Election User Guide. Angus Reid Institute

Transcription

1 Election 2015 User Guide Angus Reid Institute User Guide compiled by: Data Services, Academic Services Queen s University Library 2016

2 Table of Contents Introduction... 2 Metadata... 2 Related Publications... 3 Documentation... 3 Topic Index... 4 Codebook... 7 Citation

3 INTRODUCTION Angus Reid Institute is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research organization. This poll, conducted as the 2015 Federal Election was entering its final weekend, looks at what eligible and likely voters think is the most important issue in the election, voter s opinions of the 5 main parties and their leaders, and the likelihood that they will go out and vote on October 19. Queen s University Library (QUL) Data Services worked collaboratively with Angus Reid Institute to document and archive the dataset described here. QUL is grateful to Angus Reid Institute for their commitment to providing broad and open access to this dataset. METADATA Dataset Number of Cases = 2022 Number of Variables = 87 Universe Individuals 18 years and older who are members of the Angus Reid Forum panel. Geography Canada Date of Collection October 13-16, 2015 Mode of data collection Online survey Sampling procedure 2022 Canadians adults were randomly selected from Angus Reid Forum panel members. For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding. Mode of data collection Online survey Weight N/A 2

4 RELATED PUBLICATIONS Media Release - Election 2015: Liberals edge Conservatives as volatile electorate mulls final choice before last campaign weekend DOCUMENTATION Questionnaire (PDF) Report (PDF) Tables (Excel) 3

5 TOPIC INDEX Demographic arf_gender arf_age_rollup_fine Age Age_fine age_gender edu ARF_Education_Level_DV arf_marital_status arf_hhkids arf_working_status arf_home_lang arf_hh_size_dv arf_home_ownership income arf_hh_income Geographic arf_region_rollup arf_urban_rural arf_first_dv arf_macro_region region region7 OntReg CommunitySize Cities ARF - Gender ARF - Age Rollup (7 groups) ARF - Age (3 groups) ARF - Age (6 groups) ARF - Age/Gender ARF - Education ARF - Education [derived variable] ARF - Marital Status ARF - Household Kids ARF - Working Status ARF - Home Language ARF - Household size [derived variable] ARF - Home Ownership ARF - Income ARF - Household Income ARF - Region Rollup - Provinces ARF - Urban Rural ARF - First letter of FSA [derived variable] ARF - Macro Region ARF - Region (Manitoba/Saskatchewan grouped; Atlantic provinces grouped) ARF - Region (Atlantic provinces grouped) ARF - Ontario Region ARF - Community Size ARF - Cities Federal Vote arf_federal_vote_2011 ARF - Federal Vote 2011 arf_federal_partychoice_2011 ARF - Federal Party Choices

6 Race arf_race_british arf_race_french arf_race_othereur arf_race_aboriginal arf_race_otherna arf_race_caribbean arf_race_asian arf_race_chinese arf_race_otherasian arf_jewish arf_race_otherspecify_dv arf_mosaic_identity_born_in_ca Race Survey Questions Q1_Theeconomy Q1_JobsUnemployment Q1_DeficitDebtGovernmentspending Q1_Taxes Q1_Costofliving Q1_HealthCare Q1_EnvironmentClimatechange Q1_EducationPostsecondary Q1_TerrorismSecurity Q1_TradeTPPCompetitiveness Q1_LeadershipPolitics Q1_IntegrityEthics Q1_CanadianvaluesNiqabdebate Q1_Otherpleasespecify Q1_15_other Awareness Q3_0 Q3_1 Q3_2 Q3_3 Q3_4 Q7 AdvanceVote VoteNext Leaners ARF - British Isles (e.g., English, Irish, Scottish) ARF - French ARF - Other European (e.g., German, Russian, Italian, Norwegian) ARF - Aboriginal (e.g., Inuit, Métis, North American Indian) ARF - Other North American (e.g., Canadian, American, Newfoundlander, Québécois) ARF - Caribbean (e.g., Jamaican, Barbadian, Cuban, West Indian) ARF - South Asian (e.g., East Indian, Pakistani, Goan, Sri Lankan) ARF - Chinese ARF - Other East and Southeast Asian (e.g., Filipino, Vietnamese, Korean, Japanese) ARF - Jewish (non-denominational) ARF - Race - Other (includes Latin, Central, South America, African, Oceania) [derived variable] ARF - Mosaic identity Born in Canada ARF - Race Q1 - Most important issue in election: The economy Q1 - Most important issue in election: Jobs/Unemployment Q1 - Most important issue in election: Deficit/Debt/Government spending Q1 - Most important issue in election: Taxes Q1 - Most important issue in election: Cost of living Q1 - Most important issue in election: Health Care Q1 - Most important issue in election: Environment/Climate change Q1 - Most important issue in election: Education/Post-secondary Q1 - Most important issue in election: Terrorism/Security Q1 - Most important issue in election: Trade/TPP/Competitiveness Q1 - Most important issue in election: Leadership/Politics Q1 - Most important issue in election: Integrity/Ethics Q1 - Most important issue in election: Canadian values/niqab debate Q1 - Most important issue in election: Other, please specify Q1 - Most important issue in election: Other [text] Q2 - How closely have you been following this federal election campaign so far? Q3a - How appealing: Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper Q3a - How appealing: Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau Q3a - How appealing: New Democratic Party/NDP leader Thomas Mulcair Q3a - How appealing: Bloc Quebecois leader Gilles Duceppe Q3a - How appealing: Green Party leader Elizabeth May Q3b - How likely is it that you will actually go out and vote in this federal election? Q3c - Which party's candidate did you support? Q4 - Party's candidate in your own riding will you be most likely to support in this federal election? Q5 - Is there any party you are leaning towards? 5

