Cotton: World Markets and Trade
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1 Uited States Departmet of Agriculture Foreig Agricultural Service August Cotto: World Markets ad Trade Highest U.S. Cotto i Over a Decade Mil. Bales - Expad i Four of the Top Five Markets 6/ / With / seeig the largest U.S. productio i more tha years ad record global use, reported U.S. exports reached their highest level sice /6 ad were the secod highest o record. Compared with last year, U.S. shipmets expaded i four of the top five markets. Expadig use i Southeast ad South Asia has uderpied sigificat U.S. shipmets recetly. Vietam cotiued for the third year as the top U.S. market where shipmets surpassed last year s record, owig to the coutry s record yar productio ad robust yar exports (see last moth s report here). Chia was the secod-largest destiatio for U.S. cotto ad served as the largest market for U.S. Pima (Extra-Log Staple grade). Demad for Pima ad Uplad cotiues to grow as Chia pursues higher quality iputs ad works domestic stocks dow further. U.S. exports to Pakista saw the largest yearover-year icrease despite its larger domestic crop. The coutry s yar productio cotiues to grow ad is expected to expad ito /, a promisig sig for U.S. export prospects. Shipmets to Mexico ad Turkey were dow compared to the previous year, due to higher productio i those coutries. Mil. Bales U.S. Cotto Accouts for Nearly % of World Trade / /6 6/ / / forecast U.S. Other U.S. Share % % % % % % % % % % U.S. exports are forecast dow slightly i /, with exportable supplies lower i the Uited States ad higher for the rest of the world excludig Chia. Noetheless, / U.S. shipmets are forecast to be the secod-highest sice /6 with global use projected at a record. U.S. exports derived from the U.S. Export Sales report ( For a subscriptio, click here to register: ew. Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA
2 Overview for / is forecast up, o larger crops i the Uited States, Argetia ad Turkey, partially offset by lower productio i Uzbekista ad Australia. Trade is projected higher with larger Idia ad West Africa exports supportig greater imports for Pakista ad Idoesia. Higher imports for both coutries uderpi slightly higher global cosumptio. U.S. productio, exports, ad carryi are raised. are higher. The U.S. seaso-average farm price is uchaged at cets per poud. For /, productio is margially lower due to a smaller estimated crop i Australia, while use is higher drive by Pakista ad Idoesia. Global trade is slightly up with greater imports i Pakista ad Idoesia drivig higher exports i Idia ad West Africa. The U.S. balace sheet reflects higher stocks; o lower use ad exports The U.S. seaso-average farm price is uchaged at 6 cets per poud. For curret prices received by farmers click here; NASS farm price Prices The A-idex ad the spot price have both ticked up margially with the A-idex establishig ew quotes for the / seaso. For more iformatio o U.S. spot price click here; AMS Cotto Market News Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
