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1 參 玲 兩 理論 北 1996 年 (Hans Michael Baumgartner) 理 讀 (Kants Kritik der Reinen Vernunft :Anleitung zur Lektüre) 李 北 聯 1988 年 (Jeffrey M. Schwartz) 利 (Sharon Begley) (The Mind and the Brain) 北 2003 年 李度 (Joseph E. LeDoux) The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life) 蘭 北 流 2001 年 (Morton Hunt) 理 (The Story of Psychology) 李 北 2000 年 勒 (Todd Sandler) (Economic Concepts for the Social Science) 葉 北 2003 年 林 Donald P. Green 羅 Ian Shapiro 理 理論 Pathologies of Rational Choice 林 林 2000 年 劉 理論 北 88 年 理路 北 理 2001 年 Mancur Olson 行 邏 (The Logic of Collective Action) 北 流 72 年 北 82 年 121

2 論 理論 -- 理論 年 理論 兩 ( ) 論 79 年 理論 年 林 理 年 理論 1941 年 諒 年 理論 論 年 復 理 年 論 玲 理 論 立 論 76 年 6 Allison, Graham T. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Boston: Little Brown, Anatol Rapoport. Fights, Games, and Debates. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, Arrow, Kenneth. Social Choice and Individual Value. New York: Wiley, Axelord, Robert. The Evolution of Cooperation. New York: Basic Book Inc

3 Baldwin, David A. Economic Statecraft. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Betts, Richard K. Nuclear Blackmail and Nuclear Balance. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, Black, Duncan. The Theory of Committees and Elections. New York: Cambridge University Press, Brodie, Bernard. Strategy in the Missile Age. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Brodie, Bernard. War and Politics. New York: Macmillian, Bodie, Bernard, ed. The Absolute Weapon: Atomic Power and World Order. New York: Harcourt Brace, Booth, Ken, ed. New Thinking About Strategy and International Security. London: Harper Collins Academic, Boulding, Kenneth. Conflict and Defense. New York: Harper and Row, Brams, Steven J. Game Theory and Politics. New York: Free Press, Brams, Steven J. Negotiation Games: Applying Games to Bargaining and Arbitration. New York: Routledge, Brams, Steven J. Superpower games: Applying Game Theory to Superpower Conflict. New Haven: Yale University Press, Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce and David Lalman. War and Reason: Domestics and International Imperatives. New Heaven: Yale University Press, Burchill, Scott, Richard Devetak, eds. Andrew Linklater, Mathew Paterson, Christian Reus-Smit, and Jacqui True. Theory of International Relation, 2 nd New York: Palgrave, Cashman, Greg. What Causes War? New York: Macmillam,

4 Cournot, A. A. Recberches sur les Principes math matiques de la th orie des richesses, Translated by N. T. Bacon as Research into the Mathematical Principles of the Theory of Wealth. New York: Macmillan, Damasio, Antonio R. Decartes Error: Emotion, Reason and the Human Brain. New York: Putnam, Deese, David A., and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. eds. Energy and Security. Cambridge: Ballinger, Dimand, Robert J. and Mary Ann Dimand. The History of Game Theory, Vol. 1, (London: Routledge, 1996). Dougherty, James E. and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr. Contending Theories of International Relations, 5 th. New York: Longman, Downs, Anthony. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper and Row, Downs, George, and David Rocke. Optimal Imperfection: Domestic Uncertainty and Institution in International Relations. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Downs, George, and David Rocke. Tacit Bargaining and Arms Control. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, Eatwell, J. M. Milgate, and P. Newman, eds. The New Palgrave Game Theory. New York: Norton, Elster, Jon. Nuts and Bolts: For the Social Science. New York: Cambridge University Press, Farnham, Barbara, ed. Avoiding Losses/Taking Risks: Prospect Theory and International Conflict. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, Forward, N. The Field of Nations. New York: Little Brown, Fraser, Niall M., and Keith W. Hipel. Conflict Analysis, Models and Resolutions. New 124