7 Certainity Q8 Q10_0 Q10_1 Q10_2 Q10_3 Q10_4 Q11 Q13 Q14 Q16 Q16b Q17_0 Q17_1 Q17_2 Q17_3 Q17_4 Q17_5 Q20 Q21 Q22 Q23 Softie Q6 - How certain are you that you will actually end up voting for this party? Q7 - Candidate support: when do you think you will make up your mind Q8 - Opinion changed about: Stephen Harper - Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada Q8 - Opinion changed about: Justin Trudeau - Leader of the Liberal Party of Canada Q8 - Opinion changed about: Thomas Mulcair - Leader of the New Democratic Party Q8 - Opinion changed about: Gilles Duceppe - Leader of the Bloc Quebecois Q8 - Opinion changed about: Elizabeth May - Leader of the Green Party Q9 - Which major party leader make the best Prime Minister of Canada Q10a - Who win this election and form the next government of Canada Q10b - Expect them to win a majority or a minority government Q11 - How likely change mind: vote for NDP candidate in this election Q11 - How likely change mind: vote for Liberal candidate in this election Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Conservative - majority Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Conservative - minority Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Liberal - majority Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Liberal - minority Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: NDP - majority Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: NDP - minority Q13 - Describe personal voting habits in past elections Q14 - May 2011 federal election: Vote in that election Q15 - May 2011 federal election: Party candidate voted for Q16 - June 2014 Ontario provincial election: Party voted for ARF Vote Next Certainty 6

8 CODEBOOK arf_gender Position 1 ARF - Gender 1 Male % 2 Female % arf_age_rollup_fine Position 2 ARF - Age Rollup (7 groups) 1 Under % 2 18 to % 3 25 to % 4 35 to % 5 45 to % 6 55 to % % ARF_Education_Level_DV Position 3 ARF - Education [derived variable] 1 Elementary/grade school/some high school % 2 High school graduate % 3 Some college / technical school % 4 Completed college / technical school % 5 Some university % 6 University undergraduate degree % 7 Some post-graduate school % 8 Post-graduate degree % 7

9 arf_hh_income Position 4 ARF - Household Income 1 Less than $25, % 2 $25,000 to less than $35, % 3 $35,000 to less than $50, % 4 $50,000 to less than $75, % 5 $75,000 to less than $100, % 6 $100,000 to less than $125, % 7 $125,000 or more % 8 Don't know/prefer not to say % arf_race_british Position 5 ARF - British Isles (e.g., English, Irish, Scottish) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_race_french Position 6 ARF - French 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_race_othereur Position 7 ARF - Other European (e.g., German, Russian, Italian, Norwegian) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_race_aboriginal Position 8 ARF - Aboriginal (e.g., Inuit, Metis, North American Indian) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % 8