3 / TRADE OUTLOOK Major Importers: s of -lb statistical bales Chage Curret Prev Reaso WORLD 6,6, Pakista,, O higher mill use Bagladesh,, Stock buildig Idoesia,, O higher mill use Turkey -,6, Larger domestic productio Major Exporters s of -lb statistical bales Chage Curret Prev Reaso WORLD,6, Uited States,, Higher carryi ad productio Australia -,, Lower available supplies Brazil -,, Greater early seaso competitio Idia,, Improved price competitiveess Burkia Faso,, Buoyed by strog demad ad growth i South ad Southeast Asia Uzbekista -, Prospects for greater domestic use ad strog yar export prospects / TRADE OUTLOOK Major Importers: s of -lb statistical bales Chage Curret Prev Reaso WORLD 6,, Pakista,, O higher mill use Idoesia,, O higher mill use Chia,, Strog ed-of-seaso imports Malaysia 6 Accumulatio of tras-shipmet stocks Turkey -,, Recet origi data Major Exporters s of -lb statistical bales Chage Curret Prev Reaso WORLD,,6 Uited States -, 6, Weak ed-of-seaso shipmets Idia,, Improved price competitiveess Mali,, Greater demad i Southeast Asia Burkia Faso,, Greater demad i Southeast Asia Uzbekista -, Lower shipmets to Bagladesh Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
4 The Foreig Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its productio, supply ad distributio (PSD) database for cotto, oilseeds, ad grais at : p.m. o the day the World Agricultural Supply ad Demad Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by : p.m. FAS Reports ad Databases: Curret World Market ad Trade ad World Agricultural Reports: Archives World Market ad Trade ad World Agricultural Reports: Supply ad Distributio Database (PSD Olie): Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. ad ): Export Sales Report: Global Agricultural Iformatio Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports): Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply ad Demad Estimates (WASDE): Ecoomic Research Service: Natioal Agricultural Statistics Service: Questios may be directed to: James Johso () 6-6 James.Johso@fas.usda.gov Graham Soley () - Graham.Soley@fas.usda.gov Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
5 Summary of Chages i estimates ad Forecasts from Last Moth (, lb Bales ad, Ha) Coutry Mktg Begiig Total Dom. Year Cos. Argetia / - - / - Australia / - - / Austria 6/ 6 / / Bagladesh / Belarus / / / / Belgium-Luxembourg / / Bei / - Brazil / / - Burkia / - / - - Chia / / Colombia / Egypt Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
6 Summary of Chages i estimates ad Forecasts from Last Moth (Cotiued) (, lb Bales ad, Ha) Coutry Mktg Begiig Total Dom. Year Cos. / / Frace / / Greece / / Guatemala 6/ / - / - - Hugary / Idia / - / - - Idoesia / / Italy /6-6/ / / Japa / / - Kazakhsta / Korea, South / - / - - Malaysia Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA 6 August
7 Summary of Chages i estimates ad Forecasts from Last Moth (Cotiued) (, lb Bales ad, Ha) Coutry Mktg Begiig Total Dom. Year Cos. / - 6 / 6 Mali / - / - - Mauritius / / Mexico / - - / Pakista / - / Peru 6/ - / - - / - Polad / / Portugal / / Taiwa / - / - - Tajikista / - / / - - / - - / Thailad / Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
