Security and Insecurity in Northeast Asia

Transcription

1 Security and Insecurity in Northeast Asia CREDIT 3 INSTRUCTOR Toby Dalton OFFICE OFFICE HOURS TIME TBA CLASSROOM LOCATION TBA tfdalton2017@gmail.com [COURSE INFORMATION] The contemporary regional order in Northeast Asia is characterized by alliances and territorial conflicts, security spirals and great power competition, economic interdependence and historical animosities, and, increasingly, technology that is changing the character of international relations. How did it come to have these features, what theories best explain it, what drivers are pushing its evolution, and what are the implications for peace and security in the future? This course will blend history, theory, politics, technology and policy to explore the contours of regional security and insecurity in Northeast Asia. COURSE DESCRIPTION & GOALS This is a seminar-style, reading and discussion-intensive course. Students are expected to come to class prepared to engage in critical analysis and debate on the readings. The grading policy reflects the emphasis on in-class participation. More than 2 unexcused absences will result in grade reduction. Objectives: Upon completion of the course, students are expected to: have a broad understanding of the sources of security and insecurity in contemporary Northeast Asia; evaluate contending theoretical explanations for regional order; apply international relations theories to contextualize current events in the region; and evaluate critically arguments about policy prescriptions. PREREQUISITE COURSE REQUIREMENTS 20% Midterm Exam Comprised of in-class short and long essays 30% Final Exam Comprised of in-class short and long essays GRADING POLICY 20% In-class presentations Short individual presentations on readings or current events 20% Class participation Active participation in discussion 10% Team project Team preparation of policy position paper TEXTS & Muthiah Alagappa, Asian Security Order: Instrumental and Normative Features (Stanford University Press, 2003). Available at Amazon

2 Additional articles, book chapters and other materials assigned for each class session, per the weekly schedule. INSTRUCTOR S PROFILE Toby Dalton is co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington, DC. His work focuses on nuclear energy and nuclear weapons issues, regional security in Northeast Asia and South Asia, and the evolution of the global nuclear order. Prior to joining the Carnegie Endowment, he served in the National Nuclear Security Administration at the U.S. Department of Energy, including as senior policy advisor to the Office of Nonproliferation and International Security, and as Energy Attaché at the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad, Pakistan. He was professional staff member on the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and a visiting fellow at the Institute for Far Eastern Studies in Seoul, Korea. He is coauthor of Not War, Not Peace? (Oxford University Press, 2016) and has published numerous other articles and papers. He holds a PhD in Public Policy from The George Washington University. Full biography is available at: [WEEKLY SCHEDULE] July 3 Introduction July 3 In-class reading TBD 1 July 4 Foundations of Asian Security Order July 4 Muthiah Alagappa, Asian Security Order (Stanford, 2003), ch 1-2; Peter Katzenstein and Rudra Sil, Rethinking Asian Security, in J.J. Suh, Peter Katzenstein and Allen Carlson (eds), Rethinking Security in East Asia (Stanford, 2004), p July 5 Great Powers in Asia July 5 Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch July 9 Alliances July 9 Stephen Walt, Alliance Formation and the Balance of World Power, International Security, Spring 1984; OR Glenn Snyder, The Security Dilemma in Alliance Politics, World Politics, July 1984; AND Linton Brooks and Mira Rapp-Hooper, Extended Deterrence, Assurance, and Reassurance in the Pacific During the Second Nuclear Age in Ashley J. Tellis, Abraham M. Denmark, and Travis Tanner, eds., Strategic Asia (NBR). July 10 Regional Security Complexes July 10 Barry Buzan and Ole Waever, Regions and Powers: The Structure of International Security (Cambridge, 2003), Ch. 1, 2, 3 (p ) and 6. July 11 Multipolarity and Stability July 11 Aaron Friedberg, Ripe for Rivlary: Prospects for Peace in Multipolar Asia, International Security, Winter ; John

