Provisional results for the 2002 New Zealand general election (As amended 5 th August 2002)

Transcription

1 Provisional results for the 2002 New Zealand general election (As amended 5 th August 2002) 2002/05 5 August 2002 Executive summary The results On election night Labour and the Progressive Coalition provisionally held 54 of the 120 Parliamentary seats, Labour with 52 seats and the Progressive Coalition with 2 seats (electorate seat of Wigram plus a list seat). National seats in the House fell from 39 to 27. New Zealand First picked up a further 8 seats, with a total of 13. United Future New Zealand retained the electorate seat of Ohariu- Belmont, and picked up a further 8 list seats. ACT New Zealand returned with 9 seats, the same number as in the last Parliament. The Green Party increased their number of seats within the House by 1 to 8 seats, however they lost the electorate seat of the Coromandel. The Alliance failed in its bid to gain the electorate seat of Waitakere. Of the 120 MPs (Table 1), there are 30 new Members of Parliament. Of these 8 are electorate MPs and the remaining 22 are list MPs. These new MPs are spread across all seven Parties represented in the House: Labour 6, National 5, New Zealand First 8, ACT New Zealand 2, United Future New Zealand 8, and the Green Party 1. Table 1. New Zealand provisional general election results 2002 Party Vote Electorate List Total Party Number (%) Seats Seats Seats Labour Party 754, % National Party 384, % New Zealand First Party 193, % ACT New Zealand 129, % United Future NZ 124, % Green Party 118, % Jim Anderton's Progressive Coalition 31, % Alliance 22, % Other 73, % Total 1,832, % te: Parties in the Other category include Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party (0.58%), Christian Heritage Party (1.36%), Mana Maori Movement (0.26%), NMP (0.01%), One New Zealand Party (0.09%), and Outdoor Recreation NZ (1.28%). Source: Ministry of Justice, Chief Electoral Office,

2 Compared with the 1999 election, Labour, New Zealand First, United Future New Zealand, and the Green Party increased their share of seats in the House (Table 2). New Zealand First and the United Future New Zealand parties picked up the most seats, each gaining an additional 8 seats. The Labour party picked up another 3 seats and the Green party picked up an additional seat. The Alliance lost all 10 of their seats and the National party lost 12 seats. The Progressive Coalition received 2 seats. Of the currently elected members, thirty-five are women, compared with thirty-seven in the last Parliament. Four women retired at the end of the last session of Parliament, while a further 7 missed out on getting reelected. Against this, the new Parliament has 9 new women MPs: ACT New Zealand 2, National 2, United Future New Zealand 2, Labour 1, the Green Party 1, and New Zealand First 1. Table 2. Net changes in party seats from 1999 general election Total Seats Percentage change as a Percentage of Party Votes % point Party 1999 Election 2002 Election proportion of total seats (120) 1999 Election 2002 Election change in Party Votes Labour Party % 38.7% 41.4% 2.6% National Party % 30.5% 21.1% -9.4% New Zealand First Party % 4.3% 10.6% 6.3% ACT New Zealand % 7.0% 7.1% 0.1% United Future NZ % 0.5% 6.8% 6.3% Green Party % 5.2% 6.5% 1.3% Jim Anderton's Progressive Coalition % 1.8% Alliance % 7.7% 1.2% -6.5% Other % 3.6% -2.4% Total % 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% te: Appendix One details the Members of Parliament by Party as at 29/7/2002 (provisional results). Sources: Ministry of Justice, Chief Electoral Office, ; Ministry of Justice, The General Election E.9. Electorate seats Only a limited number of electorate seats changed parties during the 2002 election, which is vastly different from the final outcome of the 1999 election. On the provisional results, 4 electorate seats changed from one party to another in 2002, the Coromandel, Hamilton East, Otago and Wigram (although the MP remains the same for Wigram). The Labour Party gained 2 of these seats, while the National Party and the Progressive Coalition won 1 each. In the 1999 election, 14 electorate seats changed from one party to another, including the Maori seats. While the Labour Party gained 45 electorate seats, the National Party 21 electorate seats, and the New Zealand First Party, United Future New Zealand, and the Progressive Coalition gained an electorate seat each, the Labour Party won the most Party Votes in 65 electorates, and the National Party in 4 electorates. These four electorates are Clutha- Southland, Epsom, Rakaia, and the Taranaki-King Country. 2

