European Network for Conflict Research (ENCoRe) Spring 2014 Meeting April 2014 Founders Hall, Koç University

Transcription

1 European Network for Conflict Research (ENCoRe) Spring 2014 Meeting & Eurasian Peace Science Conference (EPSC) Programme April 2014 Founders Hall, Koç University

2 European Network for Conflict Research (ENCoRe) Presentations, April 2014 *** Thursday April 24 (ENCoRe) *** 9:15-9:30 Welcome 9:30-10:00 Do Only the Strong (Settlements) Survive? Relative Rebel Strength and the Sustainability of Civil War Peace Agreements Govinda Clayton, University of Kent Karl DeRouen, the University of Alabama 10:00-10:30 State Violence and Counterinsurgent Collective Action: Evidence from Peru Livia Isabelle Schubiger, University of Zurich 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-11:30 Terrorism and Civil War Kristian Gleditsch & Sara Polo, University of Essex 11:30-12:00 Cleavage Dynamics in Civil War Ravi Bhavnani, the Graduate Institute, Geneva Karsten Donnay, ETH Zurich Silver bullet or flash in the pan? The short-term effects of mediation in intrastate 12:00-12:30 conflict Constantin Ruhe, University of Konstanz 12:30-2:00 Lunch Management Committee Meeting Room: CASE 127 2:00-2:30 The Third Pillar: Realising Reconciliation Melanie Garson, University College London 2:30-3:00 Mode of Goods Provision, Targeted Repression, and Collective Action in Autocracies Espen Geelmuyden Rød, University of Konstanz and Peace Research Institute Oslo 3:00-3:30 Is China Fueling Human Rights Violations? Oil Exports and Human Rights Ursula Daxecker & Julia Bader, University of Amsterdam Migration in the context of climate variability and violent conflict 3:30-4:00 Sebastian Nickel, University of Greifswald 4:00-4:30 Coffee Break Dimensions of Kurdish Question in Turkey Center for Globalization, Peace and Democratic Governance - Center for Conflict Studies Joint Panel, Chair: Belgin Şan-Akca, Koç University 4:30-6:00 The Peace Process: Mediation, Deliberation, Politics Fuat Keyman, Sabanci University The Politics of Numbers: A Demographic Profile of the Kurds in Turkey Ahmet İçduygu, Koç University "Kurds at the Polls: Some basic Patterns and typical Profiles of Kurdish Voters" Ali Çarkoğlu, Koç University

3 6:00-6:30 6:30 Take-off for dinner Working Group 1 Meeting, Free time for others- Room: CASE 288 *** Friday April 25 (ENCoRe) *** 9:00-9:30 Dynamics of One-Sided Violence in the Civil War in Northern Uganda Margit Bussmann, University of Greifswald 9:30-10:00 Effectiveness and Logics of UN Peacekeeping Interventions Jessica Di Salvatore, University of Amsterdam I Predict a Riot: Spatial and Temporal Variation in African Riots and Protests 10:00-10:30 Ismene Gizelis, University of Essex Steve Pickering, University of Essex Henrik Urdal, Center for the Study of Civil War, PRIO 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-11:30 Does Counterinsurgency Spread Violence? Pui-Hang Wong, Maastricht University 11:30-12:00 12:00-12:30 When Competition Turns Violent: The Impact of Ethnic Parties in Sub-Saharan Africa Vogt Manuel, ETH Zurich Actors, Ontologies, and Semantics: Challenges and Pathways for Data Integration on Political Violence Brandon Paul Behlendorf, University of Maryland 12:30-2:00 Lunch Management Committee Meeting Room: CASE 127 2:00-2:30 2:30-3:00 3:00-3:30 Explaining the Decline of War Julian Wucherpfennig, University College London Lars-Erik Cederman, ETHC Zurich Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, University of Essex Integrating Pro- and Anti-Government Groups into Civil War Research: A New Dataset Sabine Otto, University of Konstanz Adam Scharpf, University of Mannheim Anita Gohdes, University of Mannheim Insurgency and Inaccessibility Andreas Forø Tollefsen & Halvard Buhaug, University of Oslo / Peace Research Insitute Oslo 3:30-4:30 Break WG2 (Room: CASE 288) & 3 Meetings (CASE Z 27) 4:30-5:00 Regime types and civil war: New evidence from a data-driven typology Sebastian Ziaja, German Development Institute

