary). Deleted rural northeast Polk County. Much of south central Yamhill County, including Amity, Dayton and Lafayette but stopping just short of McMinnville. The Sheridan Willamina area in Yamhill County. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 12,321 10,771 10, Rep 13,189 13,359 12, N/A 6,947 6,873 6, Total 34,329 32,065 29,791 Jim Weidner Jim Weidner Donna Nelson Donna Nelson Donna Nelson 13,787 15,025 11,206 14,975 12, ELECTIONS H Democrat Susan Sokol Blosser Al Hansen Sal Peralta Tim Duerfeldt Tim Duerfeldt 11,380 12,603 10,847 11,935 8, PRIMARIES Donna Nelson had a three way primary in 2004, easily beating (3,923/) Frank Butler and Charles Mitchell. When she opted out in 2008, three other s competed: Jim Weidner (3,827/54.38) who easily won, over Ed Glad and Jim Bunn, a former U.S. representative. JIM WEIDNER, R-Yamhill State: Campaign: Background: Consultant in vibration analysis. Owner, Lago de Chapala restaurant, Yamhill. Political: Elected to House, 2008,. 102

103 13th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Washington, Yamhill, Marion. Communities: Keizer (part), Newberg, Wilsonville (part), Hillsboro (part), Tigard (part), Sherwood, St. Paul. POPULATION 129,542 Previous district: 141,274 ( from target). Increase 00s: (4th largest). New Minority: (13th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (15th largest) Senate 13 is an odd mix of mid sized city, suburbs and rural what looks like a mashup of leftovers from the Marion, Washington and Yamhill county areas. Its largest city is Keizer, the northern adjoining (and more conservative) neighbor of Salem, but a relatively lightly populated rural area (which is heavily farmed) nearly half the length of the district separates it from the second largest, Newberg, which is a few miles over the hills from the third largest, Sherwood. Most of Wilsonville is also in the district, and between them these four account for most of the district s population. But the rural areas add a slice too, and so does the Bull Mountain area and 103

104 the piece of the district leaning north to Aloha on the highly developed and growing Tualatin Valley highway strip. The district has lots of variety of scenery, economy, lifestyle and culture, but it is generally consistent in its politics: Mostly (though not overwhelmingly). That margin shrank in the last decade, though it remains decisive. REDISTRICTING A bit more politically marginal than it was. Added: The shape of District 13 looks a good deal different, though its population base is not dramatically changed. The southern part of the district, from Newberg to Keizer, is changed only slightly (adding a few precincts near Woodburn). In the north, a few precincts near Hillsboro are added. Deleted a large piece of rural Washington County rural territory was cut off and given to other districts (notably District 12). The part of the district that had extended from Hagg Lake to near the Bull Mountain Sherwood area has been deleted. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 24,737 21,062 19, Rep 29,736 30,154 28, N/A 14,777 14,373 12, Total 73,059 67,317 61,960 30,457 26,504 24, ELECTIONS Up in Sen 13 Democrat Timi Parker Rick Ross Ken Crowley 17,742 18,318 16, Larry George Larry George Charles Starr PRIMARIES One primary here, but it was major, between two leading local political figures (and families too): incumbent Charles Starr challenged, successfully, by Larry George (6,022/51.06). At the time, Starr s son and George s father both were also serving in the legislature. (The younger Starr still is.) LARRY GEORGE, R-Sherwood State: Campaign: George for State Senate/ Background: Executive director, Oregonians in Action. Co owner, George Packing Company. Radio talk show host (KXL). Political: Elected to Senate (59.3 over Rick Ross D). Seat up. 104

105 25th House District AREA All: none. Part: Marion, Yamhill. Communities: Newberg, Keizer (part), St. Paul. POPULATION 64,834 Previous district: 65,088 (+1.94 from target). Increase 00s: (18th largest). New Minority: (23rd largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (40th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Kim Thatcher, D Sharon Freeman The southern part of Senate 13, this House district has two cities Newberg and Keizer at either end; those two account for the bulk of House 25 s population. Rich farm country, and the farm town of St. Paul, lie in the 20 miles or so between. Both cities lean, as does the rural area, so a strong tilt to this district isn t a surprise. And s have been winning strongly in this area for a long time. REDISTRICTING Only slightly changed. Added: Few changes; a rural area northwest of Woodburn Gervais. Deleted a small rural section west of Newberg. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 10,889 9,736 9, Rep 13,616 13,749 12, N/A 6,264 6,224 5, Total 32,662 30,596 28,820 ELECTIONS H Democrat Jim Dyer x Charles Lee Roger Pike Jonathan Bella 7, ,977 9,319 4, Kim Thatcher Kim Thatcher Kim Thatcher Kim Thatcher Vic Backlund 14, , , , , PRIMARIES One of the most highly noted, for its clash of philosophy, primaries of 2004 was here, in which veteran incumbent Vic Backlund, a moderate, was ousted by more conservative Kim Thatcher (4,042/59.17). Thatcher was challenged in the primary by Douglas Heuler but easily won (5,682/89.04). Democrats competed here in, when Charles E. Lee defeated (2,161/59.07) Susan Keen. 105

106 KIM THATCHER, R-Keizer State: Campaign: Background: Owner and President of KT Contracting Company, and Highway Specialties (highway construction). Co Founder, Oregon Contractors Association. Keizer Chamber of Commerce. Portland State University. Political: Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. 26th House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington, Clackamas. Communities: Sherwood, Wilsonville, Hillsboro, King City, Bull Mountain. POPULATION 64,708 Previous district: 76,186 ( from target). Increase 00s: (4th largest). New Minority: (27th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D REPUBLICAN (Nov) R D Margin change in 00s: D (22nd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Matt Wingard, D Wynne Wakkila The 26th is the southwest periphery of the Portland metro area, from Wilsonville to Sherwood to the mostly unincorporated but in places fast growing parts of south central Washington County, poking north to Aloha (an addition with redistricting). Many of the people here are associated with the Portland metro area, but chose not to live in the heart of it, often an indicator of leanings. And this is a clearly district, though the registration margins shrank during the last decade. REDISTRICTING Closer to marginal than it was in the last decade, though it remains. Added several precincts on the south side of Tualatin, bisected by I 5. On the north side, the district pushed north across the Tualatin Valley Highway on the west side of Aloha. In between, there was also some precinct adjustment in the Bull Mountain area. Deleted a small rural tract south of Wilsonville (on the south side of the Willamette River). PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 13, Rep 16, N/A 8, Total 40,397

107 11,326 10, ,405 15, ,149 7, ,721 33,140 ELECTIONS H Democrat 0 Sandy Webb 10, Matt Wingard Jessica Adamson 13, Matt Wingard Lee Coleman 9, Jerry Krummell Rick Ross 11, Jerry Krummell Rick Ross 7, Jerry Krummell PRIMARIES None in the last decade. MATT WINGARD, R-Wilsonville State: Campaign: Background: Public relations consulting. Former television reporter. University of Southern California. Political: Elected to House, 2008, ,362 15,432 14,424 17,618 12,