8 Summary of Chages i estimates ad Forecasts from Last Moth (Cotiued) (, lb Bales ad, Ha) Coutry Mktg Begiig Total Dom. Year Cos. / Togo / - / - - Turkey / / Turkmeista / - - Uited States / / - 6 Uzbekista 6/ / / World World / / - / / / / Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
9 Table Cotto World Supply,, ad Trade (Seaso Begiig August ) ( MT) / /6 6/ / Jul / Aug / Idia 6,,6, 6, 6, 6, Chia 6,,,,,, Uited States,,6,,,, Brazil,6,,,,6,6 Pakista,,,66,,, Turkey Australia 6, 6 Other,,6,6,,,6 Total,,6,6 6, 6, 6, USE Dom. Cosumptio Chia,,,,,, Idia,,,,6,, Pakista,,,,,, Bagladesh,6,,,6,, Turkey,,,,,6,6 Vietam,6,,6,6 Idoesia 6 6 Other,,,6,,, Total,6,66, 6,,6,6 Bagladesh,,,,6,,6 Vietam,,,,66,66 Chia,,6,,, Idoesia Turkey 6 Pakista Idia 6 6 Other,6,,6,,66,6 Total,,,,,, Uited States,,,,,66, Brazil 6,6, Idia,, 6 Australia 66 6 Burkia Mali 6 Greece Other,,,,,, Total,,,,,, Chia,6,,, 6, 6, Idia,6,6,,6,, Brazil,,,,,, Uited States, Pakista Turkey 6 Bagladesh Other,,,,,, Total,,,, 6, 6, oe oe oe oe oe Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
10 Table Cotto World Supply,, ad Trade (Seaso Begiig August ) ( Bales) / /6 6/ / Jul / Aug / Australia,,,,,, Brazil,,,,,, Chia,,,, 6, 6, Idia,,,,,, Pakista,6,,,,, Turkey,,6,,,, Uited States 6,,,,,, Other, 6,,,,, Total, 6,6 6,6,,, USE Dom. Cosumptio Bagladesh, 6, 6,,,, Brazil,,,,,6,6 Chia, 6,,,,, Idia,,,,,, Idoesia,,,,,,6 Pakista,6,,,,, Turkey 6, 6, 6,,,, Uited States,,,,,, Uzbekista,,,,6,, Vietam,,, 6,6,, Other,6,,,,,6 Total,,,, 6,,6 Bagladesh, 6, 6,,6,, Chia,,6,,,, Idia,6,,6,,, Idoesia,,,,,, Korea, South,,, Mexico, Pakista,,,,, Thailad,,,6,,, Turkey,6,,6,,6, Vietam,,6, 6,,, Other,,,6,,,6 Total 6,6,,6,,,6 Australia,,,,,, Bei 6 Brazil,,,,,, Burkia,,,,,, Cote d'ivoire Greece,6,,,, Idia,,6,,,, Mali,,,,, Uited States,6,,,,, Uzbekista,6,,, Other 6,,,6,6 6,6 6, Total,6,,6,,,6 Bagladesh,,,6,,, Brazil,, 6,,6,, Chia 66, 6,6,,,,6 Idia,6,,,,, Pakista,,6,6,,,6 Turkey,6,,,,, Uited States,6,,,,,6 Other,,6,,,, Total,,,,,, oe oe oe oe oe Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
11 Table Cotto, Yield, ad Coutry / Regio 6/ (Millio hectares) Yield (Kilograms per hectare) (Millio lb. bales) Chage i Prel. / Proj. Prel. / Proj. Prel. / Proj. From last moth From last year / Jul Aug 6/ / Jul Aug 6/ / Jul Aug MBales Percet MBales Percet World Uited States....,, Total Foreig oe Wester Hemisphere Brazil....,66,6,, Mexico....,6,6,6, Argetia Paraguay Peru....,,, Colombia Africa Burkia Mali Cote d'ivoire Cameroo Bei Chad Togo Seegal Egypt Zimbabwe Nigeria Asia Oceaia Chia....,,6,, Idia Pakista Kazakhsta Tajikista Turkmeista Uzbekista Turkey....,,,, Australia....,,,, Syria....,,6,, Burma Europe Greece....,,,, Others Note: Yeild for Total Foreig ad Others is a icorrect calculatio. Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
12 Table Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Afghaista 6 6 Albaia Algeria Agola Argetia,, 6 Armeia Australia, 6,,, Austria Azerbaija 6 Bahrai Bagladesh,,,, Belarus 6 Belgium-Luxembour 6 6 Bei,6 6 Bolivia Brazil,,,,6,, Bulgaria Burkia,,, Burma Cambodia Cameroo 6 Caada Cetral Africa Republic Chad 6 Chile Chia, 6,,,,,6 Colombia 6 Cogo (Kishasa) Costa Rica Cote d'ivoire Croatia Cuba 6 Cyprus Czech Republic Demark Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