4 5:00-5:30 E Pluribus Unum, Ex Uno Plures: Correlates and Causes of Fragmentation in Ethnopolitical Movements Kristin Marie Bakke, University College London Lee Seymour, University of Amsterdam Kathleen Cunningham, University of Maryland Commitment Problems, Peaceful Territorial Transfers, and Third-Party Conflict 6:00-6:30 Daina Chiba, University of Essex William Reed, University of Maryland 6:30 Take-off *** Saturday April 26 (ENCoRe) *** 9:00-9:30 Real Time Prediction of Conflict Intensity in Afghanistan and Syria: An Evaluation of Competing Approaches Gerald Schneider, University of Konstanz 9:30-10:00 The Violence We Do Not See: Reporting Bias in Conflict Event Data Nils B. Weidmann, University of Konstanz Born weak growing strong: The life cycle of rebel organizations 10:00-10:30 Nils Metternich, University College London Bahar Leventoglu, Duke University 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-11:30 Opportunities for violence? Urban spaces and Terrorism Kaisa Hinkkainen, University of Lincoln Steve Pickering, University of Essex 11:30-12:00 The Logic of Nonviolent Revolutions Marianne Dahl, Peace Research Institute Oslo 12:00-12:30 Severity as a by-product of time? A study of Genocide within Conflicts Belen Gonzalez, University of Essex 12:30-1:00 Trauma and Intergroup Trust: The Importance of Post-War Conditions Jonathan Hall, Uppsala University 1:00-2:00 Lunch

5 Eurasian Peace Science Conference (EPSC) Presentations, April 2014 *** Saturday April 26 (ESPC) *** 2:00-2:30 Polarities of the "Other": Hierarchies, Symbols, and Mass Violence on the Battlefield Manus Midlarsky, Rutgers University, New Brunswick 2:30-3:00 Lead & Conquer: An Agent Based Analysis To Leadership Modeling Cansu Güner, Koc University Power-Sharing Arrangements in the Post-Ottoman Successor States: Why 3:00-3:30 Federal and Consociational Movements Failed? Neophytos Loizides, University of Kent 3:30-4:00 Coffee Break 4:00-4:30 The Sum is Not All of Its Parts: A New Data Set for Categorizing Major Weapon Systems for Empirical Research Richard Jonhson, University of Strathclyde 4:30-5:00 Middle Eastern Meddling in the Horn of Africa Manuel João Ramos, ISCTE University Institute of Lisbon 5:00-5:30 Resolution and Ontological Security Bahar Rumelili, Koc University 6:00 Take off for dinner *** Sunday April 27 (ESPC) *** 9:00-9:30 9:30-10:00 10:00-10:30 10:30-11:00 11:00-11:30 Exploring the Context of Peace: Peace processes and the 'inclusive resilient political settlement' Jan Pospisil, Austrian Institute for International Affairs - OIIP Economic Sanctions, Trade Dependence, and Militarized Conflicts David Lektzian, Texas Tech University Conflict-Identity Relations in the Ferghana Valley: Conflict in Osh Yaşar Sarı, Kyrgyzstan-Turkey Manas University and Abant Izzet Baysal University Coffee Break Trade or Raid? A Theory of Conflict and Trade Emre Hatipoglu, Sabanci University & Kerem Cosar, the University of Chicago Booth School of Business

6 11:30-12:00 Regional Organizations and Ethnic Conflict Prevention: EU and Kosovo Conflict Jubjana Vila, Bogazici University Transnational ethnic kin groups and rebel's behaviour in a civil conflict. The case of the Karen National Union 12:00-12:30 insurgency in Myanmar Bethsabée Souris, University College London, School of Public Policy 12:30-2:00 Lunch 2:00-2:30 Effects of US Resolve on Enemies and Allies: Evidence from US Elections Kerim Can Kavaklı, Sabanci University 2:30-3:00 Commerce, Complexity and Interstate Conflict Erik Gartzke, University of Essex and UCSD Detecting causal relations in event data sets: A Monte Carlo 3:00-3:30 experiment Ranan Kuperman, University of Haifa 3:30-4:30 Coffee Break 4:30-5:00 5:00-5:30 International Organizations and Democratic Resolution of Inter-state Conflicts Gokce Osman Zeki, Sabanci University Dangerous Democratization or Concept Misformation, Michael Berhnard, University of Florida, Reşat Bayer, Koç University & Ömer Faruk Örsün, Koç University 5:30-5:45 Closing 6:00 Take-off