108 14th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Washington, Multnomah. Communities: Beaverton (part), Aloha, Raleigh Hills, West Slope, Garden Home. POPULATION 129,323 Previous district: 126,140 (-1.22 from target). Increase 00s: (17th largest). New Minority: (6th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (5th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Mark Hass, R Gary Coe Shaped a little like China, District 14 is mostly the Beaverton area south of the Tualatin Valley highway (plus areas north of it to the northeast and northwest). This is partially urbanized but mostly suburban territory linked closely to Portland, which is just over the West Hills. The minority population in this area is substantial, too. The combination indicates a Democratic registration here, and there is one, grown from almost even parity in to very strong by. It shrank slightly with redistricting. District 14 is something of a barometer showing the changes in Washington County. Up to 2000 this area has been consistently represented by s, but that year Democrat Ryan Deckert, who just two years before had been elected to a House seat, defeated incumbent 108

109 Senator Eileen Qutub. Since then, it seems to have turned into a safe Democratic seat. REDISTRICTING The large Democratic edge here is trimmed a little. Added a few small precincts south of Aloha and near the West Slope. Deleted a few precinct areas to the south were cut off, mainly north of Bull Mountain to the west and north of Metzger to the east. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 29,751 24,841 22, Rep 19,291 21,520 22, N/A 14,592 15,027 13, Total 66,761 62,990 59,293 ELECTIONS Up in Sen 14 Democrat 2008 Mark Hass 2004 Ryan Deckert 35,847 34, Lisa Michaels Jay Omdahl 16, , PRIMARIES No primaries in this district in the last decade. MARK HASS, D-Beaverton State: Campaign: Background: Brand strategist, Cappelli Miles (advertising/brand identity, at Portland, Eugene, Denver). Board member, Northwest Health Foundation. Formerly (20 years) a journalist, KATU TV, Political: Elected to the House 2000,, Appointed to Senate November Elected to the Senate

110 27th House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington. Communities: Beaverton (part), Raleigh Hills, Portland (northwest). POPULATION 64,811 Previous district: 62,120 (-2.71 from target). Increase 00s: (41st largest). New Minority: (18th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (6th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Tobias Read, R Burton Keeble The eastern portion of Senate 14, this House district is therefore more densely populated, more urbanized and includes a slice of Multnomah County it is more Portland oriented than the western side. It is more Democratic than the western side as well. Democrats have been winning this House seat with landslides or thereabouts for a number of cycles. REDISTRICTING Not greatly changed. Added the major population addition was in a near rectangle bordered by Murray and Allen Boulevards, toward Beaverton's southwest area. Another significant tract, south of Scholls Ferry Road and southwest of Beaverton, also was added. Deleted a tract southeast of Oleson Road north of the Metzger area, and several small tracts near West Slope were dropped. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 16,824 13,986 12, Rep 10,807 12,055 12, N/A 7,201 7,642 6, Total 36,439 34,480 32,514 9,328 8,139 9,706 8, ELECTIONS H Democrat Tobias Read Tobias Read Tobias Read Mark Hass Mark Hass 15, , , , , Dan Lucas Michael DeVietro Domonic Biggi Gabe Schomus x PRIMARIES In his last run for this seat (2004), Mark Hass was primaried by Timothy Michael, but easily rebuffed him (5,060/93). A close primary developed in, won by Tobias Read (2,817/50.77) over Mike 110

111 Bohan. Read won by more than 60 the small Multnomah piece of the district, but narrowly lost the Washington County portion. TOBIAS READ, D-Beaverton State: Campaign: Background: Product developer, Nike. Development officer, Willamette University. Staff for former Representative Bryan Johnston; staff for former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers. Founding board member, Hoopla (charity basketball). Willamette University. University of Washington. Political: Elected to House, 2008,. 28th House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington. Communities: Beaverton (part western), Aloha. POPULATION 64,512 Previous district: 64,020 (+0.26 from target). Increase 00s: (27th largest). New Minority: (7th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (12th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Jeff Barker, R Manuel Castaneda The western Beaverton area out toward Aloha is mostly somewhat newer, and income levels are often a little lower, than closer in at Beaverton (or Hillsboro). It is politically a little more marginal than the central Beaverton area, a little more removed from Portland. But only by degrees: This has been clearly Democratic territory for the last decade, and Democrat Jeff Barker has been steadily elected here since. (He has said he probably won t run again in 2012.) REDISTRICTING Still Democratic, but closer to marginal. Added a little additional territory, pushing north, west of 185th Avenue and north of Highway 8. It also takes in some new territory on the south end of the district, reaching south to Weir Road. Deleted precincts in its east site in central Beaverton, reaching to Highway 217. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) 111

112 Dem 12,927 10,855 9, Rep 8,484 9,465 9, N/A 7,391 7,385 6, Total 30,322 28,510 26,779 7, ,912 3,343 7, ELECTIONS H Democrat Jeff Barker Jeff Barker Jeff Barker Jeff Barker Jeff Barker 10, Bill Berg 15, x 10, Eldon Derville-Teer 15, Steve Geiger 7, Keith Parker PRIMARIES Two lopsided primaries in the last decade. In, Keith Parker defeated (1,877/67.2) Patricia Kepler. And in, Eldon Derville Teer (1,642/63.15) beat Christopher Mentrum. JEFF BARKER, D-Aloha State: Background: Retired police officer, rose to lieutenant in Portland Police Bureau. Oregon State Police. U.S. Marines. Portland State University. Political: Elected to House, 2004,, 2008,. 112

113 15th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Washington. Communities: Hillsboro (part), Forest Grove, Cornelius, North Plains. POPULATION 129,263 Previous district: 140,429 (+9.97 from target). Increase 00s: (5th largest). New Minority: (2nd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (8th largest) Most of Hillsboro is in Senate 15, and makes up the bulk of its population. Add Forest Grove and Cornelius, and that s most of the people in the district. Not most of the land area: There s a large swath of farm land north of those cities, up to and beyond the Sunset Highway (US 26). The agricultural areas still have some impact, and the cities around here still have elements of the farm support communities they once were. But there is also much more: The large Hispanic community at Hillsboro, the college community at Forest Grove, the service community and fast growing residential sector around Cornelius. 113

114 This is dynamic, shifting terrain. 20 years ago it was solidly, and it is still represented by a senator. But it has been moving into Democratic territory, and by Democratic registration had overtaken the. But for the time being, at least, this is (along with both of its Hose districts) one of the few Oregon districts with a legislator in a registration Democratic district. This area, in fact, performs better for s (or, the minority in any part of Oregon) than any other district in the state. REDISTRICTING Only slight changes. Added: As in most of Washington County, the emphasis has been on compacting districts, not adding to their geographic reach. A few lightly populated tracts were added, however: southwest of Cornelius, northwest of Forest Grove, southeast of Banks, north of North Plains. Deleted some tracts south of Hillsboro near Highway 8, and the Rockcreek area (sent to District 17). PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 24,971 20,463 18, Rep 20,277 21,372 20, N/A 15,209 14,687 12, Total 63,826 58,336 52,380 21,382 19,973 18, ELECTIONS Up in Sen 15 Democrat Chuck Riley John Napolitano Ermine Todd 19,533 16,308 10, Bruce Starr Bruce Starr Bruce Starr PRIMARIES The lone primary in the last decade came in, when Chuck Riley, a House member, and Travis Comfort contested for the Democratic nomination. Riley won easily (6,038/77.22), but lost the general. BRUCE STARR, R-Hillsboro State: Campaign: Background: Founder, Cutting Edge NW, government consulting. Small business, works with the Portland Business Alliance and Pacific Northwest International Trade Association. Portland State University. Political: Elected state House 1998, Elected state Senate,,. Announced campaign for state labor commissioner,

