Electorate Profile Otago

Transcription

1 Electorate Profile Parliamentary Library Te Pätaka Rangahau a Te Whare Päremata October 2005

2 Table of Contents Electoral Profile General Notes 3 Election Results Election Results 3 Voter Enrolment and Turnout 2002, Election Results Election Results 5 Statistical Profile Population Summary 6 Age Groups of the Usually Resident Population 6 Ethnic Groups of the Usually Resident Population 6 Birthplace of Usually Resident Population 7 Birthplace and Years Since Arrival in, for Overseas Born 7 Languages Spoken 7 Highest Qualifications 8 Personal Income 8 Income Support Received 8 Labour Force and Employment Status 9 Occupations of the Gainfully Employed 9 Industries of the Gainfully Employed 10 Family Type of Families in Private Dwellings 11 Family Income 11 Social Marital Status 11 Household Composition of Private Dwellings 12 Access to Telecommunications 12 Tenure of Dwellings 12 Business Locations and People Employed by Industry 13 Socio-Economic Status Decile of Schools 14 Ethnic Group of School Pupils 14 Deprivation Index of Areas within the Electorate 15 Maps Population Change Population Change : Urban Area Enlargement 17 Average Personal Income Average Personal Income 2001 : Urban Area Enlargement 19 Glossary 20 2

3 Electoral Profile General Notes The electorate comprises three distinct parts: the coastal communities from Waitati to Öamaru; the tourist areas and lake communities of Cromwell, Wakatipu, Wanaka, and Queenstown; and the central communities of Alexandra, Roxburgh, Ranfurly, and Duntroon. There was no change to the existing boundary in Among general electorates in 2001, had the third lowest unemployment rate (2.5%), the highest percentage of workers in the accommodation, cafes and restaurants industry (10.9%), and the highest proportion of families who were couples only (50.9%). Election Results The winning candidate in the 2005 election, Jacqui Dean (National Party), captured a plurality (47.85%) of the 36,288 valid electorate votes cast for candidates in the electorate. The seat was previously held in 2002 by David Parker (Labour Party) with a margin of 684. The National Party captured a plurality (44.37%) of the party votes in, up about 18 percentage points on its party vote share in Turnout (total votes cast as a proportion of enrolled electors) in 2005 was 83.99% Election Results Ranked by Electorate Vote Winning Candidate: DEAN, Jacqui (NAT) - Majority: 1995 Electorate Votes Valid Share Candidate Party Votes (%) Party Votes Valid Votes Share (%) DEAN, Jacqui 17, National Party 16, PARKER, David 15, Labour Party 14, PEARCE, Jane 1, Green Party 2, ECKHOFF, Gerry ACT TELFORD, Gerald United Future SILCOCK, Barry John Jim Anderton's Progressive PROSSER, Richard Ivor Democrats for Social Credit GUY, Simon Direct Democracy Party First Party 1, Destiny Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party Mâori Party Christian Heritage NZ Alliance MP Party Libertarianz NZ Family Rights Protection Party The Republic of NZ Party OneNZ Party Total Valid Votes 36, , Total Votes Cast 36,619 36,917 3

4 Voter Enrolment and Turnout 2002, 2005 NZ NZ Voting Age Population (VAP) * 43,580 2,816,040 47,000 2,990,300 Electors on General Roll (EGR) 40,048 2,475,916 44,124 2,639,393 Electors on Maori Roll ,114 1, ,003 Total Enrolled ** 40,899 2,670,030 45,165 2,847,396 Total Votes Cast by EGR (TVC) 32,168 1,943,659 37,060 2,164,495 % VAP Enrolled 93.8% 94.8% 96.1% 95.2% Turnout (TVC as % EGR) 80.3% 78.5% 84.0% 82.0% * Estimated population statistics as at: June 2001; June ** Enrolment statistics as at: July 2002; 17 September Election Results Ranked by Electorate Vote Winning Candidate: PARKER, David William - majority 684 Electorate Votes Party Votes Candidate Valid Share Valid Party Votes (%) Votes Share (%) PARKER, David William 14, Labour Party 12, HERLIHY, Gavan James 13, National Party 8, ECKHOFF, Gerrard Mortland 1, ACT 1, SMELLIE, Allan 1, United Future 1, FERGUSON, Michael Christian Heritage HUGGARD, Samuel Alliance VAN WIEREN, Hessel Progressive Coalition Green Party 2, NZ First 2, Outdoor Rec. NZ Legalise Cannabis OneNZ Party NMP Mana Maori Total Valid Votes 31, , Total Votes Cast 31,863 32,046 4