10 arf_race_otherna Position 9 ARF - Other North American (e.g., Canadian, American, Newfoundlander, Quebecois) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_race_caribbean Position 10 ARF - Caribbean (e.g., Jamaican, Barbadian, Cuban, West Indian) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected 19.9% arf_race_asian Position 11 ARF - South Asian (e.g., East Indian, Pakistani, Goan, Sri Lankan) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_race_chinese Position 12 ARF - Chinese 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_race_otherasian Position 13 ARF - Other East and Southeast Asian (e.g., Filipino, Vietnamese, Korean, Japanese) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % 9

11 arf_jewish Position 14 ARF - Jewish (non-denominational) 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_race_otherspecify_dv Position 15 ARF - Race - Other (includes Latin, Central, South America, African, Oceania) [derived variable] 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % arf_region_rollup Position 16 ARF - Region Rollup - Provinces 1 BC % 2 Alberta % 3 SK % 4 MB % 5 ON % 6 QC % 7 Atlantic % 8 Territories 0 0.0% arf_hhkids Position 17 ARF - Household Kids 1 Yes % 2 No % % 10

12 arf_working_status Position 18 1 ARF - Working Status Employed / self-employed full-time (30 or more hours per week) % 2 Employed / self-employed part-time (fewer than 30 hours per week) % 3 Full-time student % 4 Homemaker % 5 Retired % 6 Currently looking for work % 7 Not working for medical reasons % 8 Other % arf_home_lang Position 19 ARF - Home Language 1 English % 2 French % 3 Other % 10.5% arf_hh_size_dv Position 20 ARF - Household size [derived variable] 1 1 person in household % 2 2 people in household % 3 3 people in household % 4 4 people in household % 5 5 people in household % 6 6 or more people in household % 11

13 arf_home_ownership Position 21 ARF - Home Ownership 1 Own % 2 Rent % 3 Other % 11.5% arf_urban_rural Position 22 ARF - Urban Rural 1 Urban % 2 Rural % arf_first_dv Position 23 ARF - First letter of FSA [derived variable] 1 A, B, C, E - Atlantic Provinces % 2 G - Eastern Quebec % 3 H - Metropolitan Montréal % 4 J - Western Quebec % 5 K - Eastern Ontario % 6 L - Central Ontario % 7 M - Metropolitan Toronto % 8 N - Southwestern Ontario % 9 P - Northern Ontario % 10 R - Manitoba % 11 S - Saskatchewan % 12 T - Alberta % 13 V - British Columbia % 14 X - Northwest Territories and Nunavut 0 0.0% 15 Y - Yukon 0 0.0% 12

14 arf_marital_status Position 24 ARF - Marital Status 1 Single, never married % 2 Common law % 3 Civil partnership % 4 Married % 5 Separated % 6 Divorced % 7 Widowed % % arf_macro_region Position 25 ARF - Macro Region 1 Vancouver % 2 BC Other % 3 Calgary % 4 Edmonton % 5 AB Other % 6 Regina / Saskatoon % 7 SK Other % 8 Winnipeg % 9 MB Other % 10 Toronto % 11 Ottawa - Hull 0 0.0% 12 ON Other % 13 Montréal % 14 Québec % 15 QC Other % 16 Halifax % 17 ATL Other % 18 North 0 0.0% 13

15 arf_federal_vote_2011 Position 26 ARF - Federal Vote Yes % 2 No % % arf_federal_partychoice_2011 Position 27 ARF - Federal Party Choices Conservative Party of Canada % 2 Liberal Party of Canada % 3 New Democratic Party % 4 Green Party of Canada % 5 Bloc Québécois % 6 Other % % arf_mosaic_identity_born_in_ca Position 28 ARF - Mosaic identity Born in Canada 1 Yes % 2 No % % Q1_Theeconomy Position 29 Q1 - Most important issue in election: The economy 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_JobsUnemployment Position 30 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Jobs/Unemployment 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % 14

16 Q1_DeficitDebtGovernmentspending Position 31 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Deficit/Debt/Government spending 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_Taxes Position 32 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Taxes 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_Costofliving Position 33 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Cost of living 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_HealthCare Position 34 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Health Care 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_EnvironmentClimatechange Position 35 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Environment/Climate change 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % 15

17 Q1_EducationPostsecondary Position 36 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Education/Post-secondary 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_TerrorismSecurity Position 37 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Terrorism/Security 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_TradeTPPCompetitiveness Position 38 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Trade/TPP/Competitiveness 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_LeadershipPolitics Position 39 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Leadership/Politics 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_IntegrityEthics Position 40 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Integrity/Ethics 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % 16