115 29th House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington. Communities: Hillsboro (southwestern), Forest Grove, Cornelius. POPULATION 64,559 Previous district: 65,597 (+2.73 from target). Increase 00s: (16th largest). New Minority: (2nd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (26th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Katie Eyre; D Katie Riley, Ben Unger This is the most clearly urban district in Washington County. The 29th includes city center for Hillsboro the county s largest city including the area around the main city and county offices. And it runs west to take in the cities of Cornelius and Forest Grove; three very different kinds of cities, to be sure. But this is the part of Senate 15 that not only ended the last decade as a registration Democratic district, but started it that way as well (albeit only narrowly). In winning the seat in, Katie Brewer attracted more votes than any here probably ever has, but certainly in the last decade. That was still good only for a narrow win. REDISTRICTING Slightly less Democratic, but only slightly. Added: This has been a sausage shaped district, with its east end in central Hillsboro (falling short of the Hillsboro airport) and its west end, headed due west along Highway 8, at the Gales Creek area west of Forest Grove. Reapportionment has reshaped the district, generally maintaining those dimensions but adding a large rural area north of Forest Grove and Cornelius, extending a little further east into Hillsboro and adding a new rural area just south of Cornelius. Deleted some population in Hillsboro, just south of Highway 8. And on the west side, it now stops with the Forest Grove urban growth boundary, giving up the Gales Creek area to District 32. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 10,373 8,833 8, Rep 8,235 8,642 8, N/A 6,286 5,931 5,254 ELECTIONS H 29 Democrat Total 26,331 24,199 22,764

116 Katie Riley Chuck Riley Chuck Riley Chuck Riley Chuck Riley 8,009 11,191 7,987 9,588 6, Katie Brewer Terry Rilling Terry Rilling Mary Gallegos Mary Gallegos 9,035 7,321 6,659 8,427 6, PRIMARIES In, then incumbent Mary Gallegos was challenged by Ralph Brown; Gallegos won (2,264/59.14). Two years later, Chuck Riley, who beat her in the general, first won a primary (62.33). In, s picked Terry Rilling (2,113/77.43) over Barry S. Lee. KATIE EYRE BREWER, R-Hillsboro State: Campaign: Background: Accountant (CPA). Hillsboro Planning Commission. Hillsboro Chamber of Commerce. California State University. Political: Elected to House. 30th House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington. Communities: Hillsboro (part, north and east), North Plains. POPULATION 64,704 Previous district: 74,832 ( from target). Increase 00s: (5th largest). New Minority: (9th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (11th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Shawn Lindsay, D Adriana Canas Although it includes a mass of rural and small town (North Plains) territory to the north, areas that are mostly strongly, District 30 is Hillsboro dominant, which is what has recently given it a small Democratic registration edge. But that s a recent development s led in and before. REDISTRICTING A little more independent than it was. Added large rural areas east of North Plains, and southeast of Banks. It also added smaller, discrete tracts in Hillsboro (one at Cornell Road and 25th, another at southeastern Hillsboro near Aloha. 116

117 Deleted a large rural area north of Forest Grove and Cornelius. A few small Hillsboro and Aloha tracts near Highway 8. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 14,598 11,630 9, Rep 12,042 12,730 11, N/A 8,923 8,756 7, Total 37,495 34,137 29,616 Shawn Lindsay Andy Duyck Everett Curry Derrick Kitts Derrick Kitts 12,501 11,925 8,965 14,546 8, ELECTIONS H Democrat Doug Ainge David Edwards David Edwards Mik Sander Aron Carleson 10,893 15,878 12,253 11,244 8, PRIMARIES The lone primary here was a contest between Derrick Kitts (2,650/58.85) and Dawn Phillips. SHAWN LINDSAY, R-Hillsboro State: Campaign: Background: Attorney, Lane Powell PC (intellectual property, trade). Hillsboro School District Curriculum Committee. Washburn University School of Law. Brigham Young University. precinct chair. Political: Elected to House. 117

118 16th Senate District AREA All: Clatsop, Columbia. Part: Tillamook, Washington. Communities: St. Helens, Astoria, Tillamook, Scappoose, Warrenton, Vernonia, Banks, Seaside, Gaston (part), Manzanita, Ranier, Gearhart, Rockaway Beach, Clatskanie, Hammond, Cannon Beach, Wheeler, Nehalem, Jewell, Bay City, Westport, Mist. POPULATION 128,362 Previous district: 122,983 (3.70 from target). Increase 00s: (22nd largest). New Minority: (27th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (25th largest) District 16 is easy to envision. That knob in Oregon s northwest corner that sticks up north, where the Columbia River empties into the Pacific? That 118

119 knob is District 16. Roughly. For the most part that should mean waterfront areas, and most of the district is that: Columbia and Clatsop and the northern half of Tillamook counties. That s not quite enough population, so places in Washington County like Gaston and Banks, to the border of Forest Grove, were added in. But much of this district is coastine and waterfront. Traditionally, it is Democratic as well. That extends way back on the coast, through the labor influence and the timber industry influence as well. Democratic legislators have tended to stay put here a while, too. The seat was held by Democrat Joan Dukes from 1986 to 2005; when she resigned to join the Northwest Power and Conservation Council, she was replaced by Democrat Betsy Johnson, who has held the seat since. REDISTRICTING Still strongly Democratic, though a little less so. Added two areas mostly, both in Washington County. One is the rural area from Gaston to Forest Grove, including the Lake Hagg area. The other, on the norther side of the population center, extends into the northern edge of Hillsboro and the northern part of the Bethany area. Deleted the southern half of Tillamook County, sent to District 5 (Netarts and Oceanside to Neskowin, though Tillamook remains within but on the southwest edge of District 16). PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 29,960 29,070 28, Rep 22,174 23,263 22, N/A 14,530 15,477 13, Total 70,396 70,154 67,008 ELECTIONS Up in Sen 16 Democrat Betsy Johnson Betsy Johnson Joan Dukes 27,182 30,645 25, Bob Horning Don Fell Don Fell 22, , , PRIMARIES No primaries in this district in the last decade. BETSY JOHNSON, D-Scappoose State: Campaign/external: Background: Licensed commercial pilot of both fixed and rotor wing aircraft; founder, Transwestern Helicopters, Inc., Manager, aeronautics division of state Department of Transportation, Carleton College (Northfield, Minnesota), history; Northwestern School of Law (law), Lewis & Clark College. Father Sam Johnson was a representative from the Redmond area. 119