3 Party share Prior to the introduction of the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) electoral system in 1996, seats within the Parliament were mainly held by the two main parties, although there were some other parties represented. The relative percentages of seats held by the various parties over this period are shown in Figure 1. The total number of MPs within the House of Representatives has increased from 92 in 1981 to 120 in the last three elections. Figure 1. Percentage of total seats by political party for general elections Percentage (%) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Election National ACT United NZ First PCP/Other Greens Alliance Labour tes: Included in other are the 2 Social Credit/Democrat seats in 1981 and 1984, and 1 New Labour seat in Seat numbers for the 2002 election are based on the provisional results as at 29/7/2002. Sources: Ministry of Justice, Chief Electoral Office, Statistics New Zealand, New Zealand Official Yearbook 2000, p. 32. Voter participation rate Voter participation rate for general elections in New Zealand has always been comparatively high compared with other countries. However, voter participation of those on the Maori roll falls below that of those on the general roll. In the 1999 election the participation rate of those on the Maori roll was 70.7%, while those on the general roll had a participation rate of 85.7%. This resulted in an overall participation rate at the 1999 election of 84.8% (Figure 2). The estimated voter participation rate in the 2002 general election was 75%. Figure 2. Voter participation rates in the general elections 100% 90% Total Voter participation rate Voter participation rate - General roll Voter participation rate - Maori roll Voter Participation Rate (%) 80% 70% 60% 50% Election 3

4 The seats The Alliance failed in its bid to gain the electorate seat of Waitakere. Based on provisional results, Hon. Laila Harre missed out on the seat, coming second with 6,669 votes compared with Lynne Pillay s (Labour) 8,760. With 1.24% of the Party vote (less than the 5% threshold required for allocation of seats in the House without an electorate seat), the Alliance Party are not present in the new Parliament. The Green Party lost their electorate seat of the Coromandel, with coleader Jeanette Fitzsimons losing to National s Sandra Goudie. National lost the electorates of Otago and Hamilton East, by margins of 796 and 402 respectively. The Labour Party picked these up (see Appendix 1). United Future New Zealand s Hon. Peter Dunne increased his majority in the electorate seat of Ohariu-Belmont, while his Party picked up 6.82% of the Party vote, resulting in a further 8 list MPs joining him in the House (see Appendix 2). Since 1996 he had been the sole member of the Party within the House of Representatives. The Rt Hon. Winston Peters increased his majority in the electorate of Tauranga from 63 in the last election to 9,663. New Zealand First increased their share of the Party vote to 10.6%, allowing an additional 8 MPs to join the current 5 MPs from the previous Parliament. Two additional Asian list MPs join National s list MP Pansy Wong in the new Parliament. These are Labour s Dr Ashraf Choudhary and United Future New Zealand s Kelly Chal. Maori members and seats The Labour Party picked up all seven Maori seats with comfortable majorities (The margin for Maori electorate seat of Tainui represented the closest race for a Maori seat, with a provisional margin of 2,969 votes). The new Parliament has nineteen Maori MPs, up from sixteen in the last Parliament. Overall, Maori MPs make up 15.8% of the Parliament, comparable with their proportion of the population in the 2001 Census of 14.7%. Of the new MPs, 6 are Maori, 4 within New Zealand First, Labour 1, and the Greens 1. Selected references Ministry of Justice, The General Election E.9. New Zealand Yearbook Wellington, Statistics New Zealand, The New Zealand Electoral Commission website. Grant Cleland, Research Analyst - Economics Research and Analysis Branch Parliamentary Library For more information contact Grant (ext.9173) Copyright NZ Parliamentary Library Except for educational purposes permitted under the Copyright Act 1994, no part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, including information storage and retrieval systems, other than by Members of Parliament in the course of their official duties, without the consent of the Parliamentary Librarian, Parliament Buildings, Wellington, New Zealand. 4