5 York: Elsevier, Friedman, Jeffrey, ed. The Rational Choice Controversy. New Heaven: Yale University Press, Gaddis, John Lewis. We Now Know: Rethinking Cold War Theory. New York: Oxford University Press, George, Alexander, and Richard Smoke. Deterrence in American Foreign Policy. New York: Columbia University Press, Green, Donald, and Ian Shapiro. Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory. Oxford: Oxford University Press, Harvey, Frank P., and Michael Brecher, eds. Evaluating Methodology in International Studies. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, Hogarth, Robin M., and Melvin W. Reder, eds. Rational Choice: the Contrast between Economics and Psychology. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, Howard, Nigel. Paradox of Rationality: The Theory of Metagames and Political Behavior. Cambridge: MIT Press, Jervis, Robert, Richard Ned Lebow, and Janice Gross Stein, eds. Psychology and Deterrence. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, Jervis, Robert. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Jervis, Robert. The Logic of Images in International Relations. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Kahn, Herman. The Thermonuclear War. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Kahn, Herman. Thinking About the Unthinkable. New York: Keohane, Robert O., and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. Power and Interdependence. Boston: Little, Brown,

6 Kissinger, Henry. Nuclear Weapons and Foreign Policy. New York: Harper, Knorr, Klaus, and James Rosenau, eds. Contending Approaches to International Politics. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Kolkowicz, Roman. Military Strategy and Political Interests: the Soviet Union and the United States. Los Angeles: Center for International and Strategic Affairs, University of California, Lakatos, Imre, and Alan Musgrave, eds. Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Lake, David A., and Robert Powell. Strategic Choice and International Relations. Princeton: Princeton University Press, LeDoux, Joseph E. The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life. New York: Simon& Schuster, Lewin, Leif. Self-interest and Public Interest in Western Democracies. Oxford: Oxford University Press, Luce, Duncan R., and Howard Raiffa. Games and Decisions. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Marsh, David, and Gerry Stoker, eds. Theory and Methods in Political Science, 2 nd ed. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, Martin, Lisa L. Coercive Cooperation: Explaining Multilateral Economic Sanctions. Princeton: Princeton University Press, McDermott, Rose. Risk-taking in International Politics: Prospect Theory in American Foreign Policy. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, McGuire, Martin. Secrecy and the Arms Race. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, Mearsheimer, John J. Conventional Deterrence. Ithaca: Cornell University Press,

7 Merriam, Charles E. The New Aspects of Politics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, Milner, Helen. Interests, Institutions, and Information: Domestic Politics and International Relations. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Morgan, Patrick. Deterrence: A Conceptual Analysis. Beverly Hills: Sage, Morgenthau, Hans. Politics Among Nations. New York: Knopf, Morrow, James D. Game Theory for Political Scientist. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Mueller, Dennis C. Perspectives on Public Choice: A Handbook. New York: Cambridge University Press, Mueller, John. Quiet Cataclysm: Reflections on the Recent Transformation of World Politics. New York: Harper Collins, Nicholson, Michael. Conflict Analysis. London: English University Press, Nicholson, Michael. Formal Theories in International Relations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Niou, Emerson M. S., Peter C. Ordeshook, and Gregory F. Rose. The Balance of Power: Stability in International Systems. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Olson, Mancur. The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, Ordershook, Peter C. Game theory and Political Theory: An Introduction. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Ordeshook, Peter C. ed. Models of Strategic Choice in Politics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, Organski, A. F. K., and Jacek Kugler. The War Ledger. Chicago: University of 127

8 Chicago Press, Payne, James. The American Threat: The Fear of War as an Instrument of Foreign Policy. Chicago: Markham, Powell, Robert. Nuclear Deterrence Theory: the Search for Credibility. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Pruitt, Dean G., and Richard C. Snyder, eds. Theory and Research on the Causes of War. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall, Reich, Walter, ed. Origins of Terrorism: Psychologies, Ideologies, Theologies, States of Mind. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Riker, William H. The Theory of Political Coalitions. New Haven: Yale University Press, Rosenau, James, ed. International Politics and Foreign Policy. New York: Free Press, Schelling, Thomas. Arms and Influence. New Heaven: Yale University Press, Schelling, Thomas. The Strategy of Conflicts. Cambridge: Harvard University press, Shepsle, Kenneth A., and Mark S. Bonchek. Analyzing Politics. New York: Norton, Shubik, Martin. Game Theory in the Social Science. Cambridge: MIT Press, Simon, Herbert. Administrative Behavior. New York: Macmillan, Smith, Steve, Ken Booth, and Marysia Zalewski, eds. International Theory: Positivism and Beyond. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Snyder, Craig A., ed. Contemporary Security and Strategy. New York: Routledge,

