Labour Market and Migration Hungary in acomparative perspektive. Ágnes Hárs Budapest. Jointly for our common future

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1 Labour Market and Migration Hungary in acomparative perspektive Ágnes Hárs Budapest

2 The subject: (labour) migration and labour market Focus of the (labour) migration research immigration or emigration flow or stock size or causes and consequences Sources limit presentation and study of migration register population register other register-type data survey LFS small-scales surveys census

3 Labour migration is on increase in Hungary emigration country? A new emerging For long Hungary was one of the few low emigration countries in CEEu Recent signs of increasing emigration: migration potential data jumped high press echoing general expectations everyday evidences and private stories Recent facts and trends also support increasing emigration of Hungarians according to all sources Let s have a look at various data and see them in international comparison. Sources: population register & LFS Region: EU, East-West migration - relevant for Hungarian & labour migration Reference group of countries : EU8+2 EU 15

4 Hungarian emigration trend of the 2000s Source: mirror statistics, Eurostat foreign pop, corr with NIESR & HU LFS raw data Trend shows a clear increase and turning point, (polinominal trend)

5 Emigration of Hungarians by destination countries various data sources Hungarian nationals in the destination countries Source: mirror statistics, Eurostat foreign pop, corr with NIESR & HU LFS raw data, weighted

6 Emigration of Hungarians by destination countries various data sources Hungarian nationals in destination countries Hungarian labour migrants by destination countries Source: mirror statistics, Eurostat foreign pop, corr with NIESR & HU LFS raw data, weighted

7 Age distirbutin of Hungarians emigrants by destination countries, various data sources Age distribution of Hungarian nationals in destination countries Source: populaton register, Eurostat

8 Age distirbutin of Hungarians emigrants by destination countries, various data sources Age distribution of Hungarian nationals in destination countries Age distribution of Hungarian labour migrants Source: populaton register, Eurostat Source: HU LFS Clearly labour migration is the large bulk of forieng nationals according to mirror statistics

9 New Hungarian emigration trend in international comparison Sending countries participation in E-W emigration Source: Eurostat foreign population based data by NIESR, corrected

10 New Hungarian emigration trend in international comparison Share of emigration in sending countries population Source: Eurostat foreign population based data by NIESR, corrected

11 Share of emigration in sending countries population Typology according to migration pattern

12 Share of emigration in sending countries population Typology according to migration pattern

13 Share of emigration in sending countries population Typology according to migration pattern

14 Share of emigration in sending countries population Typology according to migration pattern

15 Share of emigration in sending countries population Typology according to migration pattern

16 Economic & labour market downturn and emerging migration Economic indicators Labour market indicators

17 Economic & labour market downturn and emerging migration Economic indicators Labour market indicators

18 To summarize the new emigration story: Economic downturn Labour market deterioration Turn in slow emigration trend But still Low in share compared to any emigrant country Moderate in increase Destination is at a high share short distance See destination countries by group of sending countries Future of emerging trends:???

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22 Managing Migration and its Effects in the SEE countries

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