PUBLICATIONS. Mediation in a Fragile World (Routledge 2017) with Evan Hoffman. Peer reviewed.

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1 PUBLICATIONS David B. Carment Full Professor The Norman Paterson School of International Affairs Cross appointed to Institute of African Studies Editor Canadian Foreign Policy Journal Life Time Summary Books authored 4 (3 in category 1a and 1 in category 2a, 1 in progress) Books edited 14 Chapters in Books 42 Papers in Refereed Journals 34 Papers in Refereed Proceedings 1 Technical Reports over 40 Papers presented over Refereed Scholarly Publications Identification is for books and journal articles where a specific SSHRCC or related grant/fellowship was used to undertake the research related to the output. The individual s relationship to that grant is also provided. a) Books Security, Development and the Fragile State: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Policy (Routledge Press) (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). pp (2009). Now in paperback 2011 Who Intervenes? Ethnic Conflict and Interstate Crises (Ohio State University Press, 2006). (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas). Pp Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant , SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship. Using Force to Prevent Ethnic Violence: An Evaluation of Theory And Evidence (Praeger Press, 2000). (co-authored with Frank Harvey) pp Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant b) Edited Books Mediation in a Fragile World (Routledge 2017) with Evan Hoffman. Peer reviewed. Canada and Corruption (Routledge 2017) with Robert Rutberg. Peer Reviewed. Post-Soviet Diasporas: Global Perspectives and Everyday Practices (Palgrave Macmillan 2016) with Milana Nikolko. Peer reviewed. Diasporas as Cultures of Cooperation: Local and Global Perspectives (Palgrave-Macmillan 2016) with Ariane Sadjed. Peer Reviewed 1

2 Canada in The World: Demography, Diaspora, Domestic Politics and Canadian Foreign Policy (McGill Queen s University Press, 2007) edited with David Bercuson Peer reviewed. Peacekeeping Intelligence: New Players Extended Boundaries (Routledge 2006) with Martin Rudner Peer reviewed. Canada Among Nations: Setting Priorities Straight (Montreal: McGill-Queen s University Press, 2004), co-edited with Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson Peer reviewed. From Rhetoric to Reality, Conflict Prevention: Opportunities and Innovations (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel) pp Peer reviewed. From Rhetoric to Reality, Conflict Prevention, Institutions and Organizations (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel) pp Peer reviewed. Canada Among Nations: Coping with the American Colossus (Toronto: Oxford University Press, 2003), co-edited with Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson Peer reviewed. Conflict Prevention: Grand Illusion or Path to Peace? (Tokyo: United Nations University Press, 2003), co-edited with Albrecht Schnabel, pp Peer reviewed. The International Politics of Quebec Secession: State Making and State Breaking in North America (Praeger Press, 2001) (co-edited with Frank Harvey and John Stack) pp Peer reviewed. Peace in the Midst of Wars: Managing and Preventing International Ethnic Conflicts, co-edited with Patrick James (Columbia: U. of South Carolina Press, 1998). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant (Studies in I.R., Charles, W. Kegley, Jr. and Donald, J. Puchala, Series Editors) pp Peer reviewed. Wars in the Midst of Peace: The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict co-edited with Patrick James (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant (Pitt Series in Policy and Institutional Studies, Bert A. Rockman, Series Editor) pp Peer reviewed. c) Chapters in Refereed Edited Books Introduction and Conclusion in Mediation in a Fragile World (Routledge 2017) with Evan Hoffman. Peer reviewed. Introduction and Conclusion in Post-Soviet Diasporas: Global Perspectives and Everyday Practices (Palgrave Macmillan 2016) with Milana Nikolko. Peer reviewed. Diasporas and Canadian Foreign Policy in Chapnick, A. and Kukucha, C. eds. The Harper Era in Canadian Foreign Policy, UBC Press (2016) with Joe Landry. Diasporas and Fragile States Beyond Remittances: Assessing the Theoretical Linkages in Carment, D. and Sadjed, A. Diasporas Cultures of Cooperation: Local and Global Perspectives, Palgrave-Macmillan (2016). with Rachael Calleja. Introduction and Conclusion in Carment, D. and Sadjed, A. Diasporas Cultures of Cooperation: Local and Global Perspectives, Palgrave-Macmillan (2016). 2