13 Table Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / (Cotiued) (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Domiica Republic Ecuador Egypt, 6 El Salvador 6 Estoia Ethiopia 6 6 Frace Germay Ghaa 6 6 Greece,,, Guatemala 6 Guiea Haiti Hoduras Hog Kog Hugary Idia,,,,6,,, Idoesia,,,6 Ira Iraq Irelad Israel 6 Italy Japa Kazakhsta 6 Keya Korea, North Korea, South Kyrgyzsta Latvia 6 Lebao 6 Lesotho Lithuaia Macedoia 6 Madagascar Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
14 Table Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / (Cotiued) (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Malawi Malaysia 6 6 Mali,,6, Mauritius Mexico,,, 6 Moldova Morocco 6 6 Mozambique Netherlads Nicaragua Niger 6 Nigeria 6 Pakista,,,,,,6 Paama Paraguay 6 Peru 6 Philippies Polad 6 6 Portugal Romaia Russia Seegal 6 Serbia Sigapore Slovakia Sloveia 6 6 Somalia South Africa 6 Spai 6 6 Sri Laka Suda 6 Swede Switzerlad Syria Taiwa Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
15 Table Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / (Cotiued) (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Tajikista 6 6 Tazaia 6 Thailad,,, Togo 6 Tuisia Turkey,,,,, Turkmeista,, Ugada Ukraie Uited Kigdom Uited States,,,6,,,6 Uruguay Uzbekista,,,,, Veezuela Vietam,,,, Yeme 6 Zambia Zimbabwe 6 World World,,,6 6,,6,6, Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
16 Table A Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / ( MT ad HA) Coutry Total Supply Afghaista Albaia Algeria Agola Argetia Armeia Australia, 6 Austria Azerbaija 6 6 Bahrai Bagladesh,6,, Belarus Belgium-Luxembour Bei 6 Bolivia Brazil,6 6,6,, Bulgaria Burkia 6 Burma 6 6 Cambodia Cameroo Caada Cetral Africa Republic Chad 6 6 Chile Chia,,,, 6, Colombia 6 Cogo (Kishasa) Costa Rica Cote d'ivoire Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Demark Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA 6 August
17 Table A Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / (Cotiued) ( MT ad HA) Coutry Total Supply Domiica Republic Ecuador 6 Egypt 6 6 El Salvador 6 Estoia Ethiopia Frace Germay Ghaa 6 Greece Guatemala 6 Guiea Haiti Hoduras 6 Hog Kog Hugary Idia, 6,,,, Idoesia 6 6 Ira 6 6 Iraq 6 Irelad Israel Italy Japa 6 6 Kazakhsta 6 Keya Korea, North Korea, South 6 Kyrgyzsta Latvia Lebao Lesotho Lithuaia Macedoia Madagascar Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
18 Table A Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / (Cotiued) ( MT ad HA) Coutry Total Supply Malawi Malaysia 6 Mali 6 Mauritius 6 6 Mexico 6 Moldova Morocco Mozambique 6 6 Netherlads Nicaragua Niger Nigeria 6 Pakista,,, Paama Paraguay Peru 6 Philippies Polad Portugal 6 Romaia Russia 6 6 Seegal Serbia Sigapore Slovakia Sloveia Somalia South Africa Spai 6 6 Sri Laka Suda 6 6 Swede Switzerlad Syria 6 Taiwa Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