5 APPENDIX ONE. Members of Parliament by Electorate as elected on 27 July Party change in Seat New MP to the House Electorate Member Party Margin General Electorates Aoraki SUTTON, Hon. Jim Labour 6,128 Auckland Central TIZARD, Hon. Judith Labour 4,532 Banks Peninsula DYSON, Hon. Ruth Labour 3,896 Bay of Plenty RYALL, Hon. Tony National 5,102 Christchurch Central BARNETT, Tim Labour 9,220 Christchurch East DALZIEL, Hon. Lianne Labour 13,898 Clevedon COLLINS, Judith National 2,921 Renamed Yes Clutha-Southland ENGLISH, Hon. Bill National 6,340 Coromandel GOUDIE, Sandra National 5,460 Yes Yes Dunedin rth HODGSON, Hon. Pete Labour 9,734 Dunedin South BENSON-POPE, David Labour 14,042 East Coast MACKEY, Janet Labour 4,922 East Coast Bays McCULLY, Hon. Murray National 1,372 Renamed Epsom WORTH, Richard National 5,071 Hamilton East YATES, Dianne Labour 402 Yes Hamilton West GALLAGHER, Martin Labour 5,131 Helensville KEY, John National 1,589 Redrawn and renamed Yes Hutt South MALLARD, Hon. Trevor Labour 7,054 Ilam BROWNLEE, Gerry National 3,505 Invercargill PECK, Mark Labour 2,701 Kaikoura SCOTT, Lynda National 2,549 Mana LABAN, Winnie Labour 5,836 Mangere FIELD, Taito Phillip Labour 13,399 Manukau East ROBERTSON, Ross Labour 9,375 Manurewa HAWKINS, Hon. George Labour 11,277 Maungakiekie GOSCHE, Hon. Mark Labour 5,630 Mt Albert CLARK, Rt Hon. Helen Labour 13,718 Mt Roskill GOFF, Hon. Phil Labour 11,709 Napier FAIRBROTHER, Russell Labour 3,835 Yes Nelson SMITH, Hon. Nick National 3,832 New Lynn CUNLIFFE, David Labour 9,925 Redrawn and renamed New Plymouth DUYNHOVEN, Harry Labour 13,977 rth Shore MAPP, Dr Wayne National 4,708 rthcote HARTLEY, Ann Labour 2,208 rthland CARTER, John National 6,953 Ohariu-Belmont DUNNE, Hon. Peter United Future 11,542 Otago PARKER, David Labour 796 Yes Yes Otaki HUGHES, Darren Labour 7,388 Yes Pakuranga WILLIAMSON, Hon. Maurice National 4,251 Palmerston rth MAHAREY, Hon. Steve Labour 6,970 Piako TISCH, Lindsay National 1,367 Renamed Port Waikato HUTCHISON, Dr Paul National 5,649 Rakaia CONNELL, Brian National 5,660 Yes 5

6 APPENDIX ONE. Members of Parliament by Electorate as elected on 27 July Electorate Member Party Margin Party change in Seat New MP to the House Rangitikei POWER, Simon National 4,926 Rimutaka SWAIN, Hon. Paul Labour 11,913 Rodney SMITH, Dr the Hon. Lockwood National 4,225 Rongotai KING, Hon. Annette Labour 10,038 Rotorua CHADWICK, Steve Labour 7,307 Tamaki SIMICH, Hon. Clem National 1,188 Taranaki-King Country ARDERN, Shane National 6,702 Taupo BURTON, Hon. Mark Labour 6,665 Tauranga PETERS, Rt Hon. Winston New Zealand First 9,663 Te Atatu CARTER, Chris Labour 11,429 Tukituki BARKER, Rick Labour 6,110 Waimakariri COSGROVE, Clayton Labour 9,998 Wairarapa BEYER, Georgina Labour 5,989 Waitakere PILLAY, Lynne Labour 2,091 Yes Wellington Central HOBBS, Hon. Marian Labour 3,279 West Coast-Tasman O'CONNOR, Damien Labour 7,079 Whanganui PETTIS, Jill Labour 1,857 Whangarei HEATLEY, Phil National 2,971 Wigram ANDERTON, Hon. Jim Progressive Coalition 2,967 Yes Māori Electorates Ikaroa-Rawhiti HOROMIA, Hon. Parekura Labour 9,472 Tainui MAHUTA, Nanaia Labour 2,969 All Māori seats Tamaki Makaurau TAMIHERE, John Labour 8,949 remained with the Te Tai Hauauru TURIA, Hon. Tariana Labour 7,536 Labour Party, with Te Tai Tokerau SAMUELS, Hon. Dover Labour 4,660 one additional Māori Te Tai Tonga OKEROA, Mahara Labour 6,712 seat in this election. Waiariki RIRINUI, Mita Labour 6,126 tes: Most electorates experienced some boundary changes since the 1999 election, thus affecting margins. 6