3 Aid Fragmentation and Coherence: Is a More Integrated Approach the Answer to Canadian Aid Effectiveness? in eds. Stephan Klingebiel, Mario Negre and Timo Mahn, Aid Fragmentation and Pluralism Palgrave-Macmillan (2016) (with Rachael Calleja and Yiagadeesen Samy). R2P and Regional Responses in eds. Alex Bellamy and Tim Dunne. Oxford Handbook of Responsibility to Protect, Oxford University Press (2016) (with Joe Landry and Sean Winchester). Ethnic Conflict and Conflict Prevention in eds. Karl Cordell and Stefan Wolff Routledge Handbook of Ethnic Conflict,2nd Edition, Routledge (2015) (with Joe Landry and Sean Winchester). Canada s Fragile States Policy: What Have We Learned and Where do We Go from Here? (2014) in eds. Stephen Brown, Molly den Heyer and David Black, Rethinking Canadian Aid, University of Ottawa Press (with Yiagadeesen Samy). "Governance Indicators and Policy Making: Theory and Practice," with Teddy Samy and Rachael Calleja, in On Governance: What It Is, What It Measures and Its Policy Uses, edited by Robert I. Rotberg, CIGI Press, Canadian Foreign Policy and Civil Society, (with Joe Landry) in Kukucha, C. and Bratt, D. eds Readings in Canadian Foreign Policy: Classic Debates and New Ideas (Oxford University Press 2014). Country Indicators for Foreign Policy in Encyclopedia of Life Research (2013). Canadian Foreign Policy and Africa s Diaspora with Milana Nikolko and Dacia Douhaibi, in Samy, Y. and Medhora, R. eds. Canada Among Nations: Canada African Relations (Volume 27, CIGI Press, 2013 ). Principal Investigator. State Failure, Development and International Security: The Challenges of Intervening in Fragile States, with Teddy Samy and Joe Landry, in Newman, R. and DeRouen, K. eds The Routledge Handbook of Civil War (Routledge 2013). Principal Investigator.*. The Future of War: Understanding Fragile States with Teddy Samy in Trauschweizer, Ingo ed. Failed States and Fragile Societies: A New World Disorder? (Ohio University Press, 2013). Principal Investigator. In press. Fragile States and Aid Effectiveness with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest, in Naude W.A., Santos- Paulino, A. and McGillivray, M. eds. Fragile States: Causes, Costs, and Responses. (Oxford University Press 2011). Towards an Understanding of Third-Party Intervention Effectiveness with Martin Fischer in Coyne, C. ed. The Handbook on the Political Economy of War (Edward Elgar 2011). Conflict Prevention: A Policy in Search of a Theory or a Theory in Search of a Policy? with Martin Fischer in Cordell, K and Wolff, S. eds. The Routledge Handbook of Ethnic Conflict (Routledge 2010). State Fragility and Implications for Aid Allocation: An Empirical Analysis in Harvey Starr ed. Dealing with Failed States (Routledge 2009). (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). 3

4 Small States, Resilience and Governance in Small States and Governance edited by Briguglio, Lino. (The Commonwealth Secretariat, London, 2008) (with Stewart Prest, Yiagadeesen Samy and Jean Francois Gagne). Principal Investigator. Peer reviewed. Mediation and Protracted Conflict, in Empirical Approaches to Mediation edited by Jacob Bercovitch and Scott Gartner (Routledge 2008) (with Yiagadeesen Samy and Souleima El Achkar). Peer reviewed. Conflict Prevention, Concept and Application, in Geeraerts, G. Pauwels, N and Remacle, E. eds. Dimensions of Peace and Security: A Reader, ( Peter Lang, Brussels, 2006) (with Albrecht Schnabel). Assessing Chaim Kaufmann s Claims on Separation in Licklider, Roy, Bloom, Mia eds. Living Together After Ethnic Killing (Routledge, 2006) (with Dane Rowlands). Peer reviewed. Assessing Small Island Developing State Fragility in Building the Economic Resilience of Small States, edited by Lino Briguglio and Eliawony J. Kisanga, The Commonwealth Secretariat (London, 2006) (with Stewart Prest and Yiagadeesen Samy). Principal Investigator. Peer Reviewed. International Conflict Prevention: An Assessment of Canadian Perceptions and Policies in Patrick James and Marc O'Reilly, eds., Handbook of Canadian Foreign Policy (Lanham, MD: Lexington Books, 2006) (with Koren Marriott). Principal Investigator. Peer Reviewed. Country Indicators for Foreign Policy: Developing an Indicators-Based User Friendly Risk Assessment Capability in Robert Trappl ed. Programming for Peace: Computer-Aided Methods for International Conflict Resolution and Prevention (Springer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, NL 2006) (with Caroline Delany, Susan Ampleford, George Conway, and Angelica Ospina). Principal Investigator. Peer reviewed. Formal Models of Intervention: A Stocktaking and Analysis of the Implications for Policy in Zartman, I.W. and Avenhaus R. eds. Formal Models and Negotiation (Springer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, NL 2006) (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator. Peer reviewed. Rwanda: A Case Study in Two Volume Handbook of Civil War edited by Karl DeRouen and UK Heo (ABC-CLIO, 2006) (with Kristine St. Pierre and Genevieve Asselin). Principal Investigator. Peer reviewed. Setting Priorities Straight in Canada Among Nations: Setting Priorities Straight (Montreal: MQUP 2004) (with Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson). Peer reviewed. Anticipating State Failure in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds From Rhetoric to Reality: Conflict Prevention Innovations and Opportunities (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel). Peer reviewed. Is Canada Still Relevant? in Canada Among Nations: Coping with the American Colossus (Toronto: Oxford University Press, 2003). With Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson. Peer reviewed. Introduction in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds From Rhetoric to Reality: Conflict Prevention Innovations and Opportunities (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel). Peer reviewed. Introduction in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds From Rhetoric to Reality: Conflict Prevention, Institutions and Organizations (Lexington Books, 2004). With Albrecht Schnabel. Peer reviewed. 4