9 Snyder, Glenn, and Paul Diesing. Conflict Among Nations. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Tullock, Gordon, and James Buchnan, eds. The Calculus of Consent. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan University Press, Viotti, Paul R., and Mark V. Kauppi. International Relational Theory: Realism, Pluralism and Globalism. New York: Macmillan, Von Neumann, John, and Oskar Morganstern. The Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Walter, Carlsnaes, Beth A. Simmons, and Thomas Risse-Kappen. Handbook of International Relations. London: Sage, Waltz, Kenneth. Theory of International Politics. Reading: Addison-Wesley, Weintraub, E. Roy ed. Toward a History of Game Theory. Durham: Duke University Press, Wendt, Alexander. Social Theory of International Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Wittgenstein, Ludwig. Tractatus Logico-Philosophicus (1922) translated by D. F. Pears and B F. McGuinnies. London: Routeledge and Kegan Raul, Young, Oran R. The Politics of Force: Bargaining During International Crises. Princeton: Princeton University Press, Zagare, Frank C., and D. Marc Kilgour. Perfect Deterrence. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Zagare, Frank, ed. Modeling International Conflict. New York: Gordon and Breach, 論 Achen, Christopher H., and Duncan Snidal. Rational Deterrence Theory and 129

10 Comparative Case Studies. World Politics 41 (January 1989): Adler, Emmanuel. The Emergence of Cooperation: National Epistemic Communities and the International Evolution of the Idea of Nuclear Arms Control. International Organization 46 (Spring 1992): Amadae, S. M., and Bruce Bueno de Msequita. The Rochester School: The Origin of Positive Political Theory. Annual Review of Political Science 2 (1999): Baldwin, David A. Security Studies and The End of The Cold War. World Politics 48 (October 1998): Bennett, Peter, and M. Dando. Complex Strategic Analysis: A Hypergame Perspective of the Fall of France. Journal of the Operational Research Society 30 (1970): Berejikian, Jeffrey D. Model Building With Prospect Theory: A Cognitive Approach to International Relations. Political Psychology 23 (December 2002): Botcheva, Liliana, and Lisa L. Martin. Credibility, Costs and Institutions: Cooperation on Economic Sanction. World Politics 45 (April 1993): Botcheva, Liliana, and Lisa L. Martin. Institutional Effects on State Behavior: Convergence and Divergence. International Studies Quarterly 45 (March 2001): Bowen, Howard R. The Interpretation of Voting in the Allocation of Economic Resources. Quarterly Journal of Economics 58 (November 1943): Brams, Steven, and Marek Hessel. Threat Power in Sequential Games. International Studies Quarterly 28 (March 1984): Brophy-Baermann, Bryan, and John A. Conybeare. Retaliating against Terrorism: Rational Expectations and the Optimality of Rules versus Discretion. American Journal of Political Science 38 (February 1994): Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. Risk, Power Distribution, and the Likely of War. 130

11 International Studies Quarterly 25 (December 1981): Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, and David Lalman. Domestic Opposition and Foreign War. American Political Science Review 84 (September 1990): Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. Pride of Place: the Origins of German Hegemony. World Politics 43 (October 1990): Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. Domestic Politics and International Relations. International Studies Quarterly 46 (March 2002): 1-9. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, and Randolph Siverson. War and the Survival of Political Leaders: A Comparative Study of Regime Types and Political Accountability. American Political Science Review 89 (December 1995): Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, and James D. Morrow. Sorting Through the Wealth of Notions. International Security 24 (Fall 1999): Bueno de Meaquita, Bruce, James D. Morrow, Randolph M. Siverson, and Alastair Smith. An Institutional Explanation of the Democratic Peace. American political Science Review 93 (December 1999): Carlson, Lisa J. A Theory of Escalation and International Conflict. Journal of Conflict Resolution 39 (September 1995): Carlson, Lisa J. Crisis Escalation: An Empirical Test in the Context of Extended Deterrence. International Interactions 24 (1998): Castillo, Jasen J. Nuclear Terrorism: Why Deterrence Still Matters. Current History, no. 668 (December 2003): Copeland, Dale. Economic Interdependence and War: A Theory of Trade Expectations. International Security 20 (Spring 1996): Cox, Gary. The Empirical Content of Rational Choice Theory, a Reply to Green and Shapiro. Journal of Theoretical Politics 11 (April 1999): Cudd, Ann E. Game Theory and The History of Ideas about Rationality. Economics 131