7 APPENDIX TWO. Members of Parliament by Party as elected on 27 July ACT New Zealand Labour Party continued. Member of Parliament Electorate/List Member of Parliament Electorate/List AWATERE HUATA, Donna List HAWKINS, Hon. George Electorate CODDINGTON, Deborah (new MP)List HEREORA, Dave (new MP) List ECKHOFF, Gerrard List HOBBS, Hon. Marian Electorate FRANKS, Stephen List HODGSON, Hon. Pete Electorate HIDE, Rodney List HOROMIA, Hon. Parekura Electorate NEWMAN, Dr Muriel List HUGHES, Darren (new MP) Electorate PREBBLE, CBE. Hon. Richard List HUNT, Hon. Johnathan List ROY, Heather (new MP) List KELLY, Graham List SHIRLEY, Hon. Ken List KING, Hon. Annette Electorate LABAN, Winnie Electorate Green Party MACKEY, Janet Electorate Member of Parliament Electorate/List MAHAREY, Hon. Steve Electorate BRADFORD, Sue List MAHUTA, Nanaia Electorate DONALD, Rod List MALLARD, Trevor Electorate EWEN-STREET, Ian List O'CONNOR, Damien Electorate FITZSIMONS, Jeanette List OKEROA, Mahara Electorate KEDGLEY, Sue List PARKER, David (new MP) Electorate LOCKE, Keith List PECK, Mark Electorate TANCZOS, Nandor List PETTIS, Jill Electorate TUREI, Metiria (new MP) List PILLAY, Lynne (new MP) Electorate RIRINUI, Mita Electorate Jim Anderton's Progressive Coalition ROBERTSON, Ross Electorate Member of Parliament Electorate/List SAMUELS, Hon. Dover Electorate ANDERTON, Hon. Jim Electorate SUTTON, Hon. Jim Electorate ROBSON, Hon. Matt List SWAIN, Hon. Paul Electorate TAMIHERE, John Electorate Labour Party TIZARD, Hon. Judith Electorate Member of Parliament Electorate/List TURIA, Hon. Tariana Electorate BARKER, Rick Electorate WILSON, Hon. Margaret List BARNETT, Tim Electorate YATES, Dianne Electorate BENSON-POPE, David Electorate BEYER, Georgina Electorate National Party BURTON, Hon. Mark Electorate Member of Parliament Electorate/List CARTER, Chris Electorate ARDERN, Shane Electorate CHADWICK, Stephanie (Steve) Electorate BRASH, Don (new MP) List CHOUDHRY, Dr Ashraf (new MP) List BROWNLEE, Gerry Electorate CLARK, Rt Hon. Helen Electorate CARTER, Hon. David List COSGROVE, Clayton Electorate CARTER, John Electorate CULLEN, Hon. Michael List COLLINS, Judith (new MP) Electorate CUNLIFFE, David Electorate CONNELL, Brian (new MP) Electorate DALZIEL, Hon. Lianne Electorate ENGLISH, Hon. Bill Electorate DUNCAN, Helen List GOUDIE, Sandra (new MP) Electorate DUYNHOVEN, Harry Electorate HEATLEY, Phil Electorate DYSON, Hon. Ruth Electorate HUTCHISON, Dr Paul Electorate FAIRBROTHER, Russell (new MP) Electorate KEY, John (new MP) Electorate FIELD, Taito Phillip Electorate MAPP, Dr Wayne Electorate GALLAGHER, Martin Electorate McCULLY. Hon. Murray Electorate GOFF, Hon. Phil Electorate POWER, Simon Electorate GOSCHE, Hon. Mark Electorate RICH, Katherine List HARTLEY, Ann Electorate RYALL, Hon. Tony Electorate 7

8 APPENDIX TWO. Members of Parliament by Party as elected on 27 July National Party continued New Zealand First continued Member of Parliament Electorate/List Member of Parliament Electorate/List SCOTT, Lynda Electorate McNAIR, Craig (new MP) List SIMICH, Hon. Clem Electorate PARAONE, Pita (new MP) List SMITH, Hon. Lockwood Electorate PERRY, Edwin (new MP) List SMITH, Hon. Nick Electorate PETERS, Jim (new MP) List SOWRY, Hon. Roger List PETERS, Rt Hon. Winston Electorate Te HEUHEU, Hon. Georgina List STEWART, Barbara (new MP) List TISCH, Lindsay Electorate WOOLERTON, Doug List WILLIAMSON, Hon. Maurice Electorate WONG, Pansy List United Future WORTH, Richard Electorate Member of Parliament Electorate/List ADAMS, Paul (new MP) List New Zealand First ALEXANDER, Marc (new MP) List Member of Parliament Electorate/List BALDOCK, Larry (new MP) List BROWN, Peter List CHAL, Kelly (new MP) List CATCHPOLE, Brent (new MP) List COPELAND, Gordon (new MP) List DONNELLY, Hon. Brian List DUNNE, Hon. Peter Electorate GUDGEON, Bill (new MP) List OGILVY, Bernie (new MP) List JONES, Dail (new MP) List SMITH, Murray (new MP) List MARK, Ron List TURNER, Judy (new MP) List 8