5 1999 Election Results HERLIHY, Gavan - National Party majority 2,367 Electorate Candidate Party Valid Votes DEARMAN, Val Labour Party % DIREEN, Pip Green Party % ECKHOFF, Gerrard ACT % FERGUSON, Mike Christian Heritage Party % HERLIHY, Gavan National Party % HOLVEY, Bill Alliance % NOTMAN, Miles South Island Party % PERKINS, Stan First Party % WHITE, Alison NMP % Electorate Party for Valid Votes ACT % Alliance % Green Party % Labour Party % National Party % First Party % United NZ % Unsuccessful Parties % 5

6 Statistical Profile Population Summary Usually Resident Population 2001 Census 54,234 Usually Resident Population 1996 Census 53,376 Increase Percentage Increase Percentage Increase , Total 3.3 Age Groups of the Usually Resident Population Age Group under 5 yrs 3, yrs 7, yrs 3, yrs 5, yrs 16, yrs 9, yrs and over 8, Total 54, Mean Age (years) Number % % Total 18 years and over 41, Total Males 26, Total Females 27, Ethnic Groups of the Usually Resident Population Ethnic Group (total responses) European 50, NZ Maori 2, Pacific Island Asian 1, Other Not Specified 1, Total** 56, * Rank 1 (low) to 62 (high) among general electorates. Ranks are of % in each group. Some totals may differ due to rounding. Electorates are compiled from Meshblocks, each of whose data is rounded to a multiple of 3 (to protect confidentiality). ** The sum of numbers in each ethnic group is greater than the total population because people with more than one ethnicity are counted in each group they belong to. Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics 2001 Census data. 6

7 Birthplace of Usually Resident Population 46, Overseas 6, Not Specified 1, Total Usually Resident Population 54, Birthplace and Years Since Arrival in, for Overseas Born UK and Ireland 0 and under 5 Years and under 10 Years and under 20 Years Years and over 1, Total UK and Ireland 2, Pacific Islands 0 and under 5 Years and under 10 Years and under 20 Years Years and over Total Pacific Islands North East Asia (1) 0 and under 5 Years and under 10 Years and under 20 Years Years and over Total North East Asia Total Overseas Born 0 and under 5 Years 1, and under 10 Years and under 20 Years Years and over 2, Total Overseas Born 6, Languages spoken English Only 47, English and NZ Maori NZ Maori Only Maori, English and Other Maori and Other English and Other 2, Other language No Language Language Not Specified 2, Total 54, * Rank 1 (low) to 62 (high) among the General Electorates. Ranks are of % in each group. Some totals may differ due to rounding. Electorates are compiled from Meshblocks, each of whose data is rounded to a multiple of 3 (to protect confidentiality). (1) North East Asia includes China, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan. Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics 2001 Census data. 7

8 Highest Qualifications of the Population aged 15 years and over Higher Degree Bachelor Degree 2, Advanced Vocational Qualification 3, Intermediate Vocational Qualification Skilled Vocational Qualification 2, Basic Vocational Qualification 1, Higher School Qualification 1, Sixth Form Qualification 4, Fifth Form Qualification 6, Other NZ Secondary School Qual Overseas Secondary School Qual. 1, No Qualification 10, Highest Qualification Not Specified 6, Total 43, Personal Income of the Population aged 15 years and over Nil or loss 1, $1 to $5,000 3, $5,001 to $10,000 5, $10,001 to $15,000 6, $15,001 to $20,000 4, $20,001 to $25,000 3, $25,001 to $30,000 3, $30,001 to $40,000 4, $40,001 to $50,000 2, $50,001 to $70,000 1, $70,001 to $100, $100,001 or More Not Specified 4, Total 43, Average Personal Income $23, $25,371 Income Support Received by those aged 15 years and over (total responses) ACC Regular Payments National Superannuation 8, Other Superannuation 1, Community wage job seeker 2, Community wage sickness benefit Domestic Purposes Benefit Invalid's Benefit Student Allowance Other Government Benefits 1, Total Aged 15 years and over 43, * Rank 1 (low) to 62 (high) among general electorates. Ranks are of % in each group. Some totals may differ due to rounding. Electorates are compiled from Meshblocks, each of whose data is rounded to a multiple of 3 (to protect confidentiality). Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics 2001 Census data. 8