5 Preventing State Failure in Rotberg, R. ed. State Failure: Causes and Consequences (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 2003). Peer reviewed. Introduction and Conclusion in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds. Conflict Prevention: Grand Illusion or Path to Peace? (Tokyo: United Nations University Press, 2003). With Albrecht Schnabel. Peer reviewed. Third-Party States in Ethnic Conflict: Identifying the Domestic Determinants of Intervention in Philip Mauceri and Steve Lobell, eds. Ethnic Conflict and International Politics: Escalation, Diffusion, and Termination (New York: Palgrave, 2003). With Patrick James. Peer reviewed. The Effectiveness of Third Party Mediation to End Civil Wars in Nagel, S. ed. Policymaking and Democracy: A Multinational Anthology (Studies in Public Policy) (Lanham, Md.: Lexington Books, 2002). Peer reviewed. Secessionist Ethnic Conflict in South and South East Asia: A Comparative Perspective in Ganguly, R. ed. Ethnic Conflict and Secessionism in Asia: Causes, Dynamics, Solutions (Sage 2001). Peer reviewed. "Evolutionary Models and Third Party Intervention in Ethnic Conflict" in James, P. and Goetze, D. eds. Ethnic Conflict and Evolutionary Theory. (Praeger Press 2001). With Dane Rowlands. Peer reviewed. "Moral Hazard and Conflict Intervention" in Wolfson, Murray, ed. The Political Economy of War and Peace (London: Kluwer Press, 1998) (with Dane Rowlands) pp Peer reviewed. "Ethnic Conflict at the International Level: Causation, Prevention and Peacekeeping" in Peace in the Midst of Wars: Managing and Preventing International Ethnic Conflicts (Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1998) pp (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Peer reviewed. "Ethnic Conflict at the International Level: An Appraisal of Causation, Prevention and Peacekeeping" in Peace in the Midst of Wars: Managing and Preventing International Ethnic Conflicts (Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1998) pp With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Peer reviewed. "Third Party Intervention and Ethnic Conflict: Riskiness, Rationality and Commitment" in Schneider, G. & Weitsman, P. eds. Enforcing Cooperation: Risky States and Intergovernmental Management of Conflict (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1997) pp With Dane Rowlands and Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Peer reviewed. "Introduction in Carment, D. and Patrick James eds. Wars in the Midst of Peace (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997) pp With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Peer reviewed. "Conclusions " in Carment, D. and Patrick James eds. Wars in the Midst of Peace: The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997) pp With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Peer reviewed. "Secession and Irredenta in World Politics: The Neglected Interstate Dimension" in Carment, D. and Patrick James eds. Wars in the Midst of Peace: The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997) pp With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Peer reviewed. 5

6 "Rethinking Peacekeeping: The Bosnia and Somalia Experience" in Molot, M. and Hampson, F. eds. Canada Among Nations (Ottawa: Carleton University Press, 1996) Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant , pp "Ritual and Legitimation of Power in Medieval Sri Lanka and South India: A Comparative Study" in V. Subramaniam ed. Political Theorizing in Asia (New Delhi: Ajanta Press, 1994) pp d) Articles in Refereed Journals Ethnic Conflict:Theory and Policy in Ethnopolitics (2016). Typology of State Types: Persistence and Transition (2015) International Interactions, 41:3 (with Peter Tikuisis, Joe Landry and Yiagadeesen Samy). Towards a Theory of Fragile States Transitions: Evidence from Yemen, Bangladesh and Laos (2015) Third World Quarterly (36:7) (with Joe Landry, Yiagadeesen Samy, and Scott Shaw). State Transitions for the Middle East and North Africa Region: A Structural Assessment Using the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Framework (2015) International Economics (forthcoming) (with Joe Landry, Scott Shaw and Yiagadeesen Samy). Transformation, ambiguity and reversal: Harper's foreign policy under the microscope (2014) in Canadian Foreign Policy Journal, (20:2) (with Joe Landry). Sequencing Fragile States in Fletcher Forum on World Affairs (2013) with Joe Landry and Teddy Samy. Fragile States Report in The Development Review * (Vol 1. No. 1) (2012) with Teddy Samy Sequencing Fragile States in Fletcher Forum on World Affairs (2013) with Joe Landry and Teddy Samy. Diasporas, Fragile States and Remittances in Ethnopolitics (2012) (with Teddy Samy, Dacia Douhaibi, Brandon Lum and Milana Nikolko). Prediction of Intrastate Conflict Using State Structural Factors and Events Data Journal of Conflict Resolution Sage, Fall, 2012 (with Peter Tikuisis and Teddy Samy). The Millennium Goals and Fragile States: Focusing on What Really Matters., Fletcher Forum on World Affairs, Volume 35:1, 2011 (with Teddy Samy). Social Capital Development in Multiethnic Crimea: Global, Regional and Local Constraints and Opportunities, Caucasian Review of International Affairs, Vol. 4, No. 4, 2010 (with Milana Nikolko). 6