18 Q1_CanadianvaluesNiqabdebate Position 41 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Canadian values/niqab debate 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_Otherpleasespecify Position 42 Q1 - Most important issue in election: Other, please specify 0 Not Selected % 1 Selected % Q1_15_other Position 43 a Government that won't sell off Canada's natural resorses to the highest bidder Q1 - Most important issue in election: Other [text] % 1.0% Aboriginal Peoples 1.0% Aboriginal/Human Rights 1.0% abortion 1.0% Abortion & euthanasia 1.0% Abortion legislation 1.0% affordable housing 1.0% AGAINST LEGALIZING POT 1.0% ALL THE ABOVE 1.0% Animal welfare 1.0% Appauvrissement famille 1.0% Benefits for Seniors 1.0% Bill C % Canada's place in the world 1.0% Change of government 1.0% change the present government 1.0% 17

19 child care 1.0% civil liberties 1.0% crime 1.0% crumbling infrastructure 1.0% déloger le gouvernement qui est présentement sur place 1.0% Day Care 1.0% Disability Issues and Proportional Representation 1.0% Disability pensions 1.0% Electoral reform 2.1% Electoral Reform 1.0% Eliminate Bills C-24 & C % every one of them is an issue. 1.0% everything listed is important to the election 1.0% Fear 1.0% First Nations Issues 1.0% First Nations land claims and 1.0% sovereignty First Nations Treatment 1.0% Foreign Affairs 1.0% Foreign policy 1.0% get rid of harper 2.1% get rid of Harper 1.0% get rid of the senate 1.0% getting rid onf Harper and too many of the above to pick one GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY - so they can pay for their own mistakes instead of us taxpyers always paying for their mistakes 1.0% 1.0% Government transparency & accountability 1.0% homelessness 1.0% homes for the homeless 1.0% 18

20 Housing costs 1.0% i don't know 1.0% immigration 2.1% Immigration 2.1% Inégalités économiques 1.0% income inequality 3.1% Indépendance du Québec 1.0% indian affairs 1.0% Individual's rights and freedom 1.0% Infrastructure Funding/Transit 1.0% keeping Cnada at the forefront of international decency 1.0% Kicking Stephen Harper in the nuts 1.0% La famille 1.0% lack of Christian values lower old age security back to age % 1.0% marijuana legilization 1.0% mental health 1.0% missing aboriginal women 1.0% moral decay 1.0% Moving Vr. Marine traffic to be electronically monitored from Victoria Much stronger sentencing for crime, particularily child abuse and child pornography 1.0% 1.0% NA 1.0% native issues 1.0% Native rights 1.0% no justice 1.0% no more immigrants 1.0% openness & clarity; destruction of archives & scientific reports 1.0% Our rights and freedoms 1.0% pensions 1.0% 19

21 Pensions 1.0% Peronnes agées 1.0% poverty 1.0% Poverty 1.0% Privacy >> bill C % respecter les chartes de l'onu 1.0% Restoring Canada Post home mail delivery Returning Canada to what it was before the totally despicable Harper turned it into a personal fiefdom of religious fanatics, bigots and greed mongerers through his sellout of the economy and environment and ethics 1.0% 1.0% road tolls 1.0% Science and data 1.0% seniors 1.0% Seniors 1.0% Seniors Benefits 1.0% seniors help 1.0% stopping harper 1.0% The care for mentally ill persons 1.0% The Family 1.0% to get rid of harper 1.0% transparancy 1.0% transparency - there is none 1.0% Transparency Act 1.0% Vancouver Housing Market/Foreign Data 1.0% veterans 1.0% 20

22 Awareness Position 44 1 Q2 - How closely have you been following this federal election campaign so far? Following it in the news, and discussing it with friends and family % 2 Seeing some media coverage, and having the odd conversation about it % 3 Just scanning the headlines % 4 Haven't seen or heard anything about it % Q3_0 Position 45 Q3a - How appealing: Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper 1 Not at all appealing % 2 Not very appealing % 3 Quite appealing % 4 Very appealing % 5 Not sure/can't say % Q3_1 Position 46 Q3a - How appealing: Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau 1 Not at all appealing % 2 Not very appealing % 3 Quite appealing % 4 Very appealing % 5 Not sure/can't say % Q3_2 Position 47 Q3a - How appealing: New Democratic Party/NDP leader Thomas Mulcair 1 Not at all appealing % 2 Not very appealing % 3 Quite appealing % 4 Very appealing % 5 Not sure/can't say % 21