9 Labour Force and Employment Status of the Population aged 15 years and over Full-time Employed 21, Part-time Employed 6, Unemployed 1, Total Labour Force 29, Not in Labour Force 13, Labour Force Status Not Specified Total Aged 15 Years and over 43, Paid Employee 19, Employer 2, Self-Employed, Not Employing 3, Unpaid Worker in Family Business 1, Employment Status Not Specified Total Gainfully Employed 27, Occupations of the Gainfully Employed aged 15 years and over Legislators and Administrators and Managers 3, Professionals 2, Technicians and Associate Professionals 2, Clerks 2, Service and Sales Workers 4, Agriculture and Fishery Workers 4, Trades Workers 2, Plant and Machine Operators and Assemblers 2, Elementary Occupations 1, Not Specified 1, Total 27, * Rank 1 (low) to 62 (high) among the General Electorates. Ranks are of % in each group. Some totals may differ due to rounding. Electorates are compiled from Meshblocks, each of whose data is rounded to a multiple of 3 (to protect confidentiality). Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics 2001 Census data. 9

10 Industries of the Gainfully Employed aged 15 years and over Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 4, Mining Manufacturing 2, Electricity, Gas and Water Supply Construction 2, Wholesale Trade Retail Trade 3, Accommodation, Cafes and Restaurants 3, Transport and Storage 1, Communication Services Finance and Insurance Property and Business Services 2, Government Administration and Defence Education 1, Health and Community Services 1, Cultural and Recreational Services 1, Personal and other Services Not Specified 1, Total 27, * Rank 1 (low) to 62 (high) among general electorates. Ranks are of % in each group. Some totals may differ due to rounding. Electorates are compiled from Meshblocks, each of whose data is rounded to a multiple of 3 (to protect confidentiality). Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics 2001 Census data. 10

11 Family Type of Families in Private Dwellings Couple Only 7, Two Parent Family 5, One Parent Family 1, Total 14, Family Income Loss or Zero to to to to , to to , to , to , to , to , or More Income Not Specified 2, Total Families 14, Average Family Income $47, $54,224 Social Marital Status of People Aged 15 years and over Married 22, Other partnerships 4, Total Partnerships 27, Non Partnered 13, Social Marital Not Specified 2, Total Aged 15 Years and over 43, * Rank 1 (low) to 62 (high) among the General Electorates. Ranks are of % in each group. Some totals may differ due to rounding. Electorates are compiled from Meshblocks, each of whose data is rounded to a multiple of 3 (to protect confidentiality). Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics 2001 Census data. 11

12 Household Composition of Private Dwellings One Family 14, Two Families Three or More Families Non-Family Household 1, One Person Household 5, Not Available Total Households 21, Access to Telecommunications Access to a Telephone 19, Access to a Fax Machine 6, Access to the Internet 6, No Access to Telecommunications Systems Access to Telecommunications Not Specified Total Households 21, Tenure of Dwellings Owned, With or Without Mortgage 14, Not Owned 5, of which Paying Rent to Private Sector Landlord 3, of which Paying Rent to Other Landlord of which Paying Rent, Landlord Sector unknown Tenure Not Specified Total Households 21, * Rank 1 (low) to 62 (high) among general electorates. Ranks are of % in each group. Some totals may differ due to rounding. Electorates are compiled from Meshblocks, each of whose data is rounded to a multiple of 3 (to protect confidentiality). Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics 2001 Census data. 12