12 and Philosophy 9 (April 1993): Dahl, Robert A. The Behavioral Approach in Political Science: Epitaph for a Monument to A Successful Probes. American Political Science Review 55 (December 1961): Downs, George and David Rocke. Tacit Bargaining and Arms Control. World Politics 39 (April 1987): Ellsberg, Daniel. The Crude Analysis of Strategic Choice. American Economic Review 51 (May 1961): Farnham, Barbara. Roosevelt and the Munich Crisis: Insights from Prospect theory. Political Psychology 13 (June 1992): Fearon, James D. Signaling Versus the Balance of Power and Interests: An Empirical Test of a Crisis Bargaining Model. Journal of Conflict Resolution 38 (June 1994): Fearon, James D. Domestic Audience Costs and Escalation of International Disputes. American Political Science Review 88 (September 1994): Fearon, James D. Rationalist Explanations of War. International Organization 49 (Summer 1995): Fearon, James D. Signaling Foreign Policy Interests: Tying Hands Versus Sinking Costs. Journal of Conflict Resolution 41 (February 1997): Fearon, James D. Bargaining, Enforcement, and International Cooperation. International Organization 52 (Spring1998): Foink, Clinton. More Calculations About Deterrence. Journal of Conflict Resolution 9 (March 1965): Fréchet, Maurice. Emile Borel, Initiator of the Theory of Psychological Games and Its Applications. Econometrica 21 (January 1953): Fréchet Maurice. Commentary on Three Notes of Emile Borel. Econometrica

13 (January 1953): Fudenberg, Drew, and Jean Tirole. Perfect Bayesian Equilibrium and Sequential Equilibrium. Journal of Economic Theory 53 (April 1991): Grieco, Joseph. Anarchy and the Limits of Cooperation: A Realist Critique of Newest Liberal Institutionalism. International Organization 42 (Fall 1988): Haftendorn, Helga. The Security Puzzle: Theory Building and Discipline-Building in International Security. International Studies Quarterly 35 (March 1991): Hass, Mark L. Prospect Theory and Cuba Missile Crisis. International Studies Quarterly 45 (June 2001): Harsanyi, John C. Games with Incomplete Information Played by Bayesian Players, Part I, II, III. Management Science 14 (November 1967): ; (January 1968): ; (March 1968): Herrmann, Richard K., James F. Voss, Tonya Y. E. Schooler, and Joseph Ciarrochi. Images in International Relations: An Experimental Test of Cognitive Schemata. International Studies Quarterly 41 (September 1997): Huth, Paul, and Bruce Russett. What Makes Deterrence Work? Cases from World Politics 36 (July 1984): Huth, Paul, and Bruce Russett. Deterrence Failure and Crisis Escalation. International Studies Quarterly 32 (March 1988): Huth, Paul. Extended Deterrence and the Outbreak of War. American Political Science Review 82 (June 1988): Huth, Paul. The Extended Deterrent Value of Nuclear Weapons. Journal of Conflict Resolution 34 (June 1990): Huth, Paul. Deterrence and International Conflicts: Empirical Findings and Theoretical Debates. Annual Review of Political Science 2 (1999):

14 Jervis, Robert. Deterrence Theory Revisited. World Politics 31 (April 1979): Jervis, Robert. Realism, Game Theory and Cooperation. World Politics 40 (April 1988): Jervis, Robert. The Political Effects of Nuclear Weapons: A Comment. International Security 13 (Autumn 1988): Kahler, Miles. Rationality in International Relations. International Organization 52 (Autumn 1998): Kahneman, Daniel and Amos Tversky. Prospective Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk. Econometrica 47 (March 1979): Keohane, Robert, O. International Institutions: Two Approaches. International Studies Quarterly 32 (December 1988): Kim, Woosang. Power, Alliance and Major Wars, Journal of Conflict Resolution 33 (June 1989): Kim, Woosang. Alliance Transitions and Great Power War. American Journal of Political Science 35 (November 1991): Kim, Woosang, and Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. How Perceptions Influence the Risk of War. International Studies Quarterly 39 (March 1995): Kim, Woosang, and James Morrow. When do Power Shifts Lead to War? American Journal of Political Science 36 (November 1992): Koremenos, Barbara. Loosening the Ties that Bond: A Learning Model of Agreement Flexibility. International Organization 55 (Spring 2001): Kreps, David M., and Robert Wilson. Sequential Equilibrium. Econometrica 50 (July 1982): Kugler, Jacek. Terror Without Deterrence. Journal of Conflict Resolution 28 (September 1984):

