Ambivalence and the Structure of Political Opinion

Transcription

1 Ambivalence and the Structure of Political Opinion

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3 Ambivalence and the Structure of Political Opinion Edited by Stephen C. Craig and Michael D. Martinez

4 AMBIVALENCE AND THE STRUCTURE OF POLITICAL OPINION Stephen C. Craig and Michael D. Martinez, Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition All rights reserved. No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical articles or reviews. First published in 2005 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y and Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire, England RG21 6XS Companies and representatives throughout the world. PALGRAVE MACMILLAN is the global academic imprint of the Palgrave Macmillan division of St. Martin s Press, LLC and of Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. Macmillan is a registered trademark in the United States, United Kingdom and other countries. Palgrave is a registered trademark in the European Union and other countries. ISBN ISBN (ebook) DOI / Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Ambivalence and the structure of political opinion / edited by Stephen C. Craig and Michael D. Martinez. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. 1. Public opinion United States. 2. United States Politics and government Public opinion. 3. Ambivalence. I. Craig, Stephen C. II. Martinez, Michael D. HN90.P8A dc A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Design by Newgen Imaging Systems (P) Ltd, Chennai, India. First edition: January

5 For Diane and Wanda

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7 Contents List of Tables List of Figures Notes on Contributors ix xi xiii 1. Pros and Cons: Ambivalence and Public Opinion 1 Michael D. Martinez, Stephen C. Craig, and James G. Kane 2. Ambivalence as Internal Conflict 15 Bethany Albertson, John Brehm, and R. Michael Alvarez 3. Ambivalence and Accessibility: The Consequences of Accessible Ambivalence 33 Ian R. Newby-Clark, Ian McGregor, and Mark P. Zanna 4. Ambivalence and Response Instability: A Panel Study 55 Stephen C. Craig, Michael D. Martinez, and James G. Kane 5. Meta-Psychological Versus Operative Measures of Ambivalence: Differentiating the Consequences of Perceived Intra-Psychic Conflict and Real Intra-Psychic Conflict 73 Allyson L. Holbrook and Jon A. Krosnick 6. Ambivalence Toward American Political Institutions: Sources and Consequences 105 Kathleen M. McGraw and Brandon Bartels 7. Patriotic to the Core? American Ambivalence About America 127 Jack Citrin and Samantha Luks 8. Is It Really Ambivalence? Public Opinion Toward Government Spending 149 William G. Jacoby References 173 Index 193

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9 List of Tables 2.1 Heteroskedastic probit as measure of ambivalence Subjective assessment of ambivalence Response latency as measure of ambivalence Frequency of ambivalent feelings on seven GSS abortion statements Instability of abortion preferences over time A multivariate model of response instability on elective abortion A multivariate model of response instability on traumatic abortion Effects of ambivalence on resistance, information gathering, false consensus, and activism Effects of ambivalence on hostile media bias and ingredients of candidate evaluation Distribution of trait beliefs and level of ambivalence Institutional ambivalence and evaluation correlations Sources of institutional ambivalence Ambivalence and information seeking Distribution of responses to GSS emotional patriotism items Confirmatory factor analysis of emotional patriotism items Impact of emotional ambivalence on pride in America Impact of confidence in government on emotional ambivalence Frequency distributions for policy-specific government spending questions Beliefs about government size/power and attitudes toward policy-specific government spending Scaled order of program-specific federal spending alternatives Impact of policy-specific spending preferences on general attitudes toward government spending Determinants of attitudes toward government spending 166

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11 List of Figures 3.1 Potential ambivalence, felt ambivalence, and simultaneous accessibility One-construct model of ambivalence Two-construct model of ambivalence Distribution of ambivalence toward the United States Emotional ambivalence (EA) by social and demographic characteristics Distributions of attitudes toward welfare and non-welfare spending 163

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13 Notes on Contributors Bethany Albertson is a doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Science at the University of Chicago. Her research interests include public opinion, political psychology, and race and religion in American politics. She has worked at the National Opinion Research Center studying citizens emotional response to 9/11, and is currently writing her disseration on the effect of religion and religious rhetoric on political attitudes in the United States. R. Michael Alvarez is Professor of Political Science at California Institute of Technology. He has focused most of his research on the study of electoral politics in the United States, and is author of Information and Elections (1997) and co-author of Hard Choices, Easy Answers: Values, Information, and American Public Opinion (2002, with John Brehm) and Point, Click, and Vote: The Future of Internet Voting (2004, with Thad E. Hall). Brandon Bartels is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Political Science at The Ohio State University. His research interests include judicial politics, in particular Supreme Court decision making; public opinion and processes of institutional evaluation; and quantitative methods. John Brehm is Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago. He is author of The Phantom Respondents: Opinion Surveys and Political Representation (1993), and co-author of Working, Shirking, and Sabotage: Bureaucratic Reponse to a Democratic Public (1997, with Scott Gates) and Hard Choices, Easy Answers: Values, Information, and American Public Opinion (2002, with R. Michael Alvarez). His research focuses mainly on the study of political psychology as manifested in public opinion and political organizations. Jack Citrin is Professor of Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley. He is co-author (with David O. Sears) of American Identity and the Politics of Multiculturalism (2004), Tax Revolt: Something for Nothing in California (enlarged edition, 1985), and numerous journal articles and book chapters on political trust, national identity, immigration and language politics, and various other topics.