120 Political: Elected director, Columbia County Health District, Elected, Board of Commissioners of the Port of St. Helens 1992, Elected to House 2000,, Appointed state Senate 2005 (to replace Joan Dukes). Elected to Senate,. 31st House District AREA All: Columbia. Part: Multnomah, Washington. Communities: St. Helens, Scappoose, Bethany, Vernonia, Clatskanie, Ranier. POPULATION 63,955 Previous district: 62,690 (-1.82 from target). Increase 00s: (38th largest). New Minority: (53rd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (50th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Brad Witt, R Lew Barnes House 31 is mostly Columbia County, but including as well some northeast pieces of Washington County, north of Beaverton, mainly around the Bethany and Rockcreek areas. That and a sliver of northwest Multnomah County add up to three pieces all generally Democratic. The Democratic margins in this district (significantly reshaped for the new decade) has been steady for the last decade. REDISTRICTING Moves slightly toward more marginal. Added the part of Columbia County which hadn't been included (meaning, most of the area west of Highway 47 and Vernonia). A large bit of Washington County north of Highway 26 and Banks, plus the more populated area to the southeast including the northern Bethany and Rockcreek areas. And the far northwest tip of Multnomah County, to the Portland line. Deleted the Clatsop County part of the old district, which ran from the Columbia County line to Astoria. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 15,747 15,135 15, Rep 10,226 10,630 10,000 ELECTIONS N/A 7,273 7,585 6, Total 35,151 34,577 32,662

121 H Democrat Brad Witt Brad Witt Brad Witt Betsy Johnson Betsy Johnson 13, Ed DeCoste 20, x 13, Mike Kocher 21, x 14, x 10, , PRIMARIES No primaries in the last decade. BRAD WITT, D-Clatskanie State: Campaign: (congressional) Background: Union representative (United Food and Commercial Workers Local 555), sawmill worker, lobbyist. University of Massachusetts Amherst, University of Oregon (management, economics, sociology). Political: Appointed to the House (replacing Betsy Johnson). Elected to House, 2008,. Unsuccessful race for U.S. House, nd House District AREA All: Clatsop. Part: Tillamook, Washington. Communities: Astoria, Tillamook, Seaside, Warrenton, Banks, Rockaway Beach, Manzanita, Garibaldi, Cannon Beach, Gearhart. POPULATION 64,407 Previous district: 60,293 (-5.57 from target). Increase 00s: 6.30 (46th largest). New Minority: (50th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (44th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Deborah Boone, R Jim Welsh The north coast House district has some very old history (most notably, but not exclusively, in Astoria) and deep ties in labor and other circles. It long also has been Democratic. It last voted for president when it twice supported Dwight Eisenhower, and before that Herbert Hoover in And yet local politics can be highly competitive at times; personalities do matter here. Democrat Deborah Boone, four times elected to the House seat here, has twice had close calls. REDISTRICTING District moves a little in the Democratic direction. 121

122 Added a large piece of Clatsop County from the Columbia County line to Astoria (it had been in District 31). Deleted much of western Columbia County west of Highway 47; and additional parts of rural northwestern Washington County. Also Southern Tillamook County (including Neskowin, Pacific City and Netarts but retaining Tillamook). PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 14,213 13,935 13, Rep 11,948 12,633 12, N/A 7,257 7,892 7, Total 35,245 35,577 34,346 11,832 9,160 9,112 14,478 11, ELECTIONS H Democrat Deborah Boone Deborah Boone Deborah Boone Deborah Boone Elaine Hopson 12,977 18,602 14,876 15,426 11, Lew Barnes Tim Bero Norm Myers Douglas Olson Joe Meyer PRIMARIES 2004 saw both parties contesting their nominations. On the Democratic side, Deborah Boone won easily (4,045/66.52) over Rosemary Baker Monaghan. On the, Douglas Olson won (2,952/59.32) over Adam Schwend. Both winners led decisively in all five counties. DEBORAH BOONE, D-Cannon Beach State: Background: Co owner construction company; owner of restaurant and caterer; legislative assistant; watershed council coordinator. Portland native. University of Washington, Portland State University (art, psychology). Political: Clatsop County Commissioner. Appointed to House in August 2004 (replacing Elaine Hopson). Elected to House 2004,, 2008,. 122

123 17th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Washington, Multnomah. Communities: Beaverton (part), Portland (part NW), Cedar Mill, Bethany, Sylvan, West Slope, Rockcreek. POPULATION 129,050 Previous district: 145,013 ( from target). Increase 00s: (2nd largest). New Minority: (7th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (2nd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Elizabeth Steiner Hayward, R John Verbeek This part Washington County and part Portland district running from the suburban areas of Rock Creek, Bethany and Cedar Mill east over the West Hills all the way to the Willamette River, and including part of downtown Portland is one of the highest income and most urban legislative districts in Oregon; probably the most so among Senate districts. It s plenty Democratic, as you might expect, but wasn t always so; as recently as the winning Democratic candidate here pulled less than 55, and the Democratic registration edge was only about 4. The Washington County portion was considerably more back in the 90s and before, but by the end of that decade Democrats had begin to reach a long term advantage. This is where Oregon s newest member of Congress, Suzanne Bonamici, was elected to the legislature before that 2012 U.S. House win. 123

124 REDISTRICTING Still strongly Democratic, but margin shaved a bit. One of the most dramatically changed districts, with more than half of its land area cut away (reflecting the heavy population growth here). Added a few precincts near West Slope and scattered spots in Washington County. Deleted: This district, which has extended from central Beaverton and downtown Portland north to Columbia County, has become much more compact. The area north of Bethany and Cedar Mill and, on the Willamette, the Port of Portland, has been sent to District 16. Less dramatically, a part of the Portland west hills and downtown north of Burnside and west of I 405 was sheared off as well, to Senate District 18. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 36,398 28,565 24, Rep 20,030 21,823 21, N/A 18,252 18,332 15, Total 78,948 70,916 63,361 ELECTIONS Up in 2012 due to Suzanne Bonamici s resignation; the term normal for this district expires in 2014, and the 2012 election will fill the seat only until then. Sen Democrat Suzanne Bonamici Suzanne Bonamici Brad Avakian Charlie Ringo , Stevan Kirkpatrick 18, , x , Piotr Kuklinski 13, , Bill Witt 18, PRIMARIES The lone primary here was in, when Democratic House member Brad Avakian contested for the nomination with Sam Chase; Avakian won decisively (7,180/63.25). ELIZABETH STEINER HAYWARD, DPortland State: Campaign: Background: Family physician (more than 20 years), Oregon Health Sciences University; director, Knight Cancer Institute Breast Health Education Program. Political: Appointed to Senate, December

