Vanderbilt University Poll

Transcription

1 Vanderbilt University Poll Nov 20 Dec 5, ,002 Tennessee Residents 860 Tennessee Registered Voters

2 10 Obama Approval Among TN Registered Voters 8 44% 44% 38% 41% 42% 45% 28% 2 Jan 2011 June 2011 Nov 2011 Feb 2012 May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Nov 2013 Full Sample

3 Obama Approval Among TN Registered Voters % 81% 79% 77% 82% 88% 83% 68% 2 44% 44% 45% 41% 42% 38% 35% 35% 35% 34% 28% 27% % 11% 7% 8% 4% 5% 6% 6% Jan 2011 June 2011 Nov 2011 Feb 2012 May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Nov 2013 Democrats Independents Republicans Full Sample

4 10 Perception of Economy Among TN Registered Voters 8 66% 44% 53% 52% 2 33% 31% 32% 26% 24% 23% 15% 17% Jan 2011 June 2011 Nov 2011 Feb 2012 May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Dec 2013 US Economy: Very or Fairly Good TN Economy: Very or Fairly Good

5 Top Priority of the TN State Government Among TN Registered Voters 5 48% 2 12% 1 15% 17% May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Nov 2013 Economy Health Care

6 Opinions about Health Care Source : VU Poll Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1% % 63% 34% 2 15% Favorable Unfavorable Expand Don't expand Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion

7 Affordable Care Act Source : VU Poll Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1% Given what you know about the Affordable Care Act that passed in 2010, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of it, or have you not heard enough about it to form an opinion? 5 37% % 12% 3% 5% Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party

8 Support for Medicaid Expansion Source : VU Poll Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1% Some states like Kentucky have expanded Medicaid using money from the federal government to provide medical care for low-income people. Other states, like Georgia, have decided not to expand Medicaid. Tennessee has not yet decided whether or not to expand Medicaid. Do you think Tennessee should expand Medicaid coverage for low-income people in the state, or not? 10 89% 8 63% 64% 42% 36% 2 Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party

9 Support for Medicaid Expansion Source : VU Poll Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1% % 73% 46% 2 Liberal Moderate Conservative

10 Healthcare.gov Source : VU Poll Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1% As you may know, the federal government has set up online marketplaces for health insurance that people can use to compare plans and purchase health insurance. Have you visited any of these online health insurance exchanges, such as healthcare.gov, or haven t you done this? 14% Yes No 85%

11 The Government Shutdown was a Crisis or Major Problem 81% Government Shutdown 67% 68% 68% 58% 49% The Government should not be shut down to force a Budget Deal or Delay the ACA 97% 65% 5 46% Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party

12 Willingness to Compromise Source : VU Poll Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1% Which of the following comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? I would prefer my legislators work with members of the other political party even if it means they have to compromise on some of their values and priorities. Or, I would prefer my legislators pursue their own values and priorities even if it means they are unwilling to work with members of the other political party % 95% 81% 5 Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party

13 Issues in the Tennessee Legislature Some over-the-counter cold medicines, such as Sudafed, contain an ingredient called pseudoephedrine that is used to make the illegal drug called meth. The Tennessee state legislature recently considered making pseudoephedrine a prescription drug to help reduce meth abuse. Do you support or oppose requiring people in Tennessee to get a doctor s prescription for pseudoephedrine drugs? 8 65% 7 67% 62% 64% 2 Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party

14 Issues in the Tennessee Legislature Next year, Tennessee residents will be asked to vote on an amendment to the state constitution that would allow the state legislature to pass laws that would make all abortions illegal. Do you favor giving the state legislature the constitutional authority to outlaw abortions under all circumstances, or do you oppose this? % 19% Total Independents Tea Party 26% 42% 42% Democrats Republicans Tennesseans' Abortion Views* Pro-Choice 55% Pro-Life *Average from last three VU Polls

15 10 8 Electoral Reforms in Tennessee 82% 93% 2 17% Change from Open to Closed Party Primaries 5% Change Don't Change Legislature Choose Voters Choose Party Nominees for U.S. Senate (From May 2013 VU Poll)

16 8 Approval Ratings of Statewide Officials Bill Haslam 76% 76% Bob Corker Lamar Alexander 61% 48% 61% 52% 64% 54% 51% 49% 44% 45% 48% 57% 42% 2 Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party

17 10 8 Approval Ratings of Tennesseans 76% 7 54% Source : VU Poll Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1% 85% 85% 2 24% 29% 39% Recognize Approve* Recognize Approve* Recognize Approve* Recognize Approve* Joe Carr James Franklin Butch Jones Carrie Underwood *Approval Ratings only amongst those who recognized individual

18 Comparing Carr and Alexander 8 49% 57% 42% 2 14% 15% 19% Full Sample Republicans Tea Party Carr Approval Alexander Approval

19 Looking forward to 2016? Recognition of Ted Cruz and Chris Christie 10 Ted Cruz Chris Christie 8 51% 43% 53% 54% 67% 67% 71% 74% 76% 2 Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party

20 Looking forward to 2016? Approval of Ted Cruz and Chris Christie 10 Ted Cruz Chris Christie 8 26% 3 39% 54% 44% 44% 5 36% 2 8% Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party