14 xiv Notes on Contributors Stephen C. Craig is Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida, as well as director of the university s Graduate Program in Political Campaigning. He is author of The Malevolent Leaders: Popular Discontent in America (1993), as well as numerous journal articles and book chapters dealing with attitude measurement, partisan change, campaign effects, and other aspects of contemporary public opinion and political behavior in the United States. Jason Gainous is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Political Science at the University of Florida. His dissertation deals with Americans ambivalence about social welfare issues, and he has co-authored several conference papers and journal articles dealing with public opinion, voter behavior, and the psychology of political attitudes. Allyson L. Holbrook is Assistant Professor of Public Administration and Psychology at the University of Illinois at Chicago. She received her Ph.D. from The Ohio State University in Her research deals primarily with the social and cognitive psychological processes that affect answers to survey questions, processes by which information is combined to form attitudes, and moderators of the impact of attitudes on thoughts and behaviors. William G. Jacoby is Professor of Political Science at Michigan State University. He received his Ph.D. from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. His areas of interest include public opinion, voting behavior, state politics, and quantitative methodology. Professor Jacoby is currently editor of The Journal of Politics. James G. Kane is president of the Florida Voter polling organization, and an adjunct professor with the Graduate Program in Political Campaigning at the University of Florida. He has co-authored journal articles, book chapters, and conference papers dealing with various aspects of public opinion and voting behavior in the United States. Jon A. Krosnick is Professor of Psychology and Political Science at Ohio State University. He is the author of four books and over 100 articles focusing on the psychology of political behavior; attitude formation, change, and effects; and the optimal design of survey questionnaires. He has taught courses around the world at universities, as well as for various corporations and government agencies, and has served as a consultant to such organizations as Home Box Office, the Office of Social Research at CBS, the News Division of ABC, the National Institutes of Health, NASA, NOAA, the U.S. Bureau of the Census, and the Urban Institute. His scholarship has been recognized with the Phillip Brickman Memorial Prize for Research in Social

15 Notes on Contributors xv Psychology, the Midwest Political Science Association s Pi Sigma Alpha Award, the Erik Erikson Early Career Award in Political Psychology, and a fellowship at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences. Samantha Luks is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Minnesota. She has published articles on trust in government, voting behavior, and welfare dynamics. Her other research interests include African-American partisanship and political participation, age-periodcohort models of political attitudes, and residual votes in U.S. elections. Michael D. Martinez is Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida. His research on partisanship, voting behavior, ideology, and attitudinal ambivalence has appeared in numerous academic journals, including American Journal of Political Science, Canadian Journal of Political Science, Political Behavior, Political Research Quarterly, and others. He has been a Fulbright Scholar at the University of Calgary, and a Visiting Associate Professor at the University of British Columbia. Kathleen M. McGraw received her Ph.D. in psychology from Northwestern University in 1985, and is currently Professor of Political Science, Psychology, and Journalism and Communication at The Ohio State University. She received the 1994 Erik Erikson Award from the International Society of Political Psychology for distinguished early-career contributions to political psychology. Her broad research interests lie in the areas of political psychology and public opinion. Ian McGregor received his Ph.D. in social psychology from the University of Waterloo in 1998, and spent the following year conducting postdoctoral research at Northwestern University. He is now an Associate Professor of Psychology at York University in Toronto, Canada. His most recent research, published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, has experimentally demonstrated that uncertainty and ambivalence about the self can cause compensatory conviction and zealous extremism about social issues. Ian R. Newby-Clark received his Ph.D. from the University of Waterloo in Following stints as a Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada postdoctoral fellow at Cornell University, and member of the faculty at the University of Windsor, he currently is an Assistant Professor of Psychology at the University of Guelph. His research focuses on the psychology of attitudes (especially ambivalence), and the psychology of thinking about the future (especially plans and predictions for selfchange).

16 xvi Notes on Contributors Mark P. Zanna is Professor and former chair of the Department of Psychology at the University of Waterloo. He has served as president of the Society of Experimental Social Psychology (1985) and the Society of Personality and Social Psychology (1997), co-editor of the Ontario Symposium on Personality and Social Psychology (since 1981), and editor of Advances in Experimental Social Psychology (since 1991). He received the Donald O. Hebb Award from the Canadian Psychological Association (1993), and the Donald T. Campbell Award from the Society of Personality and Social Psychology (1997), both for distinguished scientific contributions. In 1999, he became a Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada. Current research is in the area of communication and persuasion, focusing on topics related to the overcoming of resistance to change (e.g., subliminal priming and persuasion, self-affirmation and persuasion, and narrative persuasion).