125 33rd House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington, Multnomah. Communities: Portland (part, northwest), Beaverton (part Cedar Mill, Oak Hills, Bethany areas), Sylvan. POPULATION 64,439 Previous district: 79,509 ( from target). Increase 00s: (2nd largest). New Minority: (15th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (4th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Mitch Greenlick, R Stevan Kirkpatrick The 33rd takes in a good chunk of central west Portland, some of the downtown and waterfront areas and much of the pricey residential area in the West hill, and the nearby Cedar Mill and Oak Hills areas at Beaverton. It s the more Democratic of the two House districts here, owing largely to the Portland precincts. But there are no strong areas here; in recent years the party registration margin sometimes has passed 2 1 Democratic. REDISTRICTING Still almost as strongly Democratic. Added a section between West Union Boulevard and the Sunset Highway is the only major addition. Deleted: After areas to the north and south (in the West Haven Sylvan area) were sheared off, what remains is an east west jagged rectangle running from Bethany and Oak Hills through the Cedar Mill area around Beaverton, over the West Hills and into Portland to the Willamette River, taking in its northern downtown close to the Port of Portland. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 22,539 17,310 14, Rep 11,288 11,937 11, N/A 10,639 10,547 8, Total 47,077 41,191 35,436 ELECTIONS H Democrat Mitch Greenlick Mitch Greenlick Mitch Greenlick Mitch Greenlick Mitch Greenlick 20,101 25,277 19,481 25,416 14, Michael Bieker 10, Jim Ellison 9, Mark Eggleston 7, x Erik Hartung 9,

126 PRIMARIES Mitch Greenlick was primaried in his first three House runs. In, he defeated (3,742/56.34) Carol Robinson; in 2004 he beat (6,111/88.05) Ken Saxton; and in won over (6,410/92.35) Jeffrey Kee. There was also a contest in : Erik Hartung over (2,591/55.6) Brian Devore. MITCH GREENLICK, D-Portland State: Campaign: Background: Retired, former director, Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research. Former chair, public health/preventive medicine, Oregon Health & Science University School of Medicine. Wayne State University, University of Michigan (PhD, medical care organization). Political: Elected to House, 2004,, 2008,. 34th House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington. Communities: Beaverton (part, northern, West Slope, Cedar Hills, Rockcreek). POPULATION 64,611 Previous district: 65,504 (+2.59 from target). Increase 00s: (15th largest). New Minority: (12th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (7th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Chris Harker, R Dan Mason The more suburban of the two House districts here, this one is wholly in Washington County, in and around northern Beaverton (in the city and in the interstices between the city s jagged boundary lines), most of it between the Sunset Highway and the Tualatin Valley Highway; it includes part of Beaverton s city center. 34 is a little less Democratic than 33, but not by much. The last time a Democrat won this seat with a percentage short of landslide levels was in, when the area was still just moving in the Democratic direction. REDISTRICTING On a partisan level, almost no change at all. Added tracts around the Rock Creek area and West Haven area were added. Deleted: More was subtracted than added here, owing to the large population growth. The largest subtraction was in the Oak Hills area north of Highway

127 PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 13,859 11,255 10, Rep 8,742 9,886 10, N/A 7,613 7,785 6, Total 31,871 29,725 27, , Tyler Hill 15, Piotr Kuklinski 11, Joan Draper 17, x 9, John Scruggs 0 7,420 6,305 6, , ELECTIONS H Democrat Chris Harker Chris Harker Suzanne Bonamici Brad Avakian Brad Avakian PRIMARIES A primary, with John Scruggs narrowly (2,089/51.87) over Bob Steringer. CHRIS HARKER, D-Beaverton State: Campaign/external: Background: President/Founder, Cayuse Inc. (software for obtaining federal grants). Medical researcher, Oregon Health & Science University). Director, Core Laboratory for OHSU general clinical research center. Political: Appointed to House, June 2008 (replaced Suzanne Bonamici). Elected 2008,. 127

128 18th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Multnomah, Washington, Clackamas. Communities: Portland (part SW), Tigard, Metzger. POPULATION 129,097 Previous district: 129,443 (+1.36 from target). Increase 00s: (9th largest). New Minority: (14th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (1st largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Ginny Burdick Start with an area including most of downtown Portland (and all of it south of Burnside), and then head southwest through Portland then through the city of Tigard (much of it tracking along Barbur Boulevard/Highway 99). 128

129 That s roughly Senate 18, an amalgam of Oregon s major downtown, densely packed city dwellers, and the suburbs at Tigard. This long has been Democratic turf, the Portland areas more than those in Tigard. But Tigard has been moving increasingly in that direction as well. REDISTRICTING Little change; a few more independents. Added a part of the Portland west hills and downtown north of Burnside and west of I 405 was added, along with a West Hills area north of Highway 26 as it winds just west of Portland. Deleted, toward the southeast of the district, a large tract between Barbur Boulevard and the Multnomah and Capitol Highway areas was sent over to District 19. A few precincts were swapped along the southwest part of the district in the King City and Bull Mountain areas. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 38,370 31,059 27, Rep 17,419 19,505 20, N/A 15,296 15,590 13, Total 75,239 68,406 64,290 ELECTIONS Up in Sen 18 Democrat 2008 Ginny Burdick 2004 Ginny Burdick 41,916 37, John Wight John Wight PRIMARIES No primaries in the last decade. GINNY BURDICK, D-Portland State: Campaign: Background: Communications consultant. Land Conservation and Development Commission from University of Puget Sound (psychology, 1969); University of Oregon (journalism, 1973). Political: Elected state Senate 1996, 2000, 2004, Elected president pro tempore, , ,

130 35th House District AREA All: none. Part: Washington, Multnomah. Communities: Tigard, Portland (part, southwest), Metzger. POPULATION 64,786 Previous district: 65,721 (+2.93 from target). Increase 00s: (17th largest). New Minority: (19th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (10th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Margaret Doherty, R John Goodhouse The 35th, the southern half of the Senate 18th, consists mostly of Tigard and several smaller communities around it (notably the Metzger area). There s also a slice of southwest Portland, including the Multnomah area. This area elected s in the 90s and as late as, when it re elected Max Williams (more recently known as the state corrections director). In the next election after his resignation in 2003, Democrat Larry Galizio narrowly won, and the Democratic advantage has increased since. REDISTRICTING Almost no net change. Added: District 35 almost doubled its Portland/Multnomah presence; the old district went no further north than the Multnomah/Washington line at Highway 99 and I 5, but now runs about a mile to the north to Multnomah Boulevard. Deleted precincts in the south, at Bull Mountain and King City. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 15,015 12,438 11, Rep 11,229 12,236 12, N/A 7,335 7,445 6, Total 35,259 32,912 30,693 Gordon Fiddes 9,864 Tony Marino 9,713 Shirley Parsons 10,000 Suzanne Gallagher 12,867 Max Williams 11, ELECTIONS H Democrat Margaret Doherty Larry Galizio Larry Galizio Larry Galizio Geoff Sinclair 12,991 17, ,682 6, PRIMARIES One primary, in 2004: Suzanne Gallagher (2,711/51.8) defeating Brad Fudge and Phil Yount. 130