19 Table A Cotto Supply ad Distributio MY / (Cotiued) ( MT ad HA) Coutry Total Supply Tajikista Tazaia Thailad Togo 6 Tuisia Turkey 6,6,6 6 Turkmeista 6 Ugada 6 Ukraie Uited Kigdom Uited States,,,, Uruguay Uzbekista 6, 6 66 Veezuela Vietam,66,,6 Yeme 6 Zambia Zimbabwe World World, 6,,,,6 6, 6, Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
20 Table 6: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Afghaista Albaia Algeria Agola Argetia, 6 Armeia Australia, 6,,, Austria Azerbaija Bahrai Bagladesh,6,6,, Belarus 6 Belgium-Luxembour 6 Bei, 6 Bolivia Brazil,, 6,,,,6 Bulgaria Burkia,,, Burma, Cambodia Cameroo Caada Cetral Africa Republic Chad Chile Chia,,,,,, Colombia Cogo (Kishasa) Costa Rica Cote d'ivoire 66 6 Croatia Cuba 6 Cyprus Czech Republic Demark Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
21 Table 6: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (Cotiued) (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Domiica Republic Ecuador 6 Egypt, El Salvador 6 6 Estoia Ethiopia 6 Frace Germay 6 Ghaa 6 Greece,,, Guatemala Guiea Haiti Hoduras Hog Kog Hugary Idia,,,,,,, Idoesia,,, 6 Ira Iraq Irelad Israel 6 Italy Japa 6 6 Kazakhsta 6 Keya Korea, North Korea, South, Kyrgyzsta Latvia 6 Lebao 6 Lesotho Lithuaia Macedoia 6 Madagascar Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
22 Table 6: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (Cotiued) (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Malawi 6 6 Malaysia 6 Mali,,, 6 Mauritius 6 Mexico,6,6, 6 Moldova Morocco 6 Mozambique Netherlads Nicaragua Niger Nigeria Pakista,6,,,6,, Paama Paraguay Peru 6 Philippies 6 6 Polad 6 Portugal Romaia Russia Seegal Serbia Sigapore Slovakia Sloveia 6 6 Somalia South Africa 6 Spai 6 Sri Laka Suda Swede Switzerlad Syria 6 6 Taiwa 6 Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
23 Table 6: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (Cotiued) (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Total Supply Tajikista Tazaia Thailad,,, 6 Togo 6 6 Tuisia Turkey,,,,, Turkmeista,6, 6 66 Ugada Ukraie Uited Kigdom Uited States,,,6,,, Uruguay Uzbekista,,,,6, Veezuela Vietam 6,, 6,6, Yeme Zambia Zimbabwe World World,,,,,,, Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
24 Table 6A: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (, Metric Tos) Coutry Begiig Afghaista Albaia Algeria Agola Argetia 6 6 Armeia Australia, 6 Austria Azerbaija 6 Bahrai Bagladesh,6,6 Belarus Belgium-Luxembour Bei 6 Bolivia Brazil,,, Bulgaria Burkia Burma 6 6 Cambodia Cameroo Caada Cetral Africa Republic Chad Chile Chia,,,,, Colombia 6 Cogo (Kishasa) Costa Rica Cote d'ivoire Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Demark Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
25 Table 6A: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (Cotiued) (, Metric Tos) Coutry Begiig Domiica Republic Ecuador 6 Egypt 6 6 El Salvador 6 Estoia Ethiopia Frace Germay Ghaa 6 Greece 6 Guatemala Guiea Haiti Hoduras Hog Kog Hugary Idia,, 6,,6,,6 Idoesia Ira Iraq Irelad Israel Italy Japa Kazakhsta 6 6 Keya 6 Korea, North Korea, South 6 Kyrgyzsta Latvia Lebao Lesotho 6 Lithuaia Macedoia Madagascar Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