23 Q3_3 Position 48 Q3a - How appealing: Bloc Quebecois leader Gilles Duceppe 1 Not at all appealing % 2 Not very appealing % 3 Quite appealing % 4 Very appealing % 5 Not sure/can't say % % Q3_4 Position 49 Q3a - How appealing: Green Party leader Elizabeth May 1 Not at all appealing % 2 Not very appealing % 3 Quite appealing % 4 Very appealing % 5 Not sure/can't say % Q7 Position 50 Q3b - How likely is it that you will actually go out and vote in this federal election? 1 Already voted at an advance poll % 2 Absolutely certain you will go out and vote % 3 Quite sure you will vote % 4 Will vote if you remember % 5 Will probably not end up voting % 22

24 AdvanceVote Position 51 Q3c - Which party's candidate did you support? 1 Conservative Party % 2 Liberal Party % 3 New Democratic Party (NDP) % 4 Bloc Quebecois % 5 Green Party % 6 Other Party 3.1% 7 Would rather not say % % VoteNext Position 52 Q4 - Party's candidate in your own riding will you be most likely to support in this federal election? 1 Conservative Party % 2 Liberal Party % 3 New Democratic Party (NDP) % 4 Bloc Quebecois % 5 Green Party % 6 Other Party 14.7% 7 Undecided/Not sure % % Leaners Position 53 Q5 - Is there any party you are leaning towards? 1 Conservative Party % 2 Liberal Party % 3 New Democratic Party (NDP) % 4 Bloc Quebecois 7.3% 5 Green Party 10.5% 6 Other Party 1.0% 7 Undecided/Not sure % % 23

25 Certainity Position 54 Q6 - How certain are you that you will actually end up voting for this party? 1 I will definitely vote for this party, no way I could change my mind % 2 I will probably vote for this party % 3 I could change my mind before voting day % % Q8 Position 55 Q7 - Candidate support: when do you think you will make up your mind 1 In the next day or so % 2 The final weekend % 3 Not until voting day, Monday the 19th % % Q10_0 Position 56 Q8 - Opinion changed about: Stephen Harper - Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada 1 Worsened % 2 Stayed the same % 3 Improved % Q10_1 Position 57 Q8 - Opinion changed about: Justin Trudeau - Leader of the Liberal Party of Canada 1 Worsened % 2 Stayed the same % 3 Improved % 24

26 Q10_2 Position 58 Q8 - Opinion changed about: Thomas Mulcair - Leader of the New Democratic Party 1 Worsened % 2 Stayed the same % 3 Improved % Q10_3 Position 59 Q8 - Opinion changed about: Gilles Duceppe - Leader of the Bloc Quebecois 1 Worsened % 2 Stayed the same % 3 Improved % % Q10_4 Position 60 Q8 - Opinion changed about: Elizabeth May - Leader of the Green Party 1 Worsened % 2 Stayed the same % 3 Improved % Q11 Position 61 Q9 - Which major party leader make the best Prime Minister of Canada 1 Stephen Harper % 2 Justin Trudeau % 3 Thomas Mulcair % 4 Not Sure % 25

27 Q13 Position 62 Q10a - Who win this election and form the next government of Canada 1 Conservative Party of Canada % 2 Liberal Party of Canada % 3 New Democratic Party of Canada (NDP) % 4 Don't know/can't say % Q14 Position 63 Q10b - Expect them to win a majority or a minority government 1 Majority % 2 Minority % 3 Don't know/can't say % % Q16 Position 64 Q11 - How likely change mind: vote for NDP candidate in this election 1 Very likely you could end up doing that 18.9% 2 Somewhat likely % 3 Not very likely % 4 No way you would do that % % Q16b Position 65 Q11 - How likely change mind: vote for Liberal candidate in this election 1 Very likely you could end up doing that 11.5% 2 Somewhat likely % 3 Not very likely % 4 No way you would do that % % 26