13 Business Locations and People Employed by Industry at February 2004 in the Approximate Electorate Area Number of business locations Number of people employed Agriculture 2,070 3,560 Services to Agriculture; Hunting and Trapping 201 1,390 Forestry and Logging Commercial Fishing Coal Mining 0 0 Oil and Gas Extraction 0 0 Metal Ore Mining Other Mining Services to Mining 3 0 Food, Beverage and Tobacco 58 1,890 Textile, Clothing, Footwear and Leather Manufacturing Wood and Paper Product Manufacturing Printing, Publishing and Recorded Media Petroleum, Coal, Chemical and Associated Product Manufacturing Non-Metallic Mineral Product Manufacturing Metal Product Manufacturing Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing Other Manufacturing Electricity and Gas Supply 6 50 Water Supply, Sewerage and Drainage Services 10 9 General Construction 481 1,340 Construction Trade Services Basic Material Wholesaling Machinery and Motor Vehicle Wholesaling Personal and Household Good Wholesaling Food Retailing 165 1,520 Personal and Household Good Retailing 413 1,550 Motor Vehicle Retailing and Services Accommodation, Cafes and Restaurants 570 4,510 Road Transport Rail Transport 3 18 Water Transport Air and Space Transport Other Transport 3 0 Services to Transport Storage 8 18 Communication Services Finance Insurance 8 18 Services to Finance and Insurance Property Services 1, Business Services 637 1,920 Government Administration Defence 1 0 Education 135 1,290 Health Services 213 1,030 Community Services Motion Picture, Radio and Television Services Libraries, Museums and the Arts Sport and Recreation 231 1,030 Personal Services Other Services Private Households Employing Staff 0 0 Total 9,444 29,900 These data are for the approximate electorate, to the nearest census area unit. Included: enterprises having annual GST sales of $30,000+ or other indicator of economic significance. Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Statistics Business Demographic data. 13

14 Socio-Economic Status Decile of Schools in the Electorate, July 2004 Decile Number of Schools % Number of Pupils % % of Schools % of Pupils , , , , , Not allocated Total , Average school decile (weighted by number of pupils) Decile 10 is the highest socio-economic status. Ethnic Group or Foreign Fee Paying Status of School Pupils in the Electorate, July 2004 Number of Pupils % % NZ European 8, NZ Maori Pacific Peoples Asian Other Foreign Fee Paying MFAT Total 9, Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Ministry of Education data. 14

15 Deprivation Index for Census Area Units in the Electorate Census Area Unit Deprivation Index 1 Census Area Unit Deprivation Index 1 Skippers 1 Queenstown Bay 5 Kelvin Heights 1 Evansdale 5 Lake Hayes 1 Glenorchy 5 Matukituki 1 Oamaru South 5 Sunshine Bay 2 Warrington 6 Maniototo 2 Duntroon 6 Dunstan 2 Waikouaiti 6 Ardgowan 2 Cromwell 6 Weston 2 Ranfurly 6 Aviemore 3 Kakanui 6 Earnslaw 3 Oamaru Central 7 Nenthorn 3 Orana Park 7 Hyde 3 Oamaru North 7 Arrowtown 3 Roxburgh 7 Frankton 3 Middlemarch 7 Maheno 3 Hampden 7 Silverpeaks 3 Karitane 8 Waihemo 3 Palmerston 8 Wanaka 3 Inland Water-Lake Hawea Cape Wanbrow 3 Inland Water-Lake Wakatipu Pukeuri 3 Inland Water-Lake Wanaka Waitati 4 Inlet-Dunedin City Bays Hawea 4 Inlet-Port Oamaru Teviot 4 Oceanic- Region Alexandra 4 Clyde 4 Naseby 4 1. The Deprivation Index (a number from 1 to 10) is high for an area with a high degree of deprivation, and is low for an affluent or less needy area. In as a whole, small areas are evenly divided among the ten deciles. The deprivation index is calculated from such factors as proportions of people dependent on benefits, unemployed, and living in a single-parent family,and proportions of households with income below a certain threshold, with no access to a phone, and with no access to a car. See Degrees of Deprivation in : An Atlas of Socioeconomic Difference 2nd Edition, by Crampton, Salmond and Kirkpatrick. Prepared in the Parliamentary Library from Ministry of Health data. 15