7 R2P and the Role of Regional Organisations in Ethnic Conflict Management, Prevention and Resolution: The Unfinished Agenda with Martin Fischer in Global Responsibility to Protect, Volume 1, Number 3, June 2009, pp (30). The International Peace and Conflict Dimensions of Haitian and Jamaican Diasporas in Human Architecture with Stewart Prest, Carlo Dade, Per Unheim and Andrew Harrington (Spring 2009). Approaches to Country Risk Analysis and Early Warning in International Economics (Fall 2008) (with Yiagadeesen Samy and Stewart Prest). Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant. The Internationalization of Ethnic Conflict: State, Society and Synthesis in International Studies Review (March 2009) (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant State Fragility and Implications for Aid Allocation: An Empirical Analysis in Conflict Management and Peace Science, Vol. 25, no. 4, 2008 (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). (Special issue with contributions from Jack Goldstone, Harvey Starr and Paul Collier. Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant. Assessing Fragility: Theory Evidence and Policy in Politorbis, Vol. no. 42, 2007 (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). Special issue on the Fragile States Debate. Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant. Fragile States and Aid Effectiveness WIDER Research Paper No. 2008/46, ISSN , and the ISBN (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant Formal Models and Conflict Intervention: Success as Research Program and Policy Relevance The Whitehead Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, Winter 2007 (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant in The 2006 Country Indicators for Foreign Policy, Failed and Fragile States Net Assessment: Opportunities and Challenges for the Canadian Government in Journal of Canadian Foreign Policy, Vol. 13, no. 1, 2006 (with Souleima el-achkar, Stewart Prest, and Yiagadeesen Samy). Lead Article, Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant. The Sri Lanka Peace Process:A Review and Critique in Journal of South Asian Development, Vol. 1 no. 2, 2006 (with Sonia Bouffard). Lead Article. Principal Investigator. Force and Bias: Towards a Predictive Model of Effective Third Party Intervention in Journal of Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 15, no. 5, 2006 (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Canadian Defence Policy and State Failure, CDFAI Monograph, Risk Assessment And State Failure in Global Society, Winter (with Stewart Prest and John Gazo). Principal Investigator, CIDA grant. Assessing Chaim Kaufmann s Claims on Separation Security Studies, Fall, 2004 (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant

8 The Role of Bias in Intervention in International Peacekeeping, No. 4, 2003, (with Dane Rowlands) Lead Article. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Assessing State Failure: Implications for Theory and Policy in Third World Quarterly, Vol. 24, no. 3, 2003, pp , Lead Article. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Managing Chaos in the West Africa Region: Assessing The Case of ECOMOG in Liberia, Journal of Canadian Military and Strategic Studies,Spring With Rasheed Draman. Principal Investigator, CSDS Grant. Explaining Third Party Intervention in Ethnic Conflict in Nations and Nationalism, Winter, 2000 (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Conflict Prevention and Early Warning: Problems, Pitfalls and Avenues for Success in Canadian Foreign Policy, Vol. 6, no. 2, Winter, 1998, pp (with Karen Garner). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant Three s Company: Evaluating Third Party Intervention in Intrastate Conflict in Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 42, no. 4, 1998, pp (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant "The UN at 50 - Managing Ethnic Crises, Past and Present" in Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 35, no. 1, 1998, pp (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant "The Escalation of Ethnic Conflict: A Survey and Assessment" in International Politics (35:1, 1998, pp ) (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant "The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: New Perspectives on Theory and Policy" Global Society (11:2, 1997, pp ) Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant "Two Level Games and Third Party Intervention" Canadian Journal of Political Science (29:4, 1996, pp ) (with Patrick James) SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship. "NATO and the International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: Perspectives on Theory and Policy" Contemporary Security Policy, Vol. 16, no. 3, 1995, pp Principal Investigator, NATO Fellowship. "Managing Ethnic Tensions: The Thai-Malay Experience" Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, Vol. 1, no. 4, Winter, 1995, pp Lead Article. SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship. "Internal Constraints and Ethnic Conflict: Towards a Crisis-based Assessment of Irredentism" in Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 39, no. 1, 1995 pp (with Patrick James). SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship. "The Ethnic Dimension in World Politics: Theory, Policy and Early Warning" in Third World Quarterly, Vol. 15, no. 4, 1994, pp Lead Article. SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship. "The International Dimensions of Ethnic Conflict: Concepts, Indicators and Theory" in Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 30, no. 2, 1993, pp Lead Article. SSHRCC Doctoral Fellowship. 8

9 "Les dimensions internes des comportements en temps de crise: etude de cas entre l'inde et le Sri Lanka ", Etudes Internationales, Vo. 23, no. 2, 1992 pp Lead Article. c) Articles in Refereed Conference Proceedings "Early Warning and Deterrence Strategies: States Versus Institutions" in Schmeidl, S. and Adelman, H. eds. Synergy in Early Warning (New York: Columbia University Press and Columbia International Affairs Online (CIAO) 1998). Due to the nature and timeliness of the subject, this book was selected as one of Columbia University s electronic publications available at Columbia International Affairs Online ( 2. Other Scholarly Publications a) Non-Refereed Books Political and Religious Transition in Medieval South India and Sri Lanka (Delhi: Ajanta Books International, 2003) pp ISBN: b) Chapters in Non-Refereed Books Twisting One Arm: Bias and Intervention in Shaw, Tim and Natalie Mychajlyszyn, eds. Twisting Arms and Flexing Muscles: Humanitarian Intervention and the Use of Force (Ashgate 2004) (with Dane Rowlands). "Peacekeeping NATO Style: IFOR, SFOR and After" in Schnabel, A. and Erhart, H.G. eds. The Southeast European Challenge: Ethnic Conflict and the International Response (Hambourg: Nomos Verlagsgeselleschaft, 1998) pp "New Perspectives on the Prevention of Ethnic Conflict" in Stack, John and Hebron, Lui eds. The Ethnic Entanglement: Conflict and Intervention in World Politics (New York: Greenwood Publishing Co., 1998) (with Patrick James) pp "Canadian Peacekeeping and Conflict Prevention" (with David Last) in Ram Rattan, ed. Canada's Foreign, Defence and Domestic Policy (New Delhi: JNU Press, 1997). "UN Ethnic Conflict Management, " in Wheeler, R. ed. Swords and Ploughshares: The UN in Transition (Toronto: Canadian Scholars Press, 1997) pp (with Patrick James). c) Review Articles "Modelling Ethnic Conflict: Problems and Pitfalls" Roundtable Commentaries in Politics and Life Sciences (September, 1997). d) Articles in Non-Refereed Journals Old enemies, new technology: Canada's digital diplomacy falls back on divisive, you are either with us or against us strategies, Open Canada, December 12, 2014, (with Ariane Sadjed). Was it Ever John Baird s Foreign Policy? Open Canada, February 10,