26 Table 6A: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (Cotiued) (, Metric Tos) Coutry Begiig Malawi Malaysia Mali Mauritius Mexico 6 6 Moldova Morocco Mozambique 6 Netherlads Nicaragua Niger Nigeria Pakista 66,, 6 Paama Paraguay Peru 6 Philippies Polad Portugal Romaia Russia 6 6 Seegal Serbia Sigapore Slovakia Sloveia Somalia South Africa Spai 6 6 Sri Laka Suda 6 6 Swede Switzerlad Syria Taiwa Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA 6 August
27 Table 6A: Cotto Supply ad Distributio by Coutry / (Cotiued) (, Metric Tos) Coutry Begiig Tajikista Tazaia 6 6 Thailad Togo Tuisia Turkey, Turkmeista 6 Ugada 6 Ukraie Uited Kigdom Uited States,, Uruguay Uzbekista Veezuela Vietam,, Yeme 6 Zambia 6 6 Zimbabwe World World,, 6,, 6, 6,, Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
28 Table : World Cotto Supply ad Distributio (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Mktg Year Begiig Total Supply Total Dom. Cos. Stock to % World,6,6,6,,,,6,6, / 6,, 6,,,,,,,6 /,, 6,,,,,,66, /,,6,,6,,,6,, / 6, 6,6 6 6,,,,,,, /, 6, 6 6,, 6,,6,,6 6, /,,,6 6,6,6,6,6,, /,, -,6,,, 6,,, /,,6 -,,6,,,,, /6,6, -,6 6,,6,,,, 6/, 6,66 -,6 6, 6,6,,6,,6 / 6,,6 -,,6, 6,6, 6,,, / 6,, -6,,6 6,6,,,, /,6, -,, 6,6 66, 6,,,, /,6,6 -,,,6,,,,6 /,, -,6,,,,,,6 /,6, -,,,, 6,6,, / 6 6,, -,,,,6,6,,,6 / 6,6, -, 6,,,6,66 6,6, 6, /6 6,, -,,,6,6,,, 6,6 6/ 6,, -,,,6,,,, 6, / 6,, -,6,6,,,,6,6 6, /,, -,,,6 6,,, 6, /,6,6,,, 6,,,6, /,,6 -,6,,,, 6,6,6 /,,6-6, 6,,,6,,6, /,,6 -,6,,,,6,6, /,, 6,,6, 6,6,,, /,,6 6,,,, 6,6,6, /6,, 6,,6,6,6 6,6,, 6/ 6,,,,,,,,, / 6,,,6,6 6,,6,,, / Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
29 Table : Uited States Cotto Supply ad Distributio (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Mktg Year Yield Begiig Total Supply Stock to % Uited States, -,6 6,,,6,6, /, 6, 6,,,, 6, /, -6,,6,,6, 6,6 /, -,6,,,,, /,,6 6,66,,6,, /,66 -,,, 6,,, /, -, 6,6, 6 6,,66 6, /,6 -,,,,66,, /,6,6,6,,,6 6 6, /6, -,6 6,6,,,6,6 6/,,,,,,, /, -,,,,,, /,, 6,, 6,6, 6, / 6, -,6 6,, 6,,, /,,66, 6,, 6,,6 /, 66,,, 6,, 6, /, 6,66,,6,,, / 6, 6,6,6 6,,,, / 6 6,6 -,,6,,,,6 /6,,,,66, 6,6, 6/,,,6,6,,, / 6, -6,,6,6,,,6 /, -,,,, 6,, /,6,,6,,,, /, -,,,,,6 6, /,,,6,6,,, /,,, 6,,,, /,6,,6,6 6,,, /, 6,, 6,,,6,6 /6, 6,,,,,, 6/,,,,6,,,, /,6,,,6,,,, / Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
30 Table : Foreig Cotto Supply ad Distributio (, HA ad -lb. Bales) Coutry Mktg Year Yield Begiig Total Supply Total Foreig 6, 6 6,,,6, 66,66,6 6, /,6,6,,, 6, 6,,6 /,,6,66,, 6,,6,6 /, 6,6,6,,,66,, /,6 6 6,,,6,,6,, /, 6,, 6,,66 66,,6, /,,,,,6 6,,, /, -,,6,, 66,6, 6, /,6 -,,,6 6,6 6,, 6, /6,66-6,, 6,,6,,6, 6/,6-6,,,,6,,66 6, /, -,6,,,,,6,6 /, -,,6,6,6,, 6, /,6 -,6,6, 6,,, 6 6, /, -6 6,66,,,6,,6 6, /, -,,,66,,, 6, /,6 -,,,,,,, 6, /,6 -,,6,,6,6,,6, / 6, -,,,,,6,,6 66, /6, -,,,,,6, 6,, 6/, -,,,,,,,,6 / 6,6 -, 6, 6,6,,,,, /,,,6,6 6,, 6,6, /,66-6,,,6 6,,6,,6 /, -,6,6 6,,,,66 6, /, -,,,6,6 6,, 6, /, - 6,6, 6,6,,,, / 6,,66,6, 6,,,, /,6 6,,,,,6 6, 66, /6, 6,, 6,,66,,6,6 6/,,,,6,,,, /, 6, 6,6,,,,,6 / Foreig Agricultural Service/USDA August
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