28 Q17_0 Position 66 Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Conservative - majority 1 Very upset % 2 Quite upset % 3 Neutral % 4 Quite pleased % 5 Very pleased % Q17_1 Position 67 Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Conservative - minority 1 Very upset % 2 Quite upset % 3 Neutral % 4 Quite pleased % 5 Very pleased % Q17_2 Position 68 Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Liberal - majority 1 Very upset % 2 Quite upset % 3 Neutral % 4 Quite pleased % 5 Very pleased % Q17_3 Position 69 Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: Liberal - minority 1 Very upset % 2 Quite upset % 3 Neutral % 4 Quite pleased % 5 Very pleased % 27

29 Q17_4 Position 70 Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: NDP - majority 1 Very upset % 2 Quite upset % 3 Neutral % 4 Quite pleased % 5 Very pleased % Q17_5 Position 71 Q12 - Pleased or upset with this outcome: NDP - minority 1 Very upset % 2 Quite upset % 3 Neutral % 4 Quite pleased % 5 Very pleased % Q20 Position 72 Q13 - Describe personal voting habits in past elections 1 I vote in every election (federal, provincial, and municipal) % 2 I vote in most elections (three of the last four elections) % 3 I vote in some elections (two of the last four elections) % 4 I rarely vote (one of the last four elections) % 5 I never vote % Q21 Position 73 Q14 - May 2011 federal election: Vote in that election 1 Yes, definitely voted % 2 Probably voted % 3 Maybe not/can't recall % 4 No, did not vote in that election % 28

30 Q22 Position 74 Q15 - May 2011 federal election: Party candidate voted for 1 Conservative Party % 2 Liberal Party % 3 New Democratic Party (NDP) % 4 Bloc Quebecois % 5 Green Party % 6 Other Party 9.4% 7 Not sure/can't say % % Q23 Position 75 Q16 - June 2014 Ontario provincial election: Party voted for 1 Conservative/Tim Hudak % 2 Liberal/Kathleen Wynne % 3 NDP/Andrea Horwath % 4 Green Party % 5 Other Party 8.4% 6 Did not vote in that election % 7 Not sure/can't say % % Race Position 76 ARF - Race 1 Caucasian % 2 Asian % 3 Other Visible Minority % Age Position 77 ARF - Age (3 groups) % % % 29

31 Age_fine Position 78 ARF - Age (6 groups) % % % % % % age_gender Position 79 ARF - Age/Gender 1 Male % 2 Male % 3 Male % 4 Female % 5 Female % 6 Female % edu Position 80 ARF - Education 1 HS or less % 2 College/ Tech school % 3 Univ % income Position 81 ARF - Income 1 <$50K % 2 $50-99K % 3 $100K % 4 DK/REF % 30

32 region Position 82 ARF - Region (Manitoba/Saskatchewan grouped; Atlantic provinces grouped) 1 BC % 2 AB % 3 MB/SK % 4 ON % 5 QC % 6 ATL % region7 Position 83 ARF - Region (Atlantic provinces grouped) 1 BC % 2 AB % 3 SK % 4 MB % 5 ON % 6 QC % 7 ATL % OntReg Position 84 ARF - Ontario Region includes Don, Downtown East, Downtown West, Etobicke, Scarborough, York % includes Brampton, East, Halton, Mississauga, York, North % 3 Hamilton-Niagara % 4 Southwest % 5 East % 6 North % % 31

33 Softie Position 85 ARF - Vote Next Certainity 1 Certain CPC % 2 Soft CPC % 3 Certain Lib % 4 Soft Lib % 5 Certain NDP % 6 Soft NDP % % CommunitySize Position 86 ARF - Community Size 1 Vancouver/Toronto/Montreal % 2 Mid sized cities % 3 Rest of Canada % Cities Position 87 ARF - Cities 1 Vancouver % 2 Rest of BC % 3 Edmonton % 4 Calgary % Toronto % Toronto % 7 Rest of ON % 8 Montreal % 9 Rest of QC % % 32

34 CITATION The publishing of analysis and results from research using this data is permitted in research communications such as scholarly papers, journals and the like. Authors of such communications are required to cite the source of the data and to indicate that results or views expressed are those of the author/authorized user. This survey data should be referenced as follows: Angus Reid Institute. Election Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada: Angus Reid Institute [producer]. Data Services, Queen's University [distributor]. Any questions about the data set or its use should be directed to: Data Services, Academic Services Queen s University Library Kingston ON academic.services@queensu.ca 33