10 Arming Ukraine is a bad idea Embassy, February 26, 2015, and 4 ways to repair the damage to our Foreign Policy Embassy, February 11, 2015, and Ukraine needs our diplomacy not our weapons Ipolitics, February 9, and More Execution than Revolution Embassy, December 3 rd, and (with Joe Landry). The Silent War in Ukraine Embassy October 6, and (with Milana Nikolko). How Good is Canada s Aid Policy CDFAI Policy Paper October 2013 (with Teddy Samy and Rachael Calleja) The New Terrorism: Understanding Yemen CDFAI Policy Paper, March The Social Underpinnings of the Current Unrest in North Africa and the Middle East, CDFAI Policy Paper February, 2011 (with Teddy Samy). A Marshall Plan for Haiti? Think Again,"A Policy Update Paper, Canadian Defence and Foreign Affairs Institute [Abridged version published in the Globe and Mail], February 2010 (with Teddy Samy). Broken Promises: The Fragility Gap and the Millennium Development Goals, CDFAI Policy paper, (October, 2010) (with Teddy Samy). "Haiti Without Tears: Getting Aid Right," Policy Options, April, (with Teddy Samy). Exploiting Ethnicity, Harvard International Review, Vol 28, no. 4, Special issue on Ethnic Conflict: Reversing the Trend with contributions from Paul Collier, Chaim Kaufmann, Charles King and Andrew Reynolds. The Struggle for Peace: Rethinking Intervention Harvard International Review, Vol 23, no. 2, Special issue on The Future of War with contributions from Jayantha Dhanapala, Ian Beckett and Michael O Hanlon. Why SFOR Must Stay and Go in Peacekeeping and International Relations (A bi-monthly publication of the Pearson Peacekeeping Centre, Cornwallis, NS, May-June 1998) (with Frank Harvey), pp Academics Visit Bosnia, in The Maple Leaf (A monthly publication of the Department of National Defence, Ottawa, May 1998). 10

11 "Ethnic Conflict: The Southeast Asian Experience," in The Asian Pacific Research and Resource Centre Newsletter (September 1996). e) Articles in Non-Refereed Conference Proceedings "Ethnic Conflict as a Puzzle" in Identity and Community: Lessons from the Balkans and Beyond DeDominicis, Ben, Joe Bond, and Zhelyazkova, A. eds., (Sofia: International Center for Minority Studies, 1997) pp ; "Early Warning and Deterrence Strategies: States Versus Institutions" in Schmeidl, S. and Adelman, H. eds. Synergy in Early Warning: Conference Proceedings (March 1997) York University, Toronto (with Frank Harvey). "Canadian Peacekeeping and Conflict Prevention" (with David Last) in Rattan, Ram, ed. National Seminar on Canada's Foreign, Defence and Domestic Policy. May 18, 1996 New Delhi f) Technical Reports (CIFP related research on governance, democracy, fragile states and conflict prevention for which I serve as principal investigator- all reports identifying authors and co-authors are available at Categorization of States Beyond Strong and Weak, NPSIA Working Paper No. 5 (with Peter Tikuisis). The J Curve Revisited: Assessing Backsliding and Reversal Among Unstable States. NPSIA Working paper No. 6 (with Peter Tikuisis, Rachael Calleja, Mark Haichin). Assessing State Fragility with a Focus on Climate Change and Refugees: A 2016 Country indicators for Foreign Policy Report (with Teddy Samy and Simon Langlois- Bertrand). Assessing State Fragility, With a Focus on the Middle East and North Africa Region: A 2014 Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Report (with Teddy Samy and Simon Langlois-Bertrand). CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes: A Handbook (for the Office of Democracy and Governance CIDA, 2008). CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Pakistan 2008 CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Ghana 2007 CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Guatemala 2007 CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Nicaragua 2007 CIFP Governance and Democratic Processes Haiti Final Report Fall 2007 The following fragile states briefs, assembled by a separate research team, are available upon request: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Cambodia, Colombia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Haiti, Honduras, Indonesia, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Pakistan, Palestinian Territories, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Uganda, and Zimbabwe. 11