15 Kydd, Andrew. Game Theory and the Spiral Model. World Politics 49 (April 1997): Levy, Jack. Prospect Theory, Rational Choice, and International Relations. International Studies Quarterly (March 1997): Makins, C. The Superpower s Dilemma: Negotiating in the Nuclear Age. Survival 27 (May/June 1985): Martin, Lisa L. Institution and Cooperation: Sanctions during Falkland Islands Conflicts. International Security 16 (June 1992): Martin, Lisa L. Interest, Power, and Multilateralism. International Organization 46 (Autumn 1992): Martin, Lisa L. The Contributions of Rational Choice: A Defense of Pluralism. International Security 24 (Fall 1999): Mathews, Jessica T. Redefining Security. Foreign Affairs 68 (Spring 1988): McDermott, Rose. Prospect Theory in International Relations: The Iranian Hostage Rescue Mission. Political Psychology 13 (June 1992): McDermott Rose, and Jacek Kugler. Comparing Rational Choice and Prospect Theory Analysis: The US Decision to Launch Operation Desert Storm, January The Journal of Strategic Studies 24 (September 2001): McDermott, Rose. Prospect Theory in Political Science: Gains and Losses From the First Decade. Political Psychology 25 (April 2004): Mearsheimer, John J. Back to the Future: Instability in Europe After the Cold War. International Security 15 (Summer 1990): Miller, Steven. International Security at Twenty-five. International Security 26 (Summer 2001): Mitchell, William C. Virginia, Rochester, and Bloomington: Twenty Five Years of 135

16 Public Choice and Political Science. Public Choice 56 (February 1988): Monroe, Kristen Renwick. Paradigm Shift: From Rational Choice to Perspective. International Political Science Review 22 (October 2001): Morgan, T. Clifton, and Valerie L. Schwebach. Economic Sanctions as An Instrument of Foreign Policy: The Role of Domestic Politics. International Interactions 21 (1995): Morgan, T. Clifton, and Valerie L. Schwebach. Fools Suffer Gladly: The Use of Economic Sanctions in International Crises. International Studies Quarterly 41 (March 1997): Morrow, James D. Alliance, Credibility, and Peacetime Costs. Journal of Conflict Resolution 38 (June 1994): Nalebuff, Barry. Rational Deterrence in an Imperfect World. World Politics 43 (April 1991): Niou, Emerson M. S., and Peter Ordeshook. Less Filling, Tastes Great, The Realist-Neoliberal Debate. World Politics 46 (January 1994): Niou, Emerson M. S., and Peter D. Ordeshook. Return of the Luddites. International Security 24 (Fall 1999): Nye, Joseph S. Nuclear Learning and the U.S.-Soviet Security Regimes. International Organization 41 (Summer 1987): Nye, Joseph S., and Sean M. Lynn-Jones. International Security Studies: A Report of a Conference on the State of the Field. International Security 12 (Spring 1988): Orme, John. Deterrence Failures: A Second Look. International Security 11 (Spring 1987): Pahre, Robert. Multilateral Cooperation in an Iterated Prisoner s Dilemma. Journal of Conflict Resolution 38 (June 1994):

17 Pahre, Robert, and Paul A. Papayoanou. Using Game Theory to Link Domestic and International Politics. Journal of Conflict Resolution 41 (February 1997): Papayoanou, Paul. Interdependence, Institutions, and Balance of Power. International Security 20 (Spring 1996): Powell, Robert. Nuclear Brinkmanship with Two-Sided Incomplete Information. American Political Science Review 82 (March 1988): Powell, Robert. Crisis Stability in the Nuclear Age. American Political Science Review 83 (March 1989): Powell, Robert. Absolute and Relative Gains in International Relations Theory. American Political Science Review 85 (December 1991): Powell, Robert. Stability and the Distribution of Power. World Politics 48 (January 1996): Powell, Robert. Uncertainty, Shifting Power and Appeasement. American Political Science Review 90 (December 1996): Powell, Robert. The Modeling Enterprise and Security Studies. International Security 24 (Fall 1999): Powell, Robert. Nuclear Deterrence Theory, Nuclear Proliferation, and National Missile Defense. International Security 27 (Spring 2003): Putnam, Robert. Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games. International Organization 42 (Summer 1988): Rapoport, Anatol. Lewis Fry Richardson s Mathematical Theory of War. Journal of Conflict Resolution 1 (September 1957): Reiter, Dan, and Allan C. Stam III. Democracy, War Initiation, and Victory. American Political Science Review 92 (June 1998): Russett, Bruce. The Calculus of Deterrence. Journal of Conflict Resolution 7 (June 1963):

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