Conducted for. Estimating Economic Impacts of Border Wait Times at the San Diego-Baja California Region. April 6, Research you can trust.

Transcription

1 Estimating Economic Impacts of Border Wait Times at the San Diego-Baja California Region Conducted for April 6, 2005 Research you can trust. The direction you seek. The attention you deserve.

2 Introduction Figures based on 3,603 interviews Northbound crossings, destination SD County Data were weighted in six dimensions based on DHS volume data to adjust for oversampling POE Mode Day Type (weekday or weekend) Time of day (peak or offpeak on weekdays) Type of lane (normal or SENTRI) Period (holiday or non-holiday) Representative of crossings ings,, not crossers

3 Residency of Border Crossings Live in US 29.3% Live in Mexico 70.7%

4 Trip Origin Among those Who Live in Mexico Mexicali 0.2% Other 0.3% Rosarito 2.5% Tecate 3.5% Tijuana 91.3% Ensenada 2.3%

5 Destination Among those Who Live in Mexico National City 2.9% Outside San Diego County 5.6% Chula Vista 33.6% Otay Mesa (City of San Diego) 4.3% Other area in San Diego County 5.5% Other areas in City of San Diego 20.8% San Ysidro (City of San Diego) 27.2%

6 Destination Among those Who Live in United States Other area in Mexico 1.1% Ensenada 2.8% Tecate 4.5% Tijuana 86.7% Rosarito 4.8%

7 Purpose of Trip those Who Live in Mexico Shopping or errands Work or business Visit friends or family School Other Recreation or vacation Medical Primary Purpose Secondary Purpose Percentage of Border Crossings Among Mexican Residents

8 Purpose of Trip those Who Live in United States Visit friends or family Shopping or errands Work or business Recreation or vacation Medical Other School Primary Purpose Secondary Purpose Percentage of Border Crossings Among American Residents

9 Number of Crossings in Past 30 Days Percentage of Border Crossings Live in Mexico Live in United States to 1 2 to 5 6 to to 20 More than 20 Number of Times Crossing Border at Current POE

10 Expected Wait Time 40 Percentage of Border Crossings Live in Mexico Live in United States to to to to to 90 More than 90 Expected Wait Time

11 Expected US Spending this Trip (Live in Mexico) 180 $ Average Dollars per Crossing $ $ Overall Non-holiday Holiday

12 Spending Distribution this Trip (Live in Mexico) Percentage of Border Crossings to to to to to to to 300 Dollars Expected to be Spent in US on Current Trip 300 or more

13 Intention of Spending had Trip Not Been Taken Average Dollars per Crossing $30.02$28.69 $48.83 $86.51$86.01 $93.71 Overall Non-holiday Holiday $23.89 $19.88$ Spend in Mexico instead Spend in US on future trip Save money Intention of Spending had Trip not Been Taken

14 Stated Mexico Spending this Trip (Live in United States) $ Average Dollars per Crossing $ $ Overall Non-holiday Holiday

15 Spending Distribution this Trip (Live in United States) Percentage of Border Crossings to to to to to to to or more Dollars Spent in Mexico on Current Trip

16 Intention of Spending had Trip Not Been Taken Average Dollars per Crossing $60.06 $57.81 $84.13 $44.70$43.24 Overall $60.28 $61.60 $28.55 $25.46 Non-holiday Holiday 0 Spend in US instead Spend in Mexico on future trip Intention of Spending had Trip not Been Taken Save money

17 Work Strategy for Unexpected Extra Hour of Wait Time Live in Mexico Live in United States Work same number of hours 49.4% 56.7% Work one less hour 50.6% 43.3%

18 Work Strategy if Wait Time Always Two Hours Live in Mexico Live in United States Stop working in other country 14.0% 46.6% Continue working in other country 86.0% 53.4%

19 Willingness to Pay $3 at Proposed East Otay Mesa POE Sometimes use East Otay Mesa POE 14.2% Would not use East Otay Mesa POE 26.5% Would use East Otay Mesa POE 59.4%

20 Estimating Economic Impacts of Border Wait Times at the San Diego-Baja California Region Conducted for April 6, 2005 Research you can trust. The direction you seek. The attention you deserve.