131 MARGARET DOHERTY, D-Tigard State: Campaign: Background: Consultant, Oregon Education Association. Teacher. Home based floral design business. Tigard Planning Commission. Portland State University. Political: Appointed to House September 2009 (replacing Larry Galizio). Elected. 36th House District AREA All: none. Part: Multnomah. Communities: Portland (part, southwest). POPULATION 64,311 Previous district: 63,722 (-0.20 from target). Increase 00s: (20th largest). New Minority: (35th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (2nd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Benjamin Jay Barber, Jennifer Williamson, Sharon Meieran; R Bruce Neal The 36th district is one of Oregon s most urban, taking in as it does most of downtown and the nearby west side neighborhoods, and some of the increasingly densely built areas south of downtown as well. This is one of the most heavily Democratic districts in Oregon, with registration advantages decisive a decade ago which ballooned to overwhelming by decade s end. Democrat Mary Nolan has been the representative here since 2000 and has won overwhelmingly when s did field a candidate. She has announced candidacy in 2012 for the Portland City Council, and the Democratic primary contest that will follow should be lively. REDISTRICTING A slight net gain, but very slight. Added two sections of western Portland on the north side of Burnside Street, one (Old Town) near the Willamette River, the other, west of I 405, climbing up into the west hills to the Washington County line. Another section around Skyline Boulevard also was added, along with another mountain tract further south near Hillsdale. Deleted the major subtraction was to the south, the area south of Capitol Highway and Multnomah Boulevard. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) 131

132 Dem 23,355 18,621 16, Rep 6,190 7,269 8, N/A 7,961 8,145 7, Total 39,980 35,494 33,597 ELECTIONS H Democrat Mary Nolan Mary Nolan Mary Nolan Mary Nolan Mary Nolan 21, , , , , Diane Schendel Steve Oppenheim x x x PRIMARIES No primaries in the last decade. MARY NOLAN, D-Portland State: Background: Electronics design, manufacturing, management. Chair, NASA industry advisory council. Dartmouth College. Political: Elected to House 2000,, 2004,, 2008,. Elected majority leader, , ,

133 19th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Clackamas, Washington, Multnomah. Communities: Lake Oswego, West Linn, Tualatin, Portland (part- SW), King City, Durham. POPULATION 129,316 Previous district: 121,745 (-4.66 from target). Increase 00s: (23rd largest). New Minority: (19th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (6th largest) The closest to a true tri county metro district in Oregon, Senate 19 sits at the convergence of Oregon s three largest counties, Multnomah, Washington and Clackamas. Or, close to it: It barely misses the exact point where the three county boundaries meet. But it has significant pieces of all three counties. To the west in Washington, the Tualatin Durham area, a prosperous retail and service area. To the north in Multnomah, a southern slice of 133

134 Portland in the hilly area west of the Willamette River. And to the south, Lake Oswego and West Linn, famously high rent districts. The Washington and Clackamas areas were mostly once the district had a slight edge as recently as but Democrats have shot past in the years since. Three term Senator Richard Devlin, recently Senate majority leader, did have a tight race in, however, and the area has to be considered at least somewhat politically fluid. REDISTRICTING This very Democratic district becomes more so. Added a large tract between Barbur Boulevard and the Multnomah and Capitol Highway areas. Deleted a rural area anchored by I 5 between Tualatin to the north and Wilsonville to the south. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 32,479 27,328 25, Rep 25,475 27,442 28, N/A 14,034 14,792 13, Total 75,485 71,316 68,844 25,038 18,299 22, ELECTIONS Up in Sen 19 Democrat Richard Devlin Richard Devlin Richard Devlin 30,179 30,963 24, Mary Kremer David Newell Bob Tiernan PRIMARIES Two primaries here, at opposite ends of the decade. In, future state chair Bob Tiernan easily won a three way primary here (7,421/57.18) before losing the general to Democrat Richard Devlin. In a similar story in the general; in the primary, more conservative Mary Kremer defeated (5,693/53.96) Steve Griffith. RICHARD DEVLIN, D-Tualatin State: Campaign: Background: Adult/juvenile corrections; civil and criminal investigations. Former member, Tualatin City Council, Metro Council. Portland State University; Pepperdine University. Political: Elected state House 1996, 1998, Elected state Senate,,. Elected Senate Majority Leader,

135 37th House District AREA All: none. Part: Clackamas, Washington. Communities: Tualatin, West Linn, Durham, Stafford. POPULATION 64,557 Previous district: 63,742 (-0.17 from target). Increase 00s: (23rd largest). New Minority: (34th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (19th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Julie Parrish, D Carl Hosticka The 37th, which includes the west to east run of Tualatin, Stafford and West Linn, an area still developing (especially toward its center), is the more politically marginal of the two; it was discernibly up to around, and it has consistently elected s to the House. Not since, however, has any of them gotten as much as 54 of the vote, and the contest was very close. REDISTRICTING Little change. Added a few precincts from southern Lake Oswego were moved to 37, and it picked up a little rural territory to the north and east of Wilsonville. Subtracted A few other Lake Oswego area precincts sent north to District 38. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 14,195 11,968 11, Rep 13,706 14,398 14, N/A 7,230 7,450 6, Total 36,877 34,664 32,680 13,498 16,097 12,531 15,652 13, ELECTIONS H Democrat Will Rasmussen Michele Eberle Bev Backa Jim Morton Bill Gleason 12,982 13,935 10,461 13,289 7, Julie Parrish Scott Bruun Scott Bruun Scott Bruun Randy Miller PRIMARIES Three primaries, all Democratic, with one candidate all in common. In 2004, Jim Morton (2,320/60.95) defeated Gerritt Rosenthal. In, Rosenthal again lost (alongside Marty Olson), this time to Bev Backa (1,492/45.63). And in, Rosenthal lost to Will Rasmussen (3,072/60.55); Joelle Davis was also in that race. 135

136 JULIE PARRISH, R-West Linn State: Campaign: julieparrishoregon.com Background: Owner, Internet coupon business. Former food service director, West Linn Wilsonville School District. Marylhurst University. Political: Elected to House,. 38th House District AREA All: none. Part: Clackamas, Multnomah. Communities: Lake Oswego, Portland (part, southwest). POPULATION 64,759 Previous district: 58,003 (-9.16 from target). Increase 00s: (57th largest). New Minority: (41st largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (3rd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Chris Garrett; R Gary Corgan, Tom Maginnis Made up more or less equally of Lake Oswego and a southern (south of downtown) slice of Portland, the House 38th is much more Democratic than the House 37th, to its south. The parties were at near parity here (owing to a then more Lake Oswego) as the decade opened, but since then Democrats have surged in registration here and s have receded. And the Democratic legislative candidates won in landslides here from 2004 through. so. REDISTRICTING A Democratic district overall, becoming a little more Added a slice of southwest Portland between Highway 99/Barbur Boulevard and Capitol Highway. Subtracted a few precincts of the Rivergrove and southwestern Lake Oswego area. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 18,284 15,360 14, Rep 11,769 13,044 14, N/A 6,804 7,342 6, Total 36,608 36,672 36,164

137 ELECTIONS H Democrat Chris Garrett Chris Garrett Greg Macpherson Greg Macpherson Greg Macpherson 16,815 19,325 18,361 25,014 14, Rob Gardier Steve Griffith Fred Bremner x Jim Zupancic 10,957 11,878 8, , PRIMARIES Both parties contested in. Incumbent Greg Macpherson defeated (4,409/61.15) Katherine Cowan. On the side, Jim Zupancic (4,810/72.82) defeated Anthony Azadeh. For the open seat in 2008, Chris Garrett (6,171/52.59) defeated Linda Brown for the Democratic nomination. CHRIS GARRETT, D-Lake Oswego State: Campaign: Background: Attorney, Perkins Coie. Policy Advisor, Senator Peter Courtney. Staff, Representative Richard Devlin. Reed College. University of Chicago Law School. Political: Elected to House 2008,. 137