12 A Framework for Understanding Terrorist Use of the Internet, Trends in Terrorism Series, CSIS- ITAC 2006 (with Bruneau Nordeste). The Ditchley Foundation: CONFLICT PREVENTION OR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: WHICH SHOULD COME FIRST? May 2006 Summary Report. Failed and Fragile States: A Briefing Note for the Canadian Government (2006). 12 page summary. Failed and Fragile States: A Concept Paper for the Canadian Government (2006). 100 page document. Creating Conditions for Peace: What Role for the UN and Regional Actors? Report of a Conference held in Wilton park, UK, July Published by the International Peace Academy, New York, NY. Over 25 Risk Assessment and Methodology reports available for download at Principal investigator (1998-current). g) Other Trudeau s Report Cards 1 and 2. ( Canadian Conflict Prevention: A Survey (CPCC 1 Nicholas Street, Fall 2003) (with Koren Marriott). Managing Chaos in The West Africa Sub-Region: The Case of ECOMOG CSDS Working Paper Series, 2001 (with Rasheed Draman). The Role of Bias in Third Party Intervention BCSIA Working Paper Series, Harvard University (2001) (with Dane Rowlands). Towards Workable Conflict Prevention at The Regional and Global Levels: A Workshop Summary a UNU/IDRC Report, Initially published in the CSDS Working Paper Series, 2000 (with Albrecht Schnabel and Rasheed Draman). "Exploring Canada s Options on Global Issues" NPSIA Working Paper Series (with Evan Potter), A summary report and working papers are available at ~dcarment "Responding to Ethnic Conflict: A Game Theoretic Approach" NPSIA Working Paper Series, (with Dane Rowlands), "The Interstate Dimensions of Ethnic Conflict: Spatial and Temporal Characteristics" NPSIA Working Paper Series, "Conflict Prevention and Internal Conflict: Theory and Policy A Workshop Summary" NPSIA Working Paper Series (with David Last), "Third Party Intervention and Ethnic Conflict: Riskiness, Rationality and Commitment" NPSIA Working Paper Series (with Dane Rowlands and Patrick James), "The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: A NATO Perspective on Theory and Policy" Final report for NATO in fulfilment of NATO Fellowship. Report is based in part on field interviews at NATO HQ, 1995 and is available at ~dcarment. 12

13 "Internal Constraints and Ethnic Conflict: Towards a Crisis-based Assessment of Irredentism". (I-94-8) Working Paper Series in International Studies, Hoover Institution Stanford University, (with Patrick James). "Selected Readings on Sri Lanka: An Annotated Bibliography of Research on Sri Lanka" (CIDA), "Selected Readings on Ethnic Research: An Annotated Bibliography" (CIDA), h) Book Manuscripts Reviewed Review of The Rationale for Collective Intelligence and Decision-making: Towards a Viable United Nations Intelligence Capability (for Routledge Press 2006). Review of Ashutosh Varshney Ethnic Conflict and Civic Life (Yale University Press 2004) For the Grawemeyer Award in World Order. Review of Saideman, Stephen. The Ties That Divide (Columbia University Press 2001). Review of War and Destitution: The Prevention of Humanitarian Emergencies (Oxford Press, 2001). Review of Ben-Yehuda, Hemda and Shmuel Sandler The Arab-Israeli Conflict: From Interstate to Ethnic Crises (New York University Press, Review of Taras, Ray and Sumit Ganguly Understanding Ethnic Conflict: The International Dimension (New York, Longman Press, 1997). Review of Jentleson, Bruce, W. ed. Opportunities Missed, Opportunities Seized: Preventive Diplomacy in the Post-Cold War Era (New York: Carnegie Commission on Preventing Deadly Conflict, 1999). i) Book Reviews in Scholarly Journals Shale Horowitz, From Ethnic Conflict to Stillborn Reform: The Former Soviet Union and Yugoslavia (Texas A & M Press 2005). For Comparative Politics (2006). Lincoln Chen, Sakiko Fukuda-Parr, and Ellen Seidensticker, eds, Human Insecurity in a Global World, Cambridge, Mass: Global Equity Imitative/Asia Center, Harvard University, 2003 (for International Journal, 2004). Guelke, Adrian, ed. Democracy and ethnic conflict : advancing peace in deeply divided societies. - Houndmills : Palgrave Macmillan, 2004 (for Journal of Peace Research 2004). Haller, Ludger. Conflict Escalation and Decision Making, Bruxelles, Bern, Peter Lang AG, 2001, 430 p. for Etudes Internationales (Spring 2003). Thakur, R. ed. Past Imperfect, Future Uncertain: The UN at Fifty in Peace and Conflict (Spring 2001). Crawford, B. and Lipschutz, R. eds. The Myth of Ethnic Conflict in American Political Science Review (Spring 2000). Iftekharuzzaman, R. ed. Regional Economic Trends and South Asian Security in Pacific Affairs Vol. 72 Spring 2000). 13

14 Taras, R. and Ganguly, R. Understanding Ethnic Conflict: The International Dimension (New York: Longman, 1997) for Political Science (New Zealand) (1998). Webber, Mark The International Politics of Russia and Successor States (New York: Manchester University Press for Nationalism and Ethnic Politics (1997). Diamond, L. and Plattner M. eds. Nationalism, Ethnic Conflict and Democracy (JHU Press) for Canadian Journal of Political Science. (1997). de Silva, K.M. & S.W.R. de A. Samarasinghe Peace Accords and Ethnic Conflict (London: Pinter Press, 1993) for Sojourn: Contemporary Issues in South East Asia (1993). Chazan, N. ed. Irredentism and International Politics. (Boulder: Lynne Rienner 1991) for Etudes Internationales (1992). UNIDO, India: New Dimensions in Industrial Growth and Industrial Development Review Series, for Etudes Internationales (1992). Lipton, M., and Toye, J. Does Aid Work in India? A Country Study of the Impact of Official Development Assistance (New York: Routledge, Chapman and Hall, 1990), for Etudes Internationales. (1992). Maoz, Z. National Choices and International Processes (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990), for Canadian Journal of Political Science (1992). j) Major Encyclopaedia or Dictionary Articles Routledge Encyclopedia of International Relations and Global Politics ( ) Entries on Confidence Building Measures and Conflict Prevention (2006). k) Papers Presented (only unpublished papers listed over 50 papers presented in the last 10 years). Diasporas as Cultures of Cooperation, International Studies Association Baltimore, MD Fragile State Transitions, CPSA Annual Meeting Calgary Beyond Remittances: Diasporas and State Fragility, Presented at a Workshop at University of Warwick, October 15, With Rachael Calleja. State Fragility and Diasporas paper presented at a Conference on Global Cooperation and Diaspora, Centre for Global Cooperation, Duisburg Germany, April 21, 2015 State Typology Model : presented at PRIO Meeting on Policy Relevant Conflict Prediction Peter Tikuisis., Oslo Norway, April 23, A Typology of State Failure : presented at ISA 2014 with Teddy Samy and Peter Tikuisis. Sequencing State fragility processes presented at ISA 2014, with Joe Landry, Scott Shaw and Teddy Samy. 14