3 Ikenberry From Hegemony to the Balance of Power: The Rise of China and American Grand Strategy in East Asia, International Journal of Korean Unification Studies, Vol. 23, No. 2 (2015); Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch. 5. July 12 Identity and Order July 12 Christopher Hemmer and Peter Katzenstein, Why is there No NATO in Asia? Collective Identity, Regionalism, and the Origins of Multilateralism, International Organization, Summer 2002; Henry Nau, Identity and the Balance of Power in Asia, in John Ikenberry and Michael Mastanduno (eds), International Relations Theory and the Asia-Pacific (Columbia, 2003). July 16 Liberal Internationalism and Economic Interdependence July 16 Jack Levy, Economic Interdependence, Opportunity Costs, and Peace, in Edward Mansfield and Brian Pollins (eds), Economic Interdependence and International Conflict (Michigan, 2003); Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch. 8. July 17 Political Economy and Security July 17 Avery Goldstein and Edward Mansfield, The Nexus of Economics, Security and International Relations (Stanford, 2012), ch. 1, 3. 3 July 18 Regional Institutions July 18 Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch 6, 9; Goldstein and Mansfield, The Nexus of Economics, Security and International Relations, ch. 4. July 19 Alternative Explanations July 19 Thomas Berger, Power and Purpose in Pacific East Asia: A Constructivist Interpretation, in Ikenberry and Mastanduno, International Relations Theory and the Asia-Pacific; Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch. 15. July 23 Mid-term Exam (1 st half of class); Technology Innovation and Security (2 nd half of class) July 23 Daniel McCarthy (ed), Technology and World Politics (Routledge, 2018), ch July 24 Nuclear Weapons July 24 Scott D. Sagan, Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons? Three Models in Search of a Bomb, International Security (Winter

4 1996/97); Ashley Tellis, No Escape: Managing the Enduring Reality of Nuclear Weapons, in Tellis et al, Strategic Asia July 25 Missile Proliferation July 25 Aaron Karp, Ballistic Missile Proliferation (SIPRI, 1996), ch. 2-3; Jeffrey Lewis, The Great Asian Missile Race, Foreign Policy, October 22, 2015; Mira Rapp-Hooper, Decoupling is Back in Asia, War on the Rocks, September 7, July 26 New Disruptive Technology July 26 Klaus Schwab, The Fourth Industrial Revolution, Foreign Affairs, December 12, 2015; Laurie Garrett, Biology s Brave New World, Foreign Affairs, November 1, 2013; Thomas Rid, Cyberwar and Peace, Foreign Affairs, November 1, 2013; Denise Garcia, The Case Against Killer Robots, Foreign Affairs, May 10, July 30 Territorial Disputes [Teams and Assignments for Team Project] July 30 Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch. 11. July 31 U.S. Pivot to Asia July 31 Ash Carter, The Rebalance and Asia-Pacific Security, Foreign Affairs, Nov/Dec 2016; Michael Green, The Legacy of Obama s Pivot to Asia, Foreign Policy, September 2, 2016; John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt, The Case for Offshore Balancing, Foreign Affairs, July/August August 1 Implications of China s Rise August 1 Michael Swaine, Chinese Views of Foreign Policy in the 19 th Party Congress, China Leadership Monitor; Graham Allison, China vs. America, Foreign Affairs, September/October 2017; David Shambaugh, Tangled Titans, in Tangled Titans: The United States and China (Rowman & Littlefield, 2013). August 2 Crisis Scenarios August 2 Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch. 10; Jeffrey Lewis, This is How Nuclear War With North Korea Would Unfold, The Washington Post, December 8, 2017; Isaac Stone Fish, Asia s Other Nightmare Scenario, Slate, October 4, 2017.

5 August 6 Team Project Work August 7 Team Project Presentations 6 August 8 Future of Security in Northeast Asia August 9 Final Exam August 8 Alagappa, Asian Security Order, ch. 16.