16 Maps Population Change

17 Population Change : Urban Area Enlargement 17

18 Average Personal Income

19 Average Personal Income 2001 : Urban Area Enlargement 19

20 2002 Electorate Profile Glossary Term Meaning Area Unit Area Units are aggregations of meshblocks. They are nonadministrative areas intermediate between meshblocks and territorial authorities. Area units of main or secondary urban areas generally coincide with suburbs or parts thereof. Area units within urban areas normally contain 3,000-5,000 population though this can vary due to such things as industrial areas, port areas, rural areas and so on within the urban area boundaries. In rural areas, the straddling of some territorial authorities over regional boundaries has resulted in a number of area units having only 2 or 3 meshblocks and a very low population count. (Statistics ). Average Census usually resident population General electoral population Income Maori electoral population Mean Median Meshblock The sum of a list of numbers, divided by the total number of numbers in the list. Also called arithmetic mean. Population as calculated on census night, the latest census figures being as at March The census usually resident population count is all people counted in on census night excluding overseas visitors and residents temporarily overseas. At a sub-national level, the census usually resident population count refers to people who usually reside in a given subject area. The census usually resident population count is obtained by relocating people who are normally resident in an area of, but who were enumerated elsewhere in on census night, back to the meshblock of their usual address. For example, if a person usually lives in Christchurch but was in Wellington on census night, they will be included in the census usually resident population count for Christchurch and the census night population count for Wellington. Total ordinarily resident population as shown in the census of population and dwellings, with the exception of the Maori electoral population. Includes income from all sources, including not only wages and salaries, but also other sources such as benefits, interest payments etc. A figure representing both the persons registered as electors of the Maori electoral districts and a proportion of the persons of Maori descent under the age of 18 years. The proportion is determined by dividing the total number of persons registered as electors of Maori electoral districts by the number of persons of Maori descent registered. The sum of a list of numbers, divided by the total number of numbers in the list. Also called arithmetic mean or average. Median is the middle value" of a list. The smallest number such that at least half the numbers in the list are no greater than it. If the list has an odd number of entries, the median is the middle entry in the list after sorting the list into increasing order. If the list has an even number of entries, the median is equal to the sum of the two middle (after sorting) numbers divided by two. The meshblock is the smallest geographic area used by Statistics 20

21 2002 Electorate Profile in the collection and/or processing of data. The meshblock is thus the building block for aggregation into larger areas such as area units and urban areas. Over time, the division of meshblocks and changes in population patterns have resulted in meshblock population counts having a considerable range. There are meshblocks with nil population and some with over 500 population. There are over 38,000 meshblocks across. (Statistics ). Quotas Total responses The Electoral Act 1993 provides that the South Island has 16 General electoral districts. The General electoral population of the South Island is divided by 16 to give the South Island quota. The North Island General electoral population is then divided by the South Island quota to give the number of North Island General electoral districts. The North Island General electoral population is divided by the number of North Island General electorates to give the North Island quota. For the 2002 election, the South Island quota is 54,308 and the North Island quota is 54,288. In a similar way, the Maori electoral population is divided by the South Island quota and rounded to give the number of Maori electoral districts. The Maori electoral quota is the Maori electoral population divided by the number of Maori electoral districts. For the 2002 election, the Maori quota is 53,130. For both General and Maori electoral districts the Commission may allow the electoral population to vary from quota by up to plus or minus 5%. Several census variables allow people to provide more than one response to the question. When a person has reported more than one response they will be counted in each group they reported. In output tables this is presented as 'total responses', for example, ethnic group (total responses). This means that the total population will be greater than the usual subject population for that variable, as individuals may be counted more than once. Variables that may be output on the basis of total responses are: ethnic group language spoken iwi religious affiliation sources of personal income job search methods unpaid activities sources of family income sources of extended family income sources of household income fuel type used to heat dwellings access to telecommunication systems. Multiple responses may also be reported as a combination of response categories. For example, for outputs of ethnic group, categories may include European/Maori, Maori/Pacific peoples, etc. Copyright NZ Parliamentary Library Except for educational purposes permitted under the Copyright Act 1994, no part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, including information storage and retrieval systems, other than by Members of Parliament in the course of their official duties, without the consent of the Parliamentary Librarian, Parliament Buildings, Wellington,. 21