15 Diasporas and Canadian Foreign Policy paper presented at International Studies Association Annual meeting san Diego, CA Spring 2012 (with Teddy Samy, Brandon Lum, Dacia Douhaibi, Milana Nikolko) Sequencing of State Fragility, paper presented at International Studies Association Annual meeting san Diego, CA Spring 2012( with Teddy Samy). Diasporas and Remittances presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Nationalities, Columbia University, April 2011 (with Milana Nikolko, Brandon Lum and Teddy Samy. Social Capital in Multiethnic Crimea presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Nationalities, Columbia University, April 2009 (with Milana Nikolko). Social Capital in Multiethnic Crimea presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Nationalities, Columbia University, April 2009 (with Milana Nikolko). Extent and Sources of State Fragility and Failure Presented at a Conference on Preventing and Rebuilding Failed States Amid Global Economic Crisis: What are Realistic Options for U.S. Policy? Project on Leadership and Building State Capacity, Woodrow Wilson International Centre, Washington, DC, June 2009 Sequencing and Timing of State Fragility Processes presented at the Centre for Global Development, Conference on Fragile States, Washington DC, September 2009 (with Teddy Samy). Security, Development and the Fragile State a presentation to CIPS, at the University of Ottawa, January 2010 (with Teddy Samy). Social Capital Development in Multiethnic Crimea: the Effects of Globalization, ISA, New Orleans February 2010 (with Milana Nikolko). Sequencing and Timing Issues in Fragile States: Concepts, Arguments and Evidence for Effective Engagement Based on Empirical Analysis, ISA New Orleans, February 2010 Roundtable to Honor the 2010 Recipient of the ENMISA Distinguished Scholar Award, Patrick James, ISA, New Orleans, February A Handbook on Governance, Presented at IDRC, Ottawa March 24, Predicting State Failure paper presented at International Studies Association, San Francisco, March 2008 (with Stewart Prest, Teddy Samy and Liz St. Jean) (contribution to Folke Bernadotte Working Group on Conflict Prevention). The Role of Regional Organizations in implementing R2P for the Prevention of Ethnic Conflict and Genocide, paper presented at a conference on R2P and conflict prevention, Genocide Prevention centre, CUNY, NYC, March Presentation of Fragile States Methodology: Data Validation Working Group on Democracy in the Andes, December Risk Analysis and Early Warning: Open Source Tools for the Intelligence Community, presented at the National Defence Intelligence College, Washington, DC, March

16 Evaluating Governance and Small States, paper presented at a conference on small states organized by the University of Malta and the Commonwealth, June, Evaluating Aid Effectiveness, presented at the WIDER conference on Fragile States, Helsinki, May Under review. The Jamaica and Haiti Diaspora Community in Canada for a conference on Peacebuilding and Diaspora (UPeace, Toronto, October 19 and 20, 2006) (with Andrew Harrington, Per Unheim, Stewart Prest). Failed and Fragile States CIGI06, Waterloo, Canada, September CIFP Concept Paper on Failed and Fragile States for the Canadian Government, January Working Out Strategies for Effective Policy on Failed and Dangerous States, Conference on Failed, Fragile and Dangerous States, (U Vic 2005). (with Stewart Prest and John Gazo). CIFP Risk Assessments and Briefs: Georgia and Pakistan for SWP-Berlin, Carnegie Endowment, State Department, DfID, Brookings and UK PMO (June 2004). Evaluating the Role of Religion in Ethnic Conflict International Studies Association, Montreal, March 2004 (with Zeynep Taydas and Yasmin Akbaba). Crisis Management and Outcomes in World Politics: Assessing the Role of Ethnicity, , International Studies Association, New Orleans, March 2002, (with Zeynep Taydas and Patrick James). The Role of Ethnicity in Crisis Management: A System Level Analysis, , ISA Midwest, St. Louis, Missouri, November 2002, (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas). Ethnicity and Crisis Behaviour, International Studies Association, Portland Oregon, March 2003 (with Yasemin Akbaba and Zeynep Taydas). Third Party Intervention and Ethnicity: A Crisis Based Analysis, International Studies Association, Portland, Oregon, March 2003, (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas). Rethinking Intervention Department of National Defence 21 st Century s Strategic Environment Symposium, Ottawa, DND HQ, January 15, 2003 (for Chiefs of Staff and about 300 Officers). Force and Credibility: When Third Party Intervention Succeeds and Fails a paper presented at a workshop on Conceptualizing and Measuring Conflict Management Success, Dalhousie University, June 29-July 2, 2001 (with Dane Rowlands). Building Conflict Prevention Capacity: Methods Experiences and Needs a paper presented at organized meetings of the secretariats and staff of the OAU, OAS, OSCE, UN, KFOR, UNMIK, ASEAN, USIP, UNU and ISN and Harvard University. November 8 th -November 23 rd 2000 at various locales in Asian Africa, North America and Europe Risk Assessments and Conflict Prevention: The CIFP Project presented at on workshop on Conflict Prevention: From Rhetoric to Policy INSTRAW, Santo Domingo, December 13-17, Risk Assessments and Foreign Policy, presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C (with Troy Joseph). 16