138 20th Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Clackamas. Communities: Oregon City, Canby, Gladstone, Estacada, Damascus (part), Sandy (part), Aurora (part), Wilsonville (part), Beavercreek, Mulino. POPULATION 128,248 Previous district: 125,136 (-2.01 from target). Increase 00s: (16th largest). New Minority: (25th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (21st largest) Seven state Senate districts have a piece of Clackamas County. Of them all, only the 20th is Clackamas only, and really Clackamas centered. It has the county seat, Oregon City, and such other communities as Canby, Estacada and Gladstone. And like the county, it is diverse. Parts of it (mainly those high density areas near the Willamette River) have an urban or close in suburban feel, and some of those areas are quite Democratic. The moral rural areas, with large acreage, tend more. This is fought over territory. Though Democrats have maintained a registration edge here for the last decade, the lost the Senate seat here in, in one of the two closest state Senate races in the state, to Alan Olsen. 138

139 REDISTRICTING One of the most changed districts in partisan impact: Still slightly Democratic, but much less than previously, now only slightly rather than strongly. Democratic registration in the new boundaries is lower, and the registration is substantially higher. Added: District 20 has been drastically, more than doubling in geographic size. Aside from small precincts near Aurora, and Mulino, the main additions come in the large growth regions around Beavercreek, Estacada (now included on the east edge of the district) and northeast to include pieces of Sandy and Damascus. Deleted: Other than a small area southeast of Wilsonville, none substantial. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 28,612 26,405 26, Rep 22,889 24,066 23, N/A 13,499 13,667 13, Total 68,818 66,278 65,706 ELECTIONS Up in Sen 20 Democrat Martha Schrader Kurt Schrader Kurt Schrader 22, Alan Olsen 28, x 21, Jesse Lott 23, , PRIMARIES In Kurt Schrader s first run for the state Senate in (he was then in the House), he prevailed (6,495/56.43) in a primary contest with Kathy Lowe. ALAN OLSEN, R-Canby State: Campaign: Background: General contractor at Canby, small business owner. Perdue University. Political: Elected to Senate,. 139

140 39th House District AREA All: none. Part: Clackamas. Communities: Canby, Estacada, Johnson City, Mulino. POPULATION 63,715 Previous district: 65,719 (+2.93 from target). Increase 00s: (13th largest). New Minority: (45th largest). New Hispanic: REPUBLICAN 2012 (Feb) R D DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (43rd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 R Bill Kennemer, D Christopher Cameron Bangs In recent years one of the most politically marginal districts in Oregon (with a very thin edge), the 39th House seat has been consistently won by s, but not often by a lot. Democrats have launched several strong campaigns here, such as one in 2008 that held Bill Kennemer s percentage t just over 50. This will continue to be fought over territory, though redistricting likely will pad the small advantage. It includes Canby and nearly all of the agricultural acreage (where mostly s vote) in Senate 20. REDISTRICTING One of the few district that flipped registration advantages to the side in this case with Added: One of the most dramatically changed districts, and one of the few whose changes are fundamental. The geographic area added to the district is far larger than the portion of old 39 that remains: Apart from small tracts south of Wilsonville and west of Barlow and south of Mulino, the whole area east of Oregon City, Gladstone and Beavercreek has been added, reaching across large rural areas to take in Estacada and the outskirts of Sandy. Canby is now the largest single community here. Deleted the Oregon City and Gladstone parts of the district, which probably will make the district more. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 13,570 12,458 12, Rep 13,281 13,409 12, N/A 6,981 7,040 7, Total 35,812 34,009 32, ,284 14, ELECTIONS H Democrat Alice Norris Toby Forsberg 0 10, Bill Kennemer 13, Bill Kennemer 140

141 2004 Mike Caudle Doug Neeley Martha Schrader 9, Wayne Scott 11, Wayne Scott 9, Wayne Scott 12,247 16,476 10, PRIMARIES Just one, the Democratic in when Martha Schrader (3,696/71.72) defeated John F. Williams for the nomination. BILL KENNEMER, R-Oregon City State: Campaign: Background: Clinical Psychologist in private practice. Warner Pacific College. Fuller Graduate School of Psychology. Political: Elected to Oregon Senate, 1986, 1990, Elected to Clackamas County Commission, Elected to House 2008,. 40th House District AREA All: none. Part: POPULATION 64,533 Previous district: Clackamas. Communities: 59,417 (-6.94 from target). Increase 00s: Oregon City, Gladstone (50th largest). New Minority: (44th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (27th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Brent Barton, R Steve Newgard Home district to former House Speaker Dave Hunt headed in 2012 to a campaign for Clackamas County office the House 40th saw redistricting changes that seem likely to take it in the opposite direction from the 39th: The addition of relatively urban Oregon City seems likely to make it more Democratic, and in a number of ways may transform the character of this district. In terms of land area, the district also got a lot smaller. That will mean very Democratic, since that part has had a clear registration edge here though the last decade. The last really competitive race here was in. Since then Hunt has been either unopposed (in and 2008) or won easily. REDISTRICTING Short term, it appears to be less Democratic than previously. Longer term, that margin appears likely to grow. Added Oregon City (all of it, and nearly all of its growth area) is the main addition. 141

142 Deleted the Oak Grove and Oatfield areas north of Gladstone. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 15,042 13,947 14, Rep 9,608 10,657 11, N/A 6,538 6,627 6, Total 33,006 32,269 32, , Deborah Gerritzen 8,135 17, , , David Sanders 10,797 9, Dick Jones 8, ELECTIONS H Democrat Dave Hunt Dave Hunt Dave Hunt Dave Hunt Dave Hunt PRIMARIES None in the last decade. DAVE HUNT, D-Gladstone State: Background: Executive Director, Columbia River Channel Coalition (2001 present). Previously, congressional staff. Former national President of American Baptist Churches USA. Columbia University. Political: Oregon City School Board Elected to House, 2004,, 2008,. Elected majority leader, November. Elected speaker, Elected Democratic leader, Campaign for Clackamas County Commission chair,

143 21st Senate District AREA All: none. Part: Multnomah, Clackamas. Communities: Portland (part/s central), Milwaukee, Oak Grove. POPULATION 127,109 Previous district: 118,917 (-6.88 from target). Increase 00s: (27th largest). New Minority: (20th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (3rd largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Diane Rosenbaum, R Cliff Hutchison The 21st is an eastside waterfront Willamette River district, taking in part of south central Portland (east Burnside and the Hawthorne District on south through the older industrial areas) and south across the Clackamas line into Milwaukee. Something resembling the Portlandia ethos is alive and well through much of this area. (One of our favorite Portland spots is here: The Free Geek computer center, just south of Hawthorne.) Calling it overwhelmingly Democratic doesn t quite cover it; the Democratic edge in registration has reach levels of 501 and higher. Democratic candidates here have much more cause to be concerned about their primaries than about their general elections. Barack Obama and John Kerry both topped 80 in their presidential runs here. REDISTRICTING The Democratic edge here remains very large, but has been cut slightly. Added a large chunk of heavily populated territory in the Oak Grove area in Clackamas County, facing the Willamette River. Another small area was added in northeast Milwaukee. 143