17 New Directions in International Crisis Research, presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C Secession and Irredenta: A Quantitative Approach, presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C (with Troy Joseph). Integrated Fact Databases: The CIFP Approach presented at the 3 rd International Security Forum, Building Cooperative Information Systems Geneva, October 21-24, Conflict Prevention and Risk Assessment: The Country Indicators Project presented at the Annual Meeting of the Canadian Political Science Association, Ottawa, June 1998 (with Troy Joseph). "Explaining Multilateral Intervention in Ethnic Conflict" (with Dane Rowlands) Canadian Political Science Association Meeting, Brock University, May, "The International Dimension of Internal Conflict: Early Warning Systems, Third Party Intervention and the Spread and Management of Ethnic Conflict" (CPSA and APSA Annual Meetings), "Early Warning Systems and Internal Conflict: Preventive Peacekeeping, Mediation and Resolution" ISA Annual Meeting, Chicago, "The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: A Canadian Perspective on Theory and Policy" (with Patrick James), CPSA Annual Meeting, Calgary, "The United Nations and the Management of Ethnic Conflict: Concepts, Cases and Consequences, ," ISA Annual Meeting, Selected CIFP Outputs by CIFP Researchers either co-written or written under Carment s direct supervision as principal investigator include. For a complete and updated list see Handbook on Governance and Democracy processes (2007) Sentinel Watch List September (2005) Assessing Small Island Developing State Fragility (2006) Working out strategies for strengthening fragile states - the British, American and German experience Commerce & Conflict: Angola and DiamondWorks Effective Defence Policy for Responding to Failed and Failing States (2005) Measuring the Reverse Flow of Risk: A Case Study of the Monywa Copper Project in Burma The Potential Expansion of Methamphetamine Production and Distribution in Canada (2005) Upheaval in Haiti: The Criminal Threat to Canada (2005) Effective Defence Policy for Responding to Failed and Failing States (2005) Ethiopia: A Risk Assessment Brief (2006) 17

18 Jamaica: A Risk Assessment Brief (2006) Madagascar: A Risk Assessment Brief (2006) Papua New Guinea : A Risk Assessment Brief (2006) Preliminary Selection of Indicators: Discussion Paper (10/12/2002) Assessing Country Risk: Creating an Index of Severity (01/05/2001) Risk Assessment Template (01/08/2001) Conflict Prevention, Gender and Early Warning: A Work in Progress (11/02/2002) CIFP Methodology, Data Descriptions, Data Sources (10/12/2002) CIFP Risk Assessment Indicator Definitions (10/12/2002) Conflict Risk Assessment Report: Cambodia, Indonesia, Philippines (01/01/2002) Conflict Risk Assessment Report: West Africa: Mano River Union and Senegambia (01/04/2002) Conflict Risk Assessment Report Sub-Saharan Africa (4/11/2003) Conflict Risk Assessment Report African Great Lakes (4/11/2003) Conflict Risk Assessment Report: Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia, and Ukraine (8/11/2002) Afghanistan: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002) Angola: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002) Colombia: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002) Democratic Republic of Congo: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002) Kashmir: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002) Kyrgyzstan: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002) Philippines: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002) Sierra Leone: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002) Sudan: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004) Guatemala: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004) Liberia: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004). 18

19 Georgia: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004). Private Sector Risk Analysis and Conflict Impact Assessment: Measuring the Reverse Flow of Risk (01/12/2002) The Private Sector and Conflict Prevention Mainstreaming (24/10/2002) Fuelling Conflict or Financing Peace and Development: Part 1 (25/10/2002) Fuelling Conflict or Financing Peace and Development: Part 2 (25/10/2002) Criminogenic Survey of Russian Crime (2004). Event-monitoring briefings prepared for the European Commission Fysh, Adam Sub-national Report for Aceh: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. Fysh, Adam Sub-national Report for Dagestan: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. Fysh, Adam Sub-national Report for Kaliningrad: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. Fysh, Adam Sub-national Report for Kashmir: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. Fysh, Adam Sub-national Report for Moldova: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. St. Jean, Liz Sub-national Report for Iraqi Kurdistan: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. St. Jean, Liz Sub-national Report for Kosovo: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. St. Jean, Liz Sub-national Report for Serbia and Montenegro: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. St. Jean, Liz Sub-national Report for Western Sahara: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis. CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July Research and Publications In Progress Books chapter on the Ukraine Crisis and Mediation Book chapter on Canada Russia Relations 19

20 Sequencing and Timing of Interventions in Fragile States with Peter Tikuisis from DRDC Research on Canada and Diaspora, Trade and Development Thematic issues of the Canadian Foreign Policy Journal available upon request including collaborations with ACSUS, GMU, Fulbright, Laval, UQAM, IDRC, CTPL or here: 20