144 Deleted a square around Woodstock Boulevard reaching from about 58th to 82nd streets is the main deletion. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 44,141 36,962 32, Rep 8,573 10,363 12, N/A 16,746 18,548 16, Total 74,434 69,950 66,682 ELECTIONS Up in Sen Democrat Diane Rosenbaum Kate Brown , x 52, x PRIMARIES None in the last decade. DIANE ROSENBAUM, D-Portland State: Campaign: Background: Retired, central office technician (Qwest). Member, Oregon AFL CIO executive board. Reed College. Political: Elected to House 1998, 2000,, 2004,. Elected to Senate in Elected majority leader,

145 41st House District AREA All: none. Part: Clackamas, Multnomah. Communities: Portland (part, Scentral), Milwaukee, Oak Grove. POPULATION 64,005 Previous district: 59,890 (-6.20 from target). Increase 00s: (48th largest). New Minority: (42nd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R Margin change in 00s: D (13th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Carolyn Tomei; R Sam Cantrell, Timothy McMenamin House 41 is centered on Milwaukie and the Clackamas part of Senate 21, a close in urban area not greatly different from southern Portland. Politically, that means it votes a little less Democratic than the areas to the north, but only incrementally: This is still overwhelmingly Democratic territory, and Democrt Carolyn Tomei, who has held the seat here since 2000, has scored above 70 of the vote in each of her elections in the last decade. REDISTRICTING The enormous Democratic margin was slimmed, a little. It s not enough to likely make much electoral difference. Added the Oak Grove area cast off from the south (to make way, in part, for Oregon City in District 40) here is tacked on to Milwaukee the big new addition in this district. A few precincts near Johnson Creek Boulevard were added as well. Deleted a number of precincts to the old district's northeast, near the Milwaukee/Portland line. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 19,394 16,704 15, Rep 6,022 6,963 7, N/A 7,514 8,133 7, Total 35,001 33,285 32,218 ELECTIONS H Democrat Carolyn Tomei Carolyn Tomei Carolyn Tomei Carolyn Tomei Carolyn Tomei 17, Hugo Schulz 21, Randy Uchytil 15, x 20, Steven Rowe 14, x 145 5, , ,

146 PRIMARIES None in the last decade. CAROLYN TOMEI, D-Milwaukie State: Background: Child Development Specialist for Portland Public Schools, a School Consultant for Multnomah County Mental Health, and Group Home Specialist for Adolescents for Children's Services Division. Portland State University. Political: Council, Mayor, Milwaukie. Elected to House 2000,, 2004,, 2008,. 42nd House District AREA All: none. Part: Multnomah. Communities: Portland (part, east side of Willamette, south of Lloyd Center through industrial district, Hawthorne area). POPULATION 63,104 Previous district: 59,027 (-7.56 from target). Increase 00s: (53rd largest). New Minority: (37th largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R 6.78 DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R 6.47 Margin change in 00s: D (1st largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Jules Kopel Bailey The 42nd takes in the area just south of Lloyd Center (and the western end of Interstate 84) south to the Holgate Blvd. Woodstock Blvd. Area, one of the older areas of town, and including a number of industrial districts ad high tech businesses. It also ground zero for the Keep Portland Weird approach, center for many of the most culturally liberal organizations in town, and (unsurprisingly) one of the two or three most Democratic districts in Oregon (Barack Obama won more than 90 of the vote here in 2008). Since early in the last decade, registration here has dropped well below 10 approaching minority party status. REDISTRICTING A slight change, but not enough to much matter. Added some blocks on the south end were added, along with a small area near the Powell Foster intersection. Deleted a small precinct to the south. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) 146

147 Dem 24,747 20,258 17, Rep 2,551 3,400 4, N/A 9,232 10,415 9, Total 39,433 36,665 34,464 ELECTIONS H Democrat Jules Kopel Bailey Jules Kopel Bailey Diane Rosenbaum Diane Rosenbaum Diane Rosenbaum 22,020 26,580 20,325 27,327 18, Cliff Hutchison x x x x 2, PRIMARIES In her last two elections here, Diane Rosenbaum won two lopsided primaries, in 2004 (7,891, 88.48) over Gordon Hillesland and Greg Haven, and (6,219/90.1) over Hillesland. Her departure in 2008 set up a big Democratic primary with four contenders, in which Hillesland came in land, and Jules Kopel Bailey won (6,794/39.71) over Teddy Keizer and Regan Felice Gray. JULES KOPEL BAILEY, D-Portland State: Campaign: julesfororegon.com Background: Founder, Pareto Global LLC. Economist, sustainable development specialist, ECONorthwest. Staff, Oregon Secretary of State. Lewis & Clark College. Political: Elected to House, 2008,. 147

148 22nd Senate District AREA All: none. Part: POPULATION 128,234 Previous district: Multnomah. Communities: 120,987 (-5.26 from target). Increase Portland (part - NW). 00s: (24th largest). New Minority: (3rd largest). New Hispanic: DEMOCRATIC 2012 (Feb) D R 8.15 DEMOCRATIC (Nov) D R 8.10 Margin change in 00s: D (7th largest) CANDIDATES 2012 D Chip Shields North Portland is a number of seemingly contradictory things: A major shipping and transit area (Interstate 5 bisects it just south of the Columbia River, and Portland airport is here), an industrial zone, a place with substantial low and high income housing, an area with some troubled areas also undergoing, in some places, an economic and cultural renaissance. It also, in a city with a large set of firmly established neighborhoods, seems to have a particularly strong sense of local identity. It is also part of the super Democratic belt in Portland, and this probably is the most Democratic Senate seat in Oregon. (The registration edge tightened slightly, almost imperceptibly, from late to early 2012.) voter registration has fallen below 10 here in recent years. REDISTRICTING Little practical change. 148

149 Added a few precincts in the area between Fremont and Killingsworth streets, and a tract east of I 205 facing the Columbia River (north of Columbia Boulevard). Deleted no large areas. PARTY REGISTRATION (November of each year) Dem 47,375 38,226 34, Rep 5,972 7,616 8, N/A 15,568 16,202 13, Total 73,686 65,564 59,950 ELECTIONS Up in Sen Democrat Chip Shields Margaret Carter Margaret Carter 40, Dwayne Runyan 48, x 46, x 5, PRIMARIES The contest here in drew two contenders, Dwayne Runyan winning (804/66.45) over Marcus Tempey. Note the small primary turnout in this district. CHIP SHIELDS, D-Portland State: Campaign: Background: Business manager of Hands on Medicine, a primary health clinic. Former executive Director of Better People, a non profit, job placement and counseling program. Portland State University (social work). Political: Elected to House 2004,, Appointed to Senate, September Elected to Senate. 149